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Sunday NFL Card has the 34-0 Non Conference Total Of The Year, an Early Triple Perfect 5* the Triple system Sunday night Side and a 100% MLB Total. Saturday cashes big. NFL off tot a 23-4 start and Football was #1 ranked 54 games over .500 last year. Free NFL System Play below
The Sunday free NFL System Club play is on The Chicago Bears plus the 14+ points. Game 483 at 4:25 eastern Seattle may win by 10 points here but 0-2 road dogs taking 12.5 or more points are 19-5 to the spread since 1977. Chicago will not have Qb Cutler here which is part of the reason why they are taking this many points. They should stay in this game throughout as Seattle has trouble with consistency on offense and psychologically may take this one for granted as such a heavy favorite. Tight Jimmy Graham is not happy with the amount of targets going his way either. Seattle is strong on defense but has not played well thus far on that side of the ball. They get Chancellor back for this one but he may be a few weeks away from his best play. Chicago should give a much better showing here after two bad losses so we will take the points. On Sunday with NFL Off to a fast 13-4 Start we have a tremendous card led by the 34-0 NFL Non Conference Total of the Year, an Early Triple Perfect 5* Side, the Sunday night Triple system side. There is also a 100% MLB Totals system. Football was Ranked #1 last season at +54 games and is ranked #1 on NFL Top plays already this season. Jump on now and cash big with the most powerful data available. For the free play take the 14-15 points with Chicago. GC
Brady Kannon | NFL Side Sun, 09/27/15 – 1:00 PM
dime bet – 462 STL 2.0 (-110) vs 461 PIT
Analysis: I am seeing mostly +1 or PICK out there now and even a +2.. so most importantly, you should still be able to get The Rams as an underdog.. but I would not wait too long do to so.
We were on St. Louis in Week One and against them in Week Two, for two successful trips, and we are back on them today in what I believe is another good situation for The Rams, especially as a home underdog.
Week Two was not a good spot for The Rams as they had just beaten the rival Seahawks in a very big win for the tea™m but now I believe they get back to business, at home, and continue on what I believe will be a successful season. On the flip side, The Steelers were in a fantastic spot last week having played the prior Thursday, taking on a 49’ers team that was on the road off of a short week, playing on Monday night. But one thing we have come to know this season is that Pittsburgh’s defense is not good and while I firmly believe in The Rams and Jeff Fisher as a home dog, I also believe it will be The Steeler defense that allows The Rams to stay in this game and get the win.
The Rams have an excellent defense, one of the top units in the league, and this will face a Pittsburgh offense that is also very potent. LeVeon Bell is back for The Steelers but I have to believe there will be a little rust there and I also don’t feel the adjustment in the line is justified. St. Louis opened this game earlier this summer as a 1.5 point favorite and now getting as many as two points this week, I don’t know how one makes a 4.5 adjustment for Bell.. and this is probably not the only reason for the swing as The Rams were beaten pretty good by The Redskins while Pittsburgh throttled The 49’ers. Still, I see The Rams as the better team here and being at home, they should still be laying the points, not their opponent.
Here are some numbers for you.. Rams Head Coach Jeff Fisher is the best underdog coach in the league and as a home dog, he is 33-and-19 ATS. Home dogs in Game 3 of the season, off of a SU loss, hosting an opponent off of a SU win, are 53-33-and-3 ATS.. and I believe this trend especially applies here because of what the two teams did on the scoreboard last week – that I feel has the line skewed too much. Pittsburgh is on a 12-and-22 ATS streak on the road, and in the first 4-games of the season, Coach Mike Tomlin is 0-and-9 on the road versus an opponent off of a loss.
Finally, if you look at the percentages of bets on this game, nearly 90% of the tickets being written are on The Steelers, yet the line is coming down. This indicates that the much bigger money is on The Rams. So will be mine.
Brady Kannon | NFL Side Sun, 09/27/15 – 4:05 PM
dime bet – 481 SFX 6.5 (-110) vs 482 ARI
Analysis:
There are some +7’s out there but with juice, so it is essentially the same thing as buying a +6.5 up. I like having a key number but I truly don’t think it will matter in the end.
San Francisco su™rprised a lot of people in their Monday Night opener but I did post them as a Free Play that night for the winner as I felt the line had swung too far and people were not giving The Niners enough credit. They looked like many thought they would in Week Two and I think now in Game Three, we are set up for a similar situation as we were in Game One.. the public perception is that The 49’ers are gawd awful but I believe the truth lies somewhere in between their performance in Week One and Week Two. When they beat Minnesota, The Vikings were a lot worse than I expected but in Week Two, The 49’ers were in a horrible scheduling spot, having to travel all the way back east on a short week, after playing Monday Night, to face a powerful offense that had extra time to prepare, having played the opener against The Patriots on the prior Thursday. So again, I think we are getting line value again this week due to the thrashing San Francisco took last week, coupled with Arizona’s early season success, scoring on average, nearly 40-points per game.
But Arizona has played two of the weakest defenses in the league in New Orleans and Chicago and today they will face a division rival that has always been a very physical defensive unit. Just like last year when The Cardinals were outyarded on average by 64-yards per game, they are doing the same this year and that is not a good recipe for a favorite laying a touchdown or close to it.
The 49’ers are 6-and-1 ATS when getting points from The Cardinals. Carson Palmer is 1-and-3 ATS vs. San Francisco and was twice favored in which he lost both SU. In 17-home games in this series, The Cardinals have won 7 – only 2 by more than a TD. They have been favored 6-times and are 0-and-6 ATS, losing 4-of those SU. Now, I understand that those were “different” 49’ers teams than this one but I also believe that this year’s Niner team is not as different as people want to make them out to be.. nor do I believe this Arizona squad is much different than in year’s past. But this one does not necessarily apply to “different” teams – as road underdogs in the NFL giving up 40 or more points the week prior are 115-88-and-8 (57%) ATS.
And back to the perception of both of these teams.. the line opened up this Summer with The Cardinals favored by 2.5.. so again we have a 4.5 point line swing. Is that justified? About 70% of the tickets on this game are being written on The Cardinals yet slowly but surely, the line has popped down closer to 6 rather than going up to 7 and higher.
I wouldn’t at all be surprised by a San Francisco outright win here this Sunday in Glendale.
Brady Kannon | NFL Side Sun, 09/27/15 – 1:00 PM
dime bet – 477 IND -3.0 (-110) vs 478 TEN
Analysis: Plenty of -3’s out there for the taking so grab it now as -3.5 is just not a good number to settle for when you don’t have to.
When we look at these two teams, we remember the breakout week that Marcus Mariotta had in Week One against The Buccaneers and we remember the abysmal performance by Indianapolis on Monday Night against The Jets.. but when you look closer, let’s remember that Tennessee played two pretty bad teams, Tampa Bay as mentioned, and Cleveland – and lost that one. The Colts meanwhile, have played arguably the two best defenses in the league in Buffalo, at Buffalo, and The Jets. Now Monday looked pretty bad but you cannot di™scount the teams/defenses they played for one second.
If it is any indication, Las Vegas is still favoring The Colts to win their division and I don’t feel that Andrew Luck is going to continue down a road that saw his team fall to -7 in the turnover battle in the first two games. This is likely to change and there might not be a better place for it to change than Tennesse as Indy is 20-and-4 SU in this series the last 12-years and is 6-0-and-1 ATS in the last 7-match ups with The Titans. Andrew Luck, who is now 14-and-2 SUATS in his career off of a loss after Monday Night, has never lost 3-games in a row in his career. I definitely think The Colts right the ship here today in Nashville.. and it doesn’t hurt our cause that Titans Head Coach, Ken Whisenhunt, in the first four weeks of the season, is 1-and-6 vs an opponent off of a SUATS loss.
Finally.. some line movement. This game opened up -5 over the Summer and is now at -3. So Indy has looked very suspect against arguably the top 2-defenses in the league and Tennessee is 1-and-1 on the year against 2-of the worst teams in the league.. so we are downgrading The Colts 2-points? I know one former Bookmaker who feels the line should be Colts -6. I will agree.
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