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Ken Thomson | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 17 2016 8:00PM
728 Illinois St. -5.5(-110) Greek vs 727 Indiana St. single-dime bet
Analysis:Illinois State got whipped at Terra Haute back on January 9th 77-65 by the Sycamores. The Redbirds are playing much better ball right now and have won four straight games and 7 of their last 8 games including successive wins over Wichita State and at Evansville. Devaughn Akoon-Purcell & MiKyle McIntosh lead the way for Illinois State scoring a combined 26 points per contest while Paris Lee & Deonte Hawkins chip in another 21 combined points per game. Those four players should help Dan Mueller's guys get the revenge win to even up the season series. Indiana State has dropped 5 straight road games in the MVC. In the first meeting Brenton Scott tossed in a season high 25 points and Devonte Brown added 15 more to lead the way. The Syca —mores enjoyed the home court calls gaining 16 more free throw attempts for the game and cashing in on 12 more charity stripe shots...the margin of victory for the game. Illinois State is playing with great confidence and it would not surprise me if they get this game by double digits in Normal, Illinois.
UPDATE- 8:15 AM PT- This line is up to minus 6 many places- If the Redbirds play defensively the way they have against Wichita State & Evansville they should shut down Indiana State for several minutes somewhere in the game and open this game up- I like them by 9-16 points in Normal,IL
Ken Thomson | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 17 2016 6:00PM
702 St. Joseph's -2.5(-110) William Hill vs 701 Dayton single-dime bet
Analysis:A big opportunity for Phil Martelli's Hawks to take a huge step in the A-10. Isaiah Miles ( 18 ppg ) will lead St. Joseph's to a hard fought win against Archie Miller's Flyers. Dayton should have Kendall Pollard back in the line up after a slight knee injury. Charles Cooke & Dyshawn Pierre should help keep Dayton close throughout but I expect the Hawks to take care of business and hold serve on their home court. St. Joe's was sluggish out of the gate in a January home loss to — St. Bonnie's and will look to get off to a quick start and set the pace.
UPDATE-7:45 AM PT-- LINE HAS GONE AGAINST ME A FULL POINT- I still like this St. Joe's team a lot but this is a make or break game for their confidence and their resume for an at-large bid...at the end of the day...if I get Martelli's teams best effort, I feel confident in the play.
NCAAB:
Boston College/Clemson over 125.5
Manhattan/St. Peter's over 130
Western Illinois/North Dakota State over 129.5
Northern Iowa/Loyola-Illinois over 124
NCAAB: 5* Colorado State Rams +3.5 4* Saint Joseph’s Hawks -1 4* UC Irvine Anteaters -6.5 3* Iowa Hawkeyes -9 3* St. Bonaventure Bonnies -8.5 2* Miami (FL) Hurricanes -15 2* Temple Owls +9.5 2* Iowa Hawkeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions OVER +140.5
NHL: 5* Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers OVER 5 (-125) 2* Calgary Flames ML (+110) 2* Colorado Avalanche ML (-130) 1* Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames OVER +5 (-125) (FREE PLAY)
6-Unit Play. #685 Take Nebraska-Omaha (-1.5)
over IUPUI
(7 p.m., Wednesday, February 17)
Big road game here for the Mavericks after back-to-back home wins to get UNO to 0.5 back of first place South Dakota State in the Summit League. Argubaly the best offensive team in the conference, UNO has a big leg up against IUPUI in this match-up. The Mavericks are scoing 85 points per game on the road this year, and they have more wins away from home (9) than IUPUI has at home (7). Omaha is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games, and in this one the road favorite tag is justified. IUPUI is coming off three straight road losses which they didn’t even crack 60 points in any game. Omaha’s top four scorers are averaging over 60 points combined, that’s nearly as much as the entire IUPUI team’s output. Omaha are the superior offensive team who also happens to be a confident bunch on the road this season. The road team has covered five of the previous six meetings, not to mention Omaha is 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games following a home stand of at least three games. They’ll have a renewed focused after these past home victories to earn their 10th league win of the year. Omaha from the get go, 78-69.
3-Unit Play. #713 Take George Washington (-2)
over Duquesne
(7 p.m., Wednesday, February 17)
After back-to-back losses in the league, GW needs a response. They are still sitting in a good position for the NCAA Tournament with an 18-7 record and RPI of 50. But if they slip up several more times in the regular season, they might just force the committee’s hand. The Colonials won the first meeting by 27. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and GW will be very motivated to get back in the win column to further help out their Big Dance resume.
3-Unit Play. #725 Take DePaul (-1)
over St. John’s
(8 p.m., Wednesday, February 17)
Until the Red Storm prove they are good enough to win a game in the Big East, they should be bet against. DePaul isn’t exactly world beaters, but they can boast wins over Providence and Marquette, which is far more than the Johnnies can do. Double digit scorers Myke Henry and Billy Garrett Jr. will be enough to keep St. John’s winless in the league.
3-Unit Play. #753 Take Fresno State (+1.5)
over Wyoming
(9 p.m., Wednesday, February 17)
The wrong team is favored here. Nothing the Cowboys have done this year should suggest they are worthy favorites over a superior Bulldogs team. I know Fresno State is a little bit banged up right now, but I still favor them in current form over a 12-14 Wyoming team that has beaten nobody this season.
Syracuse is 8-1 SU over their last nine games, but the Orange have played an extremely easy schedule over that span. Syracuse’s wins have come against the likes of Wake Forest twice, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Florida State, and Georgia Tech. They were supposed to win those games because they are superior to those opponents. However, the Orange only beat Georgia Tech by 3 points, and they needed overtime to beat Virginia Tech. Both of those games came on their home court, so the close results are unimpressive. Syracuse will now play a back-to-back road set while taking a monumental step-up in class. The Orange offense has struggled away from home all season; Syracuse is only averaging 67.3 points per game on 39.5% shooting from the field and 38.8% shooting from three-point land on the road.
Louisville returns home off back-to-back road losses at Duke and at Notre Dame. The Cardinals were competitive in both of those defeats as they only lost by 7 and 5 points. Off those losses, we expect a peak performance tonight, especially since Louisville is 15-1 SU at home where they own an exceptional +25.8 point differential on the season. The Cardinals’ defense has been excellent at home as they are holding opponents to just 55.1 points per game on 35.8% shooting from the field and 26.6% shooting from three-point land. Louisville’s offense has been phenomenal at home where they are averaging 80.9 points per game on 49.6% shooting from the field and 37.8% shooting from three-point land. Louisville is in a good spot for a bounce back win, so we’ll lay the points with the Cardinals in this home game on Wednesday night.
Colorado comes into tonight’s game at USC with a 19-7 SU record, but 14 of those wins have come on their strong home court. Colorado is just 4-4 in true road games with those four losses coming by an average of -12.5 points per game. Three of their four losses have come by double digits, so the Buffaloes have not been a competitive bunch in their away games. Colorado is in a terrible situational spot for this game and they might be without forward Josh Scott who is questionable due to an ankle injury. The Buffaloes come in off three consecutive close games; they lost by 4 points to Oregon State, they beat Washington State in overtime, and they beat Washington by a single point. Now they must hit the road where their defense is giving up 74.5 points per game on 43.2% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from the field.
USC returns home off back-to-back road losses at Arizona State and at Arizona. The Trojans are a perfect 14-0 SU at home where they own an excellent +17.7 point differential on the season. USC’s defense has been good at home as they are holding opponents to just 38.3% shooting from the field and 28% shooting from three-point land. The Trojans’ offense has been outstanding at home where they are averaging 87.1 points per game on 48% shooting from the field and 40.5% shooting from three-point land. USC is in a terrific spot for a big bounce win, so we’ll lay the points with the Trojans in this home game on Wednesday night.
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