1-28-16

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | DENVER at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
109-59 since 1997. ( 64.9% | 44.1 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at MEMPHIS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MEMPHIS) after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, in non-conference games
120-91 since 1997. ( 56.9% | 53.8 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at INDIANA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's)
233-143 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 75.7 units )
46-20 this year. ( 69.7% | 24.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | ROBERT MORRIS at MOUNT ST MARYS
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MOUNT ST MARYS) in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

CBB | UNC-GREENSBORO at THE CITADEL
Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (THE CITADEL) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 155 points or more 3 straight games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 21.4 units )

CBB | PEPPERDINE at SAN DIEGO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Butler (-13) on Wednesday and likes Old Dominion on Thursday.

The deficit is 270 sirignanos.

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bookiemonsters

POD Delaware +7.5

Money Generator plays

Denver Nuggets +7
Cincinatti +3
Notre Dame +3.5

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Goodfella

(3*) NBA EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Pacers -3

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nbaclub.info


NBA
Indiana Pacers v Atlanta Hawks
Under 202.5 @ 1.847

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MVP LOCK CLUB

LOCK: George Washington -5.5 (NCAAB)

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WISEGUY INSIDER

WISEGUY:

NCAAB: Gonzaga -20

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Dave Essler: Triple Dime GOW


PLAY: UCONN
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY


Buying the hook to -2 - in part because we need this out early and in part because I do think it's going to be the best number. Betting against UConn at home is just something I rarely/ever do. They lost one game at home to Temple this season (Temple also beat Cincinnati).They lost two conference home games last season (one to Temple, again) and by a point to Memphis. The prior year they lost two # ranked L'ville and to SMU. You get the point. This line would reflect the fact that they rate these teams even, giving Uconn the HCA (home court advantage) of +3. I don't rate these teams even and give UConn a much bigger advantage at home. Let's look at the Bearcats, who were a betting darling early this season and uncharacteristically scoring a ton of point. However, they did that against some weak teams which of course showed up when they proceeded to lose to Butler and VCU. Fast forward to AAC playÇ - they've played three road games, losing at SMU and Temple, beating South Florida, and only by three. Now to the matchup - Cincinnati is scoring a very large % of their points inside, especially in AAC play (55%). In Conference play UConn has the #1 ranked two-point defense, only allowing a 37% conversion rate, and they have a length advantage. Cincinnati doesn't spend a lot of time at the FT line, whereas not only DOES Uconn live at the line, but in AAC play they're shooting 82% - which we not only love throughout a game but down the stretch to cover close games. The Bearcats have the #2 ranked defense (efficiency) in the ACC - Uconn is numero uno. UConn will shoot three's and that's clearly the weakest link in Cincinnati's defense. Daniel Hamilton is a tough cover for anyone as a 6'7" point guard - and of course there's Sterling Gibbs (Seton Hall transfer). We worry about Cobb from deep and Ellis inside with the Bearcats - UConn has depth/length with Facey, Nolan, and even seldom used Steven Enoch all at 6'10" or better to make Ellis work at both ends. Cobb built a lot of his stats against the weaker sisters this season (certainly not doubting his ability) and in his best game in Conference play he scored 24 against SMU - they lost - and only scored 57 as a team. So, he MAY get his - but he'll need help and I don't see where it comes from. Conversely, UConn has a multitude of ways to win. Defensively as referred to, at the line, or simply draining three's over the weakest part of the Bearcats defense. I'll add thoughts on other games later, as always - and good luck.

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Trace Adams

Revenge Game of the Month

For Thursday,*Top-Rated 1000♦*is*UCLA*as the home favorite over Washington.*At 7:30 am eastern time, the Bruins are the -6 point favorites in Vegas and offshore.

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Al DeMarco

Triple Revenge Game of the Year

15 DIME play on Marshall at home against Middle Tennessee State. The Thundering Herd are -3 1/2 as of 4:30 A.M. Pacific.

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Anthony Redd

PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH

40 Dime selection on the*Oregon Ducks*against the Arizona Wildcats. As I release this play at 4:35am Pacific here*in Vegas, the line on Oregon is +7 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.

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Chuck O'Brien

50 Dime Play:*Southern Cal

Line as of 8:15 AM Eastern:*Southern Cal -13

Special Instructions:*None

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Brad Wilton

Pac 12 Dead Mortal Lock

Thursday winner is a*75 Dime*release*on*Arizona State*as the home favorite against Oregon State.*At 5:00 AM Vegas time, the Sun Devils are the -5 1/2 point favorites.