11-16-14

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | OAKLAND at SAN DIEGO
Play Under - Any team against the total after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game against opponent after being outgained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NFL | PHILADELPHIA at GREEN BAY
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (GREEN BAY) after a win by 28 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
24-3 since 1997. ( 88.9% | 0.0 units )

NFL | OAKLAND at SAN DIEGO
Play Under - Any team vs the the 1rst half total after allowing 40 points or more last game against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

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Valley Sports

Sunday 11-16-2014
[456] Green Bay(-6 or better)Over Philadelphia --5 Stars
[473] New England(+3 or better)Over Indianapolis --4 Stars
[460] Carolina(-1.5 or better)Over Atlanta --3 Stars
[472] Arizona(-2 or better)Over Detroit --2 Stars
[473] New England/Indianapolis(Over 57.5 or better) --4 Stars
[470] San Diego/Oakland(Under 44.5 or better) --3 Stars

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gilztips

new england over 57
tampa plus 7
houston plus 3

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ATARI

Green Bay Packers -5 (half point buy) -117
Risking 2.34 units to win 2 units
4:25pm start


NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK
Colts/Pats Over 57 (-112) half point buy
Risking 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
8:30pm start

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Jason Sample:

Packers -5 (2 units)

I will also have substantial amount on ML in parlays and probably o30.5 when it's available.

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Hondo

One small step for Hondo

Hondo muddled his way to another 7-6 record mark (2-1 in Best Bets) in Week 10 that enabled him to gain a game on Mark Cannizzaro, who has such a big-ass lead he’s being considered for the cover of next month’s Paper Magazine.

Giants over 49ers: Mr. Aitch is going one more time with Big Blue, although he would feel better about it if Tom Coughlin would ease back on his ineffective sloganeering. So far this season he has tried “Burn The Boats,” “Play Above The X’s And O’s” and this week’s motivational verbiage, “Stand Tall.” That’s a good one, but after giving up 350 yards rushing to the Seahags, maybe Tom should have gone with “Get Low And Tackle.”

Texans over Browns: If there was a GE Coach of the Week Award, it would go to the Texans’ Bill O’Brien. After nine weeks of watching his offense flounder, the light bulb came on for O’B, who finally reached the conclusion QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is better suited for holding a clipboard than a football. So it’s with Mallett aforethought that Hondo is taking the Texans.

Bears over Vikings: MIT economist Dr. Jonathan Gruber, a consultant during the formation of ObamaCare, contends the “stupidity of the American voter” was vital to passing ObamaCare.” Not true; that was the stupidity of the members of Congress. The “stupidity of the American voter” (and Mitt Romney’s inept campaign) was vital to electing Obama for a second term.

Obama took heat in China for being rude by chomping on Nicorette gum during meetings. Forget the rudeness, what about the weakness of still needing a nicotine jolt six years after supposedly starting his attempt to quit smoking? Actually, Obama was given the go-ahead by China President Xi Jinping, who told him: “If you like your gum, you can chew your gum. Period.”

Broncos over Rams: A right-to-die bill could be voted on soon in the New Jersey Assembly, although Governor Chris Christie likely would veto it. Christie’s basic position on the issue is: Sit down and shut up — and live the rest of your life in misery!

Seahawks over Chiefs: From BarkingMut of SoBe (“the land of wine, women and thong”): In an ideal world, the story of A-Rod relieving himself on a wall of his cousin’s home should have been broken by Wikileaks. That is yellow journalism at its best.

Falcons over Panthers: According to a recent poll, many transsexuals regret making the big switch, which begs the question: If transitional transsexuals decide they don’t want to go through with it and don’t pay their medical bills, do they run the risk of having their checks docked and becoming garnishee-hees?

Saints over Bengals: NBC’s Al Roker is trying to break the Guinness World Record for longest uninterrupted live weather report broadcast, which stands at 24 hours. Don’t be surprised if he does it. After all, as The Pantload proved when he soiled himself a few years ago at the White House, bathroom breaks will not be necessary.

Buccaneers over Redskins: CNN’s Fareed Zakaria, who was suspended from Time Magazine in 2012 for plagiarizing, again is being accused of repeatedly committing the same offense. However, there could be a silver lining: Rumor has it he has an endorsement deal lined up with Xerox.
If nothing else, Zakaria provides good copy.

Raiders over Chargers: More BMut: Kim Kardashian, exposing her ridiculously over-endowed posterior on a magazine cover this month, says she likes betting football but doesn’t like those back-door covers.

For those hoping to get a live look at Kim’s glistening glutes, rumor has it they will be floating above Sixth Ave. as part of the pageantry of the upcoming Thanksgiving Day parade.

Kim is rearing to go for her next magazine job, a scheduled appearance on the cover of “Bathroom Fixtures Illustrated” for its annual oversized toilets issue.

Packers over Eagles: Mayor de Blasio blamed a rough night’s sleep for being late to a memorial service for victims of Flight 587, which crashed in Belle Harbor, Queens 13 years ago. Possible causes for the bout with insomnia include: An extra-long meeting with co-Mayor Sharpton; re-reading favorite chapters Karl Marx’s “Communist Manifesto,” or a late-night game of stop and frisk with co-Mayor Chirlane McCray.

Siciliano, aka the Bronx Bomber, says the reason de Blasio is always late is because his clocks are set to Moscow time.

Emailer Peter Salvato suggests the Mayor would have been on time, but his driver was adhering to the new 25 mph city speed limit.

Cardinals over Lions: Speaking of overexposed celebs, J-Law had a bit of a wardrobe malfunction at a London premier of the latest “Hunger Games” installment. It was actually a nice gesture on her part because it gave the few who haven’t seen any of her hacked nude selfies a chance to enjoy a near-nip experience with her.

Colts over Patriots: Gisele had a recent meeting with the Dalai Lama, so there will be no shortage of prayers for Tommy on Sunday. However, Hondo’s financial and spiritual advisor, the Dollar Lama, suggests the law of NFL averages points to a no-cover by the red-hot Pasties.

Steelers over Titans: And a child shall doom them — how else to explain the Steelers’ embarrassing loss to the Jets after Justin Bieber attended their their Saturday night Bible study group? Ya gotta Belieb the negative effect should wear off by Monday night.

BEST BETS: Saints, Colts, Steelers.

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Norm Hitzges

NFL

• Houston +3 Cleveland
• Atlanta +1 1/2 Carolina
• New England +3 Indianapolis
• New England--Indianapolis OVER 58
• San Diego--Oakland UNDER 44 1/2
• Pitt -6 Tennessee

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Randall The Handle
BEST BETS

Vikings (4-5) at Bears (3-6)

• LINE: CHICAGO by 3
• Chicago has looked beyond horrible these past couple of weeks. It’s been about 100 years since a team has given up 50+ points in consecutive games and logic would dictate that spotting points with these less-than-grizzly Bears would be foolish. We think differently. Just as we saw the Steelers tally six passing touchdowns on consecutive weeks before laying an egg at the Jets (losing 20-13), such sequences are anomalies with normalcy returning rather quickly. Also an abnormality is not winning any home games. Chicago is 0-3 on this field and they’ll be playing here for only the second time since Sept. 28. These are the sub-.500 Vikings coming for a visit. Hosting them is much different than playing at New England and Green Bay on back-to-back weeks. Minnesota’s defence is a decent group, but offensively, they lack playmakers. Rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater is still finding his way, ranking 30th at his position with just three touchdown passes compared to five interceptions. The Vikes have exceeded 19 points only once in their past six games. Let’s take advantage of this discounted price.
• TAKING: BEARS -3

Falcons (3-6) at Panthers (3-6-1)

• LINE: ATLANTA by 1
• In the NFC “Gone” South division, only one game separates first from third. With Carolina sitting a half-game ahead of these Falcons and just a half-game behind the division-leading Saints, any sort of run can put them in the driver’s seat. While that may be a tall order for this struggling host, their guests today aren’t exactly the cream of the crop. Prior to last week’s win over the lowly Bucs, Atlanta hadn’t won a game since mid-September. Now it is being asked to win back-to-back road games and both in the division? Daily news shows us the world has gone a bit crazy, but this is totally absurd. Even in that win last week, the Dirty Birds allowed Tampa’s 23rd-ranked passing game to throw for more than 300 yards. Of course, bettors will have vivid images of the Panthers’ abysmal performance on Monday night to the Eagles, but in this week-to-week league, they don’t need much of a bounce-back to take down this poor travelling guest. Panthers were an 8-point pick on this field a year ago before coasting to a 34-10 win.
• TAKING: PANTHERS +1

Lions (7-2) at Cardinals (8-1)

• LINE: ARIZONA by 1
• As long as the marketplace keeps lining up the Cardinals incorrectly, we’ll keep getting behind them. Arizona is undefeated at home this year in five tries. It has only lost three of its past 15 regular-season games. Detroit has lost the past two seasons at this venue. Perhaps the Leos are a better team under Jim Caldwell, but they’ve also been fortunate, winning two games by a point each and needing a last-second touchdown to defeat the Dolphins last week. Detroit has yet to face a winning team while on the road. Of course, there is concern in ’Zona with QB Drew Stanton taking over for the injured Carson Palmer, but Stanton has gone 2-1 in relief this season already. The loss attributed to him was in Denver in a close game that saw Stanton get knocked out and replaced by a misfiring rookie. Detroit’s league-leading defensive numbers have been aided by a weak schedule. This will be a better test, but at this cheap price, we’d much rather endorse this strong home team with its staunch defence and fine offensive playmakers.
• TAKING: CARDINALS -1

OTHER GAMES
Texans (4-5) at Browns (6-3)

• LINE: CLEVELAND BY 3½
• Cleveland’s stock is up because of a three-game winning streak, but that was against the Raiders, Bucs and a Cincinnati team that went brain-dead. One of Cleveland’s issues is stopping the run, currently ranked 28th in the league, and that won’t bode well against Houston’s Arian Foster, one of the craftiest backs in the NFL. Houston has had two weeks to prep QB Ryan Mallett for his first pro start after replacing the ineffective Ryan Fitzpatrick. Mallett is a 6-foot-7 specimen that can stand in the pocket and make laser-beam throws, something the team has lacked this season. We appreciate Cleveland’s season, but spotting points is still not a way to go with them.
• TAKING: TEXANS +3½

Eagles (7-2) at Packers (6-3)

• LINE: GREEN BAY by 5½
• Mark Sanchez versus Aaron Rodgers and we get to spot less than a converted touchdown? Sign us up. While Sanchez’s initial start for the Eagles went well on Monday night, this will be only his second start since 2012 and it takes place in the unfriendly confines of Lambeau Field. Sanchez has thrown as many touchdowns as interceptions in his career to go along with a disappointing 55% completion rate. Conversely, Rodgers is putting up scary numbers recently as he’s in a groove with his full complement of receivers. Philly’s bottom-10 pass defence doesn’t have the personnel to do anything about it.
• TAKING: PACKERS -5½

Seahawks (6-3) at Chiefs (6-3)

• LINE: KANSAS CITY by 2½
• The Seahawks were favoured over the Broncos. They were a 9-point choice over the Cowboys. In fact, Seattle has been a favourite in every game it has played this year. We’re not sure they should be an underdog to this Chiefs team. While loudest-stadium wars are sure to surface into this one, we’re more concerned with what is happening on the field. That’s where we expect a Seattle team that is healthier than it has been in a while to limit Kansas City’s pedestrian offence, a unit that does not have the ability to strike back when falling behind. K.C.’s Jamaal Charles won’t have an easy time against this top-rated run defence.
• TAKING: SEAHAWKS +2½

Bengals (5-3-1) at Saints (4-5)

• LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 7
• The Bengals are travelling for the first time in nearly a month and, of all the places to be headed, New Orleans just lost on its own field for the first time in 2½ years. Cincinnati has one road win this year: Opening week at Baltimore. While the Bengals cannot possibly be as bad as they were a week ago Thursday against Cleveland, they are a team that scares no one. Drew Brees and his Saints have a losing record, but they are still a cut above this mediocre visitor. Cincy’s defence is not the same without Vontaze Burfict. Expect Brees and his weaponry to take full advantage.
• TAKING: SAINTS -7

Buccaneers (1-8) at Redskins (3-5)

• LINE: WASHINGTON by 7
• This pointspread is a bit of a head-scratcher as the Redskins have struggled. Rarely do they defeat foes by better than a touchdown. However, oddsmakers are quite astute and, by setting this number, they appear to be endorsing the favoured ’Skins. We’ll ride their coattails as QB Robert Griffin III seems to be over his latest injury and, with his potent offensive weapons, Washington should be able to overwhelm its lame guest. The Buccaneers give up 391 passing yards per game, good for second-most in the league. With two weeks to prepare and home for the first time in four weeks, Washington is capable of winning by a margin here.
• TAKING: REDSKINS -7

Broncos (7-2) at Rams (3-6)

• LINE: DENVER by 9½
• Linemakers cannot make the Broncos big enough to sway some money on some of Denver’s inferior opponents. However, they are also not in the habit of giving out money, so while the high-octane Broncs may seem like an easy winner, we see a caution sign. The Rams aren’t much, but we’ve seen them give some good teams a run for their money. St. Louis just completed a three-game road trip to Kansas City, San Francisco and Arizona. The Rams defeated the 49ers and were much closer than the score indicated against the Cardinals last week. Shaun Hill replaces rookie QB Austin Davis and that can only help. Close your eyes, plug your nose and take the points.
• TAKING: RAMS +9½

49ers (5-4) at Giants (3-6)

• LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 4
• The schedule makers apparently don’t like Jim Harbaugh much, either, as the Niners will travel for the fourth time in five weeks and will fly through three time zones for an early start here. That comes on the heels of an overtime win in New Orleans last week. Despite the putrid play of the Giants this season, it is still a demanding task for the 49ers to spot road points under these exhausting conditions. The Giants could get a big boost to their offence as RB Rashad Jennings hopes to return to the lineup on Sunday after missing four games with a knee injury. A field goal could decide this one.
• TAKING: GIANTS +4

Raiders (0-9) at Chargers (5-4)

• LINE: SAN DIEGO by 10½
• Between them, these two teams have lost 18 straight games. Trouble is that Oakland has lost 15 of them and only the football gods know when they might carve out a win. It’s unlikely to happen here, but with a slew of points to accompany them, the Raiders get our mild endorsement here. The Chargers needed a late touchdown to defeat Oakland 31-28 in their earlier contest. The Bolts haven’t won since that day and much can be attributed to an offensive line that has not been able to create running opportunities or protect Philip Rivers long enough for him to perform to his capacity. In San Diego’s current form, this is a lot of points.
• TAKING: RAIDERS +10½

Patriots (7-2) at Colts (6-3)

• LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3
• One is holding a winning hand while the other is bluffing. The Patriots have won five straight and having a healthy Rob Gronkowski in the lineup has ignited the offence. Tom Brady’s group has tallied 201 points during this streak, an average of 40-plus per game. The Colts have been getting their share, but their level of competition has been moderate at best and, despite that, they still rank 26th defensively against the pass. When Indianapolis faced a couple of top quarterbacks, they gave up nearly 800 yards through the air to Peyton Manning and Ben Roethlisberger. Even Nick Foles carved this secondary up for 331 yards. Indianapolis is a decent team, but they aren’t New England, and the Patriots have won all three games quite handily when placed in the underdog’s role.
• TAKING: PATRIOTS +3

Steelers (6-4) at Titans (2-7)

• LINE: PITTSBURGH by 5½
• If the trend of prime-time blowouts continue, it’s difficult to imagine the Titans annihilating a junior high school team, let alone an angry Pittsburgh bunch. While the Steelers seem to play to the level of their competition, they tend to perk up after a loss and that should negate any mental letdown here. The Titans are incapable of bounce-backs. Their only win since opening week was a 16-14 yawner over the equally inept Jaguars. They are auditioning young players as their never-ending rebuilding process continues with rookie QB Zach Mettenberger leading the way. Tennessee will be missing its best receiver as TE Delanie Walker will sit this one out. Incidentally, the Steelers are 24-6 on Monday nights.
• TAKING: STEELERS –5½

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for November 16th, 2014

Game: Seattle Seahawks @ Kansas City Chiefs
Time: Sunday 11/16 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Seattle +2.5 (-118) at BetPhoenix

The defending Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks have not been as crisp as they were a season ago. With everyone gunning for them, it's proven hard as it normally is for the team with a target on their backs. The defense however is still elite, and while Russell Wilson seems to have struggled at times this season, he has made up the difference with his leadership and legs. Seattle still has a big weapon in Marshawn Lynch who went through the Giants weak run defense for 140 yards in 21 carries and four TDs. Overall last week, the Seahawks put up 350 yards on the ground thanks to the return of two Pro Bowlers on the offensive line in Russel Okung and Max Unger. Lynch will go over the 1,000 yard mark in this one, as the Chiefs will see a heavy dose of Beast Mode. Kansas City is one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL, allowing 4.7 yards per carry to teams that average just 4.0. That goes up against a Seattle running attack that has generated 5.5 yards to a schedule of teams that allow 4.3. The Chiefs have allowed 144 yards per game on the ground over their last seven. I don't see how they can stop the Seattle running game without Wilson beating them over the top if they commit extra men in the box. Since 2011, the Seahawks are 17-5-2 ATS as a dog including 9-1 the past two and a half seasons with Wilson. Meanwhile, since 2007, KC is just 7-20-1 ATS as a home favorite. Take Seattle.

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Today's CFL Picks

Saskatchewan at Edmonton

The Eskimos host Saskatchewan in the Division Semifinals on Sunday and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus the Roughriders. Edmonton is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 16 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/15)

Game 491-492: BC at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: BC 112.834; Montreal 112.076 Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 49 Vegas Line: Montreal by 3; 45 Dunkel Pick: BC (+3); Over

Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 111.369; Edmonton 121.388 Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 10; 40 Vegas Line: Edmonton by 6 1/2; 44 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-6 1/2); Under

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wayne root top play Pinnacle COLTS

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Gold Sheet

KEY RELEASESiiiiiiiiii
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KANSAS CITY by 12 over Seattle
PITTSBURGH by 17 over Tennessee (Monday)
------------------------
OVER THE TOTAL in the Denver-St. Louis game

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Indian Cowboy

7*Unit Play. #461. Take Over 50 Cincinnati vs. New Orleans (Sunday @ 1pm est)
3*Unit Play. #466. Take Over 51 Denver vs. St. Louis (Sunday @ 1pm est)
5*Unit Play. #470. Take San Diego -10 over Oakland (Sunday @ 4:05pm est)
3*Unit Play. #474. Take Indianapolis -3 over New England (Sunday @ 8:30pm)
6*Unit Play. #476. Tatke Over 47 Pitsburgh vs. Tennessee (Monday @ 8:30pm)

7-Unit Play #461 Take Over50 Cincinnati vs. New Orleans (Sunday @ 1pm est)

Cincinnatiplayed horribly against the Browns on national television and maybe it was dueto the coaching or due to just being outsmarted or a lack of motivation for abattle of Ohio in the NFL. The contest was not close and the Bengals werebasically embarrassed on national television which happens at times for thisteam. Remember this is the same team that got that got shutout at Indianapolis0-27 earlier in the year only to bounce-back and beat a very good Baltimoreteam at home 27-24 as 2.5point underdogs. This team also lost to New England17-43 on the road only to come back and tie the Panthers in a game they shouldhave certainly won as well but they did put up 37 points in that bounce-backgame and of course most recently put up 33 against Jacksonville and 27 againstBaltimore. So as this team comes off scoring a field goal in full regulationagainst the Browns they are going to be more than motivated against a Saintsdefense that is vulnerable and who comes off a overtime loss to the Niners.Same defense that yielded 31 to Tampa Bay and 26 to Cleveland as well. Pointbeing here is that the Bengals are going to come out with a bounce-back efforton the offensive end and the Saints off a loss this year have scored 37 againstTampa Bay and 44 against Green Bay recently. Both teams are likely going to besharp on the offensive end and the Bengals are going to give the Saints likelyeverything they can handle and this contest likely goes over the posted total.The Over is 4-0 for the Bengals following a straight up loss and the Over is5-1 for the Saints following a straight up loss as well.


5-Unit Play #470 Take San Diego-10 over Oakland (Sunday @ 4:05pm est)

TheChargers are much better than what they showed at Oakland when they were nearlybeat by Oakland on the road. Now this team is reeling from 3 straight lossesand their most recent being the worst getting routed by Miami by a score of0-37 and getting completely blanked. This is a very proud coaching staff andgroup of players here and this becomes a must win for this team. Irrelevant ofthe fact that Denver blew this team out last week the Chargers are more thanmotivated coming into this game as they head an easier part of the schedule in thefirst portion facing the likes of Jacksonville and the Jets and after facingthe Chiefs, Broncos and Dolphins recently this team could desperately use awin. Look for the Chargers to make quick adjustments as the Raiders will notsurprise this team like they did last time and as they come off getting blankedin their previous game this team will be highly motivated to bounce-backquickly at home as they are 9-1 over their last 10 games after scoring lessthan 15 points in their previous game and the Raiders are 1-5 ATS when facingthe AFC West of late as well.


3-Unit Play #474 Take Indianapolis -3 over New England (Sunday @ 8:30pm)

Theseare the type of games that Andrew Luck and the Colts are starting to win and asthe public takes the Patriots as a rare underdog it makes you wonder. The Coltsstarted the season slow but as many have predicted they are right where theyneed to be at 6-3 and quickly improving. This team faces a New England teamrolling right now sitting at 7-2 but this is going to be a tougher game thanNew England realizes as they are not in the confines of Foxborough anymore andplay the underdog role here. The Colts remember getting routed to New Englandon primetime television the last time they hooked up and that has to sting for thisteam who lost 22-43 as Luck got his first taste of Brady. With the Patriotscoming off such a big and dominating win over Denver, look for New England tohave a bit of a let down here as this team has not beat an elite team on theroad yet. Their road wins come against Minnesota and Buffalo - and having lostto Miami and Kansas City on primetime. Now, they face another elite team in theColts who have revenge, good public fade and who have covered their last 3 homegames winning by a combined score of 88-30. Let's roll with the Colts here athome for all of these reasons as we have them winning by 6 this evening.


3-Unit Play #466 Take Over 51 Denver vs. St. Louis (Sunday @ 1pm est)

TheRams have been solid big underdogs all year and though their defense is vaultedwith a new quarterback in who will want to show what he has, look for this teamto be a surprising underdog against Peyton and the Broncos here. Denver is ofcourse heavily backed by the public to a tune of 75% but they were last week aswell and though they did cover the safer play was on the Over as a haplessOakland offense put up 17 points on this Denver defense. The Rams are 4-1 whenfacing a team with a winning record consistently being an active underdog suchas against the Cowboys or Eagles to name just two examples and they are likelygoing to be a solid underdog here giving the Broncos a decent test andconsequently the game goes over. The Over is also 6-1-1 for the Broncos afterallowing less than 250 yards in their previous game which is an example of alet down spot here for this team after a solid performance now facing a backupquarterback in St. Louis and likely letting their guard down for a bit.

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Doc Sports


6 Unit Play. #458 Take Kansas City Chiefs -2 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm FOX)

Kansas City is playing outstanding football of late, having won 4 straight games, and they are getting it done on both sides of the football. Seattle is finding life as a defending champion much more difficult, and they are getting team's best effort this season. Seattle has only covered one time this season on the road, and that came against Washington, who still moved the football on them. It will be important for Kansas City to stop the read option, especially when the quarterback keeps it. Seattle is not great at throwing the football, especially when teams know they have to throw it. Kansas City has covered the spread all 4 games during this winning streak. Seattle has covered the spread just 1 time in their last 5 games.



4 Unit Play. #452 Take Cleveland Browns -3 over Houston Texans (Sunday 1 pm CBS)

the Browns are just a better team at this stage than the Texans, and I am just not a big believer in Ryan Mallet as a starting quarterback. Cleveland has won 4 of their last 5 home games, and they are starting to take control in the AFC North. The Browns are starting to get healthy with the mini-bye, and the Texans rank No, 29 in pass defense despite having J.J. Watt. Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Cleveland keeps this magical season running!