10-21-14

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Hockey Crusher
Nashville Predators -150 over Arizona Coyotes
(System Record: 5-1, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 5-6

Rest of the Plays
Calgary Flames +111 over Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens -132 over Detroit
San Jose Sharks +123 over Boston Bruins

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Soccer Crusher
Bahia + Atletico MG OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 650-22, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 650-540-99

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet 902 KAN (+100) BetOnline vs 901 SFG

Analysis: Of course people will instinctively want to back Bumgarner, and I get why. However, the Royals are the winners here. First of all, the Giants actually played a three game series in Kansas City back in August and lost all three of them. Shields threw a four-hitter and the Royals won that game 5-0, and in the previous game the Royals beat Bumgarner. So much of the playoffs are confidence and momentum, and Kansas City has both. And we know which team has the better bullpen, so this is really a six inning game, IMO. Hunter Pence is 0-11 off of Shields, while Posey, Sandoval, Morse, and Ishikawa are a combined 1-14. That would have to change drastically for the Giants to win the game. No, Shields' post-season numbers haven't been tremendous, but they Royals have scored TONS for him, so he hasn't had to be super-sharp. He doesn't walk many and gives up few bombs at home (as opposed to on the road). His season-long WHIP is only 1.18, which can't be ignored.
Bumgarner is a flyball pitcher (when he's not striking people out) and in fact has allowed twice as many bombs on the road as he has at home, one of them this season to Billy Butler. And because the Royals saw him this season, I do give them every chance in the book of plating a few, which IMO will be enough. No team the Giants have faced in the post-season will put more pressure on the pitcher/catcher than the Royals will, and not many teams in MLB allowed more SB's (107) than the Giants. And not many teams ALLOWED less (69) than the Royals.
What really sealed this for me was the the Giants were actually a game under .500 in one-run games. The Royals were barely over .500, but having the Giants under .500 actually surprised me. And for all the talk about Kansas City not hitting LHP, they're 27-21 against LHS, and at home, and at basically "pick the winner". How can we not.

Pick Made: Oct 19 2014 7:07AM PST

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Cappers Access

Royals -102
UL Lafayette +2.5

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Ben Burns

8* Kansas City +1.5

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Paul Leiner:

1000* CFB Arkansas State -2
100* MLB Over 6.5 Giants/Royals

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Raphael Esparza Soccer

2*Schalke-110
4*FC-Porto-145

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NYSports Genius

5 units
(European Cup Soccer) Bayern Munchen/Roma over 2.5 goals (-123)
(NCAAF) Arkansas State/UL Lafayette over 55 points (-118)

4 units
(MLB) San Francisco Giants moneyline (-108)

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vip-picks

Norwich - Leeds
Tip: Norwich -1

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Burns NHL
9* Winnipeg -150

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BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT UL-Lafayette

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Doc Sports

MLB

3* KC

[golden contender]

GC: NHL PLay

Tuesday card has the Big 5* World Series 100% Power system side. MLB on a 11-3 run, and the Triple Perfect Angle side in the College Football game. Monday cashed big with the Steelers as Football continues to cash. Free NHL Power Angle play below.



On Tuesday the free NHL Play is on the Dallas Stars. Game 66 at 8:35 eastern. Dallas has won 3 straight here vs Vancouver outscoring them 15-3 in the process. Dallas has lost the first 2 this season at home but do check in a nifty 9-1 at home off a loss the last few seasons. Vancouver lost for the first time in their last game and are 1-17 on the road if they were a dog in their last game and have dropped 14 of 21 on the road if the total is 5.5. Look for Dallas to get their first home win of the season tonight. On Tuesday their are 2 Powerful plays up. The Game 1 World Series 5* 100% Power system side and the College Football Triple Perfect Power Angle Play. MLB is on an 11-3 run and Football has dominated again this season cashing again last night on the Steelers. Jump on now and cash out on Tuesday night. For the free Hockey Play take Dallas. GC

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NHL Pick for October 21st, 2014

Game: San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins
Time: Tuesday 10/21 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: San Jose +125 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The San Jose Sharks have long held a distinct advantage playing at home at The Shark Tank. They have never seemed to be able to match the intensity on the road, where they have typically been a far less successful team. The Sharks have improved in overall talent, and broke through last season with 22 road wins, and have begun to make their mark away from the Tank. The success has followed them into the 2014-15 season as they have opened with a 3-1-1 road mark, and the line has not caught up to them at this point. Boston took the Presidents' Trophy, scoring the most points last season, but it has been a slow start for the Bruins at 3-4. The offense has managed just 15 goals through seven games, and the Sharks have done extremely well here as they own a 4-1 record in their last five in Boston. Play on San Jose.

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GILZTIPS

MLB

San Fran -1 +130