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Marlins +118 (Hendricks/Hand)
I might well end up slapping myself upside the head for this given my stance on the Marlins. But the price is too right to pass up here. Hammel was roughly the same number last night against Urena, and for Hendricks to be priced the same against Hand is just not right. No knock on Hendricks, who has pitched good ball, but aside from one really awful relief performance, Hand has been a plus for the Marlins. The fact we will not have to worry about demoted Cishek or the just plain lousy Morris pitching in relief is a plus. Hand for five, maybe six if he's on, then Capps with his illegal pitch and get to the ninth with Ramos is the game plan. Cubbies have annihilated lefties at Wrigley, but not so much so much on the road. Public is pounding the Cubs here, for what that's worth. Bottom line is that as much as I want to find spots to beat Miami, this is a game they've got a good chance to win, and at the plus price I'm going to give the Marlins a roll here.
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