1-16-16

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CAPPERS ACCESS

(NFL) Chiefs
(NFL)Cardinals
(CBB)N. Carolina
(CBB)San Diego St

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Tony George


Playoff Game of the Year
Carolina Panthers

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | ARKANSAS at LSU
Play On - A road team (ARKANSAS) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

CBB | KENTUCKY at AUBURN
Play Against - Any team (AUBURN) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher
94-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.7% | 40.9 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.8 units )

CBB | WI-MILWAUKEE at IL-CHICAGO
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.7 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MILWAUKEE at CHARLOTTE
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
71-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% | 33.6 units )
11-8 this year. ( 57.9% | 2.2 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at CHARLOTTE
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a losing record
39-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.9% | 26.5 units )

NBA | BROOKLYN at ATLANTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

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Here are the upcoming system bet(s):

Golden State {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet because of the road record filter.

Note that all bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.

Make sure to follow the Exterminator NBA System guidelines below:

- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.

-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.

- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)

- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread, but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.

Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.

Good luck,
The "Champ" Team

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EZWINNERS

NFL

5* (301) Kansas City Chiefs +5

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Ramdall the Handle

Chiefs (12-5) at Patriots (12-4)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 5
The Chiefs’ 11 straight wins is an impressive run in today’s NFL. While we don’t want to detract from the accomplishment, we can’t help but challenge its validity. A decisive 29-13 win at Denver back on Nov. 15 certainly jumps off the page, but that was a divisional opponent seeking revenge off an earlier bizarre finish in which Kansas City saw a seven-point lead become a seven-point deficit over a span of nine seconds late in the fourth quarter. After that one, KC’s final seven-regular season opponents did not include a winning team. That allowed the Chiefs to make this post-season and as luck would have it, draw an opening playoff game against the inadequate Texans. Kudos for Kansas City’s 30-0 win but that game saw an opening kickoff returned for a touchdown, spotting the Chiefs a lead they would never relinquish, aided by a doe-in-the-headlights performance by Houston QB Brian Hoyer (15 of 34, 0 touchdowns, 4 intercepts). Therein lies the problem for the visiting Chiefs. This is a team that relies on the mistakes of others for their success. It is a quantum leap to go from a bumbling Hoyer to an ace like Tom Brady and the experience of the Patriots. Granted, New England wasn’t sharp down the stretch but injuries played a huge role in that drop off. A two-week break not only allows for some of the wounded to get back on the field but also grants an extra week of healing for guys nursing normal 16-game bumps and bruises. It may actually be the Chiefs that are in worse physical shape than their hosts as key guys like WR Jeremy Maclin and defensive stars Justin Houston and Tamba Hali are hurting. We sense that New England is not feared the same way as it has been over the past few seasons heading into the playoffs and as a result, we get a reduced price for this one. This will be the first time in eight post-season games, dating back to the 2009 season, that the Patriots have been less than a seven-point favourite for a home playoff game. Better teams than this guest have failed to stay within range.

TAKING: PATRIOTS -5


Packers (11-6) at Cardinals (13-3)
LINE: ARIZONA by 7
Arizona could be the most complete team in these playoffs. The Cardinals operate the top ranked offence in the league. They also own the fifth best defence in the league while having the second most takeaways of all 32 teams. They are well coached, have a good mix of young talent and smart veterans and are led by a dangerous quarterback. The Cards completely destroyed the Packers on this field just three weeks ago in a 38-8 one-sided affair which preceded Green Bay’s season-ending loss to the Vikings, a game that decided the NFC North. There is little doubt that Arizona has the ability to win here. But in a rare occurrence, the Packers are being offered a boat load of points. The only time that Green Bay has been spotted this big of a handicap with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback was in last year’s NFC title game that saw Seattle win a miraculous 28-22 overtime game with the Packers covering after receiving 8½ points. Rodgers may not have the most supportive roster around him this year but he’s still one of the premier players in this league and is more than capable of carrying a team on his arm. Besides, it’s not like the Packers are chopped liver. While they may not have been in their best form down the stretch, Green Bay still managed to defeat four teams this season that made this year’s tournament (Seahawks, Redskins, Vikings and Chiefs). Rodgers knows how to win games. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for 36-year old Carson Palmer, who has not won a playoff game in his career (0-2). While the early meeting cannot be completely ignored, it is rare for adequate teams to get trampled consecutively (see Minnesota-Seattle last week). Four turnovers led to 28 Arizona points in that one and the likelihood of that happening again is rare. Perhaps it is false advertising but the Packers appeared to have regained their mojo in last week’s 35-18 playoff win at Washington. Regardless, taking a full touchdown with a team that has this kind of pedigree and a top QB is a no-brainer for us. We’ll let the ‘Cards’ fall where they may.

TAKING: PACKERS +7

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VEGAS DAVE

NFL

Kansas City Chiefs +5

Carolina Panthers -1.5

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Sleepy J

NFL

3* Green Bay Packers +7.5

1.5 * New England Patriots -5

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Stephen Nover

TRIPLE DIME PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR

Over 49.5 Green Bay Packers/Arizona Cardinals

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SixthSense

NFL

1 Unit Arizona Cardinals -7

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Fat Jack

NFL

#301 Kansas City Chiefs +5

#301 OVER 41 Kansas City Chiefs/New England Patriots

#303 Green Bay Packers +7

#303 UNDER 50 Green Bay Packers/Arizona Cardinals

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Prediction Machine

2-2 last week on sides
PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc

301 4:35 PM KC @ NE 5 -3.7 53.5 $12
304 8:15 PM @ARI GB -7 8.0 52.9 $5


STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%

304 8:15 PM @ ARI GB 29.5 21.4 69.4
302 4:35 PM @ NE KC 24.0 20.4 59.8


OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc

302 4:35 PM KC @ NE 42 44.4 Over 54.3 $20
304 8:15 PM GB @ ARI 50 50.9 Over 51.4 $0

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Spartan

NFL GOY

New England Patriots -5