Oc Dooley
***PLEASE READ BELOW (personal late afternoon PARLAY)***
I am wagering on both IOWA (3:10 eastern start) and MARYLAND (4:30 eastern tipoff) both separately and in a PARLAY due to the fact that both are large favorites even though for the most part struggling down the stretch of the regular season along with their respective postseason conference tournaments. The slate for both extremely talented sides is "wiped clean"
HIGH-RATED LATE NIGHT BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa/Texas OVER in a 9:50 eastern tipoff): You will see below that I am taking advantage of a low-balled posted total even though a team from the high scoring Big 12 conference is involved (Texas also fits a SYSTEM that has hit 67% of the time OVER the total in the month of March). Also details below how the low scoring Missouri Valley Conference has helped trigger tonight's high-rated move where market "value" involving Northern Iowa who has 3 different seniors with OFFENSIVE capability
AFTERNOON BEST BET (1:30 eastern tipoff): The school that had the longest gap between NCAA appearances (1962) was Yale who yesterday produced an underdog outright upset. Among major-conference programs the one who has had the longest wait (1990) is OREGON STATE who as you will see below arguably is holding the mantle for an entire conference who is a dismal 1-3 so far and just saw another hopeful suffer a major injury to a star player. Oregon State's best player is the son of a former NBA star who despite spending two years at the "junior" college level has already won the Pac-12 DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR award twice
***Friday OPENING premium lineup***
4-UNITS on Northern Iowa/Texas OVER 124' (Primetime Best Bet) (9:50 et tip on TBS) (# 831)
3-UNITS on Oregon State +4' (Afternoon Best Bet) (1:30 et tip on TNT) (# 828)
2-UNITS on Syracuse/Dayton UNDER 129' (early 12:15 et tip on CBS) (# 839)
2-UNITS on Iowa -7 (midday 3:10 et tip on TRU-TV) (# 820)
2-UNITS on Maryland -9 (late afternoon 4:30 et tip on TBS) (# 842)
TONIGHT’S “4 UNIT” REDZONE LATE NIGHT NCAA BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa versus Texas OVER 124’ in a 9:50 eastern tipoff telecast on TBS): For those who remember the Missouri Valley Conference postseason tournament almost all games held “below” the total including Northern Iowa’s very low scoring 56-54 triumph in the championship game. The Missouri Valley Conference did get an at-large entrant in Wichita State who yesterday knocked off Arizona (another “under”) where the defense (19 forced turnovers) compensated for the offense (just 3-for-20 from long range). It was back on Tuesday in a “play in” that Wichita State once again excelled on defense holding the opposition to 50 points. Coming into tonight Northern Iowa is 8-1 “under” including 5 games in a row which in turn has led to a “deflated” total for which I am taking advantage. Northern Iowa does have 3 different senior players who have ability on OFFENSE including Matt Bohanon who hold all-time school career marks in THREE POINTERS made (266) and attempted (678). Paul Jesperson during the regular season tied an all-time single game school record nailing 8 different “treys” from behind the arc. Wes Washpun in ranked #2 in all-time Northern Iowa single season ASSISTS dished out (174). Another reason why I am enthusiastic about tonight’s low posted total is that Texas finally has some market “value” attached to a spot after playing in a high-scoring league (Big 12). The Longhorns played the entire regular season conference schedule without their #1 player Cameron Ridley who finally has returned from injury to bolster a balanced offense (11 different players averaging at least 10 minutes of floor time per game). Texas is now coached by the same Shaka Smart that made Virginia Commonwealth relevant in the NCAA Tournament and is mission is now the same for a new employer. Getting back to Northern Iowa they are 7-1 OVER/ROAD when off consecutive games giving up “9 or less” offensive rebounds. Here is a 67-PERCENT SYSTEM (76-38 last five years with a low posted total in the 120’s) which takes teams like Texas after beating the spread by 18+ combined points in a three-game stretch OVER the number if taking the court in the month of MARCH
TODAY’S “3 UNIT” REDZONE AFTERNOON NCAA TOURNAMENT BEST BET SIDE (Oregon State +4’ versus Virginia Commonwealth in a 1:30 eastern tipoff telecast on TNT): Even though the game is being played in the state of Oklahoma this is part of the “Western” Regional which for sheer geographical purposes favors Oregon State if they can pull off a couple of weekend upsets. Among all “major” conference school participating in this year’s tournament Oregon State has had the longest wait (1990) as their last entrant featured future NBA star Gary Payton as their leader. The school that has the absolute longest stretch between NCAA Tournament appearances (1962) was Yale who produced an outright upset yesterday. Most reading this analysis are aware that Thursday was a tough day for schools from arguably the most balanced conference in the land (Pac 12) as participating members went 1-3 overall. The Pac-12 has seemingly taken another hit with news that California’s top player Tyrone Wallace (major injury in practice) will not be able to participate in the Big Dance which is a major blow to what was originally thought of as a school that could wreak havoc. Thus Oregon State is not only representing themselves but also arguably an entire conference. This is a very special day for Oregon State who is the only school in the Pac-12 draw to see both their mens-and-womens teams both chosen for the NCAA Tournament after both have gone through recent struggles. It was a year ago when the Beavers roster featured just one returning starter along with SEVEN different “walk ons”. Oregon State’s star player is Gary Payton II who has won twice the league’s “defensive player of the year” award which is even more remarkable when considering that he spent the initial 2 seasons of his career at the “junior” college level. I am aware that today marks the “sixth” consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance for Virginia Commonwealth but they do NOT have the brilliant schemes of head coach Shaka Smart who bolted for a bigger paycheck with a major-conference program
“2 UNIT” EARLY LINETRACKER TOTAL (Syracuse versus Dayton UNDER 129’ in a 12:15 eastern tipoff telecast on CBS): At most offshore locations this total opened up at 131 and has since dropped which is unusual for games so far in this year’s Big Dance. It was two years ago that these same two sides faced off in a very low scoring 55-53 NCAA tilt where Dayton’s defense ended up holding Syracuse WITHOUT a successful three-point shot for the first time in a 665 game span. After being forced to sit out at this time a year ago due to sanctions against the program Jim Boeheim and his famous matchup-zone DEFENSE return
BACK AT THE WEBSITE BY "6:30" PM EASTERN WITH PRIMETIME. GOOD LUCK LATE THIS AFTERNOON
***PLEASE READ BELOW (personal late afternoon PARLAY)***
I am wagering on both IOWA (3:10 eastern start) and MARYLAND (4:30 eastern tipoff) both separately and in a PARLAY due to the fact that both are large favorites even though for the most part struggling down the stretch of the regular season along with their respective postseason conference tournaments. The slate for both extremely talented sides is "wiped clean"
HIGH-RATED LATE NIGHT BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa/Texas OVER in a 9:50 eastern tipoff): You will see below that I am taking advantage of a low-balled posted total even though a team from the high scoring Big 12 conference is involved (Texas also fits a SYSTEM that has hit 67% of the time OVER the total in the month of March). Also details below how the low scoring Missouri Valley Conference has helped trigger tonight's high-rated move where market "value" involving Northern Iowa who has 3 different seniors with OFFENSIVE capability
AFTERNOON BEST BET (1:30 eastern tipoff): The school that had the longest gap between NCAA appearances (1962) was Yale who yesterday produced an underdog outright upset. Among major-conference programs the one who has had the longest wait (1990) is OREGON STATE who as you will see below arguably is holding the mantle for an entire conference who is a dismal 1-3 so far and just saw another hopeful suffer a major injury to a star player. Oregon State's best player is the son of a former NBA star who despite spending two years at the "junior" college level has already won the Pac-12 DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR award twice
***Friday OPENING premium lineup***
4-UNITS on Northern Iowa/Texas OVER 124' (Primetime Best Bet) (9:50 et tip on TBS) (# 831)
3-UNITS on Oregon State +4' (Afternoon Best Bet) (1:30 et tip on TNT) (# 828)
2-UNITS on Syracuse/Dayton UNDER 129' (early 12:15 et tip on CBS) (# 839)
2-UNITS on Iowa -7 (midday 3:10 et tip on TRU-TV) (# 820)
2-UNITS on Maryland -9 (late afternoon 4:30 et tip on TBS) (# 842)
TONIGHT’S “4 UNIT” REDZONE LATE NIGHT NCAA BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa versus Texas OVER 124’ in a 9:50 eastern tipoff telecast on TBS): For those who remember the Missouri Valley Conference postseason tournament almost all games held “below” the total including Northern Iowa’s very low scoring 56-54 triumph in the championship game. The Missouri Valley Conference did get an at-large entrant in Wichita State who yesterday knocked off Arizona (another “under”) where the defense (19 forced turnovers) compensated for the offense (just 3-for-20 from long range). It was back on Tuesday in a “play in” that Wichita State once again excelled on defense holding the opposition to 50 points. Coming into tonight Northern Iowa is 8-1 “under” including 5 games in a row which in turn has led to a “deflated” total for which I am taking advantage. Northern Iowa does have 3 different senior players who have ability on OFFENSE including Matt Bohanon who hold all-time school career marks in THREE POINTERS made (266) and attempted (678). Paul Jesperson during the regular season tied an all-time single game school record nailing 8 different “treys” from behind the arc. Wes Washpun in ranked #2 in all-time Northern Iowa single season ASSISTS dished out (174). Another reason why I am enthusiastic about tonight’s low posted total is that Texas finally has some market “value” attached to a spot after playing in a high-scoring league (Big 12). The Longhorns played the entire regular season conference schedule without their #1 player Cameron Ridley who finally has returned from injury to bolster a balanced offense (11 different players averaging at least 10 minutes of floor time per game). Texas is now coached by the same Shaka Smart that made Virginia Commonwealth relevant in the NCAA Tournament and is mission is now the same for a new employer. Getting back to Northern Iowa they are 7-1 OVER/ROAD when off consecutive games giving up “9 or less” offensive rebounds. Here is a 67-PERCENT SYSTEM (76-38 last five years with a low posted total in the 120’s) which takes teams like Texas after beating the spread by 18+ combined points in a three-game stretch OVER the number if taking the court in the month of MARCH
TODAY’S “3 UNIT” REDZONE AFTERNOON NCAA TOURNAMENT BEST BET SIDE (Oregon State +4’ versus Virginia Commonwealth in a 1:30 eastern tipoff telecast on TNT): Even though the game is being played in the state of Oklahoma this is part of the “Western” Regional which for sheer geographical purposes favors Oregon State if they can pull off a couple of weekend upsets. Among all “major” conference school participating in this year’s tournament Oregon State has had the longest wait (1990) as their last entrant featured future NBA star Gary Payton as their leader. The school that has the absolute longest stretch between NCAA Tournament appearances (1962) was Yale who produced an outright upset yesterday. Most reading this analysis are aware that Thursday was a tough day for schools from arguably the most balanced conference in the land (Pac 12) as participating members went 1-3 overall. The Pac-12 has seemingly taken another hit with news that California’s top player Tyrone Wallace (major injury in practice) will not be able to participate in the Big Dance which is a major blow to what was originally thought of as a school that could wreak havoc. Thus Oregon State is not only representing themselves but also arguably an entire conference. This is a very special day for Oregon State who is the only school in the Pac-12 draw to see both their mens-and-womens teams both chosen for the NCAA Tournament after both have gone through recent struggles. It was a year ago when the Beavers roster featured just one returning starter along with SEVEN different “walk ons”. Oregon State’s star player is Gary Payton II who has won twice the league’s “defensive player of the year” award which is even more remarkable when considering that he spent the initial 2 seasons of his career at the “junior” college level. I am aware that today marks the “sixth” consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance for Virginia Commonwealth but they do NOT have the brilliant schemes of head coach Shaka Smart who bolted for a bigger paycheck with a major-conference program
“2 UNIT” EARLY LINETRACKER TOTAL (Syracuse versus Dayton UNDER 129’ in a 12:15 eastern tipoff telecast on CBS): At most offshore locations this total opened up at 131 and has since dropped which is unusual for games so far in this year’s Big Dance. It was two years ago that these same two sides faced off in a very low scoring 55-53 NCAA tilt where Dayton’s defense ended up holding Syracuse WITHOUT a successful three-point shot for the first time in a 665 game span. After being forced to sit out at this time a year ago due to sanctions against the program Jim Boeheim and his famous matchup-zone DEFENSE return
BACK AT THE WEBSITE BY "6:30" PM EASTERN WITH PRIMETIME. GOOD LUCK LATE THIS AFTERNOON
Comment