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3 Unit Play. Take #503 San Antonio -4 over LA Clippers (10:35 p.m., Thursday, February 18 TNT)
Really like the spot tonight for the road team Spurs and tonight I see the Spurs taking control of this game in the second half. The Spurs have enough talent to catch the GST Warriors for the top spot in the West and tonight the Spurs flex their muscles against the Clippers at home. Throw in that San Antonio is 7-3 against Pacific division teams and the Clippers are 1-4 ATS against Western Conference opponents and tonight the Spurs continue to roll against the West
K Thompson | CBB Sides - Thursday, Feb 18 2016 7:00PM
#578 Tenn.-Martin -7.0(-110) Greek vs #577 Eastern Ill. single-dime bet
Analysis:Just when it looked like Eastern Illinois would finish in the upper echelon of the OVC the Panthers suffered back to back home losses to Austin Peay by 9 points and to SIU-Edwardsville by 8 points. The Panthers did beat UT-Martin in January by an 82-74 score as they were able to hold the Skyhawks scoreless the final 2:41 of the game. HC Heath Schroyer has Tennessee Martin playing with some momentum as the Skyhawks have won their last 5 ga ¡mes. In that first meeting UTM turned the ball over 15 times compared to just 7 for EIU. Eastern Illinois also shot 11 more free throws & made 10 more for the game. I'm looking for Twymond Howard, Alex Anderson & Myles Taylor to keep things rolling for the home team tonight and for Tennessee Martin to pull away in the second half an get a double digit win to push their winning streak to six games. Demetrius McReynolds had 27 points in the first meeting for Eastern Illinois and I doubt he comes close to that effort in this road tilt.
UPDATE- 12 NOON PT 2/18- LINE HAS REMAINED STEADY AT UT-MARTIN MINUS 7 POINTS
NCABB:
East Tennessee State/Citadel over 183.5
Charleston/Delaware over 128
Charlotte/Marshall over 178
Arkansas-LR/Georgia State over 119
St. Peter's/Quinnipiac over 122.5
LA-Monroe/Texas State over 129
(3% play) WILLIAM & MARY -3 (vs. NC Wilmington) - 7:00 pm ET #510
NC Wilmington comes into tonight’s game at William & Mary with a 20-5 SU record. The Seahawks have been dominant at home, but that wasn’t the case when they hosted William & Mary last month. NC Wilmington needed overtime to beat the Tribe 97-94; William & Mary played that game without their second leading scorer, Daniel Dixon, who averages 13.5 points per game. NC Wilmington shot 54.1% (33-61) from the field and 48.1% (13-27) from three-point land in that game, and they only won by 3 points in overtime on their strong home court. That’s not a good sign for the rematch tonight, especially since the Seahawks have to play this game on the road where their defense is giving up 74.2 points per game on 43.5% shooting from the field and 33.9% shooting from three-point land.
William & Mary returns home off a 99-82 blowout loss at Towson on Saturday afternoon. The Tribe also lost their previous home game, so we expect a peak performance in this game. William & Mary is still 11-2 SU at home where they own a solid +9.1 point differential on the season. The Tribe’s defense has been good at home as they are holding opponents to 40.5% shooting from the field and 28.8% shooting from three-point land. William & Mary’s offense has been terrific at home where they are averaging 78.1 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field and 36.3% shooting from three-point land. William & Mary is in a terrific spot for a bounce-back revenge win, so we’ll lay the short points with the Tribe in this home game on Thursday night.
Play WILLIAM & MARY (-) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) MICHIGAN STATE -9/-9.5 (vs. Wisconsin) - 9:00 pm ET (ESPN) #548
Wisconsin has been a major surprise this season as the Badgers come into tonight’s game at Michigan State with a 16-9 SU record. Wisconsin was supposed to be in a rebuilding season after making the Final Four last season, and head coach Bo Ryan retiring, but the team has caught many of their opponents off guard. Wisconsin is on a 7-game winning streak, but five of those opponents were bad teams. The Badgers are in a terrible situational spot for tonight’s game as they come in off a 70-57 win at Maryland as 8.5-point underdogs on Saturday night. Wisconsin shot 46.2% (12-26) from three-point land, but it’s highly unlikely they’ll repeat that performance in this game. The Badgers beat Michigan State 77-76 earlier this season, but the difference in that game was Wisconsin being +17 points at the free throw line and +20 attempts. Despite those big edges, the Badgers trailed by 4 points with less than a minute to play before getting a fortunate 1-point win on their home court.
Michigan State is 21-5 SU on the season, including an 11-2 SU mark at home where they own an excellent +20.1 point differential. The Spartans play outstanding defense, especially on their home court where they only give up 57.8 points per game on 35% shooting from the field and 27.8% shooting from three-point land. Michigan State’s offense has been terrific at home where they are averaging 77.9 points per game on 46.9% shooting from the field and 38.7% shooting from three-point land. Michigan State is playing with legitimate revenge, so they will bring their best effort, and since they are catching Maryland in a terrible spot, we’ll lay the points with the Spartans in this game on Thursday night.
Play MICHIGAN STATE (-) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) WASHINGTON +2 (vs. California) - 11:00 pm ET (FS1) #568
California comes into tonight’s game at Washington with a 17-8 SU record, but 16 of those wins have come on their home court. The Golden Bears are just 1-6 SU in true road games this season, including 0-5 in conference road games. California’s defense is allowing 71.4 points per game on the road this season. But their recent conference road opponents haven’t been able to take full advantage of that poor defense because those teams wanted to play slow, half-court basketball. That won’t be the case tonight against Washington who prefers to play a fast, up-tempo style of basketball. California will not keep Washington’s offense below 70 points in this game, especially with the game being on the Huskies’ home court.
Washington is just 2-4 SU during their past six games, but four of those games came on the road. The Huskies return home off back-to-back road losses, and since they also lost their previous home game, we expect a peak performance tonight. Washington is averaging 88.2 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field at home this season. The Huskies will get their preferred fast pace against a poor California defense, so we expect a strong offensive performance in tonight’s game. Washington’s defense is only allowing 40.3% shooting from the field and 30.5% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a big performance by Washington here, so we’ll back the Huskies in this game on Thursday night.
7 Unit Play. Take #547 Over 135 Wisconsin at Michigan St (9:00p.m., Thursday February 18 ESPN2)
Had this game on my TOTAL radar since these two Big10 teams did battle in mid-January and that game flew over as Wisconsin won at home 77-76. Tonight in East Lansing, Michigan we should see the Spartans get revenge from that loss and we should see another meeting between these two teams go over the total. Michigan St is averaging 79.8ppg this season and they are coming off a big offensive explosion over Indiana on Valentines Day beating them 88-69. Tonight I see the Spartans controlling the tempo and pushing the ball up the court and wouldn't surprise me the see Michigan St to win by double-digits and this total flying over the total. Wisconsin is 4-0 O/U against a team with a SU winning record and Michigan St is a perfect 4-0 against conference opponents.
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