9-19-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Just Cover Baby

5* Georgia Tech -2½
4* Mississippi +7
4* Cal -6½
3* Tulsa +29½
3* USC -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK … Ohio St. (-34)
N. Illinois at Ohio St. (-34) 3:30 ET ESPN2
In Week 1, we lost with N. Illinois as the STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK, when they allowed UNLV and their high-school HC to score 30 points in an 8 point NIU victory. Last week, was equally unimpressive. As although NIU beat Murray St. (57-26) rolling up 643 total yards, they allowed the Racers 26 points and 373 yards. I am well aware of the strong history of the MAC’s best program in this role. NIU is 17-8 ATS as road dog and on runs of 9-1 and 5-0 ATS vs. the BIG 10. Just like everybody else on the Buckeyes’ schedule, this is a huge game for the Huskies. Ohio St. lacked focus last week in their win, no cover, against an outmanned Hawaii team. A perennial MAC champion will garner more attention from the Buckeyes with only W. Michigan on deck. Despite last week’s non-cover, HC Meyer remains 40-13 ATS in non-con games. This week, Meyer unleashes the 4-headed offensive threat that is RB Elliott, RB/WR Miller, as well as the dual tandem of QB Barrett and QB Jones for a STEAMROLLER type of effort. But, the main reason for this cover is an Ohio St. defense which has held VA Tech to just 320 yards and Hawaii to only 165 yards last week. Lay the number with the Buckeyes as they STEAMROLL the Huskies into submission.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Cardinals @ Cubs
Wacha is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts; his last four starts went over.

Wood is 0-1, 9.37 in his last four starts; his last six starts went over.

St Louis lost five of last seven games with Chicago (over 6-0-1); Cardinals won four of last five overall, scoring 26 runs (over 4-1). Cubs won last four games; six of their last eight went over the total.

Marlins @ Nationals
Nicolino is 1-2, 3.48 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

Zimmerman is 2-0, 3.28 in his last four starts (over 5-1 last 6).

Washington lost three of last five games with Miami (under 3-2 in last five). Marlins won seven of their last ten games (under 8-5 in last 13). Nationals won five of last six games (over 4-1 in last five).

Phillies @ Braves
Eickhoff is 0-3, 5.25 in his last four starts (over 3-2 in his '15 starts).

Weber is 0-1, 4.38 in his first two MLB starts (over 1-1).

Philly lost four of last five games with Atlanta; over is 3-2-2 last seven series games. Phils lost last four games, allowing 27 runs; five of last seven games went over total. Braves lost six of their last eight games.

Reds @ Brewers
Smith is making first start since July 4; he is 0-2, 8.76 in three starts (over 3-0).

Jungmann is 0-1, 9.31 in his last two starts (over 3-0).

Reds lost eight of last 11 games with the Brewers; four of last six in series went over total. Cincinnati lost three of last five games (over 4-1). Milwaukee lost last seven games, allowing 42 runs (over 6-2 last eight).

Padres @ Rockies
Erlin is making first '15 start; he is 7-8, 4.66 in 20 career starts ('13-'14). He was 7-6, 5.60 in 24 AAA starts this season.

Flande is 0-2, 7.50 in his last four starts (over 3-1).

San Diego lost four of last six games with Colorado; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Padres lost six of last eight games (over 6-1 last seven). Rockies are 5-3 in last eight games (under 5-3 last eight).

Pirates @ Dodgers
Liriano is 2-1, 5.40 in his last six starts (over 9-0-1 last ten).

Kershaw is 4-0, 1.45 in his last four starts (under 4-1 last five).

Pirates won eight of last 11 games with LA (over 7-2 in last nine); Bucs lost last four games overall; nine of their last 11 went over. Dodgers won five of last six games; three of their last five stayed under.

Diamondbacks @ Giants
Corbin is 2-1, 1.85 in his last four starts (under 4-0).

Leake is 1-2, 5.30 in his last three syarts (under 5-2 last seven).

Arizona won three of last four games with San Francisco (under 9-2 in last 11). Diamondbacks lost four of last six games overall (under 6-4 last ten). Giants won five of last seven games (over 6-1).

American League
Royals @ Tigers
Volquez is 1-1, 7.20 in his last three starts.

Boyd is 0-2, 8.50 in his last four starts (over 2-2).

Royals won four of last seven games with Detroit (over 5-0 last five); KC is 3-6 in last nine games overall (over 6-2 last eight). Tigers won four of last five games (over is 4-1-1 in last six games).

Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Miley is 1-1, 4.40 in his last four starts (over 4-0).

Dickey is 5-0, 2.21 in his last five home starts (under 4-0 last four overall).

Boston won five of last eight games with Toronto (over 4-2 last six). BoSox lost three of last four games (over 5-3 last eight). Blue Jays won six of last eight; four of their last five games stayed under the total.

Orioles @ Rays
Chen is 1-1, 6.48 in his last three starts (over 4-0 last four).

Ramirez is 0-1, 4.82 in his last five starts (over 4-2 last six).

Rays lost four of last seven games with Baltimore; four of last five series games went over the total; Tampa Bay lost ten of last 15 games; under is 4-2 in last six. Orioles won four of last six games; six of their last eight went over the total.

White Sox @ Indians
Rodon is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts (under 4-2 last six).

Carrasco is 3-2, 2.05 in his last seven starts (over 4-1 last five).

White Sox lost three of last four games with Cleveland (over 3-0 last three). Chicago is 3-6 in last nine games overall (over 7-2-1 last ten). Indians won six of last nine; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Mariners @ Rangers
Nuno is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts (over 3-1 last four).

Hamels is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five starts (over 2-0-1 last three).

Seattle won its last three games with Texas; under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Mariners are 6-3 in last nine games (under 6-2-1). Texas won five of last six games (over 4-1-1) overall.

Angels @ Twins
Heaney is 1-1, 3.13 in his last four starts (over 3-1-1 last five). Richards is 1-1, 3.86 in his last four starts (over 5-2 last seven).

Pelfrey is 0-2, 8.31 in his last three starts (under 3-0-1 last four). Gibson is 2-1, 2.30 in his last four starts (under 4-1).

Angels won ten of last 11 games with Minnesota; over is 7-1-2 in last 10 series games; Halos lost three of last five overall- under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. Twins lost four of last six games; under is 4-3-2 in their last nine.

A's @ Astros
Gray is 1-2, 7.17 in his last four starts (over 4-1 last five).

Kazmir is 0-2, 4.81 in his last four starts (under 3-1-1 last five).

Oakland won six of last seven games with Houston (under 4-1 last five). A's are 4-5 in last nine games overall (over 4-2 last six). Houston lost nine of last eleven games, with three of last four going over.

Interleague
Bronx @ Mets
Pineda is 1-0, 4.67 in his last three starts (over 4-1 last five).

Syndergaard is 2-0, 4.40 in his last five starts (over 7-0 last seven).

Bronx won four of last six games with the Mets (over 4-3-1 last eight). Bronx won three of last five games overall (under 4-1). Mets won nine of last 11 games (three of last four stayed under).

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
StL-Chi-- Wacha 20-7; Wood 4-4
Mia-Wsh-- Nicolino 4-5; Zimmerman 18-12
Phil-Atl-- Eickhoff 2-3; Weber 0-2
Cin-Mil-- Smith 0-3; Jungmann 10-8
SD-Col-- Erlin 0-0; Flande 4-5
Pitt-LA-- Liriano 17-11 (13-1 last 14); Kershaw 17-12 (4-0 last 4)
Az-SF-- Corbin 7-6; Leake 13-14/2-4

KC-Det-- Volquez 21-9; Boyd 2-5
Bos-Tor-- Miley 13-16; Dickey 19-13 (10-1 last 11)
Balt-TB-- Chen 17-11; Ramirez 14-10 (0-4 last 4)
Chi-Clev-- Rodon 13-8; Carrasco 16-11
Sea-Tex-- Nuno 3-3; Hamels 16-12/6-2 (6-0 last 6)
LA-Minn-- Heaney 9-6 Richards 16-12; Pelfrey 14-13 Gibson 14-13
A's-Hst-- Gray 16-13 (2-5 last 7); Kazmir 11-17/3-7 (0-4 last 4)

NY-NY-- Pineda 13-10; Syndergaard 12-9

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
StL-Chi-- Wacha 5-27; Wood 2-8
Mia-Wsh-- Nicolino 0-9; Zimmerman 9-30
Phil-Atl-- Eickhoff 2-5; Weber 0-2
Cin-Mil-- Smith 0-3; Jungmann 3-18
SD-Col-- Erlin 0-0; Flande 2-9
Pitt-LA-- Liriano 6-29; Kershaw 7-29
Az-SF-- Corbin 2-13; Leake 5-27

KC-Det-- Volquez 8-30; Boyd 3-7
Bos-Tor-- Miley 8-29; Dickey 6-28
Balt-TB-- Chen 7-28; Ramirez 5-24
Chi-Clev-- Rodon 5-21; Carrascon 12-27
Sea-Tex-- Nuno 3-6; Hamels 8-28
LA-Minn-- Heaney 2-15 Richards 6-28; Pelfrey 4-27 Gibson 4-27
A's-Hst-- Gray 5-29; Kazmir 4-28

NY-NY-- Pineda 7-23; Syndergaard 7-21

Umpires
StL-Chi-- Under is 7-4 in last eleven Dreckman games.
Mia-Wsh-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen TBarrett games.
Az-SF-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Carapazza games.
Cin-Mil-- Underdogs are 6-4 in last ten Drake games.
Phil-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Hoberg games.
SD-Col-- Last six Cuzzi games went over the total.
Pitt-LA-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Emmel games.

Bos-Tor-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Iassogna games.
Balt-TB-- Six of last seven Scott games went over.
KC-Det-- Five of last seven Cederstrom games went over.
A's-Hst-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Winters games.
Chi-Cle-- Last six TWelke games went over the total.
Sea-Tex-- Favorites won five of last six Blaser games.

NY-NY-- Seven of last ten Hirschbeck games went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Against - Any team (PHOENIX) off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games
30-9 since 1997. ( 76.9% | 20.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 45% or higher
56-35 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points off a win against a division rival
291-181 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 91.9 units )
11-17 this year. ( 39.3% | -7.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | OTTAWA at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
27-4 since 1997. ( 87.1% | 22.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports The Early NCAA Football Service Update


500,000* College Football 6-Touchdown Blowout of the Year!!!!!
Missouri Tigers - 22 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tonight's NCAA Update Free of Charge!!!

Early NCAA Best Bets
Wake Forest - 6
Minnesota - 24 1/2
Texas A&M - 34
South Florida + 7

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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | SOUTHERN MISS at TEXAS ST
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TEXAS ST) excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game
58-30 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 0.0 units )

CFB | VIRGINIA TECH at PURDUE
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

CFB | NEBRASKA at MIAMI
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEBRASKA) excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game
58-30 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 0.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | KANSAS CITY at DETROIT
Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts
76-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.7% | 36.1 units )
17-11 this year. ( 60.7% | 3.1 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 11-5 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in Road games this season.
The average score was: PHILADELPHIA (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.3)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Cardinals and Florida State (-9) on Friday and likes the Yankees and Georgia on Saturday.

The deficit is 680 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo getting busy

Hondo connected with the Nationals on Friday night, but succumbed with the Yankees, who flopped in the big Citi to raise the debt slightly to 2,013 doyles.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch will play ’em again — 20 units apiece on Pineda and Zimmermann. Also, 20 apiece on LSU and Alabama.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prophet Plays

10* Colorado -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

prediction machine
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
134 12:30 PM @ SYR Lock of the Week CENTMI -6.5 13.5 61.8
109 12:00 PM WAKE @ ARMY -5.5 12.3 61.5
158 3:30 PM @ MIA-FL NEB -3.5 9.4 61.0
184 7:30 PM @ TEX CAL 6.5 -0.3 59.1
153 3:30 PM VATECH @ PURDUE -6 10.0 56.9
142 2:30 PM @ NORTX RICE 8 -3.8 56.9
129 7:00 PM NCSU @ ODU -18.5 24.5 56.9
132 12:00 PM @ OKLA TULSA -30.5 39.1 56.6
181 4:00 PM WESTKY Upset Watch @ IND 1.5 1.0 56.4
190 8:00 PM @ NMST Upset Watch UTEP

Totals

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc
188 8:00 PM SMU @ TCU 66.5 77.4 Over 61.6
160 3:30 PM GATECH @ ND 54.5 63.5 Over 61.3
112 3:00 PM TEMPLE @ UMASS 55 47.6 Under 60.6
148 3:30 PM ECU @ NAVY 58 51.9 Under 58.4
196 8:00 PM STAN @ USC 52.5 58.6 Over 58.3
156 3:30 PM UTSA @ OKST 56.5 62.7 Over 57.6
204 10:30 PM BYU @ UCLA 60 65.8 Over 57.2
128 3:30 PM NIU @ OHIOST 66.5 60.3 Under 57.0
198 8:00 PM PITT @ IOWA 47 51.1 Over 56.4
150 3:30 PM AUBURN @ LSU 49.5 53.9 Over 56.4
166 3:30 PM CIN @ MIA-O 60 64.8 Over 56.0

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From Platinum Plays.
500K CFB Mismatch/Month

the North Carolina Tar Heels -9 over
the Illinois Fighting Illini
Best Bets
the Air Force Falcons +25 over
the Michiga St Spartans
the Bowling Green Falcons +3 over
the Memphis Tigers
the Oklahoma St Cowboys -24½ over
the Texas San Antonio Road Runners
the North Texas Mean Green Eagles +7½ over
the Rice Owls

500K College Underdog/Month
the Kentucky Wildcats +3½ over
the Florida Gators
Best Bets
the USC Trojans -9½ over
the Stanford Cardinal
the Iowa Hawkeyes -5½ over
the Pittsburgh Panthers

the South Carolina Gamecocks +17 over
the Georgia Bulldogs
the UTEP Miners -3 over
the New Mexico St Aggies


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the Cincinnati Bearcats -20 over
the Miami-Ohio Redhawks
the Iowa St Cyclones +7½ over
the Toledo Rockets

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Saturday, September 19th

2015 College Football Non-Conference Total of the Year!!!!!
Air Force/Michigan State over 54

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

Early NCAA Best Bets
Illinois/North Carolina over 64
Tulsa/Oklahoma under 71 1/2
South Florida/Maryland under 51
Connecticut/Missouri under 41

September's College Football on CBS Total of the Month!!!!!
Auburn/LSU under 48 1/2

Afternoon NCAA Best Bets
Virginia Tech/Purdue under 48 1/2
Texas-San Antonio/Oklahoma State under 56
Nebraska/Miami-Florida over 59 1/2
Georgia Tech/Notre Dame over 55 1/2

September's College Football Primetime Total of the Month!!!!!
California/Texas over 58

Late NCAA Best Bets
Texas Tech/Arkansas over 70 1/2
Stanford/USC under 50 1/2
Mississippi/Alabama under 53
BYU/UCLA over 59 1/2

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Diamond Dog Sports

1.5* Bowling Green:**+3.0 (-110)
1.5* Under Colorado State:**57.0 (-110)
1* South Florida:**+7.0 (-120)
0.5* Penn State:**-9.0
2.5* Under San Diego State:**46.0 (-110)