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Jeff barone sports
nba- philadelphia/oklahoma city under 209.5 (8pm)
ncaab- texas/washington u under 151 (10pm)
ncaab- south dakota +6.5 wright state (530pm)
nhl- san jose/detroit over 5 -125 (730pm)
PATRICK DAME- "The Numbers Guru"
NBA- CLEVELAND -6 NEW YORK (730PM)
NBA- SACRAMENTO -6.5 BROOKLYN (10PM)
NCAAB- UAB -1.5 AUBURN (930PM)
NCAAB- WISC GREEN BAY +6.5 STANFORD (930PM)
David mires system
ncaaf- usc -16 colorado (9pm)
nba- orlando +1 utah (7pm)
nba- atlanta/boston under 205.5 (730pm)
ncaab- temple +9.5 north carolina (7pm)
ncaab- mississippi st -10 e. Washington (9pm)
ncaab- seton hall -11 dartmouth (7pm)
4-Unit Play. Take #724 Iowa State (-9) over Colorado (5 p.m., Friday, Nov. 13)
Iowa State is the much better team in this matchup. Colorado had an ugly end to last season on the court and in the locker room. They lost their best player in Askia Booker and then took another hit when they lost Xavier Johnson for the year. This team only has one or two good players. Iowa State has a lot of experience back. They also have a new coach in Steve Prohm that is a very good fit for how the Cyclones like to play. Georges Niang is a guy that couldn’t left for the NBA last year. He will dominate this game. If Iowa State is hitting from the outside this one will be over early.
3-Unit Play. Take #737 Pittsburgh (+4.5) over Gonzaga (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 13)
I like the Panthers to pull the upset in this one. They have four starters back from last year’s team. They underachieved last year and I think Jamie Dixon will have his team very well motivated coming into this season. Gonzaga lost a lot of talent last year. All of their starting guards graduated and will be replaced by young or inexperienced players. Pittsburgh will take advantage of that. I think this is a one-possession game down the stretch. And I think Pitt finds a way to pull this one out.
2-Unit Play. Take #750 N.C. State (-11) over William & Mary (7 p.m., Friday, Nov. 13)
I like the talent of this N.C. State team. They have a really nice backcourt led by Cat Barber. And they have a nice transfer that came in from West Virginia that will be a key player for them. N.C. State is just too big and too strong for this small William & Mary team. A1serviceplays.com Last year this team lost by 23 points in its opener to a down Florida team. They also lost by 22 points to North Carolina. They can’t keep up with these big strong teams from top conference. I think they will lose by 17 points tonight.
2-Unit Play. Take #762 Stanford (-7) over UW-Green Bay (9 p.m., Friday, Nov.13)
I really like the home team in this one. This is a young and exciting Stanford team. They have some very good freshmen guards and Johnny Dawkins did a great job with this recruiting class. The Cardinals lost a lot of production from last year’s team. But so did UW-Green Bay. They graduated three senior starters including a rare All-American for the mid-major in Keifer Sykes. They can’t replace the three guys they lost as easily as Stanford can replace the three top guys that it lost. Play the home team.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS 3-Unit Play. #778 Take Wright State (-5.5) over South Dakota (5:30 p.m., Friday, November 13)
This match-up is two mid-majors going in opposite directions. Wright State will take some strong steps forward after a forgettable 11-20 campaign last year. They finally have their best player J.T. Yoho healthy for a full year, a playmaker who still contributed 17 ppg and 7 rpg in half of 2014. A host of complimentary players will step up in new and bigger roles for the Raiders as well. On the other hand, South Dakota graduated its best two players, its only two double figure scorers, and will have some natural regression. Lay the points with the Horizon League team as they come through to score a win and cover. 3-Unit Play. #793 Take Western Carolina (+21) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Friday, November 13)
Value play here on the underdog Catamounts. Cincinnati were a very poor offensive team last year, ranking 295th in the nation with just 62.1 points scored per game. They play a halfcourt style of play and rarely do they ever run away from opponents. Western Carolina will keep it close throughout with three double-digit scoring returning starters. Cincy has none. I think this is a game played out in the low 60s, and the big number holds up just fine. 3-Unit Play. #802 Take Hofstra (-9.5) over Canisius (7 p.m., Friday, November 13)
Not only better team from the better conference, but Hofstra can also boast they will be the class of their league in the Colonial. The Pride won 20 games last year and are expected to be even better. They have the preseason CAA Player of the Year with Juan’ya Green and the team’s other two top scorers from a season ago. Thanks to A1serviceplays.com Canisius lost over half their scoring from 2014, and I don’t see them staying on the floor for more than a half. I wouldn’t be surprised if this one was a 20-point win or close to that. Hofstra runs away with their opener against their New York State opponent tonight. 3-Unit Play. #832 Take Missouri (-2.5) over Wofford (8 p.m., Friday, November 13)
Similar with the below play on Auburn, we look for some home cooking with another SEC team seeking improvements in the second year of a new coaching change. Mizzou was horrible last season but the encore for head coach Kim Anderson should be met with higher marks, notably because of his incoming freshmen class. Wofford is an experienced team, but they also graduated two key starters, one of them their best player in Karl Cochran. And similar to the Auburn line, oddsmakers have done their homework to list the Tigers as the home favorite. I agree with both numbers. Missouri will see this game as a bigger prize than Wofford. Any win for them early in the calendar is regarded as needed, and despite it being the first contest of the year, I think we’ll see some confidence from the young Tigers in this one, scoring a win by a few buckets in the process. 3-Unit Play. #752 Take Auburn (-2) over UAB (9:30 p.m., Friday, November 13)
The Tigers enter year two of the Bruce Pearl regime, and I think they can expect further improvement. Oddsmakers have labeled Auburn as home favorites, and I think that says a lot about this match-up. While UAB is coming off their Round of 32 appearance in last year’s NCAA Tournament, this was a Blazers team that finished just 16-15 in the regular season in 2014 and wound up winning a vulnerable C-USA conference tournament. Having a home game to begin Pearl’s second year in command is a big plus for Pearl. It’s an opportunity to not only get an early ‘W’ in front of supporters but also register some early momentum with an in-state opponent victory to boot. This play is a bit instinctual, so we trust our gut here. 3-Unit Play. #766 Take UNLV (-7) over Cal Poly SLO (10 p.m., Friday, November 13)
While the Rebels have essentially taken a few steps back the last several years in the Mountain West, UNLV has always been a name in college basketball. And while this year’s roster isn’t laden with notable names, Vegas has a ton of new talent. Relatively low expectations for this group could be a very big positive, and in their opener at home against Cal Poly, I expect a strong start and a whole lot of new juice from the Rebs to begin their new season. They come through with a double digit victory. 3-Unit Play. #771 Take Illinois State (+9.5) over San Diego State (10 p.m., Friday, November 13)
I think this is the sharp pick of the night. Illinois State is going to be a very formidible mid-major this season. But just the same, I think the Mountain West’s top team is a bit overrated. The Aztecs graduated two double digit scorers and also lost one of ther key bench players from a team that last season was ranked 299th in scoring. I don’t see how they improve much, if at all, minus the likes of JJ O’Brien, Aqeel Quinn and Dwayne Polee II. Yes, they have Winston Shepard, however don’t have another player who didn’t score more than five points per game last year. This game is a great test for the Redbirds who will be up for the challenge. Grab the points which I say is too many. Look for the dog to bark here and stay inside this spread.
5 Unit Play. Take #716 Chicago -6.5 over Charlotte (8:05 p.m., Friday, Nov 13) The Chicago Bulls should be well-rested tonight at home and the Bulls will be looking for some revenge tonight as well. Couple weeks ago in Charlotte the Bobcats not only beat the Bulls but they won 130-105 and the Bobcats controlled the boards all game long. Derrick Rose had a horrible game in Charlotte and tonight in the South Side I see Chicago winning this game and winning by double-digits. Tonight I also see the Bulls bench out-playing the Bobcats bench and we should see big games from Rose and Butler tonight in front of the home crowd. Charlotte is 2-7 ATS following a SU win and the Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing record.
3-Unit Play. Take #716 Chicago (-6.5) over Charlotte (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 13) This is a big number. But it is one that the Bulls can manage. I think Chicago is starting to get used to its new coach. They have won two of their last three games with a win over Oklahoma City and a blowout at Philadelphia. Chicago has been really good at home this year. They are 3-1 and the lone loss was in OT. Derrick Rose has managed to stay healthy and he is knocking the rust off. Chicago has revenge over Charlotte for a 25-point blowout loss on Nov. 3. The Bulls remember that one. This is Charlotte's third game in for days. They have had a tough travel schedule this week too. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS at home against teams with a losing road record. The Hornets are just 2-7 ATS after a win. Go with the homer here.
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