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Dave Cokin | NBA Sides Wed, 11/25/15 – 7:05 PM
double-dime bet – 704 CHL -3.5 (-110) vs 703 WAS
Analysis: Heavy trends here. Washington has had trouble for some time now on the second of back to backs, and that has continued this season to date. They’re also a team that has a tendency to follow one bad game with another. The Wizards are 9-21 ATS off a loss. Charlotte fits a bunch of situations where they’ve been doing wetland they’ve also been enjoying quite a bit of success with this opponent, covering six of the last seven. It looks to me like Charlotte is at least back to where they were two seasons ago, and they’re a little undervalued right now. I’ll lay it here with the Hornets.
OREGON (-21 ½) over Arkansas State
04:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 732
Oregon applies to a 111-45-3 ATS early season situation that won for us a few nights ago with Cal over Sam Houston State. My preseason ratings only favored the Ducks by 20 points in this game but Arkansas State is playing worse than expected and my updated ratings favor the Ducks by 22 points (24 points using this year's games only) - so the line is fair. I'll take Oregon in a 1-Star Best Bet at -22 points or less.
Opinion – Cleveland (-3) over TORONTO
04:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 709
I like Cleveland’s current rotation and the Cavaliers apply to a 146-58-4 ATS road favorite momentum situation, but my ratings only favor Cleveland by 2 points in this game. The situation is strong enough that I’ll lean with the Cavaliers at -3 or less.
*NORTH DAKOTA STATE (-6 ½) over Montana
05:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 792
North Dakota State applies to an 85-38-5 ATS non-conference home revenge situation tonight and my ratings favor the Bison by 7 points, so the line is fair. I'll take North Dakota State in a 1-Star Best Bet at -7 or less.
*SAN ANTONIO (-9 ½) over Dallas
05:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 720
San Antonio has some aging stars that still contribute so it helps when their opponent is not more rested than they are, which is the case tonight with Dallas having played last night. The last 3 years the Spurs are 82-55-4 ATS in all games when their opponent has had no more than 1 day off and the Spurs have equal or greater rest. That record is an even better 65-39-3 ATS if the line is -10 or better. The Spurs have won 6 of their 7 home games by double-digit margins with the only exception being a 9 point win when both Kawhi Leonard and Manu Ginobili were both out. My ratings favor the Spurs by 12 points in this game and I’ll take San Antonio in a 1-Star Best Bet at -10 or less and for 2-Stars at -9.
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