11-25-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Locksmith


NCAAB:
Chairman's Plays:
5* UNLV +7.5 (-110)


5* Wisconsin -28 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

NBA


3-Unit Play. 1-Unit Play. Take #708 Detroit (-1.5) over Miami (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 25)

This line has shifted three points since it opened and the sharp money is all over the Pistons in this one. The Heat are coming off one of their best games of the year, blowing out the Knicks. They are in first place in their division and have won six of seven. But the Heat has played its last seven games on its home court. They are going back out onto the road after spending the last two weeks and almost this entire month at home. Miami has been winning but not beating the number. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The home team has won three straight and seven of 10 in this series and the Pistons haven't lost at home to the Heat since Lebron James left. Detroit is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 home games and the Heat are just 14-37 ATS in their last 51 games after a win.ss



2-Unit Play. 1-Unit Play. Take #714 Milwaukee (-4) over Sacramento (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 25)

The Bucks have a nice home court advantage and I think they are going to jump all over the Kings here. It looks like Demarcus Cousins won't play again for this team. It is anyone's guess when the Kings All Star forward is going to play or not play. The Kings do not get up for games like this. They should because these are the only games they have chances to win. But Sacramento is just 9-20 ATS against a team with a losing record. The Bucks are the opposite. They are 5-2 ATS against teams that are below .500. Milwaukee has gotten healthier and they are due for a big win. They will get it here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza

NBA

5 Unit Play. Take #723 Over 195 Utah at LA Clippers (10:35 p.m., Wednesday, Nov 25)


The Clippers get this game home and boy would the Clips love to forget about their last home game. Last Sunday in the Staples Center the Toronto Raptors beat the Clips 91-80 and I was shocked that the Clippers were only able to score 80 points. The Utah Jazz are know for team defense and their last 2 games they have given up over 100 points in both and tonight I see a 3-peat. Look for the Clippers to control the tempo and push this game over and get a home 'W'.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy



3-Unit Play. #779. Take Clemson -12 over Rutgers (Wednesday @ 11:58pm est)

Clemson comes off a loss to UMass as a top 60 team and they fell short to a top 120 team in UMass. This is a bounce-back opportunity for them against a big named school which Brad Bromwell and company would like to do here. This is a team that was 3-0 and had beat 3 teams outside the top 225 and they fell badly to a Umass team by 17 and considering they are a top 40 team who gave up 82 points it's a bit surprising. This is also a team that is top 20 in turnover percentage as well. Rutgers comes off a 10 point loss to Creighton and is outside the top 250 in offensive efficiency. Given Clemson's defensive prowess, and coming off a loss and needing a big win as a top 60 power ranking team, we like Clemson in a big margin here.


4-Unit Play. #753. Take Texas A&M -4 over Texas (Wednesday @ 7pm est) (You can find -3 and -3.5 at some books)

Shaka Smart has a team that will improve in Texas but he faces a Billy Kennedy team that will be more than motivated today given how many times they have lost to Texas on a consistent basis. Billy Kennedy's team is the real deal and in our college basketball preview we were very high on two teams in particular and they were Vanderbilt and Texas A&M. Both of whom we have tagged or are tagging for plays currently. We like Texas A&M here as they are a top 25 defensive team and a top 50 offensive team as well. Note this is a top 5 in offensive efficiency. And as good as Texas is on the defensive front they are struggling to score here and outside the top 250 in many offenisve categories. This team is finding it much more difficult to do well against tougher defenses in the Big12. This is a great opportunity for Billy Kennedy's best team in quite some time and possibly his best team ever in A&M to look to win by a wide margin against Texas here who is sitll getting their feet wet with a new system and coaching staff.


3-Unit Play. #801. Take Prarie View +28 over Wisconsin (Wednesday @ 8pm est)

Prarie View is likely to hang tough here. They are a big dog and we are ok with that. Wisconsin is not as good this year as many expected and Prarie View has been blown out by Wisconsin a few years ago. Byron Rimm has coached Prarie View since 2006 and he has done well with what he has in the program to his credit. This is a program that played well against a decent Radford team and lost to VCU by 25 points on the road. Note that Wisconsin comes off a big win against VCU to their credit but likely has a let down here. Note, Wisconsin faces a top 10 Oklahoma team in their next game too. This is the same team that beat North Dakota by 14 points who is outside the top 300 as well. Wisconsin has a tendency to have let downs and with a look ahead on deck, we like Praire View to hang tough here as they likely lose by 22.


3-Unit Play. #799. Take High Point +9 over Georgia (Wednesday @ 5pm est)

We like to fade Georgia as often as we can in part because Coach Fox's team is a fabulous underdog of 7 to 12 points against big named schools, but struggles as big favorites such as when we took Chattanooga +11 against Georgia who ended up winning outright. Such is the case here as High Point faces Georgia and this is a fantastic public fade and nearly was a 5-unit selection for us. High Point has one of its best teams this year ever in the program history. This is a team top 140 team that lost by just 4 points to Texas Tech on the road, beat Drexel by 9 points on the road and is a top 100 offensive team. Note that Georgia is a team that is outside the top 250 in turnover percentage and is probably looking forward to the Seton Hall game on deck on the road. We like High Point to stay within single digits here and likely lose by 5-6 points. This is one of High Point's highlights of the season facing Georgia such as Chattanooga so they will give their best effort today.


3-Unit Play. #733. Take Over 142 Georgia State vs. Ole Miss (Wednesday @ 5pm est)

Georgia State is going to show up against Ole Miss today and cause massive headaches for this team. This is a highlight for State in their season and this team is led by Ron Hunter - the same coach that busted his behind after his son hit a key 3 pointer in last season's NCAA Tournament. Whenever Ole Miss faces competent squads, the game tends to go over and with this being a fantastic public fade, Georgia State likely to be a very big active underdog - consequently, we feel that this game is likely to go over. Note that this is why the line is so small to begin with, and we have this contest in the low 150's this evening.




Leans:

Small lean on Syracuse, lean on Yale, they naerly beat SMU outright on the road and this is a 75/25 public split so its a big public fade as well, Lehigh/UVA line not out yet, lean on Wake Forrest, do feel a bit unease about the 1.5 line jump in favor of UCLA, but that could just be the public moving the line, but lean on Wake Forrest nonetheless, this is a team that comes off a bad loss to Vanderbilt and will be looking to bounce-back, lean on Illinois State, though Trent Johnson's TCU team comes off back to back losses and can ill-afford to lose here, though they do have a look ahead to SMU (this will prob be our comp selection on today's video). Lean on the Under in the Kansas/Vanderbilt contest we have it in the low 140's, Small lean on Rhode Island, decent public fade on Maryland, note that Maryland faced a decent team like Georgetown with the same power ranking and won by about 4 points, which is why the line sits at just 5.5 here, lean on Michigan as they come off a tough loss to Xavier probably looking ahead to this game, UConn's 3-0 is against teams all outsdie the top 225, lean on Arkansas State, Oregon could still be hungover from the big Valparaiso win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ralph Esparza


3 Unit Play. Take #778 Creighton -3 over Massachusetts (9:30p.m., Wednesday November 25)


What a great matchup tonight at MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas! UMass comes to Sin City with a perfect 4-0 record while Creighton has only dropped one game this young season. I do believe Creighton has played the tougher schedule and if the Jays hot the 3-ball early I see Creighton coming out on top tonight in Las Vegas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI NHL HOCKEY PLAY

6 Unit Play. Take 2562 Pittsburgh -115 over St. Louis (7:05p.m., Wednesday November 25)
Consol Energy Center will produce a great NHL game tonight and both teams will be looking to snap out of their funks. Both teams have split their last 4 games and the home team Pens will be looking to erase a bad outing at home in their last game against San Jose. Penguins lost to San Jose 4-days ago and the Penguins were outplayed and out hustled all home game but tonight I see the reverse roll and the Pens grabbing a home win. Pittsburgh is 6-2 when playing on 3-days or more rest while the Blues are 1-4 against Metropolitan teams.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS


6* Illinois State -2



It may be just two weeks into the new season, but Illinois State is one team whose start definitely does not sum up their talents. And perhaps their 2-3 start has forced oddsmakers to land on a short line. Nonetheless, the Redbirds are a legit mid-major threat this season. ISU has already played at San Diego State, home to another very good mid-major in South Dakota State as well as No. 2 Maryland. Because of this tough early stretch, they haven't really found their groove yet. But facing a TCU team who I don't think too highly of, this is the spot where the Redbirds can really get going. This will be Illinois State's best game of the year so far against the Horned Frogs. Remember, last night this ISU team was leading No. 2 Maryland by five in the second half before they got overrun by a much stronger team. They'll build from that game and take it up a notch with the win tonight in Cancun's consolation game. Illinois State by seven, 69-62.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Porter
PORT PORT SPORTS
TODAY'S ACTION --

(NBA)
OVER 207 ATLANTA HAWKS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
HOUSTON ROCKETS (-3)
ATLANTA HAWKS (-3)

(NCAA BB)
AIR FORCE FALCONS (+14.5)
GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS (-3.5)
WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS (+5.5)
KANSAS JAYHAWKS (-2.5)

(NHL)
OVER 5 VANCOUVER CANUCKS @ MINNESOTA WILD (-135)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
NBA
4* Utah +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott rickenback


10* total of month ottawa/ Colorado over 5.5

10* Orlando / new york over 195.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

NBA
6* NEW YORK KNICKS +1.5

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Sportslab

9 units Idaho St. + 12.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

NHL
3* Jets / Capitals over 5.5 goals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Anthony

40* Colorado Over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond

Duke -14.5