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Joe Gavazzi
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-3) 8:30 PM EST NBC
Marquee matchup of the card features the 7-2 SU Patriots on a 5 game winning streak against the 6-3 SU Indy Colts. Each team has had an extra week to prepare for this contest. In retrospect, it really hasn’t been one of those, contests that is! In a pair of matchups between Brady and Luck, New England has been victorious by counts of 59-24 and 43-22. With the Colts riding a 6-1 SU ATS momentum run, are they primed to get their revenge? Maybe not, if their 7-14 ATS SNHF record is an indicator. In their support, consider that during the winning streak the Colts scored 32 or more points 5 times. During that string, Luck has passed for 300+ yards each game. As a result, QB Luck is now 29-15 SU ATS in his NFL career. The Colts have played their best vs the best on this field, with a record of 10-1 ATS vs Class A foes. In addition, they are a true momentum team, going 10-2 ATS following a +10 or more AFP performance. The offense is explosive, averaging 32/450 and 6.2 OFF YP play. The defense holds opponents to just 22 rushes a game, and 98 RYPG a sure indicator of success. Now they must face off with nemesis New England, a team whose 7-2 SU record and 5 game winning streak has been built in no small part on a +12 net turnover margin for the year to date. I give the slight nod to the B&B bunch, knowing that Brady is 28-8 ATS in this price range, that Belichick is 15-4 ATS as regular season dog, and that the Patriots’ offense has exploded for 40 PPG since October 5th.
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-3) 8:30 PM EST NBC
Marquee matchup of the card features the 7-2 SU Patriots on a 5 game winning streak against the 6-3 SU Indy Colts. Each team has had an extra week to prepare for this contest. In retrospect, it really hasn’t been one of those, contests that is! In a pair of matchups between Brady and Luck, New England has been victorious by counts of 59-24 and 43-22. With the Colts riding a 6-1 SU ATS momentum run, are they primed to get their revenge? Maybe not, if their 7-14 ATS SNHF record is an indicator. In their support, consider that during the winning streak the Colts scored 32 or more points 5 times. During that string, Luck has passed for 300+ yards each game. As a result, QB Luck is now 29-15 SU ATS in his NFL career. The Colts have played their best vs the best on this field, with a record of 10-1 ATS vs Class A foes. In addition, they are a true momentum team, going 10-2 ATS following a +10 or more AFP performance. The offense is explosive, averaging 32/450 and 6.2 OFF YP play. The defense holds opponents to just 22 rushes a game, and 98 RYPG a sure indicator of success. Now they must face off with nemesis New England, a team whose 7-2 SU record and 5 game winning streak has been built in no small part on a +12 net turnover margin for the year to date. I give the slight nod to the B&B bunch, knowing that Brady is 28-8 ATS in this price range, that Belichick is 15-4 ATS as regular season dog, and that the Patriots’ offense has exploded for 40 PPG since October 5th.
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