DAVE COKIN
3* MLB GAME OF WEEK! — Chicago Cubs -117 (Lester/Haren)
I’m nicely zoned in on this Marlins team, and will continue to try and size them up correctly here. No worries with Jon Lester and would expect him to have a quality start here. Dan Haren is doing it with mirrors and there should be a regression coming soon, hopefully right here. If it’s close late, an edge to the Cubs as Ramos had to work hard for the save in the Tuesday night game. I don’t think this Miami lineup is as good against lefties and really can’t see them scoring more than two or three here. i’ll bank on the Cubs to get a couple more than that and I’ll spot the price.
2* White Sox -128 (Sale/Martinez)
The Chisox are a bad offensive team, really bad. No power, no speed, and it gets even worse if Jose Abreu can’t go here. But I do have Chris Sale with a commanding data edge over Nick Martinez. Sale is in ridiculous form right now. Last four games, 16 hits in 31.2 innings with a 4/40 BB/K. Martinez has been perhaps the most fortunate pitcher in all of baseball this season. His metrics are mediocre and that 2.03 ERA is maybe the biggest outlier stat one will find. This is about as high as I want to go even with Sale, but at this number I’ll give the White Sox a play.
3* MLB GAME OF WEEK! — Chicago Cubs -117 (Lester/Haren)
I’m nicely zoned in on this Marlins team, and will continue to try and size them up correctly here. No worries with Jon Lester and would expect him to have a quality start here. Dan Haren is doing it with mirrors and there should be a regression coming soon, hopefully right here. If it’s close late, an edge to the Cubs as Ramos had to work hard for the save in the Tuesday night game. I don’t think this Miami lineup is as good against lefties and really can’t see them scoring more than two or three here. i’ll bank on the Cubs to get a couple more than that and I’ll spot the price.
2* White Sox -128 (Sale/Martinez)
The Chisox are a bad offensive team, really bad. No power, no speed, and it gets even worse if Jose Abreu can’t go here. But I do have Chris Sale with a commanding data edge over Nick Martinez. Sale is in ridiculous form right now. Last four games, 16 hits in 31.2 innings with a 4/40 BB/K. Martinez has been perhaps the most fortunate pitcher in all of baseball this season. His metrics are mediocre and that 2.03 ERA is maybe the biggest outlier stat one will find. This is about as high as I want to go even with Sale, but at this number I’ll give the White Sox a play.
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