12-28-14

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NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots – BILLS +5 (+100)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – OVER 46.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings – OVER 44 POINTS (-108)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens – BROWNS +13.5 (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants – EAGLES TO WIN (+120)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)

2 UNIT = Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins – OVER 49 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers – CARDINALS +6.5 (-103)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.94 units)

2 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks – RAMS +13 (-115)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)

2 UNIT = Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos – OVER 47.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers – OVER 47 POINTS (-101)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)

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Dave Essler
NFL 3* Triple Dime G.O.Y.
Tampa Bay

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ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)
7-Unit Play. Take #306 Pittsburgh (-3) over Cincinnati (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 28)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. I have been red hot with the red hot Steelers! I have won a 7-Unit Play and an 8-Unit Play on Pittsburgh the last two weeks. They are still undervalued and I plan on hitting big with them again. The Steelers have dominated this series. They are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 meetings with the Bengals and most of those games have been blowouts. That includes a 21-point win for the Steelers on Dec. 7 in the first meeting. Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings since 2010. The Bengals are off a tough Monday night win over Denver. That game got them into the playoffs. They won’t have the same level of urgency in this game. Pittsburgh is at home and they want to earn a home playoff game. I think they are going to do just that. Take the Steelers again!

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

5-Unit Play. Take #315 Carolina (+4) over Atlanta (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 28)

This game has a field goal winner written all over it. Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives, but I think that Carolina is a better team top to bottom. I love the points here, and I actually think that Carolina wins this game as a road dog. The Falcons just aren’t as good at home as they have been in the past and I see the Panthers crushing the Falcons playoff dreams. Carolina comes in to this game on a nice three-game winning streak and they have all the mojo. The Falcons are in a bit of a letdown spot as they beat New Orleans last weekend, but lets face it, the Saints stink. Atlanta has already lost home games to Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Detroit, and Chicago this season. It just shows that they aren’t as dominant in the Georgia Dome as they have been. Take the points in this one as the Panthers a live as a road dog. Carolina is 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games versus teams with a losing record, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 versus the NFC South, and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with Atlanta. Take the points here.

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DOC SPORTS (NFL)

3 Unit Play. #315 Take Carolina Panthers +3.5 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 12/28 4:25 pm FOX) This looks like a field goal game either way and it would not surprise me to see the Panthers win this game straight up and host a playoff game next week. These games have either been very close lately or Carolina blowouts in recent meetings. In fact, the Panthers have covered four out of the last five meetings. The key number of three is so important in NFL betting, and I think that that number will play a crucial role here and this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game on both sides with one team kicking a field goal at the end of the game and claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well.

3 Unit Play. #319 Take San Diego +3 over Kansas City (Sunday 12/28 1 pm CBS) The Chiefs sunk their season with last week’s loss in Pittsburgh. Although they are not mathematically eliminated, they still need some huge upsets to happen and need to win this game to claim the last wild card spot in the AFC. It aint gonna happen, and all the players know this. This game is not really as important for both teams as the media would have you believe. It is important for the Chargers, however, as if they win they are in. They got in last season in Week 17 as well with a big home win over Kansas City, and we see the same think here on the road. The Chiefs are playing their worst football of the season down the stretch just like last year and they have to be seriously deflated after blowing what looked like a sure playoff spot just a few weeks ago.

5 Unit Play. #322 Take New York Giants -3 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) I think that the New York Giants have all the motivation here. The players seem to love Tom Coughlin, and they may be fighting for his job here. We think they go all out to win this one and win it big against a team that has been overhyped all season and is playing some of its worst football here down the stretch. The Giants have won three straight and covered in all those games. The Eagles have lost their last three without a single cover. With the extra motivation for playing for their coach and the absolute lack of motivation we have seen from the Eagles here down the stretch we think this line should be over the key NFL number of three and that the Giants are the clear play here.

4 Unit Play. #325 Take New Orleans Saints/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 46.5 (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and neither cares much about this game. I expect both teams to go through the motions here and for this one to be real low scoring. The Saints have put up a total of 24 points in their last two divisional games, and this team has had such a disappointing season that we expect them to put up a stinker here. This just looks like a team that is ready for a vacation. Tampa Bay has one of the worst offenses in the league and has gone under in 8 of their last 9 games. We don’t see them doing anything exceptional here, and this team probably has even less motivation to play well than the Saints since they have a high draft pick coming and want to get the best position.

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ATS LOCK CLUB

6* Pittsburgh -3.5
6* Detroit +7.5
5* Under 39 - Cleveland vs Baltimore
5* Arizona +7

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Wolkosky Milan


20* Tennessee Titans +7
20* Cleveland Browns +14
20* Bills / Patriots Over 43
20* New York Jets +7 (buy ½)
20* San Francisco 49ers -6½

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Stephen Nover
TRIPLE STAR NFC GAME OF YEAR
Carolina +4 -115 over ATL
Triple Dime

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BONES BEST BET (NFL)

STEELERS -3 -130 *6* BEST BET

Sunday Night Football in Steeltown tonight and it’s going to be a good one! Both teams already locked up a playoff spot but this one tonight is for the division which results in a first round home game rather than having to go on the road. The Steelers beat the Bengals already this year in Cincinnati by a final score of 42-21 in a game where Bell (185 yards, 2 TDs) and Big Ben (350 yards, 3 TDs) could not be stopped. The Steelers average a massive 32.9 points per game at home while the Bengals just 19.3 on the road. Buy the half a point and bet this game with confidence tonight! We know we are.

BENGALS @ STEELERS OVER 48 -105 *3*

PACKERS 1H -4 -115 *5*

Packers at home in the first half this season have been unstoppable. They are averaging an unbelievable 28.3 points in the first half this year at Lambeau – an absurd number to be honest. Now with the Lions are averaging just 7.6 points in the first half when playing on the road results in another very big play for us here today.

PANTHERS @ FALCONS UNDER 48 -105 *3*

TEASER – 4 GAMES – 9 POINTS – TIES REDUCE
PACKERS PK / SEAHAWKS -4 / CHARGERS +10 / TEXANS -0.5 +140 *4*

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Billy Sharp - Michigan Godfather
3 units
(NFL) #311 - 312 Buffalo New England Over 43 (-106) 12:00 pm PDT
(NFL) #327 - 328 Seattle/Rams Under 41.5 (-108) 3:25 pm PDT
2 units
(NFL) #332 Denver -14 (-102) 3:25 pm PDT
(NFL) #319 San Diego +1 (-104) 12:00 pm PDT

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We have another bet falling under the system today. Let's go pick up another win!




Washington {A} bet







Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!


All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.



Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

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Teddy Covers

20* Carolina Panthers

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INT Picks
NFL
2* Indianapolis -6.5
1* Philly +3
1* NO -3.5
2* GB -7
2* Carolina +3.5
1* Cinn/Pitts over 47.5
1* SD +1.5


CBB
1* UCLA +4
2* Washington -13.5
1* Buffalo +22


NBA
1* Toronto -2

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BOB BALFE

New Orleans Saints VS Tampa Bay Bucs
New Orleans Saints -3.5, 46.5
12/28/2014 1:00 PM
SELECTION:
TAMPA BAY BUCS/NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – OVER 46.5

The Bucs are injured on defense as the defensive line is banged up and they will be without a few key players in the secondary and more importantly their middle linebacker today. New Orleans had a down year, but Drew Brees is still a professional and you can bet they are coming to play today. The Saints on defense have been awful this year and it all starts up front. When you run a 3-4 defense and your nose tackle is rookie Lawrence Virgil then you know you are in trouble. Tampa has good running backs that can burn this defense and Brees is always a top notch player. Both teams will play loose today in perfect weather. Look for a lot of offense. Take the Over.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins -6, 41.5
12/28/2014 1:00 PM
SELECTION:
MIAMI DOLPHINS -6

We all saw in the MNF Game a few weeks back how the Jets stayed in the football game by running the football and not allowing Geno Smith to give the game away. The Dolphins know the game plan and at home have the edge. This is Rex Ryan’s last game as a coach in New York. Most people have mixed feelings about him and I am sure if this team was any good they would love to send him off with a win, but there is nothing but a dark cloud of defeat and surrender in that locker room. There are a lot of key injuries on this Jets Defense and I expect the Dolphins to run their offense with no problems at all. Tannehill had his best game of the year last week and this team is looking to finish with a winning record. Last year this team faded at the end of the year and missed the playoffs so this final game they will want to finish strong to build character for 2015. Take the Dolphins.

Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos -14, 48
12/28/2014 4:25 PM
SELECTION:
DENVER BRONCOS -14
DENVER BRONCOS/OAKLAND RAIDERS – OVER 48

The scenario is simple for the Broncos. Win and you get a first round bye. This team needs the rest right now for sure. Peyton Manning has been catching a lot of heat about his arm the last few weeks, but I still think he is one of the best in the game and simply the Raiders have no healthy cornerbacks to cover all the weapons for the Broncos. This is a statement game for Denver. Not only do you win this game, but you do it in convincing fashion before you sit all your players in the 4th quarter. Oakland has offensive talent that should bloom next season. There is no doubt they have found their QB for the future. This Raiders team got an impressive win last week against Buffalo and you can bet they are coming in here to try to win today. I think Denver is good for 40 today. Take the Broncos and the Over.

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bookiemonsters

POD STL +12.5

MGs
BAL -13.5
BUF +6
JAX +8.5