11-29-14

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Budin 50 dime - kansas st -27.5

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Rainman

10 Alabama
5 USC
5 Cinncy
3 California
3 Georgia
1 Kansas St
1 Mississippi St

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ATS Lock Club
7 Fla +7.5
6 Utah St +10
5 App St -17
5 Miss St -2.5
5 BC -11

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THE REAL SWOOP (CFB)

Michigan +21 (1*)
Indiana -3 (2*)
Vanderbilt +17 (2*)
Kansas State -27.5 (1*)
Alabama -9 (3*)

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Larry Ness

10* stunner South Carolina

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Pointwise Phones

4* Florida, Texas State
3* Northwestern, Baylor, Miss. St., UTEP, Boston College, Kansas St.
2* Ohio St., North Carolina St., Georgia Southern

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Dave Cokin adds:

388 Washington State +3.5
411 Hawaii +11

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Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 2:00 PM
Triple-dime bet Appalachian St -17.0 vs Idaho
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Appalachian State on Saturday. We cashed a big play with the Mountaineers a week ago when they beat UL-L outright, 35-16 as an 8-point underdog. ASU has now won five straight games (4-1 ATS), including three as outright underdog winners. If you're worried about the fact they're laying a decent-sized number, don't. ASU won 66-0 as a 33-point favorite early this season and whipped Georgia State 44-0 as an 11-point favorite earlier this month. They're playing a terrific brand of football on both signs of the line of scrimmage and will host an Idaho Vandals' program that qualifies as one of my "dead teams." The Vandals are 1-9 SU on the season and lost their home finale last week in blowout fashion to Troy. The Vandals were out-gained 524-386 by a Trojans' team that ranks 106th in the nation in total yards per game and 108th in scoring. The bottom line thus far - the team is either not buying into what HC Paul Petri no is selling, or these groups of players are just not grasping it. Either way, they're likely to take one more beat down before calling it a season. Idaho ranks 122nd in yards rushing allowed per game, 112th in total yards allowed per game, and they give up a whopping, 36.5 ppg. The Vandals have covered just 22 of their last 70 games off a loss and they're 0-8 ATS with Petrino as HC in eight games against teams with a winning record, losing by an average score of 54-19! I'm laying the points with Appalachian State, my Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Nov 26 2014 9:57PM PST

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Teddy Covers | CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 12:30 PM
Dime bet Boston College -11.5 vs Syracuse
Analysis: 1* Take Boston College
I’ll let Syracuse head Coach Scott Shafer makes the case for Boston College here. Shafer’s quotes speak volumes about the hapless Orange as they hit the highway for their meaningless (for them) season finale:
Shafer: “We’ve been through a rash of injuries that I’ve never been around in my 24 years of coaching….Just looking at the depth chart, seeing who we’re playing, who we’re moving around, it’s been difficult that way,. Preseason depth chart, we’re starting a quarterback that was third or fourth. Middle linebacker, third or fourth guys, frankly, wide receiver, the whole line really, it’s just been crazy. One of those crazy years.
Shafer’s ‘trying to keep it upbeat’ quote doesn’t inspire much confidence either: “I don’t look at it as we’re staggering into the last game. I look at it as we’re fighting with a lot of youth and inexperience into the last game. What a great way to introduce a lot of young guys that are playing a little bit earlier than we thought they were going to in a great rivalry in this conference.”
Syracuse has been playing non-competitive football for the last month, losing each of their last four games while failing to score more than 17 points in any of them. Meanwhile, Boston College, at home on senior day, is playing with real confidence after taking mighty Florida State to the wire last Saturday. With 124 combined career starts on their offensive line, the Eagles are ranked #11 in the country at running the football, more than capable of wearing down Syracuse’s tired defense as this game progresses. Look for Tyler Murphy’s dual threat capabilities to lead the home favorite to a comfortable double digit victory here against a foe without much gas left in the tank. Take Boston College.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 8:58AM PST

CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 3:30 PM
Double-dime bet Minnesota 15.0 vs Wisconsin
Analysis: 2* Take Minnesota
Here’s what I wrote last week supporting Minnesota as a double digit underdog at Nebraska; a game they won in outright fashion. While the quality of opposition gets stronger this week, the point spread is higher and the Gophers can still lose this game by two touchdowns and still cash our winning bet.
“The betting markets have been lagging behind Minnesota all year, and they haven't recognized that it's Minnesota, not Nebraska that controls their own destiny in the conference -- the Gophers will get a rematch against Ohio State in the Big 10 title game if they win their last two regular season games. Head coach Jerry Kill, talking about the steady improvement of the program. "Our kids are a different team than what we've been. We've gotten much better. Winning on the road in the Big Ten or anywhere is not easy to do. That's what we have to do to put ourselves in position to win our (division)....We're in a situation where we're playing for something in November." Kill said he laid out Minnesota's path to the division title right after last week's spread covering loss to Ohio State. "It's better to be in control of your own destiny than to have to see somebody else win or lose and so forth. We're excited about the opportunity of being in the situation we're in. At the same time you have to go take advantage of it."
The betting markets are very concerned with the status of Minnesota’s star running back David Cobb, knocked out of last week’s game with a hamstring injury. I like the Gopher’s chances to cover regardless of whether Cobb plays or not. It’s not like Minnesota doesn’t have other solid backs, with Berkley Edwards, Donnell Kirkwood and Roderick Williams all capable of moving the chains. And the Gophers defense contained Ameer Abdullah last week, so I’m not expecting Melvin Gordon to run wild on them here. Minnesota held Wisconsin to 20 points on 324 total yards last year. A similar performance on Saturday would be no surprise to this bettor in a game that has all the makings of a ‘down to the wire’ type contest. Take Minnesota.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 9:00AM PST

CFB Side Sat, 11/29/14 - 1:00 PM
Dime bet Colorado 9.5 vs Utah
Analysis: 1* Take Colorado
This is Colorado’s role. The Buffaloes have covered the spread in all three recent meetings with Utah, pulling off one outright upset and losing by only a TD in the other two meetings, cashing by a combined 49 points in those three games. The Buffs have already covered as home dogs this year against the likes of Arizona State and UCLA, continuing their solid ATS record at home in the Mike McIntyre era.
Colorado is winless in PAC-12 play and McIntyre isn’t very happy about it, focusing on this matchup with the Utes as their chance to finally break through: “Week-in-week-out, we’ve played better in the Pac-12 this year than we did last year, and we got one Pac-12 win last year. This year, I definitely think we should have had four or five (conference wins), and we didn’t. So, I think it will eventually come, there’s no doubt about it. We want to win every game we play, but we definitely want to win this one.”
And frankly, Colorado might have the better offense here, not typical of home underdogs in this point spread range. After being benched for a half last week, starting QB Sefo Liufau is good to go this Saturday. MacIntyre: “Sefo is getting to practice this whole week. The week before, he didn't get to practice the whole time. He looks back to his old self." Liufau: “Their front seven, especially, they're up there with some of the best in the league. That's totally fine. I expect us to put some points up. We need to be consistent for four quarters and get the win."
Utah’s offense hasn’t been able to put up points all year, a team that’s been carried by their defense and special teams. The Utes haven’t won a game by more than three points since September, and they haven’t scored 30 in any of their last six contests, a team devoid of skill position talent. And, after a surprising start to the season, Utah’s ‘competing for a PAC-12 title’ dreams have been shredded in recent weeks with three losses in their last four games. If the Utes manage to win this one at all, don’t expect it to come by margin! Take Colorado.
Pick Made: Nov 28 2014 9:01AM PST

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Jason Sample:

CBB

2U:

Wofford +6 / Oakland +10 (+101)

1U:

Loyola Marymount +8

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EZWINNERS

Added

NCAAB
1* (580) Nebraska-Omaha -$200
(1pm Central Time)

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Jeff Clement

BYU vs. California

CFB West Coast 8 Unit Play! California -3.5

BYU(7-4) at California(5-6): BYU has QB Christian Stewart who has passed for 1,829 yards with 17 Td’s leading his team to 3 wins in a row and will face off with Jared Goff who has put up big numbers this season with 3,580 yards passing with 31 TD’s and only 6 INT’s. BYU will be without tailback Jamaal Williams due to injury so this looks to be a shootout in the passing game which Goff will have the edge. California is 5-2 ATS last 7 games against teams with winning records and will need this win to become bowl eligible. BYU is 0-4 ATS last 4 games vs. PAC 12 teams.Prediction: CAL 40 BYU 31. California is a 8 Unit Play!

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

4* Best Bet = GEORGIA TECH
3* = NOTRE DAME
3* = RICE
2* = Byu
2* = Auburn

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Mike Davis

NCAAF
7* Mississippi St. -2
4* Ohio St.
4* Memphis

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Vegas Sports Informer

NCAAF
8* Boise St. -9
4* Mississippi St.-2