12-13-15

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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | VANCOUVER at CHICAGO
Play On - Any team against the money line (CHICAGO) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season
51-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.3% | 33.5 units )
10-6 this year. ( 62.5% | 2.2 units )

NHL | VANCOUVER at CHICAGO
Play On - A favorite against the money line (CHICAGO) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the first half of the season
49-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.1% | 32.5 units )
10-5 this year. ( 66.7% | 3.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | UTAH at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On - Any team (UTAH) off a home loss against a division rival against opponent off a win against a division rival
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) off a loss against a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
35-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 53.8% | 31.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.0 units )

NBA | UTAH at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, vs. division opponents
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | UC-SANTA BARBARA at S DAKOTA ST
Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (S DAKOTA ST) excellent free throw shooting team (>=73%) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )

CBB | COLORADO ST at N COLORADO
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (N COLORADO) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=45% on the season against opponent after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.4 units )

CBB | MOREHEAD ST at PITTSBURGH
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | SAN DIEGO at KANSAS CITY
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

NFL | NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games, in the second half of the season
85-25 since 1997. ( 77.3% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | OAKLAND at DENVER
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (DENVER) after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

NFL | SAN FRANCISCO at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) off a home loss by 10 or more points, after the first month of the season
117-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
12-9 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.0 units )

NFL | TENNESSEE at NY JETS
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

NFL | OAKLAND at DENVER
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (OAKLAND) off a home loss by 10 or more points, after the first month of the season
117-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
12-9 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.0 units )

NFL | SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
Play Against - Road favorites (SEATTLE) an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after allowing 9 points or less last game
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) in a game involving two poor rushing teams (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
43-20 since 1997. ( 68.3% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Navy (-22) on Saturday and likes the Browns on Sunday.

The deficit is 1349 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo still living large

Hondo remained the sole occupant of the Best Bet penthouse, despite going one for three with his top selections. Thus, he would like to offer some early holiday cheer to his closest competitors for their cooperation in his past and continued success.

Jets over Titans: Even though the Titans erupted for 42 points against the Jags, don’t buy into any Mularkey that Tennessee now has a potent offense. Remember to forget the Titans, especially with Fitzpatrick, the journeyman, leading the Jets to a playoff journey, man.

Bengals over Steelers: Angela Merkel was named Time’s Person of the Year, prompting Donald “El Donaldo” Trump, who finished third, to comment: “Look at that face. Why would anyone vote for that?” Iranian President Hassan Rouhani came in fifth, a lofty finish no doubt due to his having totally hosed Obama and Kerry in the nuke deal.

Eagles over Bills: Steve Sarkisian is suing Southern Cal for firing him as football coach because of his “disability,” aka excessive drinking. USC shouldn’t worry too much, though; Hondo hears Cutty Sark intends to represent himself as a member in good standing of the California Bars Association. Emailer Donny Mac says Sarkisian just wants another shot.

Panthers over Falcons: Hillary Clinton denies now that when she was Secretary of State she told grieving family members that their relatives had been killed in Benghazi because of an offensive film about Islam. However, let’s not be overly tough on the Portly Pantsuit; it’s not easy to keep all those lies straight. Secretary of State John Kerry surpassed Hillary in frequent flyer miles, but she still holds the record for countries visited as Sec. of State with 112, with not a single accomplishment of note in any of them.

49ers over Browns: According to The Post’s “Eating Right” section, champagne is good for your heart and memory. So, apparently newly renamed starter Johnny Manziel was pursuing self-improvement while partying during his bubbly bye week.
Bears over Redskins: Stephen Colbert’s “Late Show” dropped all the way down to fourth place in a recent late-night ratings week, finishing behind Seth Myers. On the bright side, the smarmy southpaw at least was able to beat R-S MSNBC (Ratings-Starved MSNBC) reruns of “All In with Chris Hayes” and “The Rachel Maddow Show.”

Lions over Rams: The cause of the Rams’ problems finally was revealed this week. It wasn’t the players’ effort, a notion adamantly refuted by Jeff Fisher after Week 12’s 31-7 bludgeoning by the Bengals. No, it was offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti, whom Fisher fired after Week 13’s 27-3 bludgeoning by the Cards.

Chargers over Chiefs: Two from BarkingMut, aka the HondoNation SoBe Bureau Chief: With Philip Rivers’ wife giving birth to their eighth child a few weeks ago, the Chargers QB has proven he can complete his passes without protection. … Rivers has a new TV show in the works that will be titled: “Eight May Or May Not Be Enough.”

Saints over Bucs: Emauler Ed Buckmir submits: Will Smith was nominated for a Golden Globe for his role as a doctor trying to uncover the truth in the football drama “Concussion.” In reel life, the role of inept NFL commissioner is played by Luke Wilson, while in real life, the role of inept NFL commissioner is played by Roger Goodell.

Colts over Jaguars: Watch dealer Steven Rostovsky had a $600,000 watch lifted from his Midtown hotel by two women he was partying with earlier at Sapphire Gentleman’s Club. This sort of thing could be avoided only if everyone carried around a Clock Boy Bomb Clock.

Seahawks over Ravens: Clairvoyant Baba Vanga, a blind mystic from Bulgaria, reportedly predicted, 9/11, the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, the Fukushima nuclear disaster and birth of ISIS. It’s a shame Baba died in 1996; she could have been a worthy adversary for perennial Bettor’s Guide Girls Division Champ Ms. Charleen.

Broncos over Raiders: Quentin Tarantino reportedly is stepping back from protesting cop violence to promote “The Hateful Eight,” his latest movie that glorifies violence.

Cowboys over Packers: NFL supervisor of officials Dean Blandino on the phantom face-mask penalty that gave the Packers another play and enabled Aaron Rodgers to throw a Hail Mary to beat the Lions: “I’m not convinced it wasn’t a face mask.” Well, that’s a big improvement for the zebras if there’s a possibility there’s an outside chance they might have gotten one right.

Patriots over Texans: Animal activist Pamela Anderson met with Vladimir Putin’s chief of staff, Sergei Ivanov, in Moscow this week to discuss freeing orcas and dolphins from sea aquariums. Sources say Ivanov agreed to help her cause but only if Pam consented to help his cause, which was, at some point in the meeting, to free her sweater puppies.

Giants over Dolphins: Tom Coughlin overthought a no-brainer and the Giants paid the price against the Jets. Worse than that, so did Hondo, who named it his Week 13 Stick It To Mr. Aitch Game of the Week. That said, not even Tommy Tightbutt can butcher a point-spread win over the seriously flawed Fish.

Best bets: Panthers, Broncos, Giants.

Thursday night: Cardinals (L).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns NFL

Blue marlin - cleveland
Blue chip total - det/Rams under
Gow shocker - chargers
GOY - bears
MAIN EVENT - pats/Texans under

3 totals
Buff/Phil under
Sf/cle over
Tenn/jets under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Missanelli
Texans
Jags
Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence. Perfect system club
The Perfect System Club 2015 Season

NFL 12/13/15

FIXER UPPPER

PLAY ON any NFL home dog off a home loss of 24 or more points in its last game if they scored 3 or fewer points in the loss and are facing a .714 or less opponent.


ATS W-L Record Since 1990: 10-0

Play On: St. Louis Rams

Reasoning: Non desirable NFL home dogs off an embarrassing blowout home
loss in which they failed to score more than a field goal become desirable
value plays, especially when taking on a beatable foe.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK…Tampa Bay (-4)
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) 1:00 EST
There is a case to be made that New Orleans had their last gasp of the season in their (41-38) home field loss to undefeated Carolina last week. Confirming the fact was the 497 yards of offense by the visiting Panthers. That simply reinforced the point that the Saints have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 32 PPG, 427 YPG, and 6.8 YP play. In addition, the defensive front allows 139/4.9. That is certainly grist for the running mill of the explosive Bucs’ ground game that averages 143/4.8. That overland excellence is confirmed by the fact the Bucs have handily outrushed their last three opponents gaining 581 yards overland. With last week’s (23-19) home field win over Atlanta, the Bucs improved to 4-2 SU of late and now stand 6-6 SU for the season, with three times as many victories as all of last year. They’re also just a single game out of the final Wild Card spot. Though the Saints play with (26-19) home field revenge, there simply may not be much hope or will for a team who gave it their all last week only to come away a loser. In any event, the overland fundamentals are so strong that this can only be the NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports

Pitt +3

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Brad Wilton

200 DIME
- Double Your Max Wager -
Interconference Game of the Year

Bills +1

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Scott Delaney

Biggest NFL Release of his Career
200 DIME
NFL Game of the Year

Indianapolis Colts +2

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks
System Play:
NY Jets -7

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BEST Football - Sunday NFL Top 5 Ticket - Dec. 13
7* #105/106 'OVER 49.5' Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals 12:00 PM CT
9* #108 Philadelphia Eagles +1.5 over Buffalo Bills 12:00 PM CT
5* #117/118 'UNDER 45' San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs 12:00 PM CT
8* #123 Tennessee Titans +7 over New York Jets 12:00 PM CT
6* #129 Dallas Cowboys +7 over Green Bay Packers 3:25 PM CT