10-25-15

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bookieshunter NFL Sunday

Cle Browns +6.5 (2*)
NY Jets + 8.5 (2*)
Total OVER 44.5 Vikings/Lions (2*)
SDG Chargers -3.5 (2*)
TB Bucaneers +3.5 (3*)

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Marc Lawrence

late phone plays NFL game of week Philadelphia

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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections

454 ST.Louis
462 Detroit
464 Kansas City
465 Tampa Bay
474 Carolina

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Big Al


3* Cowboys +3.5

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Dwayne Bryant


5* Houston +4

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Prediction Machine

Lock (5-1 ytd)

[459] NY Jets +9

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Sports Insights


[451] Play on BUF -4 (-105)
[454] Play on STL -6 (-105)
[459] Play on NYJ +8.5 (-108)
[471] Play on DAL +3.5 (-115)

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Amazing Wager Picks


Atlanta -4.5
Pittsburgh -2.5
Indianapolis -4.5
Carolina -3
NY Giants -3.5
NY Jets +9
Dallas / NY Giants Over 45
Houston / Miami Over 44.5
Philadelphia / Carolina Under 46

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Doc Sports

5* Chargers -4
4* Falcons -4.5
4* Eagles +3

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MIKE DAVIS



6-Unit Play. Take #463 Atlanta -4.5 over Tennessee (Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 pm)

Tennessee can thank the NFL for the scheduling of back-to-back games with both teams having extra days to prepare. Last week, the Titans were blitzed by the Dolphins as Miami was coming off of a bye week and a coaching change. This week, Tennessee faces an Atlanta team that played a Thursday night game last week and lost their first game of the year to the Saints. Motivation is a big thing in the NFL (or any sport) and the Falcons have it on their side this week.
Atlanta is super explosive on offense with Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman. They can put up points in bunches. They have shown the tendency to allow points in bunches on defense. However, the Titans are not the type of offense that scores a lot of points. Tennessee has scored 10, 13, and 14 points in three of their games this year. If you compare Atlanta's opponents to Tennesse, the offense that resembles Tennessee's the most is Washington. The Falcons held Washington to 19 points.
Atlanta has yet to score under 21 points and they have had outbursts of 39 and 48 points. The Titans allowed 38 points ot Miami last week and 35 points to Hasselbeck and the Colts three weeks ago. This is not a great matchup for the team in Nashville. Atlanta wins this one going away.
Take Atlanta.



5-Unit Play. Take #468 Indianapolis -4.5 over New Orleans (Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 pm)

I love the Colts in this spot. Drew Brees and the Saints defeated Atlanta on Thursday Night Football last week and now they are "only" 4.5 point dogs to Indy. Will Indy suffer a letdown after the loss to New England? The answer is not no but hell no. That was the first decent game Luck had all year long. The "real" Andrew Luck finally showed up. If anything, that game should provide Luck and the Colts some momentum heading into this week and the rest of the season.
The Saints haven't held an opponent under 20 points yet this season and it won't happen this week vs. Luck. New Orleans allowed 39 points to Philly on the road, 27 to Carolina on the road, and 31 to Arizona on the road. In past years, Brees and the offense could certainly still win high scoring games like that but those days are long gone. No more Sproles, Graham, and a healthy, young Brees equals tough times for New Orleans on offense.
Indy is finally getting healthy in the secondary and their DLine has played good vs. the run most of the year. Gore is running hard and the WR's are finally making some plays. This is a big game for Indy and I look for them to crush the Saints.
Take Indy.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe



4 Unit Play Take #459 New York Jets +9 over New England (1:00pm est):

Big match-up edges here for this New York Jets team as they have the pass rush to expose the issues the Patriots have on their offensive line as New England most likely will be starting two rookies up front in this contest. The Jets looked dominant last week in their win over Washington as they more than doubled the Redskins in BOTH yards per rush and yards per pass for the game, a very difficult feat in the NFL for any team to have over opponent. The Jets have lost just one game this season and that was against a desperate 0-2 Eagles team at the time.
Were starting to see the Patriots overvalued in the betting markets due to being the Super Bowl champions and starting this season off undefeated. New England will have to deal with one of the best secondaries in the league plus strong pass rush pressure from the Jets as well. That's the type of defense that could give the Patriots offense some problems. Keep in mind also that these two division rivals always play each other very close as 5 of their 6 last games have been decided by 3 points or less. Lastly we have a situation here where the Patriots come into this game off of last week's emotional road win versus Indianapolis on Sunday night.
Take the New York Jets plus the points.



3 Unit Play Take #462 Detroit +2.5 over Minnesota (1:00pm est):

Don't be fooled by last week's win by Minnesota as the Vikings struggled against what's a bad Kansas City Chiefs team. The Vikings had no excuses for not playing a lot better as they came in off the bye week the previous week. The Vikings have been sort of blah so far this year as they've faced an easy schedule with only one game coming against an opponent who is currently better than 2-4 on this year. In fact those four teams have a combined 6-18 record to start this season. Teddy Bridgewater has continued to be a guy who doesn't do much more than he has too but on the road you usually can't win with a quarterback who doesn't make plays. Bridgewater is only 1-7 in his career starting away from home while averaging just 16 points scored in those games and has only going above 20 points only one time thus far.
The Detroit Lions started their season out on the west coast at San Diego then went into Minnesota, played at home against Denver, went on the road at Seattle on Monday Night Football then came home to take on Arizona. It wasn't so much that those teams are great but more so than it's how strong those defenses are and that made the Lions offense look a little worse than it is overall. The Lions finally had a little bit of breather last week going up against the Chicago Bears and they got the win despite being -2 in turnovers for the game. The offense got on track putting up over 500 yards of offense in the game and have 972 yards in the past two contests with both games being played at home. This Lions offense is much better when on their home turf as their averaging more than 130 yards a game more compared to their games on the road. Detroit is also #1 ranked in the NFL in largest yardage differential in home games over their opponents this season. The Lions come into this one having beaten Minnesota 4 of the last 5 times that they've faced them at Ford Field and will be looking to get some revenge here for their earlier loss to the Vikings this season.
Take Detroit plus the points here.



3 Unit Play Take #466 Washington -3.5 over Tampa Bay (1:00pm est):

The Washington Redskins play at home here after two tough road games, at Atlanta and at the New York Jets. This team has faced the toughest set of defenses in the NFL so far with their other games against St. Louis, Miami, Philadelphia and the New York Giants. Despite that the Redskins have done a decent job thus far overall.
Don't be fooled into thinking this Tampa Bay team is improved as it's at the same levels it's been at the past few seasons, sitting in the bottom 20% of the league overall. Rookie quarterback Jameis Winston looks like an average rookie quarterback at best right now as he's near the bottom of the league in the ratings. This is a team that has played just one of their first five games against an above average team so far.
Lots of value here as we buy low on a team off of two road losses here against an opponent who looks better than they are based off of two straight home games. Play Washington minus the points here.



3 Unit Take #473 Philadelphia +3 over Carolina (8:30pm est):

It's always a good idea to bet the opposite of whatever is the big story that's being talked about from the previous weekend in the NFL. With that being the case it's time to look to bet against these Carolina Panthers. The Panthers have faced an extremely easy schedule thus far as opponents are 9-20 this year and besides Seattle last week, the 4 other teams the Panthers have faced have poor defenses. They lucked into facing the Saints without Drew Brees and played the Texans with Ryan Mallet as the quarterback. Their win last week was an odd game where they were able to execute late but before that they looked like they were going to get soundly beat in the first 50 minutes of the game. The Panthers came in off a bye week and it showed down the stretch as they looked to be the fresh team. All the Cam Newton hype is a little overblown right now as he's struggled throwing the football this year before those last two drives last Sunday. That game against Seattle had the feel of a playoff type game. It was a very physical contest that may have taken it's toll on the Panthers as the last 15 teams the Seahawks have faced went just 3-12 the following week after playing Seattle.
The Philadelphia Eagles got the win last week and have now won 3 of their last 4 games overall. After a slower than expected start to the season it looks like things have really started to gel for all their new players. Another big reason for the slower start may have had to do with that Philadelphia playing on the road for five of six weeks (counting the last two weeks of the preseason). This probably hurt the Eagles with all their new players and complicated system as they were constantly on the go, traveling, etc... Now that things have settled down this team looks a lot more like the one that's posted back to back double digit win seasons the past two years. Much of the talk about Philadelphia involves their unique offense but it's their overlooked defense that's been carrying them so far in 2015. The Eagles success in the past has been due to having a great running game and that's what they've had in their last 3 games as they come in averaging 4.8 yards per carry in their last three contests. Plus don't rule out the Eagles edge here on special teams in this game. Overall this is a team that's 3-2 on the season but who are just a play away in two of their losses from being 5-1 on the season as two of their losses have been by just a field goal or less.
Take Philadelphia plus the points here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy



5-Unit Play. Take #460 New England -9 over NY Jets (Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET)

Take New England -9 as my 5-Unit NFL Smash for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Patriots are the superior overall team here Sunday. The Jets are very fortunate to even have a winning record this season and if you watched their games closely the Colts and Browns basically handed them the win. Now they face by far the best team in

the NFL and also one of the better defensive teams. The Jets have the 28th ranked strength of schedule in the NFL and if Brady can protect the football they get blown out by 20+ points here Sunday. The Jets are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards on the ground in their previous game and they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after passing for more than 250 yards in their previous game. The Patriots are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games when playing a team that has a winning record on the road and there is really no contest here Sunday with the Patriots at home. Despite the Jets 4-1 record this is a bad Jets team and they get exposed as just that here Sunday. Play New England with extreme confidence. New York Jets 14 New England 31



5-Unit Play. Take #462 Detroit +2.5 over Minnesota (Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET)

Take Detroit ATS over Minnesota as my 5-Unit NFL Bookie Buster for Sunday afternoon. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and we are getting good value here with a Lions team that I have winning outright by 7 points here at home Sunday. The Vikings have one of the worst offensive teams in the NFL ranked 31st in total yards offensively and 31st in passing yards. If you can stop the run you can beat the Vikings and Detroit just held the Bears to 91 rushing yards last week, who rank 10th in the NFL for rushing yards. (The Vikings rank 14th for total rushing yards). Detroit will have a solid plan this time around to stop Minnesota's run game after facing them already this season and allowing 199 rushing yards. Detroit's offense is finally starting to click and they have the 4th most passing yards in the NFL. You can throw the Lions 1-5 record out the window as they have had a legitimate chance to win every game this season (with the exception of the 28 point 2nd quarter by Arizona thanks to 6 turnovers) but some unlucky breaks have cost them. Detroit lost by 10 points to the Vikings on the road win week 2, however that was a game they should have and could have won. Penalties cost the Lions that game along with 3 crucial turnovers. The Lions are out for revenge and they win this game at home Sunday by a minimum of 7 points. Play Detroit with extreme confidence. Minnesota 17 Detroit 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allan Harris



8 Unit Play. Take #475/476 Baltimore Ravens vs. Arizona Cardinals Over 48 (8:30 PM, Monday, October 26, ESPN)

**** NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ****


Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Monday night when the Baltimore Ravens travel west to take on the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, AZ. The Ravens have posted a 5-2-1 record to the over in their last eight games where they faced a team with a winning record and they have gone over the posted total in 9-3-1 to the over in their last 13 road games where they faced a team with a winning record at home. The Cardinals have also been an over team in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four home games and they have gone 6-1 to the over in their last seven games overall. Throw in the fact that Arizona has been able to bounce back after a poor offensive showing, going 36-15 to the over in their last 51 games after they scored 15 points or less in their previous contest and that's where we'll have our play in a game that we see turning into a shoot-out between the Ravens and Cardinals on Monday Night Football.



3 Unit Play. Take #452 Jacksonville Jaguars +4 over Buffalo Bills (9:30 AM, Sunday, October 25, Yahoo Streaming)

Hold your nose and take the points when the Buffalo Bills take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday morning at Wembley Stadium in London. With each passing week, things seem to be getting worse in Buffalo as the team has been decimated by injuries and plagued with penalties through the first six weeks of the season. Starting QB Tyrod Taylor missed the team's last game, a loss to Cincinnati and we're not ready to lay points with E.J. Manuel by any stretch of the imagination. Despite their 1-5 record, the Jaguars have actually been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday morning. They have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games following an ATS loss and they have covered in five of their last seven games versus a team from the AFC. The Bills, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone just 1-9 ATS in their last ten games following a double digit loss at home. It should also be noted that the Bills have a bye on deck and then three games in a row against AFC East teams so they may be looking past the Jags here this week. Throw in the fact that the underdog has gone 7-1-1 in the Bills last nine games and we'll take the points with Jacksonville in a game that we think they have a legitimate shot to win outright across the pond in London.



4 Unit Play. Take #459/460 New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Over 48 (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday afternoon when the New York Jets travel to take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA. The Jets have posted a 16-7 record to the over in their last 23 road games versus a team with a losing record at home and they have gone an excellent 11-3 to the over after scoring 30 points or more in their previous contest. The Patriots have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday afternoon as they have gone 23-9 to the over in their last 32 games where they faced an AFC East Division rival and they have gone 7-1 to the over in their last eight home games against a team with a winning record on the road. Throw in the fact that these two teams have played to a 9-2-1 record to the over in their last 12 head to head meetings and that's where we'll have our play as we see both teams being able to score at will on Sunday afternoon in New England.



6 Unit Play. Take # 463 Atlanta Falcons -5 over Tennessee Titans (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)

The Atlanta Falcons will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they travel to take on the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN on Sunday afternoon. Despite their loss to the Saints last Thursday, the Falcons have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and they have that same 4-1 ATS record in their last five road games. The Titans, on the other hand, have really struggled in the situation they find themselves in here on Sunday. They have gone just 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 home games and they have covered just six of their last twenty-six games following a straight up loss. Throw in the fact that the Falcons have had ten days to prepare for what we think in one of the worst coached teams in the NFL and we'll lay the points with them on the road to get the bounce back win and cover over the Titans.



3 Unit Play. Take #465/466 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins Over 42.5 (1:00 PM, Sunday, October 25)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday afternoon when they Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to take on the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field in Landover, MD. The Bucs have posted a 5-1 record to the over after scoring 30 points or more in their previous game and they have gone 13-3 to the over in their last 16 games played in the month of October dating back to the 2012 season. The Redskins have also been an over team in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 8-2-1 to the over in their last 11 games after they allowed more than 150 rushing yards in their previous contest. Throw in the fact that we have two QB's in Winston and Cousins that are prone to the turnover on their own side of the 50 yard line and we'll play the over in a game that our numbers have being played in the low 50's on Sunday in Washington.



4 Unit Play. Take #471/472 Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants Over 45 (4:25 PM, Sunday, October 25)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet late Sunday afternoon when the Dallas Cowboys travel to Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ to take on the New York Giants. The Giants have posted a 5-2 record to the over in their last seven games versus a NFC East division rival and they have gone an excellent 7-3 to the over in their last ten games following a straight up loss. The Cowboys have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 7-3 to the over in their last ten road games. Throw in the fact that these two teams have played to a 15-5-1 record to the over in their last 21 head to head meetings, including going 9-3-1 to the over in New York and that's where we'll have our play in a game where two bad defensive units are going to have a hard time stopping two offensive units that should be able to move the ball at will on Sunday afternoon in North Jersey.



3 Unit Play. Take #473 Philadelphia Eagles +3 over Carolina Panthers (8:30 PM, Sunday, October 25, NBC)

The Philadelphia Eagles will look to extend their winning streak to three games when they travel to take on the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC on Sunday night. The Eagles, who have back to back wins over the Saints and Giants, have been pretty good in the spot they are in here on Sunday night as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five head to head meetings with the Panthers. While Carolina comes into the game with a perfect 5-0 record, four of those wins have come against the Jaguars, Texans, Saints and Bucs and they haven't looked all that dominant in any of them. Throw in the scheduling dynamic in play here for Philadelphia as the Panthers come into the game off a big road win at Seattle and we'll take the points with the Eagles in this one in a game we think they win outright, handing the Panthers their first loss of the 2015 season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN

Triple Dime Minnesota - 3

Double Dime Indianapolis - 4.5