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(3% play) OKLAHOMA CITY -5.5 (vs. L.A. Clippers) - 9:35 pm ET (ESPN) #512
Los Angeles and Oklahoma City just played a week ago with the Clippers winning 103-98 on their home court. That was an extremely fortunate win by Los Angeles as they trailed by 17 points going into the fourth quarter. The Clippers out-scored Oklahoma City 35-13 over the final 12 minutes of the game to escape with the win. Los Angeles was terrible in that game as they shot just 40.8% (40-98) from the field and 28.1% (9-32) from three-point land. The Clippers also got dominated on the glass while getting out-rebounded by 18 (63-45), including an 18-12 deficit on the offensive glass. Los Angeles will now play the rematch on the Thunder’s home court, and it’s highly unlikely they’ll win this game with a repeat of their performance in last week’s game. The Clippers were in an excellent spot for their last game in Dallas which resulted in a 109-90 blowout win, but they are now taking a huge step-up in class tonight against a motivated opponent.
Oklahoma City returns home off a 4-game road trip where they went just 2-2, including a loss in Los Angeles. The Thunder have also lost their last three home games where they are still 25-8 SU on the season. Oklahoma City is in a prime spot for a peak performance tonight, especially since they are playing with legitimate revenge. In that game they lost to the Clippers, the Thunder led by as many as 22 points despite terrible offensive play. Oklahoma City shot just 39.8% (39-98) from the field and 28.6% (10-35) from the field. However, the Thunder owned an impressive 27-11 edge in fast break points while controlling the glass as mentioned above. Those two dominating stats show that Oklahoma City simply owns a distinctive match-up advantage against the Clippers. We’ll lay the points with Oklahoma City in this home game on Wednesday night.
UCLA and USC will play for the third time this season. The Trojans dominated the first two meetings, winning by 14 points at UCLA and by 19 points on their home court. UCLA was simply overmatched in both of those games, and we expect more of the same tonight. The Bruins come into this game with a 15-16 SU overall record, but 11 of their wins came on their home court. UCLA is just 4-10 SU away from home with their average loss coming by -10.6 points per game. UCLA’s defense is giving up 78.6 points per game on 44.8% shooting from the field and 35.8% shooting from the field. The Bruins have lost four straight games, and they are just 4-9 SU during their past 13 games. They lost their last two games of the regular season at home, and that’s a clear indication that UCLA has maybe quit on this season.
USC also went cold as the season wore down; the Trojans come into tonight’s game with a 1-4 SU record over their last five games. However, two of those games were on the road while their two of their home games were against Utah and Oregon. There’s no shame in losing to those teams, so we can dismiss USC’s recent results. The Trojans are no lock for the NCAA tournament, and they know they need to have a good showing in this Pac-12 tournament to secure an at-large bid. “I’m pretty sure if we win, that would solidify our run this year, and we’ll get a bid in the tournament,” Julian Jacobs said. “But say we lose, I think we’ll end up having to play in a play-in game or something like that. We really just want to beat UCLA.” USC has plenty of motivation for this game, and since they’ve crushed the Bruins twice already, we’ll back the Trojans in this game on Wednesday night.
Greg Shaker | CBB Total Wed, 03/09/16 - 7:00 PM
triple-dime bet
551 San Jose St. / 552 Colorado St. OVER 148.0 SouthpointAnalysis: My regular people know that we have played Colorado State OVER this year a lot and I don't think that we have lost yet. This team is crazy fast with their Tempo and so much that over their last 5 games they have scored over 78 PPG while hitting about 39% of their shots. The unfortunate thing for them is that during this same stretch they have allow 80 PPG. Transition D for this team is not that spiffy and it makes for high scoring games almost always. They especially Rev it up in the 2nd half. SJS will attempt to slow this one down but it's almost impossible to let that happen since the Rams will leave their backdoor open a lot. Odds Makers have put this number lower than the 1st 2 meetings since it is a neutral site and there are a lot more Bettors looking to play Under at this time of the year. But we are playing OVER at the Bargain Number and up to 152 in fact for 3%. At this writing I am not sure where this number will go but I will have further details if we have any‰ wild swings. For now I encourage you to play it now..
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