4-6-15

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Robert Ferringo
7* Reds

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Paydirt

Duke

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Money Magnet

Duke & Un

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Ace Line Beaters

Wisconsin

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BigBetTiger

* MLB (906) MIA MARLINS -123

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BOB BALFE
MLB SELECTION:
KANSAS CITY ROYALS -115
CBB SELECTION:
WISCONSIN -1
This is going to be one heck of a game to end the season. Wisconsin is playing excellent basketball right now as is Duke, but the one thing that should be the tipping point is the experience Wisconsin has compared to a younger Duke team. Earlier this year Duke was victorious by 10 on the road which was very impressive, but this Badgers team was not a full strength and they have improved a lot since then. Dekker and Kaminski are two players that are not going to be denied tonight. Wisconsin is a very smart team with one of the most underrated coaches in college basketball. If the Badgers can get Okafor into foul trouble they have an excellent shot at winning tonight. Duke can also be streaky from the foul line which could make all the difference in the world tonight. Both of these teams are deserving of a title and you really can make cases for both teams, but Wisconsin just seems like they are more polished and almost destined to cut down the nets tonight. Take Wisconsin.

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SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING

Ross Raposo

Cinn Reds mlb
Duke ncaab

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Kyle Hunter

Total Domination: Tribe @ Stro's UNDER

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ROBERT FERRINGO (MLB)

7-Unit Play. Take #908 Cincinnati (-115) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m.)

I am not as high on the Pirates this year as I was last year and I think they are going to come back down to earth a little bit. This is still a really good team and they will compete. But I think that the Reds are a team primed for a bounce back and I think they have a bit more motivation and edge going into this game. Cincinnati’s season was crushed by injuries last year. But they have their three best players – Votto, Bruce and Phillips – all healthy and back in the fold right now and I think this team wants to get off to a fast start. They are at home against a divisional rival and I think the buzz is firmly on their size. Johnny Cueto is on the mound and he has absolutely dominated the Pirates in his career, going 18-4. On the other side is Francisco Liriano. Liriano had a nice spring, but the Pirates are just 2-8 in his last 10 starts against the Reds and he is 0-5 in his career against Cincinnati. This game is the perfect example of, ?It is a whole new season.? Both of these clubs are in a completely different head space than they were last year and you really have to throw out last year’s numbers and start fresh. Cueto has won four straight home starts against the Pirates and the Reds are 20-7 in his last 27 starts against them overall. I think form holds and I will go with the improving team over the declining team.

2-Unit Play. Take #906 Miami (-130) over Atlanta (4 p.m.)

I obviously don’t think that the Braves are going to fall off as much as everyone else does this year. But there is no denying that they are shorthanded going into Opening Day. They made the big trade yesterday, dealing their All-Star closer, and you know that’s all they are hearing about at the moment. It is a distraction and it sends a message to the team that they don’t really care about this season. I don’t think that will be the case and I think they will be fine in the long haul. But in the short term I think it will have an impact on this team. Miami is a team with a lot of positive vibes going into this season and they have beaten the Braves in six of 10 meetings. The home team has been the play in this series as well (3-1 in L4 and 5-3 in L8) and I think the Marlins will benefit from their advantage today.

2-Unit Play. Take #916 Detroit (-150) over Minnesota (1 p.m.)
Note: Make sure Cabrera and Victor Martinez are in the lineup before making this play. If either sit I would not make this bet.

I know that David Price struggled this spring, but I will still take him over Phil Hughes. Hughes allowed seven walks and 17 hits in just 15 innings this spring and he posted a 5.28 ERA. Hughes is a guy I’m looking to bet against this year because I don’t buy into his 2014 resurgence at all. The Tigers have one of the best – if not THE – best lineups in baseball. I think they are going to jump all over Hughes. The Tigers have been very good at home over the past five years and I think that Price is going to be nasty here today. Torii Hunter is the only guy on the Twins with success against Price and the rest of the team hits about .240 versus him in Price’s career. This bet is all about going against Hughes and I’ll back the big bats on the Twins.

1-Unit Play. Take #927 Boston (-115) over Philadelphia (3 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #920 Kansas City (-110) over Chicago White Sox (4 p.m.)

Today’s Totals (I don’t do writeups for my totals)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Cleveland at Houston (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 San Francisco at Arizona (10 p.m.)

Here are this year’s futures plays:

7-Unit Play. Take Atlanta Braves ‘Over’ 73.5 Wins
I am obviously a lot higher on the Braves than a lot of people. But I simply can’t see them being a 90-loss team. They aren’t great. But they are certainly not THAT bad. And in a division that really only has one good team (Washington) I think there are going to be a lot of wins on the table to grab. Atlanta is not trending upwards by any means; they are definitley rebuilding with an eye on their new ball park in 2017. But I just think the books and the public are overestimating how far these guys have fallen. And for me the thing that really locked this up is the duo of Fredi Gonzalez and Roger McDowell. Gonzalez is an excellent manager and all that guy did in Florida was overachieve year after year with the Marlins. Gonzalez has ridded himself of a major locker room headache in Dan Uggla – who was awful in Atlanta – and he has brought in some nice veteran pieces to be clubhouse leaders. The A.J. Pierzynski pickup was an outstanding one. All that guy does is win. Everywhere he goes, he wins. And he is just the sort of intense dick that is going to keep everyone in that clubhouse honest and pointed in the right direction. A lot was made of their offseason moves, particularly getting ride of Justin Upton and Jason Heyward. But I actually think they improved going from Heyward to Nick Markakis. And Upton has been overrated for years. This team won 90+ games just two years ago and I just don’t think they have fallen off that far. McDowell excels at coaxing out great years from mediocre starters. Just look what he did with Aaron Harang last year. This year I think he’s going to get a great bounce back effort from Wandy Rodriguez, who flashed plenty of talent in Houston before being cast off. If Julio Tehran keeps doing what he’s doing and if Shelby Miller can harness his potential that’s a solid enough 1-2-3. Their offense is still going to struggle. But it honestly can’t be any worse than last year and they managed to win 79 games. They were awful last year, all around, and they still nearly finished .500. The Braves have won fewer than 74 games exactly twice in the last 25 years. And they’ve done so just once so far in this century. They won 72 games in 2008. But even that year their Pythagorean Win Total was 79 so that performance was a statistical anomaly. I think the Braves are going to win 76 or 77 games this year and I thought this number should’ve been posted around there. They are rebuilding but the cupboard is not bare. I am not buying into the Mets and Marlins as much as a lot of other people are (they are good; but those two teams are notorious for underperforming) and I just trust the Braves organization to find a way to top this win total.

2-Unit Play. Take Pittsburgh Pirates ‘Under’ 85.5 Wins

1-Unit Play. Take Boston Red Sox ‘Under’ 86.5 Wins

1-Unit Play. Take Houston Astros ‘Under’ 76.0 Wins

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5 Unit Side Play · [601] Wisconsin Badgers
Doc Westwood Mon Apr 6th, 2015 9:20pm EDT

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Maddux

#602 - 10 units on Duke +1

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Pointwise

Wisc 2* tournament championship play

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KELSO

Duke
Under – Duke
Parlay Duke & Under

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KYLE HUNTER

334-310 2014-15 CBB (52%)
06 APR
2* Duke Under 141

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Teddy Covers

10 Duke over