10-24-15

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Philly Seal:

[319] TOTAL o62-105 (TOLEDO vrs MASSACHUSETTS $300
[375] TOTAL o60-105 (SO MISSISSIPPI vrs CHARLOTTE) $400

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Ken Thomson

CFB Best Bet - - Arkansas -5.5

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Exodus to Black

Baylor -36
USC -3
Clemson -6.5

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BIG AL's 100% (13-0 ATS) NCAA ROADKILL WINNER

3* Wake Forest +10


BIG AL's COLLEGE FOOTBALL HIGH NOON HANGING

3* Northwestern +8.5

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Prediction Machine

NCAA Lock

[371] PSU -6.5

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Sports Insights

NCAAF Best Bets 33-39 -8.76 units
Game Time (ET) Play Best Line

10/24 3:00 PM 318 Play on BALL Under 56.5-108
10/24 12:00 PM 326 Play on SYR Under 49.5-108
10/24 3:30 PM 328 Play on MI-ST Under 62.5-110
10/24 7:30 PM 346 Play on USC -3.5-108
10/24 5:00 PM 363 Play on UL-MON -1-108
10/24 4:00 PM 384 Play on USF -11.5-110
10/24 6:00 PM 387 Play on ODU 13-104
10/24 12:00 PM 392 Play on ARK -6-108

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Dave Cokin

361 Duke +2.5
367 Colorado +3
385 So Ala +3.5
410 Nevada -7

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JASON SHARPE


***CFB Game of the Month***

6 Unit Play Take #392 Arkansas -6 over Auburn (12:00pm est):

Match-up nightmare game here for Auburn as they've struggled badly all season to stop the opposing team's running game, allowing nearly 200 yards rushing per contest and over 5 yards per carry on the year. Don't get too excited about their recent two game winning streak either as both of those wins weren't impressive showings as they had less yardage and first downs than their opponent but were helped out by a +5 turnover edge in the game. Though the Tigers are 4-2 currently on the season, this is a team who should be worse than that overall.
Arkansas had the week off last week and they should be fresh and focused here for this revenge spot. The Razorbacks are much better than their 2-4 record this season as they've played a difficult schedule thus far. They should have easily beaten Toledo earlier this season but handed the Rockets that game. Arkansas led late in the 3rd quarter at Alabama in their last game also. They've quietly played some solid defense this year allowing an average of just 23 points per game in their first six contests, five of which look to be 'bowl caliber' teams. The Razorbacks have covered 5 of their last 7 conference contests and are 11-4 against the spread versus teams with with winning records as well.
Take Arkansas minus the points here.



4 Unit Play Take #334 Vanderbilt +3 over Missouri (4:00pm est):

The Missouri Tigers are down overall this season from years past as they come in losers of two straight games and have failed to cover the spread in now five of their last seven games overall. The big problem this year has been with their quarterback play on offense which is currently being led by a true freshman quarterback. The Tigers have only managed to go above 300 yards of offense one time in six games this season.
Vanderbilt is a much better team this season than they were last year despite the fact they're just 2-4 overall. They could have won last week on the road but were done in by a -3 turnover differential against a motivated South Carolina team. Now the Commodores finally return home here to play their first home game since back on September 19th. Unbelievably this will be their only home game in a 7 week span. That should bring some added excitement here for a Vanderbilt team that's been close a lot this season but has fallen just short. The program is in the 2nd year under head coach Derek Mason and these players and coaches badly want a win here.
Take Vanderbilt plus the points here.



3 Unit Play Take #383 SMU +13 over South Florida (4:00pm est):

SMU is a vastly improved football team this season but most don't realize how much better this team is due to SMU having played an difficult schedule thus far. The Mustangs played well early in a lot of their games but then seemed to wear down late in the contest. This was a team in need of a bye week and they had one last week. This should really help out with this defense as they've had some very difficult assignments this year.
South Florida seems to be a little overvalued right now based on their last two wins. They managed to get the win last week on he road against UConn but allowed over 500 yards to the Huskies offense in a tight game. This is the first FBS game all season USF has been favored in and they've struggled badly in this role the last 4 years going just 3-10 against the spread when being a favorite.
Take SMU plus the points here.



3 Unit Play Take #363 Louisiana Monroe -1 over Idaho (5:00pm est):

Louisiana Monroe has faced a very difficult schedule thus far and those ugly losses to top teams like Alabama and Georgia along with defeats by SBC powers Appalachian State and Georgia Southern has this team looking worse than they are especially on defense. There's some talent on this squad and more so than their opponent here in this one.
Idaho has been lucky to face backup quarterbacks in their last two games and last week they ended getting the win over Troy due to that. The Vandals have one of the worst defenses in CFB overall.
Take Louisiana Monroe here.



3 Unit Play Take #385 South Alabama +3 over Texas State (7:00pm est):

South Alabama had a total collapse last week in the 4th quarter and lost to a decent Arkansas State team in Sun Belt play. I like the upside of this Jaguars team as they went into San Diego State earlier this season and punched the Aztecs in the mouth as they rushed for more than 100 yards than SDSU did in the game. It was a very impressive win for USA as SDSU comes out of the bigger Mountain West Conference and is known to be a physical football team.
Texas State was in an excellent spot in their last game playing off a bye and with a bye on deck but despite that they were still beaten soundly by what is looking to be a bad ULL squad. In their four games so far against FBS team this Bobcats defense has allowed a hard to believe 616 yards of offense a game. There's no way this team should be laying points.
Take South Alabama plus the points here.

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MIKE DAVIS



7-Unit Play. Take #333 Missouri -3 over Vanderbilt (Saturday, October 24th at 4:00 pm)

I will fade Vandy again this week. I like the way they play on the defensive side of the ball but they are so inconsistent on offense. It's very hard to watch their games IF you are cheering for them.
We are getting great line value here as the experts believe Mizzou will have a letdown after their 3-point loss at Georgia last week. However, I don't see that being the case. Pinkel does a great job with the talent he has and his teams rarely have letdowns. In other words, they beat the teams they are supposed to beat. Vanderbilt is certainly a team they are supposed to beat.
This should be a tough, physical game. In the end, I like the coaching of Pinkel over the coaching of Mason. I look for Mizzou to control the ball and end each possession with a kick. I can't say the same for Vanderbilt. Their QB play leaves a lot to be desired and I can see them turning the ball over on multiple occasions vs. a very good Mizzou pass rush. Missouri is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games. That's impressive. Mizzou was a 2.5 points favorite at Vandy two years ago and they drummed the Commodores 51-28. James Franklin was at Vandy then but he is long gone now.

Take Missouri.

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Doc Sports


7* Utah +3.5 (PAC-12 Game of the Year)

5* Wash St +7.5
4* Baylor -37
4* BC + 7.5
4* FSU -6

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Vernon Croy


CFB GAME OF THE WEEK SATURDAY


5-Unit Play. Take #360 Illinois +6.5 over Wisconsin (Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET)

Take Illinois +6.5 over Wisconsin as my 5-Unit CFB Game of the Week. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and we are getting great value with the Illini who I have winning outright Saturday afternoon. The Illini have had a lot tougher schedule this season than the Badgers and it will show in this game. The Badgers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. The Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and the Badgers play much better at home, while this is only their second real road game of the season. The Illini lost by 10 points last year and that was at Wisconsin and against a much better Badgers team, this year Illinois gets the win at home. Play Illinois ATS with confidence Saturday afternoon. Wisconsin 24 Illinois 27

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Allan Harris



3 Unit Play. Take #317 Central Michigan -7 over Ball St (3:00 PM, Saturday, October 24)

The Central Michigan Chippewas will look for their third win in their last four games when they travel to take on the Ball St. Cardinals at Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, IN on Saturday afternoon. The Chippewas, who have wins over Northern Illinois in Buffalo paired with a two point loss to Western Michigan in the last three weeks, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday afternoon. They have posted a lights out 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 road games and they are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight games dating back to the 2014 season. Ball St., on the other hand, has really struggled in the situation we find them in here on Saturday as they have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss and have failed to cover in six games in a row versus a team with a losing record. Throw in the fact that Central has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Muncie and we'll lay the points here with them to get the win and cover over Ball St. on Saturday afternoon.



3 Unit Play. Take #319 Toledo -14 over UMASS (3:00 PM, Saturday, October 24)

The Toledo Rockets will put their perfect season on the line when they travel to take on the UMASS Minutemen at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA on Saturday afternoon. Toledo comes into the game ranked #19 in the AP Poll and they have been very good ATS in the spot they are in here on Saturday. They have posted an 8-2-1 ATS record in their last 11 games overall and they have gone a perfect 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. UMASS, who comes into the game with a 1-5 straight up record, has really struggled in the situation they find themselves in here as they have gone just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games versus a team with a winning record and they have covered just 2 of their last eight games overall. Throw in the fact that Toledo has gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games and we'll lay the points with them on the road Saturday in a game that our numbers have them winning in a blowout over UMASS.



4 Unit Play. Take #336 Western Michigan -25 over Miami (OH) (2:00 PM, Saturday, October 24)

The Western Michigan Broncos will look to extend their winning streak to three games when they welcome the Miami (OH) RedHawks to Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI on Saturday afternoon. The Broncos, who lost three of their first four before beating Central Michigan and Ohio, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday afternoon. They have posted a 5-1 ATS record in their last six home games versus a team with a losing record and they have gone an excellent 9-1 ATS in their last ten games following a straight up win. Miami, on the other hand, has been awful in the situation they find themselves in on Saturday as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a double digit loss at home. Throw in the fact that the favorite has gone 4-1-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between these two teams and we'll lay the big number with the Broncos at home to get the blowout win and cover over the Redhawks on Saturday afternoon.



4 Unit Play. Take #337/338 Tulane vs. Navy Over 54.5 (1:00 PM, Saturday, October 24, CBS Sports Network)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Tulane Green Wave travel to take on the Navy Midshipmen at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD on Saturday afternoon. Tulane has posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six games after they have allowed 200 or more rushing yards in their previous contest and they have gone 4-1 to the over in their last five games overall. Navy has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday afternoon as they have gone 5-1 to the over in their last six home games and they have gone over the posted total in four of their last five games following a bye week. Add in the fact that we don't see anyway that Tulane stops the triple option attack that Navy trots out there and we'll play this one over the total as we see Navy running up and down the field for 60 minutes on Saturday afternoon.



3 Unit Play. Take #339/340 Wyoming vs. Boise St Over 56.5 (10:15, Saturday, October 24, ESPN)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet late Saturday night when the Wyoming Cowboys travel to take on the Boise. St. Broncos at Albertson's Stadium in Boise, ID. Wyoming has posted a 7-3 record to the over in their last ten Mountain West Conference game and they have gone over the total in eight of their last eleven games after they had 450 yards or more of total offense in their previous game. Boise has also been an over teams in the spot they are in here on Saturday night as they have gone 7-2 to the over following a straight up loss of 20 points or more and they have gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 27 following an ATS loss. Throw in the fact that Boise has gone 11-5 to the over in their last 16 games overall and that's where we'll have our play in a game where we think the Broncos will look to send a message after their embarrassing turnover filled loss to Utah St. last weekend.



4 Unit Play. Take #345/346 Utah vs. USC Under 60 (7:30 PM, Saturday, October 24, FOX)

Two teams that have been trending to the under will get together on Saturday night when the Utah Utes travel to take on the USC Trojans at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, CA. The Utes have posted a 7-2-1 record to the under in their last 10 games following an ATS win and they have gone under the posted total in 20 of their last 25 games played in the month of October. USC has been an under team as well in the spot they are in here on Saturday night as they have gone 6-1 to the under in their last seven Pac 12 games and they have posted a 12-4-1 record to the under in their last 17 games where they faced a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that USC has gone an outstanding 35-17-2 to the under in their last 54 games following a straight up loss and that's where we'll have our play in this one in a game that we see both teams putting up a strong defensive effort on Saturday night in Los Angeles.



4 Unit Play. Take #362 Virginia Tech -3 over Duke (3:30 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN U)

The Virginia Tech Hokies will look to bounce back from a tough loss to Miami last week when they welcome the Duke Blue Devils to Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, VA on Saturday afternoon. The Hokies, who will get starting QB Michael Brewer back for this one, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday afternoon. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have gone 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning record on the road. The Blue Devils, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the situation they are in here as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after they allowed less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Throw in the fact that the Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following and ATS loss and we'll lay the points with them here to win and cover as we think they bounce back nicely this week against the Blue Devils.



3 Unit Play. Take #365 Houston -22 over Central Florida (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN News)

The Houston Cougars will put their prefect record on the line when they travel to take on the UCF Knights at Bright House Networks Stadium in Orlando, FL on Saturday afternoon. The Cougars, who come into the game ranked #21 in the AP Poll, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday. They have posted a 20-5-1 ATS record in their last 26 road games and they have gone an excellent 8-2 ATS in their last ten games after scoring 40 points or more in their previous contest. UCF, who comes into the game with an 0-7 straight up record, have been awful in the situation we find them in here as they have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a loss and they have covered just one of their last eight games overall. Throw in the fact that Houston has gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games where they faced a team with a losing record and we'll lay the big number with them here on the road to get a blowout win and cover over UCF.



6 Unit Play. Take #367 Colorado +2.5 over Oregon St. (10:30 PM, Saturday, October 24, Pac 12 Network)

The Colorado Buffaloes will look to break their three game losing streak when they travel to take on the Oregon St. Beavers at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, OR on Saturday night. Oregon St. has posted a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games following an ATS loss and they have gone just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall dating back to the 2014 season. They have also failed to cover in five straight conference games and they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on their home turf. While the Buffaloes have lost three in a row as we mentioned earlier, they were competitive in those losses to Arizona, Arizona St., and Oregon so we'll take the points with them here in this one to get the road win over a Oregon St. team that we have rated lowest in the Pac 12 in our power rankings.



4 Unit Play. Take #370 Baylor -37 over Iowa St (12:00 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN)

The Baylor Bears will look to improve their record to 7-0 here in 2015 when they take on the lowly Iowa St. Cyclones at McLane Stadium in Waco, TX on Saturday afternoon. Baylor has been blowing teams out all year long and we don't see anything that will change that on Saturday. They have posted a 26-6 ATS record in their last 32 home games and they have gone an excellent 9-1 ATS in their last ten home games where they faced a team with a losing record. The Cyclones, on the other hand, have been awful in the situation we find them in here on Saturday. They have gone just 1-7 ATS in their last eight Big 12 games and they have covered just two of their last eleven games overall. Throw in the fact that the home team has gone 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings between these two teams and we're laying the huge number with Baylor to get the blowout win over Iowa St. in a game where they can basically name their score and that our numbers have them winning by 50+ on Saturday afternoon.



5 Unit Play. Take #371 Penn St. -6.5 over Maryland (3:30 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN)

The Penn St. Nittany Lions will look to bounce back in a big way after their loss last week to Ohio St. when they travel to take on the Maryland Terrapins at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD. Penn St., who had won five in a row before their loss to the Buckeyes, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Saturday afternoon as they have posted 12-5-1 ATS record in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. Maryland, who has home losses to Bowling Green and Michigan under their belts already, has been pretty bad in the situation we find them in here on Saturday. They have gone just 3-7 ATS in their last ten games played in the month of October and they have covered just one of their last six games versus a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that Maryland has gone an awful 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week and we'll lay the points with Penn St. on the road to get the win and cover over the Terps in Baltimore.



4 Unit Play. Take #393/394 Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma Over 73.5 (3:30 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN 2)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Saturday afternoon when the Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to take on the Oklahoma Sooners at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, OK. The Red Raiders have posted a 9-2 record to the over in their last 11 road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home and they have gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 28 games following a straight up win. The Sooners have been an over team as well in the spot we find them in here on Saturday afternoon as they have gone 7-1 to the over in their last eight games played in the month of October and they have an excellent 20-8-1 record to the over in their last 29 Big 12 Conference games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five head to head meetings in Norman and that's where we'll have our play in game that we see turning into an old fashioned Big 12 shoot-out in Oklahoma on Saturday afternoon.



4 Unit Play. Take #401/402 Western Kentucky vs. LSU Over 66.5 (7:00 PM, Saturday, October 24, ESPN U)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Saturday night when the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers travel to take on the LSU Tigers at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA. The Hilltoppers have posted a 6-1 record to the over in their last seven games following a straight up win and they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four games where they faced a team with a winning record. LSU has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here as they have gone a perfect 6-0 to the over in their last six games following a straight up win and they have gone over the posted total in four of their last five games where they faced a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that Western Kentucky has gone over in 16 of their last 21 games overall and that LSU has gone over in their last five home games and that's where we'll have our play in this one as we see an up tempo game with both teams moving up and down the field with ease on Saturday night in Death Valley.



4 Unit Play. Take #411/412 Washington St. vs. Arizona Over 73.5 (4:00 PM, Saturday, October 24, Pac 12 Network)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Saturday afternoon when the Washington St. Cougars travel to take on the Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, AZ. The Cougars have posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five road games and they have gone 8-2 to the over following a straight up win of 20 or more points. The Wildcats have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here as they have posted a 5-1 record to the over in their last six home games and they have gone over the posted total in seven of their last eight games overall. Throw in the fact that these two teams are a combined 20-7-1 to the over in games played in the month of October and that's where we'll have our play in a game that our number have turning into an old fashioned Pac 12 shootout in Arizona on Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence playbook dataplay= ole miss rebels

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Joe Gavazzi

CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK …New Mexico (+8)
New Mexico at San Jose St. (-8) 7:00 ET
New Mexico travels to San Jose to face the Spartans in this battle for Mt. West Conference supremacy. It is not often that we get to use an underdog selection as our STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK. But, as you will see by the numbers below, the play is well warranted. Last week, San Jose was badly beaten on this field by San Diego St. The Spartans lost (30-7) being outrushed 234-36. San Jose St. has outrushed lined opposition only once this season in their dominating win against Fresno. When they had been double-rushed against Air Force, Oregon St. and San Diego St., San Jose has gone 0-3 ATS for their only spread losses. This in spite of the fact that the Spartans own a premier back in RB Ervin (ran for 300 yards in the Fresno game). Last week, against the Aztecs’ defensive front, Ervin was held to just 22 yards. Though I expect him to do some business against a New Mexico defense allowing 194/4.5, it is when New Mexico has the ball that the greatest overland success will occur. Under 3rd year HC Caragher, the Spartans’ defensive front has been a sieve. In the previous 2 years, they allowed 214/5.2 in 2013 and 239/5.4 in 2014. This year, the Spartans are once again being burned at the point of attack for 228/5.1. That fits perfectly against a New Mexico option attack which is averaging 258/5.2.

Of equal importance is the fact that the Lobos are learning how to win games. In each of the last 2 home games against New Mexico St. and Hawaii, the Lobos trailed at halftime only to rally for a big 2nd half to win the game. That puts them at 4-3 SU for the year, 2-1 SU in the league and gives them a fighting chance with this victory to get to the vaunted 6 win mark for the season. No surprise to this bureau if New Mexico controls the line of scrimmage and STEAMROLLS their way to pointspread victory in a game that could well go down to the final possession.