3-20-16

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Paul Leiner:

2500* CBB Maryland -6.5
500* CBB Over 128 Texas A&M/ No Iowa
500* CBB Oklahoma -6.5
100* CBB Xavier -4.5
100* CBB Syracuse -6.5
100* NBA Celtics -11

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Nover

CBB
Villanova -6.5 Double Dime
Northern Iowa +6.5 Triple Dime

NBA
LA Clippers - 7 Double Dime

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Indian Cowboy

College BB


7* STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

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OC Dooley:
2 UNIT” NIT TOURNAMENT SIDE (Florida +1 at Ohio State in a 12 noon eastern tipoff telecast on ESPN): It has been a rough year for the Southeast Conference who has a member school (LSU) with one of the most heavy-hyped freshmen in the country (Simmons) who is not participating in any of the various postseason draws despite having 19 overall victories. Among the three teams that qualified for the NCAA Tournament two of them are gone including Kentucky’s upset loss yesterday so Florida (4-0 all time in round-two of the NIT) represent an entire conference

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M and m handicapping
4* vcu +6'
4* wisc +4'

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We Pick Sports - Passed Sat.

NCAAB: Season -87.8*)

SFA +1 (-110) 6* 2:40 ET

Northern Iowa +7 (-110) 8* 7:40 ET {Diamond Selection}

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Steve Merril

Passing on early games, but here's a write up for what it's worth ( winless the last 2 days )....will post plays when he sends them.

Villanova -4.5 (vs. Iowa)
My power ratings say there is a solid 2 points of line value on Iowa in this game. However, my concern with the Hawkeyes has been their recent slide. Iowa was terrific early on, but they imploded down the stretch, and they continued that trend in their non-covering overtime win against Temple. They were up double digits multiple times only to let a terrible Temple offense get back into the game. Villanova is certainly a beatable team, but Iowa struggling against Temple showed the Hawkeyes have yet to get back to their early season form.

Notre Dame -1 (vs. Stephen F. Austin)
Notre Dame was initially as high as -2 in some spots, but the money quickly came in on Stephen F. Austin, and now the Lumberjacks are Pick/-1 point favorites. I think Stephen F. Austin is the correct side, but I trust my numbers and I will simply pass on this game since there is no line value.

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Marco D'Angelo

4% Stephen Austin -1

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Indian Cowboy

College BB


7* STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

7-Unit Play. #715. Take Stephen F. Austin PK over Notre Dame (Sunday @ 2:40pm est)
We continue to roll along in March Madness after a huge win 3-1 day for us on Saturday for +$670 that brings us to a solid 9-3 in March Madness for +$2500 and we look to keep it going and make that 11-3 for +$3500 in the Madness. We went 15-5 last year for +$7460 in the Madness last year so this is no surprise. You think this is great, wait until Baseball Season which starts on April 3rd just 14 days away where we look to defend our title as the #1 Baseball Season in America going 103-65 (+$16,266) and +$20,200 over the last 2 years in back to back winning years including 7-Unit Future Under 92.5 Wins Washington Nationals and we look to do the same this year. As per this selection, Stephen F. Austin is the better team than Notre Dame. Take a look at the metrics. This is a SFA team that is a top 25 team in the power rankings and top 15 team defensively as they well coached by Brad Underwood and have a legitimate star in Walkup scoring more than 30 points in his last game and outscoring himself of the entire West Virginia team in the 2nd half in their last game. This is a team that only lost to Arizona State by 7 points on the road, a team that is a quality public fade today on Notre Dame, who is top 15 in effective field goal percentage and top 60 when it comes to offensive rebounding as well. Notre Dame did win its last game against Michigan but though this team is very good offensively as they are top 10, they struggle mightily on defense against top tier teams as they are outside the top 160 in quality defense. This is a team that has not fared well against top 25 competition overall and SFA is a top 26 caliber team when it comes to the metrics and we think they surprise a lot of people here as they take the mantle of Cinderalla (as say what you will, Gonzaga is not the cinderella at the 11th seed but SFA is). SFA gets done here as Walkup continues to rise in the big boards.

3-Unit Play. #722. Take Syracuse -6 over Middle Tennessee State (Sunday @ 6:10pm est)
Syracuse is the better team and MTSU will not have the seen a zone like Syracuse nor their length as 'Cuse is also a bigger team than Michigan State so this will not be a likely shocker here. Syracuse themselves felt belittled despite going 9-9 in conference play as many thought they should not be in the tournament and they of course quieted some of their antics in the process by winning against Dayton handily and it will delight Coach Jim Boeheim in incredible ways if they are able to win here and going to the Sweet 16. This is a Syracuse team that has a very difficult zone if you have not prepared for it, MTSU is outside the top 100 in the power rankings, Syracuse has a chip on its shoulder, is a top 30 defensive team and a top 60 team in offensive rebounding. MTSU is outside the top 150 in offense, outside the top 200 in offensive rebounding and is outside the top 340 in free throw shooting which eventually the law of percentages over the season will catch up to this team. We like Syracuse to do well as the public fade and to get it done here.

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Locksmith Sports - Passed Fri/Sat.

NCAAB: (Season -56.9*)


Chairman's Play:

Wisconsin/Xavier Under 136 5* 8:40 Eastern

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Steve Budin's Cali-Cartel Crew


100 DIME
Winner # 6 of 7
This Season


Tourney Bankroll Building Game of the Year


Villanova

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Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #718 Oklahoma (-6) over VCU (5 p.m., Sunday, March 20)
This reminds me a bit of yesterday's game with Miami. Oklahoma played like trash in their opener against Cal-Bakersfield. I have to think that they come out with a lot more energy and effort against VCU here. And, again, I am just waiting for the Sooners talent to break out and play a game they are capable of. There's nothing not to like about VCU. However, they lost to just about every team from a major conference they played this year - Duke, Wisconsin, Florida State, Georgia Tech and Cincinnati. None of those are bad losses, at all. But I'm not taking the points in a game unless I think the team will win outright. I don't think that the Rams can beat Oklahoma in Oklahoma City so I'll play on the Sooners here.

1-Unit Play. Take #721 Middle Tennessee State (+6.5) over Syracuse (6 p.m., Sunday, March 20)
This MTSU team is no joke. They didn't just upset Michigan State - they pounded them from start to finish. MTSU has eight guys that all play, all shoot, and all defend. I think they will really be able to stifle Syracuse's erratic offense. The Orange zone will give Middle Tennessee State some problems. But eventually I think that, even though smaller, the Blue Raiders will be able to wear the Orange down on the inside. Syracuse has been up and down all season long. They looked great last game against Dayton, but can they follow it up with another strong effort? Even if Syracuse does win this game - which they absolutely can - I don't see it being a blowout by any means. I think the odds are better that Middle Tennessee either wins this one outright or stays close than the odds on Syracuse winning in a walk.

1-Unit Play. Take #724 Xavier (-4) over Wisconsin (8:40 p.m., Sunday, March 20)
Wisconsin is either going to win this game outright or lose pretty easily. Xavier is a young team bursting with energy. Wisconsin is going to slow them down and get the Musketeers to play the Badgers game. Do the young X-Men have the patience for that style of game? We will find out. But I love the aggressiveness and athleticism that Xavier brings to the table. They will defend their own end and they have the high-end talent to make tough shots down the stretch of what I anticipate will be a close game with 10 minutes remaining. I'll go with talent.

2-Unit Play. Take #720 Texas A&M (-6.5) over Northern Iowa (7:45 p.m., Sunday, March 20)
Here I'm going to play on experience. Northern Iowa is riding high after their incredible last-second win over Texas. But They are due for a letdown in this spot and I think that's what will happen here. A&M is another team boasting pro-level talent on the wings and that is something Northern Iowa can't match up with. A&M has played against guards as good and as fast as Wes Washspun this year, so he won't be able to carry the UNI offense by himself. A&M has a lot of different weapons and a lot of different options and I think they have the juice to get ahead of this number late in what should be a close game.

2-Unit Play. Take #726 Maryland (-7) over Hawaii (7 p.m., Sunday, March 20)
Hawaii easily dispatched Cal in the opening round. But they didn't really beat Cal. The Golden Bears lost their two best players within 36 hours of that game. Then their third best player was in foul trouble in what was a horrifically officiated game. Basically, it took all the stars aligning for Hawaii and that was still a relatively close game in the second half. They won't be as lucky against Maryland, a team with Final Four talent that completely lacks chemistry. Again, though, they have talent. And in the second round - and we saw it all day yesterday - talent wins out at this stage of the game. The public likes the underdog here but I'm going with the Terps in a blowout.

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #721 Middle Tennessee State (+11.5) over Syracuse (6 p.m.) AND Take #727 St. Joseph's (+11.5) over Oregon (9:40 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #720 Texas A&M (-2) over Northern Iowa (7:45 p.m.) AND Take #726 Maryland (-2) over Hawaii (7 p.m.)

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Doc Sports:

7 Unit Play. #724 Take Xavier -4 over Wisconsin (5:40 pm TNT) Wisconsin is about running on empty and they do not have much left in the tank. They got lucky Pittsburgh played worse than them on Friday or they would have been knocked out of the tournament in embarrassing fashion. The problem is their two best players have been playing terrible of late and without them playing well and making shots this team just struggles to score points. Hayes and Koenig have not produced three straight games and I do not see them being able to turn it around on Sunday. Wisconsin will play better on offense today but it will not be enough to keep the deficit under double digits. Going in I thought Xavier was the weakest of the 4 two seeds but they seem to be undervalued all season long. The Musketeers are just as physical as are the Panthers and they are deeper, smarter, and better coached. Xavier is 28-5 on the season and just do not beat themselves. If Wisconsin lights it up from long range they can keep it close but I just do not see that happening. Xavier beat Wisconsin in the second round in 2009 and history will repeat itself again. Xavier is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against Big 10 teams. Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Big East teams.

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Marco D'Angelo

4% St. Mary's -6.5

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Vernon Croy

6-Unit Play. Take #724 Xavier -4 over Wisconsin (Sunday, March 20 at 8:40 PM ET)
Take Xavier ATS as my 6-Unit CBB Smash for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems and Xavier is the superior overall team here Sunday who I have winning by 10+ points. Wisconsin is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a Big East opponent and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Xavier is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games and they are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games. Xavier is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a Big Ten opponent and there are too many mismatches for Wisconsin to keep this one close tonight. Play Xavier ATS with confidence as my +$5,560 CBB top sides run continues.