10-18-15

[kar261]

These guys have been horrible lately, but, over the past 3 to 4 years have been the best in the business in NFL and NCAAF (their record on their website is legit); I think they start to bounce back.

SkyBlue NFL Picks:
Miami +2
Buffalo +3
San Diego +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY MOORE
#261 *4* Washington Redskins +6.5 (1:00 edt)
The Jets are favored here by this many points? Really? They are off of the bye week after playing in England and teams that have won in England and played their next game at home have only covered 1 of their last 8 games. Also the Jets 1-8 ATS as favorites against the NFC. Washington is looking much better than anyone thought getting 2 SU wins this season and taking the then unbeaten Falcons to OT last week. With the Jets having a huge look ahead game to New England and still coming down off of their British victory high look for the Redskins to cover this number. Thank you and good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO
8-Unit Play. Take #263 Arizona (-3) over Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 18) Note: I still endorse this as an 8-Unit play at 3.5 and at 4.0.
There is a lot at work in this game but I kept coming back to one fundamental thing: the Steelers are not nearly as good as they seem, while Arizona might just be the best team in football. That is with all due respect to Green Bay and New England. The Cardinals have been absolutely wrecking people this year and they have had three-touchdown-plus leads in the second half of three of their four wins. Bruce Arians is one of the three or four best coaches in the NFL and right now everything is clicking for the Cardinals.
Arizona has gone 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games and when you think about it, when Arians has been coaching and Carson Palmer has been under center the Cards have been exceptional. They absolutely curb-stomped Detroit last week and now the Cardinals find themselves in a very similar situation this Sunday: playing on the road against a team off an emotional Monday Night Football game. That short week is killer for teams. And there is absolutely no way that Pittsburgh should’ve beaten San Diego on Monday so they are due for a massive letdown.
At one point the Steelers had been outgained 17 first downs to 1 in the second half of that game and the Chargers really should’ve won that one by at least 17 points. Instead, the Steelers stole one. But I think they are going to get rocked on Sunday by a team that is stacked. Michael Vick is not an NFL-caliber quarterback. He’s just not. He doesn’t take care of the ball and he is woefully inaccurate. And he is going up against one of the best and most aggressive secondaries in football. Arizona has also excelled at stopping the run and they will put their focus on Leveon Bell.
The Steelers defense was on the field for a ton of plays on Monday night and I think that they are going to wear down in the second half as well. Arizona has found its running game. And with a plethora of weapons in the passing game I just think that Arizona has too many weapons. And if this one turns into a shootout I don’t think that Vick and Co. will be able to keep up.
Look, Pittsburgh just wanted to weather the storm when Big Ben went down. They did that by getting a win on MNF and now they can take a breath at 3-2. If they lose this game they are still alright and they know it. Arians did not leave Pittsburgh on the best of terms. He wants to make a statement. Palmer has a lot of demons that he’d love to excorcise in Pittsburgh as well. This team is very motivated and they are flat-out better than the Steelers.
It is going to be a wild one. (I like the ‘over’ as well.) But at the end of the day I think that the buzz saw that is Arizona will continue to devastate opponents and the Cardinals will find a way to win this one by 8-13 points. I’ll call this one 33-20 in favor of the visitors. Carpe diem. Good luck
2* Broncos -4
2* Seahawks -7
2* 49ers +2.5
3* Pats -9.5
3* Chargers +10.5
3* Lions -3
3* Jets -6

4* Vikings -3.5
4* Titans -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris - Doc Sports

3 Unit Play. Take #256 Minnesota Vikings -4 over Kansas City Chiefs (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 18)
The Minnesota Vikings will look to stay perfect at home when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings, who have won both of their home games here in 2015, have been very good in the spot they are in here on Sunday afternoon. They have posted a 7-1 ATS record in their last eight home games versus a team with a losing record on the road dating back to last season and they have covered 12 of their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Chiefs, on the other hand, have struggled in the situation we find them in here on Sunday as they have gone an awful 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and they are just 1-4 ATS here in 2015. Throw in the fact that the home team has gone 3-0-1 ATS in the last four head to head meetings between these two teams and we'll lay the points with them here on Sunday to get the home win and cover over Kansas City.

3 Unit Play. Take #257 Houston Texans +1 over Jacksonville Jaguars (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 18)
The Houston Texans will look to halt their two game losing streak when they travel to take on the equally as bad Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field in Jacksonville on Sunday afternoon. Despite their 1-4 record, the Texans have been decent in the spot they are in here on Sunday afternoon. They have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games after gaining less than 90 yards on the ground in their previous contest and they have covered in five of their last seven games where they faced a team with a losing record. The Jaguars, on the other hand, have been awful in the situation they are in here on Sunday as they have gone just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven after allowing 30 points or more in their previous contest. Throw in the fact that the road team has gone 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings between these two and that the underdog has covered four of the last five and we'll take the point with Houston in a game that we have them winning outright over the Jags on Sunday.

4 Unit Play. Take #260 Detroit Lions -3 over Chicago Bears (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 18)
In a battle of two of the worst teams in the NFL this season. the 2-3 Chicago Bears travel to take on the 0-5 Lions at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday afternoon. Despite their 0-5 record, the Lions haven't looked as bad as that record would say, minus their big loss to the Cardinals last week. They have had a brutal schedule through the first five weeks of the season and were competitive in losses to the Broncos, Vikings, Chargers and Seahawks. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five Week 6 games and they are a lights out 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double digit loss. The Bears, on the other hand, have played worse than their 2-3 record would suggest. Their wins this season have come over the Raiders and Chiefs and while they have both been in the last two weeks, we don't think this Chicago entry has enough on paper to win three in a row. They have gone just 10-26 ATS in their last 36 games versus teams from the NFC and they have failed to cover in 13 of their last 18 games following a straight up win. Throw in the fact that the Lions are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Bears in Detroit and we'll lay the points with them to get the cover and first win of the season on Sunday afternoon.

4 Unit Play. Take #263 Arizona Cardinals -3.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 18)
The Arizona Cardinals will look to build on their big 42-17 win over the Lions in Week 5 when they travel to take on the Steelers at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. The Steelers come into the game off a big Monday night win over the Chargers on the road where they won on the last play of the game and now they have to face one of the top offenses in the league on a short week in what could big a big let down spot for Pittsburgh. The Cardinals have posted a 16-5 ATS record in their last 21 games following a straight up win and they have gone an excellent 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Despite their straight up and ATS win last week, the Steelers have actually struggled a bit in the spot we find them in here on Sunday afternoon as they have gone just 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after they allowed 350 yards or more in their previous contest. Throw in the fact that Arizona has covered four of their last five road games and we'll lay the points with them in this one to get the road win over the Steelers.

5 Unit Play. Take #270 Green Bay Packers -10.5 over San Diego Chargers (4:25 PM, Sunday, October 18)
The Green Bay Packers will look to extend their record to 6-0 here in 2015 when they take on the San Diego Chargers at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon in Green Bay, WI. We have the Packers as the top rated team in our power rankings and we think they get it done over the Chargers in blowout fashion on Sunday. They have posted a 20-8 ATS record in their last 28 games played in the month of October and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an straight up win dating back to last season. The Chargers, on the other hand, have been awful in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone just 2-9 ATS in their last eleven games following an ATS loss and they have failed to cover in 13 of their last 16 games overall. Throw in the fact that the favorite has covered four of the last five head to head meetings between the two teams and we'll lay the big number with the Packers to get the win and cover over the Chargers.

3 Unit Play. Take #273/274 New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts Over 54.5 (8:30 PM, Sunday, October 18, NBC)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday night when the New England Patriots travel to take on the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. The Patriots have posted a 14-6 record to the over in their last 20 games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous contest and they have gone over the posted total in four games in a row when facing a team with a winning record. The Colts have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday night as they have gone 8-3 to the over in their last 11 games where they allowed less than 90 yards on the ground in their previous contest and they have gone over the posted total in four of their last five Week 6 games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have played to a perfect 7-0 record to the over in their last seven head to head meetings, including both games last season and that's where we'll have our play in a game where we expect both teams to put points on the board Sunday night in Indy.

6 Unit Play. Take #275/276 New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Over 49 (8:30 PM, Monday, October 19, ESPN)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Monday Night Football when the New York Giants travel to take on the Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. The Giants have posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five games following a straight up win and they have gone over the posted total in five of their last six games versus a team from the NFC East. The Eagles have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Monday night as they have gone 5-1 to the over in their last six home games when facing a team with a winning record and they have gone 8-2-1 to the over in their last 11 Monday Night Football games. Throw in the fact that the Eagles have gone 7-3 to the over in their last ten home games overall and that's where we'll have our play in this one as our numbers have this one turning into a shoot-out in Philly on Monday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy - Doc Sports

NFL:

6-Unit Play. Take #251 Denver -4 over Cleveland (Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET)
Take Denver -4 as my 6-Unit NFL Oddmakers Error for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and Denver is the superior team here Sunday. Cleveland is coming off a big emotional win over their division rivals the Baltimore Ravens and now they face a Denver defense that is ranked 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game at just 278. Denver's defense is also ranked 2nd in the NFL in points allowed, holding opponents to just 15.8 ppg. Denver currently has more field goals than touchdowns and those numbers will change shortly as this offense will start to click any week now. Manning has more interceptions than touchdowns this season but that will change soon as he is still one of the best in the game despite a slow start due to lack of protection. The thing is Manning does not have to be great yet since this Denver defense is one of the best in the NFL. Looking at Manning's stats it is hard to believe that Denver is 5-0 this season but they are and this offense will start to click very soon. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and they are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played against the Browns. The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after a win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after putting up 31 or more points in their previous game. I have my 8-Unit NFL futures play on Cleveland over 6.5 wins before the season started and one of those wins does not come here. Denver rolls in Cleveland as Peyton Manning silences his critics. Play Denver with extreme confidence Sunday. Denver 31 Cleveland 17

5-Unit Play. Take #273 New England -9.5 over Indianapolis (Sunday, October 18 at 8:30 PM ET)
Take New England ATS as my 5-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Patriots are the superior overall team here Sunday. The Patriots just beat up a second string Dallas team and we had them for 6-Units last week as they came off their bye week. Now I look for the Patriots to improve even more coming into this game against a Colts offensive line that can't protect Luck. If you thought Peyton Manning has had a bad start, well Andrew Luck also has more interceptions than touchdowns while completing just 56% of his passes, and my sources tell me he will be ready to go Sunday. This is a Patriots team that is plain and simple pissed off and Brady is out to prove to everyone that the deflated balls had nothing to do with them winning. The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after a win and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Colts. The Colts defense has allowed the 29th most yards in the NFL this season and 26th most passing yards and those numbers will get worse after one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL visits them Sunday. The Patriots have averaged 37.3 ppg this season which is actually 2nd best in the NFL and there is no chance they take they lay off the gas in this game. Play New England with confidence Sunday night. New England 35 Indianapolis 21

5-Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants +4 over Philadelphia (Monday, October 19 at 8:30 PM ET)
Take the New York Giants +4 as my 5-Unit MNF Game of the Week over the Eagles. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Giants are the superior overall team here Monday night, even with the injuries they have. The Eagles despite recent signs of their offense clicking are not yet ready to face a quality team like the Giants, who could very well be 5-0 to start the season, if it was not for some unlucky breaks in the 4th quarter. The Giants have averaged 26.4 ppg this season and they are stout against the run defensively allowing the 4th least rushing yards in the NFL. The Eagles will have to depend on their passing game to get it done here Monday night, which I don't see happening in this game. The road team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 games played between these two teams and the Eagles are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when playing a team that has a winning record on the road. The Giants are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Eagles are just 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games when playing a team that has a winning record and I have the Giants winning this game outright here Monday night so play them ATS with confidence. NYG 24 Philadelphia 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | ST LOUIS at WINNIPEG
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games
66-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.5% | 40.8 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BALTIMORE at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO) average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP), after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NFL | BALTIMORE at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) average passing team (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense (>=7.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game
37-21 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | CINCINNATI at BUFFALO
Play Under - Home teams against the 1rst half total good passing team - averaging 7 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

NFL | SAN DIEGO at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO) off a home loss against opponent off a home win
67-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.7% | 0.0 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Nebraska on Saturday and likes the Chiefs, Texans and Ravens on Sunday.

The deficit is 826 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo alive with five

Hondo plunged deeper into the abyss on Saturday when losses with Chicago’s Lovable Losers and LSU boosted the filthy figure to 1,752 munozes.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch hopes he doesn’t miss the boat by not wagering against Noah — 20 units on Jake and the Small Bears. Also, he will ride his NFL Best Bets, plus one — 20 units apiece on the Bengals, Packers, Patriots and Jets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

NFL

4* (255) Kansas City Chiefs +3.5

3* (260) Detroit Lions -3.5

3* (263) Arizona Cardinals -3.5

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Sharp Totals Club
Arizona / Pitt Over

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Underdog Sportsline
Colts

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VIP Lock Club
250 Washington

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Dave Cokin:

Texans +1.5
Jets -6.5
Cards -4
Panthers +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux
Adding:


10* teaser Houston +8/Miami +8
10* Arizona/Pittsburgh over 44.5
10* San Diego +10.5
10* Indianapolis +10