8-30-08

[Guest]

Re: 8-30-08

Bob Balfe

College Football Free Play
Arizona/Idaho Over 62
Arizona returns ten offensive starters from a pass happy offense which played great last year. Their first test of the year is Idaho whom may be the worst defense I have ever seen. When Idaho is on offense they will have the luxury of returning all eleven starters against a AZ team with only three starters back and a brand new offensive line. Arizona is going to score at will, but I do think Idaho puts up a good number of points sending this way over the total. Take the Over.

[Guest]

Re: 8-30-08

KELSO

100 unit
Florida - 34

[Guest]

Re: 8-30-08

Rocky Atkinson

Boston College @ Kent State 7:30 PM EST
Play On: 1* Kent State +10

Boston College is 0-6 ATS last 3 years as a road favorite. Boston College is 1-4 ATS last 5 non-conference games. Boston College is 1-5 ATS last 6 games overall. Boston College is 0-5 ATS last 5 games in August. ROCKETMAN Ratings has Kent State to surprisingly win this game straight up by 5.07 points giving us great value in getting double digits. We'll recommend a small play on Kent State as our FREE pick on Saturday! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Guest]

Re: 8-30-08

BLACK WIDOW

1* on New York Mets +103
(List Pelfrey only)

The Mets are finding ways to win the close games, hitting a grand slam in the top of the 9th last night to beat the Marlins. This comes after the Mets beat the Phillies in the late innings the game before. The great thing about tonight?s meeting with the Marlins is the fact that New York won?t need another come-from-behind victory because they are throwing Mike Pelfrey at Florida Saturday. Pelfrey has been on fire, going 3-0 with a miniscule 1.44 ERA over his last 3 starts. Pelfrey has allowed only 16 hits in 25 innings during this span. The Mets are now 17-8 in their last 25 meetings at Florida. Take the Mets on the Money Line as they lead from start to finish tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-30-08

DAVE MALINSKY

GAME: USC @ Virginia Aug 30, 2008 3:30PM
SPORT: College Football Picks
PICK: USC

REASON FOR PICK: 4* SOUTHERN CAL (#185) over VIRGINIA

What happens when you put great talent and great coaching together? USC?s program happens, that is what. And what happens when you give that combination time to fully prepare for an opponent? Routs happen, even when the opponent is capable of matching up. Virginia is not that class of opponent, so now that our sources tell us that Mark Sanchez is looking comfortable again in practice, we can step in here.

Let?s look at some Pete Carroll history with major preparation time since the end of his second year with the program, when he had a chance to put his full playbook into action. First, the bowl games ?

2002 Orange ? USC 38 Iowa 17 as -4.5

2003 Rose ? USC 28 Michigan 14 as -7

2004 Orange ? USC 55 Oklahoma 19 as -1

2005 Rose ? USC 38 Texas 41 as -6.5

2006 Rose ? USC 32 Michigan 18 as -1

2007 Rose ? USC 49 Illinois 17 as -14

That is an outstanding 5-1 SU and ATS, beating the pointspread by a significant 80 points. And remember that even in the Texas loss in the 2005 Championship Game the Trojans led by 10 in the 4th quarter, but could not hold off Vince Young. Now on to openers ?

2003 ? USC 23 Auburn 0 as +3.5

2004 ? USC 24 Virginia Tech 13 as -17

2005 ? USC 63 Hawaii 17 as -36

2006 ? USC 50 Arkansas 14 as -8

2007 ? USC 38 Idaho 10 as -47

A most impressive run there also, and we can excuse the margin against Idaho LY, as Carroll was holding his team under wraps for what was perceived as a showdown game at Nebraska the following week (which his Trojans then went out and completely dominated). And the Idaho contest was the only one played at home, which made it even easier for him to back off.

So what do we see here? First, a complete dominance by the Southern Cal defense, which not only should be the nation?s best this season, but has a chance to be among the best in recent memory. We could see five Trojan starters on that side of the ball draft in the NFL first round next April. That creates a huge headache for a Virginia OL that is breaking in far too many new faces, with only 48 returning starts for the entire group. It means not only a challenge in terms of talent, but also tactics as well, as the Trojan blitzes and complex schemes take a toll. And exacerbating the issue is the lack of experience at QB for the Cavaliers, which creates the real chance of the Southern Cal defense directly scoring points.

The Trojans will also dominate the line of scrimmage when they have the ball, mashing through a Virginia defensive front that does not return a single starter, and will have depth issues on a hot afternoon. The physical presence and leadership of Chris Long will badly be missed in that huddle, as the younger players drag their heads when forced to be on the field far too long.

Yes, Virginia is coming off of a bowl season, but put an * next to that ? the Cavaliers set an all-time NCAA record by going a prefect 5-0 in games that were decided by two points or less. And these were not escapes against major powers, with North Carolina, Middle Tennessee, Connecticut, Maryland and Wake Forest on the list. They are in way over their heads here in terms of talent, and with 14 starters that combined for 378 career starts missing from 2007, the experience is also not there to handle the negative situations that this game will provide. There will be plenty of such situations ? in the only dress rehearsal before having two weeks to prepare for Ohio State, Carroll can go for the jugular here, knowing that it is the only chance to get the timing down for both units. And with only the travel roster on hand there are few options for letting up anyway ? that is an awfully talented plane.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-30-08

Special K Sports

20 Star - Northern Illinios +8

20 Star - Florida Atlantic +24

20 Star - Arkansas State +19.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-30-08

BOB BALFE

College Football
Oklahoma State/Washington State Under 66
Oklahoma State has a good QB in Zac Robinson, but he will be without his best RB and WR from a year ago. Washington State starts this season with a new coach and a QB with minimal experience. The Huskies were horrible on defense last year, but have a solid LB core this season and should be much improved. This game is at a neutral site in Seattle. 66 points will be a lot to score in an opening game. Take the Under.

"Diamond in the ruff play"
Louisiana Tech +8 over Mississippi State
This is a huge game for Tech as it is a primetime ESPN Game hosting a SEC team for this first time. This team has a bigtime ability QB Taylor Bennett and coach Derek Dooley is determined to put this school on the map. Mississippi State has some injuries at O-Line and will be without first-team All-SEC free safety Derek Pegues. The State offense has never been that good so if Bennett can get on a roll this team has a chance at winning outright. This line opened at 9.5 and now is dropping even with the public betting heavy on Miss State. Take Tech with an option small play on the Moneyline.

Alabama +4.5 over Clemson
Alabama lost all of their games last year by a touchdown or less. Playing in close games builds a strong team and they will be more experienced this year. Clemson has two great RB's which some think will be the top duo in the nation. I have to disagree with that due to the fact last year their numbers decreased in productivity from 2006 and this season they will have a brand new offensive line. Alabama is going to put up points with a offense from last year still in tact and a good QB. Clemson has lost their top four linebackers from last year which should allow Bama to air it out on run the ball with ease. Take Alabama.

Memphis/Mississippi Over 54
Memphis should return a good squad this year with 16 returning starters. The Tigers would love nothing more than too beat Ole Miss as there are many seniors who are 0-3 against them in their careers. Memphis runs a spread offense which is pretty good and has a lot of work to do on defense as last year they were pretty bad. Ole Miss is excited about their new head coach Houston Nutt and excited about Texas transfer Jevan Snead at quarterback. This offense has experience and will play well this year. Mississippi has a few injuries on the D-Line which should allow Memphis to run the ball well. Both teams should move the ball at will today on offense. Look for this game to go Over the total.

Arizona/Idaho Over 62
Arizona returns ten offensive starters from a pass happy offense which played great last year. Their first test of the year is Idaho whom may be the worst defense I have ever seen. When Idaho is on offense they will have the luxury of returning all eleven starters against a AZ team with only three starters back and a brand new offensive line. Arizona is going to score at will, but I do think Idaho puts up a good number of points sending this way over the total. Take the Over.

Major League Baseball
Phillies +130 over Cubs
Myers/Lilly

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-30-08

Ethan Law
3% Oregon/washington Under 63

2% Idaho +27
2% Louisiana Tech +7.5
2% Memphis +7.5
2% Texas -23.5

1% Ul-lafayette +10.5
1% Usc/virginia Under 43

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

LARRY COOK

3* on Wisconsin Badgers -26.5

The Wisconsin Badgers return 17 starters this season and are picked to finish second in the Big Ten conference because of it. Akron?s entire defensive backfield will have a new look, considering they lost four of five starters in the secondary from their 3-3-5 scheme last year. Reggie Corner and John Mackey combined for 10 interceptions last year, and both are gone from the Akron secondary this season. That means Wisconsin will be able to move the ball through the air whenever they decide to. Senior Allan Evridge, a Kansas State transfer, is expected to be taking the snaps under center. Evridge will be working behind an offensive line that returns four starters. These four horses up front have combined to make 85 starts between them. P.J. Hill is back at running back after rushing for 2,805 yards and 29 touchdowns in his first two seasons as the Badgers? starter in the backfield. Now that?s a solid foundation to work with. Wisconsin is 53-34 ATS in their last 87 Saturday home games. The Badgers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games overall. Wisconsin is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Meanwhile, Akron is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road contests. Bet Wisconsin at home.

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

ATS Locks

7 units Wyoming -12.5
7 units Idaho +27
2 unit parlay on above
5 units TCU -6.5
5 units UAB +13
4 units LaTech +8

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

Rest of Norms plays

NCAA 2-0

Double Play--Utah +3 vs Michigan
Double Play--Wyoming -11 vs Ohio
Double Play--Colorado -11 vs Colorado St
Double Play--Michigan St +4.5 vs California
Utah/Michigan Under
Memphis +7.5 vs Mississippi
Wisconsin -26.5 vs Akron
W. Michigan +14.5 vs Nebraska
Oregon -13.5 vs Washington
New Mexico +6.5 vs TCU
Oklahoma St -7 vs Washington St
Florida -34.5 vs Hawaii
USC -19.5 vs Virginia
ULaLa +10.5 vs So. Mississippi

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

las vegas sports advisors

NCAA football
8/30/2008 at 7:00:00 PM
Florida International at Kansas


Kansas

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

Carlo Campanella

Game: Michigan St. at California Aug 30 2008 8:00PM
Prediction: Michigan St.
Reason: Michigan State opens the NCAA season on Saturday with a tough trip to the west coast to face the Cal Bears, but must "take" the points here as they?ve been a money machine during Head Coach Mark Dantonio?s rookie season while owning a 5-1 ATS on the road and 5-0 ATS as Dogs, while never losing by more than 7 points last season! Cal opened last year with 4 straight wins, however, they won just 2 of their final 8 games while posting a 1-7 ATS record. Tough spot to rebound against an aggressive unit from the Big 10.

7* Play On Michigan State

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

The Gold Medal Club

Ohio vs Wyoming 2:00pm
PLAY ON WYOMING -11

These teams met last year in Ohio with the Cowboys coming out on top 34-33 despite turning the ball over 7 times! Whats changed?
Well, Ohio has lost QB Brad Bower and 1st team ALL MAC running back Kalvin Mcrae.
For Wyoming who managed to cover 2 games ats last season, we have the entire offensive line back to open the holes for standout running back Wynel Seldon.
We see one team on the rise and the other in decline. A home opener, with a sleeper team , we will lay the chalk here as the Cowboys will dominate from start to finish.
Note Ohio 11-1 ats in there last 12 on grass, while Wyoming 1-12-1 in there last 14 on grass..we're not biting!

[timbob]

Re: 8-30-08

WUNDERDOG

Game: Akron at Wisconsin (Saturday 8/30 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Wisconsin -26.5 (-110)

Coach Bielema has taken this Wisconsin team to January Bowl games his first two years. But this may in fact be his best team yet. The offensive line is one of the best in the country and they have several backs that can do damage running the ball. They return 17 starters from a 9-win team a year ago. The Zips finished 3-5 in the MAC last season and return only 13 starters which is tied for fewest in the conference. They were outgained by MAC opponents last year by 70+ yards per game, and have just five defensive players returning. The defensive line struggled against MAC opponents so how will they fare versus one of the top offensive lines in the country? You get the picture. This is a lot of points but we see a Wisconsin rout here, and will lay the heavy points.