11-22-14

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Scott Spreitzer GOY- tenn

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Dave Essler - SEC Game of the Day - 172 Arkansas3.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 171 Mississippi

Analysis: I am not a believer and never have been, or Wallace. I am far more of a buyer on Ole Miss' defense, but not on the road. They've had two weeks off, yes. However, the last "contact", if you will, was Presbyterian. Prior to, they lost to LSU and Auburn, and really have nothing to gain by winning this game. This game happens to be Arkansas' last home game, and the Hogs need this to get their sixth win. They shutout LSU, and played Mississippi State tough before that. The game is not played on paper, I don't trust Wallace (only three TD's on the road) and for the season the Rebels have played three road games, total. At Vanderbilt, at A & M, and the loss at LSU. Honestly, I think they get their third loss here and Arkansas gets Bowl Eligible, because the Hogs' final game is at Missouri, making this one that much more important.

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Saturday

After an 0-3 start early on Thursday I finshed the evening 3-0 for a 3-3 profitable day thanks to a big 4 STAR winner with Kansas State over West Virginia in college football. Three college football selections for Saturday are up now. My early play on the Jets in the NFL has been canceled due to the day and venue change. I'll wait on the new line before making a decision. Best of luck!
-EZ


Saturday

4* (174) Baylor Bears -29

This is a huge revenge game for Baylor and I expect them to roll against an Oklahoma State team that does not have the fire power to keep up with the Bears in Waco. Last season in Stillwater a very offensivlly potent Cowboy's team knocked off Baylor as a 8 point home underdog. The was the first loss of the season for Baylor who was 9-0 at the time so I'm sure they will remeber that defeat well. The Bears are averaging over 55 points per game at home and have blew out everyone with the exception of TCU. Oklahoma State is no where near the calibar of team as the Horned Frogs. In their last four games this offensivlly challanged Oklahoma State team has only scored five offensive touchdowns. That won't cut it when heading to Waco. Lay the wood as Baylor rolls.


3* (127) Missouri Tigers +3.5

Tennessee is coming off of a huge win against Kentucky last week and needs just one more win (against Missouri or Vandy next week) to become bowl eligable but I like the Tigers in this spot. Missouri cashed in a winner for me last week in College Station and I look for them to cash another ticket this week. The Tigers control their own destinay to the SEC championship game and this team has been fantastic on the road where they have won and covered the spread in nine straight games. Missouri quarterback Maty Mauk is playing very well and Mauk has a running game to lean on with explosive running backs Russell Hansbrough and Marcus Murphy who combined for almost 300 yards last week against the Aggies. The Vols defense is still young and Missouri should be able to exploit the inexperience. Take the points.


2* (126) Virginia Cavaliers +6

This is going to be a tough spot for Miami. The Canes came ever so close to knocking off FSU in a rivalry game and I just don't see them bringing that intensity on the road to Virginia. The Cavs need two win out to become bowl eligable so this is a huge game for them and they have had two weeks to prepare for this Hurricanes team. Virginia has been in some very close games as four of their six losses have been by eight points or less and they have actually out gained their opponents in four of thier six losses. This has been an underdog series as the dog has covered the spread in nine out of the last ten meetings between these two teams. Take the points.

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K

CFB

Purdue, Illinois, UConn, UCLA

CBB - UTEP

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NCAA Basketball Picks

North Carolina vs. Davidson

The Tar Heels head to Charlotte today to face a Davidson team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 neutral site games. North Carolina is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 22 Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST

Game 719-720: Appalachian State at Virginia Tech (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 44.575; Virginia Tech 57.387 Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 13 Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+16 1/2)

Game 721-722: Drake at Western Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Drake 49.455; Western Michigan 59.909 Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 13 1/3 Dunkel Pick: Drake (+13 1/2)

Game 723-724: North Carolina vs. Davidson (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 73.023; Davidson 57.681 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 13 Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13)

Game 725-726: Utah State at Mississippi State (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 56.235; Mississippi State 62.249 Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 6 Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-4 1/2)

Game 727-728: Texas State at TX-San Antonio (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 46.741; TX-San Antonio 50.538 Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 Vegas Line: Texas State by 2 Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+2)

Game 729-730: South Alabama at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 48.532; Detroit 55.543 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7 Vegas Line: Detroit by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+10 1/2)

Game 731-732: San Jose State at CS-Fullerton (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 44.931; CS-Fullerton 55.147 Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 10 Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 7 Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-7)

Game 733-734: Brown at Indiana State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brown 48.514; Indiana State 57.511 Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 9 Vegas Line: Indiana State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-6 1/2)

Game 735-736: Nebraska at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 64.900; Rhode Island 65.669 Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 1 Vegas Line: Nebraska by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+1 1/2)

Game 737-738: William & Mary at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.765; Rice 48.383 Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: William & Mary by 6 Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6)

Game 739-740: Elon at Northwestern (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Elon 48.588; Northwestern 65.267 Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Northwestern by 14 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-14)

Game 741-742: Missouri State at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.989; Texas Tech 64.480 Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-5 1/2)

Game 743-744: Colorado at Wyoming (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 61.179; Wyoming 57.381 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 4 Vegas Line: Colorado by 2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-2)

Game 745-746: Boise State at Wisconsin (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 60.088; Wisconsin 81.487 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 21 1/2 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 17 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-17)

Game 747-748: Massachusetts vs. Notre Dame (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 62.694; Notre Dame 64.886 Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2 Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 4 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+4)

Game 749-750: Providence vs. Florida State (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Providence 66.923; Florida State 62.553 Dunkel Line: Providence by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Providence (+1 1/2)

Game 751-752: Manhattan vs. Binghamton (5:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 59.921; Binghamton 39.033 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 21 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 13 Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-13)

Game 753-754: Navy vs. Northeastern (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Navy 40.593; Northeastern 56.811 Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 16 Vegas Line: Northeastern by 13 Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-13)

Game 759-760: Samford vs. CS-Northridge (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Samford 43.217; CS-Northridge 51.736 Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Samford (+10 1/2)

Game 761-762: UMKC at AR-Little Rock (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 51.457; AR-Little Rock 50.034 Dunkel Line: UMKC by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+5 1/2)

Game 787-788: St. Peter's at LaSalle (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 48.739; LaSalle 57.355 Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 789-790: Ball State at IUPUI (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.772; IUPUI 45.951 Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 1 Vegas Line: IUPUI by 3 Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+3)

Game 791-792: NE-Omaha at Marquette (2:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 49.856; Marquette 63.501 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Marquette by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+16 1/2)

Game 793-794: NC-Wilmington at VMI (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 48.499; VMI 49.512 Dunkel Line: VMI by 1 Vegas Line: VMI by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+3 1/2)

Game 795-796: Eastern Washington at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 53.257; SMU 70.523 Dunkel Line: SMU by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: SMU by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: SMU (-14 1/2)

Game 797-798: Belmont at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 54.543; Western Kentucky 58.008 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 2 Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-2)

Game 799-800: Canisius at St. Bonaventure (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 54.941; St. Bonaventure 60.903 Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 6 Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+7 1/2)

Game 801-802: Chattanooga at Tennessee Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 45.268; Tennessee Tech 46.080 Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 1 Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 3 Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+3)

Game 803-804:UC-Davis at Furman (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 43.269; Furman 43.214 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 2 Dunkel Pick: Furman (+2)

Game 805-806: SIU-Edwardsville at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 45.357; Portland 56.404 Dunkel Line: Portland by 11 Vegas Line: Portland by 13 Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+13)

Game 811-812: Lamar at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Lamar 37.576; Indiana 70.452 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 33 Vegas Line: Indiana by 29 Dunkel Pick:

Game 813-814: New Mexico State at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 58.013; UTEP 65.815 Dunkel Line: UTEP by 8 Vegas Line: UTEP by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-5 1/2)

Game 589-590: NC-Greensboro vs. Longwood (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 42.263; Longwood 35.659 Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Longwood (+8 1/2)

Game 591-592: Stanford vs. UNLV (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 64.728; UNLV 59.399 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Stanford by 7 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+7)

Game 593-594: Temple vs. Duke (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Temple 56.003; Duke 77.006 Dunkel Line: Duke by 21 Vegas Line: Duke by 18 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-18)

Game 595-596: Wofford at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 55.496; Fairfield 49.454 Dunkel Line: Wofford by 6 Vegas Line: Wofford 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-3 1/2)

Game 597-598: Sam Houston State vs. South Dakota (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 51.918; South Dakota 47.375 Dunkel Line: Sam Houston State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Sam Houston State by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+5 1/2)

Game 599-600: Morehead State at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.897; Louisiana Tech 60.269 Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+11 1/2)

Game 601-602: American vs. Presbyterian (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: American 54.971; Presbyerian 29.800 Dunkel Line: American by 25 Vegas Line: American by 13 1/2 Dunkel Pick: American (-13 1/2)

Game 603-604: IPFW at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 54.045; Georgia Tech 66.494 Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 605-606: Montana State at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.737; Buffalo 57.732 Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 14 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+17 1/2)

Game 607-608: North Dakota at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 47.074; South Dakota State 56.422 Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 12 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+12)

Game 609-610: Austin Peay at Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 43.478; Illinois 72.360 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 29 Vegas Line: Illinois by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-22 1/2)

Game 611-612: Iona at Wake Forest (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iona 57.646; Wake Forest 64.121 Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-3 1/2)

Game 613-614: Idaho State at Washington State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 46.387; Washington State 54.247 Dunkel Line: Washington State by 8 Vegas Line: Washington State by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+11 1/2)

Game 615-616: Oral Roberts at Oregon State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 50.734; Oregon State 60.699 Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 10 Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+1 1/2)

Game 631-632: Boston U at Kentucky (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston U 52.565; Kentucky 77.593 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 25 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 28 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston U (+28 1/2)

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MADDUX SPORTS

(CFB)

20* Tennessee -4

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

4* Best Bet = BAYLOR
3* = OHIO STATE
3* = LA TECH
2* = Washington
2* = Southern California

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Vegas Sports Informer (VSI)

6 Unit Play. #206 UCLA -3 ½ over USC (8:00p.m., Saturday, Nov 22 ABC)
(PAC-12 Conference Game of the Month) After the Oregon beat down I thought UCLA would be a fade team but boy was I wrong! UCLA after that loss won 4-straight games and three of those wins were on the road. UCLA comes into this game with a week off to prepare for the USC Trojans so I see this team ready for the task in front of them. USC comes to this road game winning back-to-back games but the USC Trojans have had some trouble in road games this season. It's no secret that UCLA needs a big game from QB Brett Hunley and I believe Hunley carries the Bruins offense to a huge PAC-12 victory. The USC defense is really good but the UCLA offense is clicking on all cylinders and if the Bruins keep USC 'D' on the field early by the 4th quarter UCLA will control the tempo and win this home game. USC is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and the Trojans are also 1-4 ATS following a SU win. UCLA is 4-0 ATS following a bye week and the Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing in the month of November. The home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings while USC is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in UCLA.

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Scott Spreitzer’s 2014 CFB Game of the Year


I’m laying the points with Tennessee on Saturday evening. A lot of talk about the Volunteers situation, losing some players to suspension and injury. But QB Joshua Dobbs will help mask any potential problems up front on offense. Dobbs is a big kid, about 6’3, and he owns the wheels to keep Missouri guessing on defense. Dobbs has 34 carries for 214 yards and 4 rushing TDs the last two games and it certainly hasn’t hurt the passing game. The sophomore signal caller has completed 63% of his 67 passes over the last two games, with 5 TDs and just 1 INT, while passing for 598 yards. Dobbs makes everyone better, one of the unique qualities of a star player. Jalen Hurd has rushed for 243 yards on nearly 5 1/2 yards per carry the last two weeks and Dobbs completed passes to 9 different players against Kentucky and 8 different players in the road win over South Carolina. That’s a lot of weaponry for the Tigers to cover. At the same time, the Missouri offense is down in 2014. While they’re getting a little healthier this week at WR, they aren’t the same offense that brought four outstanding wide receivers to the gridiron in 2013. Mizzou is off a road win over A&M, but caught the Aggies off the win over Auburn. Mizzou has had a fantastic run on the road, but the offense didn’t reach 300 yards in the one-point win over a South Carolina defense that ranks 100th in total yards allowed and 105th in points allowed per game. They also beat a Florida team that suffered a complete meltdown; Mizzou gained just 119 yards in the victory. I believe the road catches up to them in this one, their first back-to-back road spot in 2014. Missouri is playing for a possible SEC East title, but I’m betting Tennessee gains their goal, a bowl eligible win for the first time in four years. And finally, we should note that Mizzou has covered just 5 of 19 off an upset win as an underdog with Gary Pinkel as HC. I’m laying the points with Tennessee on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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EZWINNERS

Added

NCAAB
1* (748) Notre Dame -$175
1* (736) Rhode Island +1.5
1* (812) Indiana -29

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

CFB - Boston College +10 (First Half) (1.08 Unit's)

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB | DRAKE at W MICHIGAN
Play On - Favorites of 10 or more points (W MICHIGAN) good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% | 2.6 units )

CBB | UT-CHATTANOOGA at TENNESSEE TECH
Play Against - Any team (UT-CHATTANOOGA) after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse
181-109 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 62.4 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

CBB | SAMFORD at CS-NORTHRIDGE
Play On - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (CS-NORTHRIDGE) with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

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PHIL STEELE / INSIDE THE PRESSBOX

BEST BETS
2* VIRGINIA 24 MIAMI, FL 23
2* TENNESSEE 24 MISSOURI 16
2* BAYLOR 54 OKLAHOMA ST 17
2* WASHINGTON 38 OREGON ST 23
1* MICHIGAN ST 45 RUTGERS 17
* High Scoring Game* - ARIZONA ST 41 WASHINGTON ST 34

Other games
PENN ST 24 ILLINOIS 23 *
* WISCONSIN 34 IOWA 17
* VIRGINIA TECH 27 WAKE FOREST 6
* LOUISIANA TECH 49 OLD DOMINION 27
COLORADO ST 41 NEW MEXICO 24 *
STANFORD 28 CALIFORNIA 27 *
* MEMPHIS 34 USF 7
* NEVADA 40 FRESNO ST 25

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Spartan

3 MISSOURI

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Danny Sheridan

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