3-3-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

3* SC -7
3* Houston +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawerence

Late phones

3* Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

Thursday, Mar. 3

NCAA Basketball

(3% play) SOUTH CAROLINA -7 (vs. Georgia) - 7:00 pm ET (espn2) #516

Georgia comes into tonight’s game at South Carolina with a 15-12 SU record, but 13 of those wins have come on their home court. Georgia is just 2-8 in true road games with those eight losses coming by an average of 10.8 points per game. Four of their eight losses have come by double digits, so the Bulldogs have not been too competitive in their away games. Georgia is in a terrible situational spot for this game. The Bulldogs went into their last game off three competitive games; they won at Mississippi State as 4-point underdogs, they lost by 4 points at home to Florida, and they lost at Auburn by 3 points. They finally put everything together in their last game when they beat Mississippi 80-68 at home. Now they must hit the road where their defense is giving up 75 points per game.

South Carolina returns home off a 10-point road loss at Mississippi State on Saturday afternoon. Tonight will be the final home game for three starting seniors, so we expect a peak performance from South Carolina in this game. The Gamecocks are 15-1 SU at home where they own a solid +11.8 point differential on the season. South Carolina’s offense has been outstanding at home where they are averaging 80.5 points per game. The Gamecocks lost at Georgia earlier this season, but South Carolina only shot 31.6% (18-57) from the field and 31.8% (7-22) from three-point land in that game. The Gamecocks’ offense will play much better tonight, so we’ll lay the points with South Carolina in this game on Thursday night.

Play SOUTH CAROLINA (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) TEMPLE -3.5 (vs. Memphis) - 7:00 pm ET (ESPN-U) #520

Memphis is just 16-13 SU on the season, and 14 of their wins have come on their home court, including their 92-82 win over Tulsa on Sunday afternoon. We won a Best Bet selection on Memphis in that game, but we’re going to play against them tonight. The Tigers are just 1-7 in true road games this season with their average loss coming by 9 points per game. Prior to their last win, Memphis was just 3-8 over their previous eleven games, including 1-5 on the road. The Tigers’ defense has been horrendous on the road all season. Memphis is giving up 85.1 points per game on 45.9% shooting from the field and 38.2% shooting from three-point land on the road this season. Memphis did beat Temple at home earlier this season, but they only won that game by 2 points (65-63) despite owning a +18 point edge from the free throw line and a +21 edge in free throw attempts.

Temple is 18-10 SU on the season, including a 10-3 record at home. The Owls are a veteran team that starts three seniors. Tonight will be the last home game of their careers, so we expect a peak performance, especially since they blew a win at Memphis earlier this season. Temple led that game by 11 points in the second half before losing the game late. Temple’s defense has been solid at home where they are only allowing 67.5 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field and 31% shooting from three-point land. Temple is in a terrific spot, so we’ll lay the points with the Owls in this game on Thursday night.

Play TEMPLE (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) SMU -4.5 (vs. Connecticut) - 9:00 pm ET (espn2) #540

Connecticut is once again having a good season as they come into tonight’s game at SMU with a 20-9 SU record. However, the Huskies have lost two of their last three games, and they are just 3-3 over their last six games. Connecticut is simply in a terrible situational and scheduling spot for this game at SMU. The Huskies will be playing their third road game over their last four games, and this will also be their third game in the last eight days. Connecticut’s offense has struggled away from home all season; the Huskies are only averaging 67.7 points per game on 43.5% shooting from the field. In their earlier defeat of SMU, the Huskies only scored 68 points on the Mustangs’ defense, and that game was on Connecticut’s home court.

SMU is having a tremendous season as they come into this game with a 24-4 SU record. The Mustangs are 15-1 at home where they own an excellent +17.7 point differential. SMU plays outstanding defense, especially on their home court where they only give up 61.9 points per game on 39.2% shooting from the field and 32.6% shooting from three-point land. SMU’s offense has been terrific at home where they are averaging 79.6 points per game on 50.7% shooting from the field and 41.7% shooting from three-point land. SMU is banned from post-season play, and this is will be the final home game for their two best players who are both seniors. The Mustangs will bring their best effort, so we’ll lay the points with SMU in this game on Thursday night.

Play SMU (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) ARIZONA -6.5/-7 (vs. California) - 9:00 pm ET (ESPN) #542

California has won seven consecutive games as they come into tonight’s game at Arizona with a 21-8 SU record. However, five of their last seven games came on their home court where they are a perfect 18-0 on the season. California is just 3-6 in true road games this season, and this game will be their stiffest road challenge of the season. The Golden Bears beat Arizona 74-73 at home earlier this season, but California was extremely fortunate to win that game. The Wildcats were missing one of their better players, Alonzo Trier, in that game. Despite that, Arizona out-shot California 50.9%-45% from the field and 44.4%-36.4% from three-point land. California will now face Arizona on the road where their defense is allowing 70.8 points per game on 37.1% shooting from three-point land this season.

Arizona returns home off back-to-back road losses at Colorado and at Utah. That back-to-back road trip is the toughest in the Pac 12, so those losses can be excused. Arizona owns one of the strongest home courts in all of college basketball. The Wildcats are 15-1 SU at home where they own an incredible +20.4 point differential this season. Arizona is averaging 85 points per game on 51.6% shooting from the field and 39.4% shooting from three-point land. The Wildcats’ defense is holding opponents to just 64.6 points per game on 40.3% shooting from the field and 31% shooting from three-point land. We’ll lay the points with Arizona in this game on Thursday night.

Play ARIZONA (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) HOUSTON +3 (vs. Cincinnati) - 9:00 pm ET (CBSSN) #544

Cincinnati is a good team, and the Bearcats come into tonight’s game at Houston with a solid 21-8 SU record. Cincinnati is just 6-5 in true road games this season, but their wins have come against inferior competition like East Carolina, South Florida, Central Florida, and Bowling Green. All four of those teams are terrible, so winning on the road against those schools is unimpressive. Cincinnati has been unable to win on the road against capable teams; they lost by 10 points at Xavier, 4 points at Memphis, and by 2 points at Temple. In their three road losses listed above, the Bearcats scored 65 points or less. Overall, Cincinnati’s offense is only averaging 63.8 points per game on 38.5% shooting from the field and 32% shooting from three-point land on the road this season.

Houston is having an excellent season, but the Cougars are flying under the radar. Houston comes into this game with a 21-8 SU record, including a 14-3 mark at home. They’ve played three of their last four games on the road, and since they lost their previous home game, we expect a peak performance tonight. Houston’s offense is averaging 80.5 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field at home. The Cougars’ defense is holding opponents to just 67.1 points per game on 40.8% shooting from the field and 29% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a big effort by Houston here, so we’ll back the Cougars in this game on Thursday night.

Play HOUSTON (+) as a 3% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nemo

Ship it - penn st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* SMU -5.5

100* Middle Tenn State -7

100* Thunder / Warriors Over 232

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy covers
10* sac kings +7.5
10* drake +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo 5%

Northwestern -1.5 (line moved now to -2.5)

Freeway is Drake +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

dr bob

** marshall -6 or less
* ov 149 or less tex arlington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Locksmith

NCAAB
Arizona State -2 -110 2* 11:00 Eastern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

We Pick Sports

Nothing good tonight.

Lean towards Pelicans if you must play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

300 - ariz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Goodtimes

Single:
Golden State -7 1 Unit



Double:

Miami Heat -13.5 2 Units

Portland State -11.5 2 Units
UC Irvine -8.5 2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

banker

revenge play temple -3 over memphis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MYSYSTEM PICKS

UCONN +4.5
(2u)

Temple -4
(2u)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

nover

nhl flyers -160

nba suns +14----un 211 suns/heat

cbb tenn st -4.5