9-6-15

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Fezzik


3* Marshall / Purdue Under

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Raphael Esparza


CBS SUNDAY BOXING PLAY

4 Unit Play. Take Tomoki Kameda -120 over Jamie McDonnell (4:00p.m., Sunday Sept 6 CBS)


May 9, 2015 was the first fight between these Bantamweight fighters and if the rematch is anything like the first fight we are in for an outstanding fight. Jamie McDonnell took fight one 114-113 by all three judges and that is even with hitting the canvas in the 3rd round. Tomoki Kameda has punching power and as long as he doesn't take too much punishment in the body I see him either KO/TKO McDonnell or winning this fight by decision. Kameda believes he won the first fight so I see him starting this fight off fast and look for him to control the tempo of this fight. Should be a fun and active boxing match and revenge will be made and Kameda gets the belt Sunday afternoon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza


3 Unit Play. Take Marshall -7.5 over Purdue


Yes Marshall is retooling on offense but the Thundering Herd should have no problem scoring at home against Purdue. The Herd still has RB Johnson in the backfield and new QB Birdsong should have no problem picking apart the secondary of Purdue. Jump on this number now because you won't see -7.5 by Sunday morning and wouldn't shock me to see a solid 9 by kickoff. Marshall is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and this trend will cash Sunday afternoon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

Marshall -7.5 (3*)

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Intpicks Sunday

-- Marshall -7
Red Sox Run line (-1.5)


-- LA Dodgers ML (-120)

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MLB

National League
Diamondbacks @ Cubs
de la Rosa is 4-1, 4.00 in his last six starts (over 4-2-1 in last seven).

Hendricks is 0-1, 6.98 in his last four starts (over 5-3 in last eight).

Arizona lost nine of last 12 games; four of their last six went under the total. Chicago won three of last four games (under 5-3 in last eight). D'backs lost three of last four games with the Cubs; over is 6-4-1 in last 11 series games.

Braves @ Nationals
Banuelos is 0-3, 6.57 in his last three starts (under 4-0-1 in his MLB starts).

Ross is 2-0, 2.87 in his last three starts (under 3-1-1 in last five).

Braves were outscored 95-25 in losing their last 11 games (over 9-3-2 last 14); they're 2-11 in last 13 games with Washington-- under is 5-3-1 in last nine in series. Nationals are 10-4 in last 14 games (over 5-1-1 last seven).

Mets @ Marlins
Matz is making his first start since July 5; he is 2-0, 1.32 in his first two MLB starts, but he had a bad back after that last start.

Cosart is making his first start since July 4; he is 0-3, 10.13 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

Mets won four of last five games with Miami; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. NY won eight of last 12 games (over 9-3); they've got a 5-game lead in NL East with 28 games left. Marlins won four of last five gams; four of their last six home games stayed under.

Brewers @ Reds
Nelson is 3-1, 3.79 in his last six starts (over 4-1 in last five).

Lorenzen is 0-6, 9.79 in his last eight starts (over 3-1-1 in last five).

Milwaukee won eight of last nine games with Cincinnati; Brewers won six of last seven games (over 9-2-1 in last twelve). Reds lost eight of their last 11 games- they lost last eight times they scored less than seven runs.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Cole is 1-1, 3.44 in his last three starts (under 7-2 in last nine).

Lackey is 2-1, 3.29 in his last four starts (over 4-1 in last five).

Pittsburgh won seven of last 11 games with St Louis (over 5-2-1 last eight); Bucs lost five of last six games (over 4-1 in last five) overall. Cardinals won nine of their last 12 games (over 5-2-1 in last eight)

Giants @ Rockies
Bumgarner is 5-1, 1.61 in his last six stats; under is 5-2-2 in his last nine.

Flande is 1-0, 4.55 in his last five starts (over 3-2).

Rockies are 7-5 in last 12 games; seven of last nine went under. Giants are 5-12 in last 17 games overall; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. SF lost five of last eight games with Colorado; seven of last ten series games went over total.

Dodgers @ Padres
Anderson is 2-2, 597 in his last five starts (over 4-1).

Cashner is 1-1, 4.98 in his last four starts (over 4-1 in last five).

Dodgers won nine of last 11 games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14. LA is 9-4 in last 13 games with San Diego (under 6-4 in last ten). Padres lost seven of last ten games (over 5-1-1 in last seven).

American League
Indians @ Tigers
Anderson is 0-2, 7.46 in his last five starts; four of his last six went over.

Verlander is 2-1, 1.82 in his las four starts (under 6-2 in his last eight).

Cleveland lost three of last four games; four of last five stayed under total. Tigers lost ten of last 13 games; six of last seven went over. Indians lost seven of last ten games with Detroit; over is 9-3 in last twelve.

Rays @ Bronx
Archer is 2-1, 1.72 in his last three starts (over 5-1 in last six).

Nova is 0-3, 7.80 in his last three starts (under 4-1 in last five).

Tampa Bay lost three of last five games with Bronx; under is 9-2-1 in last 12 in series. Rays won four of last six games (over 8-4 in last 12). NY won six of last eight; under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Tillman is 0-3, 7.27 in his last three starts (under 7-2-1 in last ten).

Estrada is 4-2, 2.28 in his last seven starts (under 6-1).

Orioles lost nine of last 12 games; four of last five went over. Blue Jays won nine of last 12 games (under is 6-3 in last nine). Baltimore won four of last six games with Toronto.

White Sox @ Royals
Johnson is making first '15 start; he is 11-8, 2.37 in 22 AAA starts this season. Johnson is 4-3, 4.73 in 10 MLB starts (five each in '13/'14).

Cueto is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts; his last four went over.

White Sox lost five of last seven games with Kansas City; under is 7-4-1 in last 12 series games. Chicago won its last three games overall; five of its last seven went over the total. Royals lost four of their last six games (over 5-2 in last seven).

Twins @ Astros
Duffey is 2-0, 2.66 in his last four starts (over 4-1 in five MLB starts).

Keuchel is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.

Minnesota won four of last six games with Houston (under 4-1-1); Twins are 8-4 in last 12 games (over 6-4-1 in last 11). Astros lost four of their last six games (over 4-1-1).

Rangers @ Angels
Lewis is 0-2, 9.28 in his last two starts (under 3-0-1 last four on road).

Santiago is 0-4, 7.43 in his last five starts (under 4-2 in last six).

Rangers lost eight of last 12 games with Angels; six of last nine in series went over total. Texas won seven of last nine games overall. Halos won three of last four games (over 4-2-1 in last seven).

Mariners @ A's
Iwakuma is 4-1, 3.78 in his last five starts (under 4-1 in last five on road).

Nolin was acquired in Donaldson trade, is making first '15 start; he allowed seven runs in 2.1 IP in two appearances for Toronto in '13/'14. He is 2-2, 2.66 in 12 AAA starts this season.

Seattle won nine of last 12 games with Oakland, scoring 33 runs in last four; last five series games got over total. Mariners won eight of last eleven games (over 10-2 in last 12). A's lost seven of last ten games; over is 10-1-1 last 12.

Interleague
Phillies @ Red Sox
Eickhoff is 1-2, 3.32 in his three starts (over 2-1)

Rodriguez is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Philly lost eight of last 11 games with Boston; five of last six series games went over. Phils lost nine of last 12 games (over 9-2-1). Red Sox won six of last nine games (over 8-4 in last twelve)

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Az-Chi-- de la Rosa 16-11; Hendricks 14-12
Atl-Wsh-- Banuelos 2-3; Ross 5-7
NY-Mia-- Matz 2-0; Cosart 2-6
Mil-Cin-- Nelson 14-13; Lorenzen 7-11
Pitt-StL-- Cole 18-9; Lackey 15-12
SF-Col-- Bumgarner 17-10; Flande 4-3
LA-SD-- Anderson 14-12; Cashner 10-16

Cle-Det-- Anderson 5-5; Verlander 4-10 (3-1 last 4)
TB-NY-- Archer 16-12; Nova 5-7 (0-3 last 3)
Balt-Tor-- Tillman 12-13 (0-3 last 3); Estrada 12-10
Chi-KC-- Johnson 0-0; Cueto 13-13 (0-3 last 3)
Min-Hst-- Duffey 4-1; Keuchel 19-8
Tex-LAA-- Lewis 13-14; Santiago 12-14 (1-7 last 8)
Sea-A's-- Iwakuma 8-6 (5-1 last 6); Nolin 0-0

Phil-Bos-- Eickhoff 1-2; Rodriguez 10-7

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Az-Chi-- de la Rosa 8-27; Hendricks 7-26
Atl-Wsh-- Banuelos 2-5; Ross 0-12
NY-Mia-- Matz 1-2; Cosart 1-7
Mil-Cin-- Nelson 8-27; Lorenzen 9-19 (9 of last 13)
Pitt-StL-- Cole 9-27; Lackey 7-27
SF-Col-- Bumgarner 6-27; Flande 2-7
LA-SD-- Anderson 9-26; Cashner 12-27 (5 of last 7)

Cle-Det-- Anderson 3-10; Verlander 3-14
TB-NY-- Archer 6-28; Nova 2-12
Balt-Tor-- Tillman 4-25; Estrada 10-22
Chi-KC-- Johnson 0-0; Cueto 6-26
Min-Hst-- Duffey 1-5; Keuchel 4-27
Tex-LAA-- Lewis 5-27; Santiago 8-26
Sea-A's-- Iwakuma 4-14; Nolin 0-0

Phil-Bos-- Eickhoff 1-3; Rodriguez 4-17

Umpires
Az-Chi-- Six of last eight Hirschbeck games went over.
Pitt-StL-- Five of last six Wolcott games went over.
Mil-Cin-- Four of last five Wolf games went over.
NY-Mia-- Last five Guccione games all went over.
Atl-Wsh-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Fletcher games.
SF-Col-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Fairchild games.
LA-SD-- Eight of last eleven TBarrett games stayed under.

TB-NY-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen May games.
Balt-Tor-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Everitt games.
Cle-Det-- Home side won six of last seven Randazzo games.
Min-Hst-- Four of last five Culbreth games stayed under.
Chi-KC-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kulpa games.
Sea-A's-- Seven of last nine Carlson games went over.
Tex-LA-- Four of last five Winters games went over.

Phil-Bos-- Over is 8-3-2 in last thirteen LBarrett games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | SEATTLE at CHICAGO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 revenging a home loss versus opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at ATLANTA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=62 shots/game), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) after 15+ games
111-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.7% | 0.0 units )
11-9 this year. ( 55.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points off a home win
275-170 since 1997. ( 61.8% | 88.0 units )
13-14 this year. ( 48.1% | -2.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | WINNIPEG at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On - Underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on a Sunday
95-47 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 43.3 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

CFL | WINNIPEG at SASKATCHEWAN
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15
25-10 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 0.0 units )

CFL | EDMONTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (EDMONTON) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
26-4 since 1997. ( 86.7% | 21.6 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ARIZONA at CHICAGO CUBS
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), in September games
68-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.3% | 33.7 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.2 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 47-22 (+21.6 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo goes with the O’s

Hondo was on the money Saturday night with the Rangers, who took care of business in Anaheim to lower the accounts payable to 1,618 stoddards.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will make an investment on Baltimore in the big bird battle in Toronto — 10 units on Tillman.

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ATSwins Lockclub

3 Marshall -7

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 4 units to win 2.9 Detroit Tigers -138 vs Cleveland Indians

Risked 3 units to win 2.31 Tampa Bay Rays -130 vs New York Yankees

Risked 5 units to win 4.76 Pittsburgh Pirates -105 vs St. Louis Cardinals

Risked 3 units to win 2.22 Seattle Mariners -135 vs Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Dodgers -125

100* Brewers -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Simon – “soccer guy”

european championship – (under 2.5 -127) netherlands @ turkey (12pm)

ecuador – campeonato a – (under 2.5 -125) u catolica del ecuador @ sd aucas (1pm)

uruguay – primera division – (under 2.5 -103) juventud de las piedras @ villa teresa (2pm)

european championship – (under 2.5 +110) belgium @ cyprus (245pm)