10-21-14

[juvenile]

Does anyone have the Indian cowboy picks for hockey?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Real Swoop
UL Lafayette +3.5 (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

Ark State Under 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Strong Opinion - Arkansas State (-3) 35 UL LAFAYETTE 27
Tue Oct-21-2014 at 05:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 0 Over/Under 53.5 - Matchup Stats
UL Lafayette has been better offensively since star WR Jamal Robinson returned a few weeks ago but Robinson is now out for the season and I’ll favor the Red Wolves to cover even though the situation favors UL Lafayette. UL Lafayette’s attack has been 0.3 yards per play better than average against FBS competition this season (5.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team) but the pass attack is now worse without Robinson, who has averaged 12.4 yards on 21 targets this season – although against really bad opposition. After replacing Robinson’s compensated yards per attempt with the compensated ypa of remaining wide receivers I rate the ULL pass attack at 0.3 yards per pass play worse now than their season rating, which put’s UL Lafayette’s offensive rating at +0.1 yards per play. Arkansas State’s defense has been very good by Sun Belt standards, allowing just 5.0 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team, but Lafayette’s offense has an advantage and is projected to gain 392 yards at 5.5 yppl in this game.

Arkansas State’s offense has a much more significant advantage over a soft UL Lafayette defense that’s surrendered 6.7 yards per play to FBS teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team. Arkansas State has been average offensively for the season (5.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) but the Red Wolves are 0.2 yppl better than average with explosive running back Michael Gordon in the lineup. Gordon has averaged an incredible 9.4 yards per run on his 47 runs this season and the Red Wolves’ rushing attack struggled at just 3.7 yards per rushing play in the two games he missed earlier in the season. Gordon has been back the last two games and has run for 356 yards on just 33 runs (10.8 ypr), so the Arkansas State rushing attack is certainly much better with Gordon in the lineup and my math model projects 6.8 yards per rushing play, 7.0 yards per pass play and 520 total yards at 6.9 yppl for the Red Wolves tonight.

Overall the math favors Arkansas State by 12 points in this game but the Red Wolves apply to a negative 49-119-3 ATS road favorite situation that will keep me off this game as a Best Bet. However, I’ll consider Arkansas State a Strong Opinion at -3 points or less. I will also lean with the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

TUESDAY

NBA BASKETBALL----PRESEASON

Play Utah +3.5 over Oklahoma City (NBA TOP PLAY)
Play Los Angeles Lakers +4.5 over Phoenix (NBA TOP PLAY)


Detailed information and Analysis will start once the regular season begins in a few weeks.



================================================== =====


NHL HOCKEY

Play New York Rangers +105 over New Jersey (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play San Jose +115 over Boston (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Baseball

TUESDAY

Play Kansas City +100 over San Francisco (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

James Shields has won 33 of the last 46 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has won 37 of the last 54 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.James Shields has won 35 of the last 51 games coming off a team win and he has an ERA of 0.00 vs. San Francisco over his career.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football



TUESDAY

Play Arkansas State -2 over Lafayette (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST

Arkansas State has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they have covered the spread in 13 of the last 17 games vs. conference opponents. Arkansas State has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they are averaging 33 points on offense in their last three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

TUESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City +100 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)



Kansas City is 54-31 when the line posted is between +125 to -125
Kansas City is 32-15 after having won eight or more of the last ten games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Kansas City +100 over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)

James Shields has won 14 of the last 18 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has won 15 of the last 19 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. James Shields has won 15 of the last 18 games coming off a team win and he has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. NL West Division Opponents.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

TUESDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Arkansas State -2 over Lafayette (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Lafayette has lost 19 of the last 27 home games against the spread when playing in the month of October and they are allowing an average of 30 points a game on defense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

TUESDAY BASEBALL



Play Kansas City +100 over San Francisco---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)


8:00 PM EST

Kansas City has won 54 of the last 85 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and they have won 15 of the last 20 inter-league games. Kansas City has won 32 of the last 47 games after having won eight or more of the last ten games and they have won 56 of the last 89 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

TUESDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY


Play Arkansas State -2 over Lafayette---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL


8:00 PM EST

Arkansas State has won 18 of the last 21 games when playing as a favorite and they have won 6 of the last 7 games coming off a bye week. Arkansas State has won 9 of the last 10 games coming off two or more wins and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when playing in the month of October.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NonStopSportsPicks

2* Giants 1st 5, -110,

Giants SHOULD get their runs off of Shields and I just flat out respect/like Madison Bumgarner more than Shields. Shields is 1-0 with a 5.6 ERA in the playoffs...far inferior to Maddy B. I also like the fact that the Royals have had some time off to "cool" down. And lastly, we're betting the 1st 5 innings as to NOT have to mess with the Royals bullpen, which is lights out. Either the Giants score off Shields, or they lose. For those of you who can't get the 1st 5, this is still a play at full-game...I just happen to like the 1st 5 more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookiemonsters

POD TOR o 5.5

MGs
NJ -117
ARK ST -2.5
SFO -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ron From Las Vegas:

Arkansas ST. in a blowout