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3 Unit Play Take #16 Winnipeg +115 over New York Islanders (8:05pm est):
The advanced stats actually think Winnipeg is the better of these two teams despite having a worse record on the season than the Islanders. This is a tough spot here for New York as they've been on the road now for two weeks. They head back to New York after this game so I'm not sure their entire focus will be here for this one as they've already enjoyed a solid trip win or lose here.
Take Winnipeg here. I've crushed CBB on Saturday's this year winning over 60% of those plays as the big cards offered on this day give me a tremendous edge. Looking to once again exploit this again this week and you don't want to miss out on it as I've made a profit in 10 of the last 12 CBB Saturday's overall. Join me and have a big winning weekend.
5 Unit Play. Take #541 Over 146 California at Arizona (9:00p.m., Thursday March 3 ESPN)
If this game was being played at Berkley, California I probably would pass on this total but this PAC-12 matchup is in Tucson, Arizona and the Wildcats will score points tonight at home. Arizona is averaging 85ppg in Tucson and if they control the tempo tonight I see a track meet from both PAC-12 teams. These two teams played in mid-January at Cal and that game went over and the Cal Bears are coming off a big home win against USC on Sunday and that game went over. The Arizona Wildcats have been trending OVER games and their last 5 PAC-12 games 4 of them have gone OVER. California is 20-8 O/U against a team with a winning SU record and Arizona is 8-1 O/U in their last 9 home games. Last 29 meetings between these two teams 21 of them went over
2-Unit Play. Take #14 Nashville (-230) over New Jersey (8:00) p.m., Thursday, Mar. 3)
Nashville will look to build upon their 5 game-win streak at home tonight against the sliding New Jersey Devils. The Pred's are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are scoring on almost 20 percent of their power plays. Pekka Rinne has been playing great and has only allowed 4 goals in his last 3 games and is only improving as the season continues. The Predators also received a boost along the blue line with the return of Captain Shea Webber the other night who scored a goal and set up two others in a 5-3 win over Dallas the other night. He will be a key factor in Nashville getting out of the first round of the playoffs. They are 7-3 in their last ten games playing on one day of rest and 5-0 overall. The home team in this match-up is 4-1 as well. These teams are headed in two different directions and the chances at making the playoffs for the Devils are slim at best. The Devils are 1-5 in their last 6 road games and can't compete with Nashville at home tonight.
3-Unit Play. Take #12 Ottawa (+140) over Tampa Bay (7:30) p.m., Thursday, Mar. 3)
The Senators just lost a heart breaker against the Blues in their last outing while they rallied back from a 3-0 deficit but fell short in a shootout. But the Senators currently sit five points back of the penguins for the final wild card spot in the East and they understand that every game is pivotal to make the playoffs. Even though the Lightning have been playing extremely well as of late desperation is setting in for the Senators and believe that this and the home ice advantage will prevail in tonight's match-up. Ottawa has played fairly well against the Atlantic in their last 5 games and are 4-1. The Senators are 3-1 in their last 4 home games with the one loss coming from the Blues the other night. Look for the Senators to make a run for the final wild card spot starting tonight.
4-Unit Play. #537. Take Northwestern PK over Penn State (Thursday @ 9pm est)
We roll with Northwestern here as we look for a quick bounce-back from yesterday's down day. Still, 19-13 in February for +$2040 and a 30-16 Run as well for +$2040. Per this selection, we could have stepped out more on this selection but with 2 NBA Selections today one of which is a 7-Unit Selection in the Phoenix vs. Miami contest at 7:35pm est and sitting at +$11,200 in combined nba/cbb we decided to just roll with this selection today as a 4-unit. Plus, we have Baseball on Docket and we look forward to duplicating last year's #1 Baseball Season in America going 101-65 (+$16,266) and 2014's season of +$3900. We are ready to add to +$20,200 over the last 2 years. The thoughts on all the other games will be on today's daily video to save you time here along with our comp selection today. Northwestern is a top 85 team and they ended up losing to Penn State at home in a bit of a surprise earlier this year 71-62. Essentially losing by double-digits to Penn State at home is not what this team wanted to do early in the season. Plus, this team has been a ATS machine of late hanging tough against Purdue, beating Illinois, against Ohio State on the road losing by just 8 points, drilling Minnesota and nearly beating Maryland on the road. This is a team that comes off a rout of Rutgers which we wish they did not but having said that, they do have revenge here so they will be focused. This is a top 90 offensive team and a top 115 defensive team along with being top 35 in turnover percentage. We wish Penn State had not been routed by Michigan State in their last game, but that's ok as at the end of the day Penn State is outside the top 200 in offense and one of the worst 3 point shooting teams in America as they are outside the top 300 in 3-point field goal percentage. Along with that, this team is outside the top 275 when it comes to 2 point field goals as well which Penn State is in the top 60 in the country in 2 point field goals. We roll with Northwestern for a tight win here on the road as they will be motivated from the loss earlier this year.
7-Unit Play. #501. Take Phoenix +14 over Miami (Thursday @ 7:35pm est)
Note, we have Baseball on Docket and we look forward to duplicating last year's #1 Baseball Season in America going 101-65 (+$16,266) and 2014's season of +$3900. We are ready to add to +$20,200 over the last 2 years. The Early Bird Package is up for $750 right now. As per this selection, sometimes you just have to roll with your models and have a firm belief in them, that's what has gotten us this far for $26,000 in 3 years of NBA profits since the start of the 2013 Season. Note, a few things here, each time Phoenix comes off a double-digit loss, they do well on the bounce-back. It is scary that they face a Miami team that is rolling a bit now and with a bit more scoring from Johnson have found an added push to their playoff seeding hopes. When you have the Don in Riley pulling strings, I guess nothing should surprise us at this point. Note that this Phoenix team does have some pride despite only having 15 wins on the year. This is a Phoenix team that lost 92-126 to Charlotte in an absolute rout from a Charlotte team that was highly motivated coming into that game. We took Charlotte in that contest. But, now we take Phoenix as each time they come off a double-digit loss such as losing to OKC 106-122, they lost by only 8 to Golden State in their next game. Or losing by 16 to San Houston, then losing by 7 to the Spurs at home. Or, losing by 34 points to Charlotte now, look for this team to have the motivation to step up here against Miami. Note, this team lost by 8 to the Heat back in January and will have revenge as well coming into this game. With Miami coming off two huge double-digit wins here, this is a let down spot for this team a bit. We like Phoenix to hang tough and likely lose by 8 to 10 points today.
3-Unit Play. #508. Take Golden State -7.5 over Oklahoma City (Thursday @ 10:35pm est)
Great public fade here as the public general reasoning is that if OKC nearly beat Golden State, and should have beat them at home in their last game and Golden State got lucky if it was not for Durant's late foul, Durant giving the ball late and allowing them to steal it or Durant fouling out in overtime - that OKC would have won that game. Consequently, it's easy to think that OKC could win this outright given they were easily within this number the last time they played. But, with Golden State playing without Curry yesterday and nearly losing to the Hawks, making the necessary adjustments and OKC's continued problems in the 4th quarter (late collapse against the Clippers and Golden State), this is a great spot for Golden State to take down the public and likely win this game by double-digits. We could have stepped out here but we decided not to and we'll go with the double-digit loss Suns with the big lay rather than than the favorite Warriors facing a Thunder team with revenge and off a tough loss. Golden State by 10 according to our numbers.
4-Unit Play. Take #541 California +7 over Arizona (Thursday, March 3 at 9:00 PM ET)
Take California ATS as my 4-Unit CBB Smash for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and I have Cal winning outright tonight so we are getting great line value. Arizona shot 50.9% in their road game against Cal back on January 23rd and still lost that game by 1 point despite Cal shooting 45%. The Golden Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games after a win. The Wildcats are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing a team with a win rate above .600. Play California ATS with confidence.
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