11-1-15

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Maddux
10* Detroit +5.5
10* Baltimore -3
10* San Francisco +9

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Ken Thomson (NFL)

Top Play Denver Broncos +3.5

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Indian Cowboy


6-Unit Play. #269. Take NY Jets -3 over Oakland Raiders
3-Unit Play. #254. Take Chicago Bears PK over Minnesota
3-Unit Play. #264. Take Pittsburgh Steelers -1 over Cincinnati Bengals
3-Unit Play. #271. Take Seattle Seahawks -6 over Dallas Cowboys
3-Unit Play. #273. Take Under 46 Denver Broncos vs. Green Bay Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris



4 Unit Play. Take #252 Kansas City Chiefs -4 over Detroit Lions (9:30 AM, Sunday, November 1, FOX)

The Kansas City Chiefs will look for back to back wins after their Week 7 defeat of the Steelers when they take on the Detroit Lions at Wembley Stadium in London, England on Sunday morning here in the states. The Chiefs, despite their 2-5 record, have been pretty good in the spot that they are in here on Sunday morning. They have posted a 13-5 ATS record in their last 18 Week 8 games and they have covered in five of their last seven games where they faced a team with a losing record. The Lions, who have been awful all year, have also been awful in the situation that they are in here on Sunday morning. They have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games where they faced a team with a losing record and they have covered just one of their last seven games overall. Throw in the fact that the favorite has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between these two teams and we'll lay the points across the pond with the Chiefs in a game that we have them winning and covering over the Lions.


3 Unit Play. Take #257/258 New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints Over 49 (1:00 PM, Sunday, November 1)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Sunday afternoon when the New York Giants travel to take on the Saints at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans. The Giants have posted a 6-2 record to the over in their last eight games where they faced a team from the NFL and they have gone over the total in five of their last six games played in the month of November dating back to the 2013 season. The Saints have been an over team as well as they have gone 7-2 to the over in their last nine Week 8 games. Throw in the fact that the Saints have gone 6-2-1 to the over in their last nine games where they faced a team with a winning record and that's where we'll have our play in a game between two teams that have really struggled on the defensive side of the ball here in 2015.


5 Unit Play. Take #261 Arizona Cardinals -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1:00 PM, Sunday, November 1)

The Arizona Cardinals will look to improve their record to 6-2 here in 2015 when they travel to take on the Browns at First Energy Stadium in Cleveland. The Cardinals have posted a 16-6 ATS record in their last 22 games following a straight up win and they have gone an excellent 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games where they faced a team with a losing record on their home turf. The Browns, on the other hand have struggled a bit in the spot we find them in here on Sunday as they have gone just 2-5 ATS over the last two years once the calendar has hit the month of November. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have covered 21 of their last 31 games overall and we'll lay the number with them here to get the win and cover in our 5-Unit Game of the Week in a game that we have them as the more talented team in all three phases of game.


4 Unit Play. Take #263/264 Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Over 48 (1:00 PM, Sunday, November 1)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet on Saturday afternoon when the Cincinnati Bengals travel to take on the Steelers at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh. The Bengals have posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five games where they faced a team from the AFC and they have gone a perfect 4-0 to the over in their last four games following a straight up win. The Steelers have also been an over team in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 4-1 to the over in their last five games played in the month of November and they have posted an 8-3 record to the over in their last eleven games following a straight up loss. Throw in the fact that the Steelers have Big Ben back under center this week and we see the Steelers offense getting back on track, allowing this one to go over the total Sunday in Pittsburgh.


4 Unit Play. Take #271/272 Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Over 41 (4:25 PM, Sunday, November 1)

Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet late Sunday afternoon when the Seattle Seahawks travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys at Jerry World in Arlington, TX. The Seahawks have posted a 17-7 record to the over in their last 24 November games and they have gone over the posted total in five of their last six games following a straight up win. The Cowboys have been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Sunday as they have gone 5-1-1 to the over in their last seven games played in the month of November. Throw in the fact that these two teams have gone a combined 14-6 to the over in their last 20 Week 8 games and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to be able to move the ball and put points up on the board Sunday in Dallas.


4 Unit Play. Take #274 Denver Broncos +3 -120 over Green Bay Packers (8:30 PM, Sunday, November 1, NBC)

The Denver Broncos will look to stay undefeated here in 2015 when they welcome the Green Bay Packers to Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver on Sunday night. The Broncos have posted a 14-6 ATS record in their last 20 games following a bye week and they have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. The Packers come into the game undefeated as well but they have struggled ATS once the calendar turns to November as they have gone just 3-7 ATS in the month dating back to the 2012 season. Throw in the fact that the home team has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between these two teams and we'll take the FG with the Broncos in this one as we like the prime-time home underdog to win this one outright on Sunday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy



4-Unit Play. Take #259 San Francisco +8 over St Louis (Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET)

NFL Smash for Sunday afternoon.

This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the 49ers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games played on turf. This game has a perfect setup since the 49ers just allowed 176 rushing yards in last Thursday's loss to the Seahawks. This gives the 49ers time to make the necessary adjustments to slow down Gurley as over 44% of the Rams yards have come from their running game over their last 3 games. This 49ers offense is loaded with plenty of talent and I look for this to be a break out week for them after playing a brutally tough Seahawks defense. Both of these teams have struggled to put up touchdowns this season as they both sit with just 10, however the 49ers are finally starting to get healthy and I would not be shocked if they won this game outright. Play the 49ers ATS with confidence.


4-Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas +6 over Seattle (Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET)

NFL Smash for Sunday

This pick falls into one of my NFL systems and I really like getting the points here with the Cowboys, now that Cassel has had time to learn this Cowboys offense. My sources tell me that Dez Bryant will likely return Sunday, however even if that was untrue, I would still be playing Dallas +6. Even with all of the Cowboy's injuries they would have won outright against the Giants if it was not for 3 interceptions in the second half. I look for Cassel to be a lot better with the ball this week after having the time to practice with this offense. The Cowboys had 14 more first downs than the Giants, 171 more total yards, and also dominated them in almost every category, however when you throw 3 INT's and also lose a fumble in any game you have a slim chance at winning. The Seahawks are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the Cowboys and the underdogs is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games between these two teams. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after putting up more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game and this Cowboys defense is 5th best in the NFL against the run. Play Dallas ATS with confidence.


5-Unit Play. Take #274 Denver +3 over Green Bay (Sunday, November 1 at 8:30 PM ET)

Oddsmakers Error for Sunday night

This pick falls into one of my elite NFL systems and I have Denver winning this game outright here Sunday night. The Packers rank 24th in passing yards this season (Denver ranks 22nd) and now they face their toughest defense yet. Denver's defense is ranked #1 in yards against and #2 in passing yards against, while allowing just 281 ypg this season. Not exactly what the doctor ordered for a struggling Packers offense riddled with injuries. Denver has also had their struggles offensively with just 9 TD's this season and 16 FG's however I expect that to change big time coming off the bye week. Denver is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after failing to cover the number in their previous game and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games played between these two teams. Play Denver ATS with confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample:
Packers -2.5

Bears/Vikings O42.5 (2x)

Giants/Saints U49

Colts +7 (-120)

Falcons -7

Bears +7 / Giants +10 / Browns +14 (+142) 7TR
Bears +7 / Giants +10 / Falcons -1 (+142) 7TR
Giants +10 / Browns +14 / Falcons -1 (+142) 7TR
Giants +10 / Falcons -1 / Packers +4.5 (+142) 7TR

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Norm Hitzges NFL

DOUBLE PLAYS:
New Orleans -3 NY Giants
St. Louis -8 San Francisco


SINGLE PLAYS:
Seattle -6 Dallas
Minnesota +1 Chicago
Jets -3 Oakland
Denver +2 1/2 Green Bay

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Doc Sports

4*: Vikings +1
5*: cards -5
8*: jets -3 (nfl goty)

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Sixth sense

Dallas plus 5.5
Chicago plus 1

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Marc Lawrence NFL gom. Denver

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Greg shaker

3* green bay under 46

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King creole

3* san diego over 50

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Prediction Machine's top 4 NFL


261 1:00 PM ARI @ CLE -4.5 8.0 58.7 lock
259 1:00 PM SF @ STL 8.5 -5.5 58.6
255 1:00 PM TB @ ATL 7 -4.0 57.7

274 8:30 PM @DEN GB 3 0.4 57. straight up win possible

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

NFL WEEK 8
ECONOMY CLUB
By: Joe Gavazzi, Winning Sports Advice

Sunday, November 1, 2015

NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK… Minnesota Vikings (+1-)
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-1-) 1:00 EST
First of all, I must apologize for last Sunday when our plan for a 6% selection on these Vikings was disrupted by news that star Vikings RB Peterson was suffering from an “undisclosed illness.” The later rumor was that he had swallowed chewing tobacco on the flight. I subsequently reduced the rating on the game to “only a 5%” then watched as Peterson played as if he was in full health, led the Vikings to an overland advantage against Detroit of 35/140 to 17/77, and the Vikings cruised to a 28-19 victory. That has lifted the Vikings’ recent run to 13-3 ATS. It is based on the fact that second year HC Zimmer is winning NFL games the old fashioned way, with a ground game averaging 30/128/4.3 and a defense allowing just 17 PPG. Look for them again to have their way, overland, against a Chicago Bear defensive front allowing 125/4.5. The Bears are rebuilding under first year HC Fox and DC Fangio. They do have the #10 yardage defense in the league at 345 YPG, but other indiscretions mean they are allowing 30 PPG, tied for the worst defensive number in the league. The Bears still carry the albatross that is QB Cutler, and negative point spread records that show them to be 6-14 ATS in divisional play recently, and 10-18 ATS as dog. Last time the Bears lined up they lost 37-34 to Detroit, affording the Lions their only victory of the season. Yes, that would be the same Lions team that Minnesota easily handled last week.


NFL UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK… Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7-)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-7-) 1:00 EST
Atlanta could only squeeze out a 10-7 victory at Tennessee last week, but it was enough to keep the public entrenched on the side of a team who has made the NFL’s biggest improvement this season. A 6-10 SU team of last year has emerged with a 6-1 SU mark to open 2015. New HC Quinn is at the controls, with QB Ryan and RB Freeman authoring an offense that averages 28 PPG and 403 YPG. The public also may remember that it was on a Thursday night game last year that the Falcons led the Bucs 56-0. A few think the public are the only ones who remember that. Be assured that it is entrenched in the minds of all the players who were on each of these teams last season. Despite last week’s 31-30 defeat, the Bucs are likely to enter today’s game with some confidence. They outrushed Washington 30/190 to 19/50, and outgained them 479-355, in a 0 net turnover game. The Bucs actually led the contest 24-0 before succumbing to the inability to handle a big lead. It should not be lost on those analyzing this game that this year’s Tampa Bay OC Koetter held the same position for Atlanta in the three previous years. Yes, he will be in QB Ryan’s head. Bucs have already won as many games this season as last (2). Despite the 2-4 SU record, they are outrushing foes 364-328, and outgaining them 6.0 to 5.4 YP play. With a ground game that is at least the equal of the Falcons at 30/134, it will be little surprise to this bureau if the Bucs make a game of this, with the ability to steal one down the stretch. That would mean it was “lesson learned” from last week.


NFL PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME OF THE WEEK… Denver Broncos (+3)
Green Bay Packers (-3) at Denver Broncos 8:30 EST
Apparently the public believes that the only two players on this field will be Green Bay QB Rodgers and Denver QB Manning. And with the help of ESPN and other media outlets, we all know what that perception is. Green Bay QB Rodgers is in his prime, completing 68% with a 15/2 ratio. Denver’s aging QB Manning is completing just 62% of his passes, with a 7/10 ratio. In addition, the public knows that Green Bay has outscored Denver by an average of 33-13 in their three previous meetings. Both teams are rested, a situation that has been a positive for each. Green Bay is 9-1 ATS following a bye, while the Broncos are 14-3 SU ATS home following a bye. Those perceptions aside, there are some very true realities in this game. First and foremost is that the Broncos are allowing a league low 17 PPG, 281 YPG, and only 4.5 YP play. It’s never easy to fade the #1 defense in the league when they are an underdog. Secondly, is the strong home field of the Broncos, which finds them to be 24-2 SU the last 3+ years since QB Manning has resurrected his career in the Mile High city. Yet the perception continues to dominate the betting line, leaving us with the Denver Broncos as a 3 point home dog, with an undefeated record on a strong home field with the best defense in the league. I guess we’ll just have to settle for that.