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2-Unit Play. Take #527 Florida State (-3) over Wake Forest (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 6)
Wake Forest is on a huge slide! This team is just 1-9 in ACC play and they are one of the worst teams ATS in the league. Wake is coming off a blowout home loss to Clemson and I think that this team is quitting on the season. The Demon Deacons are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games combined. Florida State has won three straight and five of their last seven games. They are on the way up. The Seminoles are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against a team that is below .500. FSU has too much for Wake and their losing will continue.
2-Unit Play. Take #675 Indiana (-8) over Penn State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 6)
The Hoosiers are coming off a blowout win at Michigan. I think they can do the same thing in Happy Valley. Penn State is coming off a 24-point loss at Iowa and is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games. They have only won two games since late December. The Nittany Lions have been beaten up and are still without Josh Reaves. Indiana has been going the other way. Indiana is 14-1 in its last 15 games and this team is playing well on the road, winning big at Michigan, Minnesota and Nebraska. They will do it again here. Indiana has one of the best freshmen in the country in Thomas Bryant and he is opening things up for IU's talented perimeter players. They have too much offense for Penn State and will get another blowout win here.
3-Unit Play. Take #567 Boise State (-11.5) over Air Force (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 6)
Boise State has been up and down. But I think they are going to be up here. This is one of the top teams in the Mountain West. And they need to win this game if they want to get ahead of New Mexico and get into the No. 2 seed in the conference. Air Force is below .500 and they are just 2-8 in league play. They have gone just 1-8 in their last nine games and have struggled without key guard Trevor Lyons. Boise didn't have any problem beating Air Force badly last year and they went 3-0 ATS against the Falcons. Air Force is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall and after an upset win over Wyoming I think they are going to struggle against a much better team. Lay the points.
3 Unit Play. Take #570 Georgia St -1 over UT Arlington (2:30p.m., Saturday February 6)
A bit confused on this number as Georgia St Panthers are 10-1 at home and the UT Arlington Mavericks have dropped 4-straight and 5 out of their last 6 games. The Mavericks will also be without Kevin Hervey today and even if he does play he will not be 100% so today I see the Panthers getting another home 'W'. Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and the favorite in this series is also a perfect 4-0 ATS.
2 Unit Play. Take #639 North Carolina -3 over Notre Dame (7:00p.m., Saturday February 6 ESPN)
Both teams are coming off losses during the week but tonight I believe the better team will grab the victory. Notre Dame has dropped 2 out of 3 games granted both losses were on the road but I see UNC wearing down the Irish in the second half. Notre Dame is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and if this game is an up-tempo game the Tar Heels will steal the road victory.
5 Unit Play. Take #675 Over 142 Indiana at Penn St (8:00p.m., Saturday February 6 BIG10)
This play is all on the high power scoring machine that the Indiana Hoosiers have displayed all season long. Indiana is averaging 85ppg this season and the Hoosiers are coming off a huge road win over Michigan beating them on the road 80-67. I know this could be a trap game for Indiana as they have a huge matchup next week against Iowa but with the offense IU has played all season long I see the Hoosiers controlling the tempo. Penn St at home has shown better offense and if you throw in that the Nittany Lions are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 conference home games its no secret that we love the over. I see Indiana hitting the high 70 mark tonight or higher and Penn St will have problem trying to keep up with the Hoosiers offense at home. Indiana is 11-5 O/U in their last 16 road games and the Nittany Lions are 10-3 O/U following a SU loss.
3 Unit Play. Take #682 Seton Hall -4 over Georgetown (9:00p.m., Saturday February 6 CBSC)
Here is another soft number for a home team that has been playing good ball in conference play. Georgetown travels to Newark, New Jersey to play a quite 16-6 Seton Hall team and the Hoyas have dropped back-to-back games and 3 out of 4. Seton Hall has won 3-straight and I can't believe nobody is talking about this Hall team. Grab this -4 because I see this number closing around -5 or even higher. Seton Hall is 6-0 ATS against Big East teams and the Hoyas are 0-4 ATS against Big East teams.
3 Unit Play. Take #697 Over 144 Gonzaga at Pepperdine (11:59 p.m., Saturday February 6 ESPN2)
Here is another game and another over based on one team that score at will! Gonzaga is averaging 80.1ppg this season and early December the Zags beat Pepperdine 99-73 in Washington. Thursday night we had Gonzaga/LMU over 142. And easily cashed that ticket as Gonzaga scored 92 points and tonight the Bulldogs will again give us another OVER winner.
2 Unit Play. Take West Ham +.5 +120 over Southampton (12:30p.m., Saturday, Feb 6) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time - if the game end in a DRAW we have a winner)
Tuesday we cashed with West Ham over Aston Villa and Saturday we hoping for another West Ham winner or even a Draw. Southampton has won only 1 game out of their last 8 Premier League matches against West Ham (1-3-4). Should be a tight match from the start and again wouldn't shock me to see a 'Draw' or even a West Ham road victory.
SUNDAY ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE SOCCER
4 Unit Play. Take Arsenal +100 Bournemouth (8:30a.m., Sunday, Feb 7) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time - if the game ends in a DRAW we have a loser)
I know Arsenal have struggled on league road games and their last 4 matches in league play they are 0-1-3 but Sunday morning I see Arsenal getting a much needed league 'W'. Arsenal hasn't scored a goal in three league games but stops on Sunday as Arsenal gets an early goal. These two teams played each other at Bournemouth in late December and Arsenal won 2-0 and I see another goose egg from Bournemouth and Arsenal winning either 1-0 or 2-0
BIG AL's 100% (13-0 ATS) COLONIAL ATHLETIC ASS'N GAME OF THE YEAR!
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over William & Mary. William & Mary's on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, including an 86-77 win at Northeastern on Thursday. Meanwhile, Delaware comes into this game off an 83-56 loss at Elon, as a 7-point underdog. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on William & Mary. But consider that Delaware is 13-0-1 ATS its last 14 games on the road following a game where it failed to cover by 11+ points. Additionally, Delaware falls into several of my best systems, including a 550-369 angle which plays on certain double-digit underdogs off back to back losses, and 302-173 and 105-50 ATS systems that play on certain teams on losing streaks. These two teams met just nine days ago, and the Tribe defeated Delaware, 94-79, in Newark. However, the Blue Hens have been much stronger ATS away from home -- and especially as an underdog -- as they're 54-25-2 ATS since February 16, 2005 on the conference road. Take Delaware + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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