3-24-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Cavs -8

100* Oregon -3
100* Maryland +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

CBB
Oklahoma Triple Dime March Madness GOY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter NCAA TOURNAMENT

KANSAS -6 vs. Maryland (KANSAS 1*)

[golden contender]

GC: Sweet 16 preview

Thursday NCAAB Tournament Total of the year is up along with a big Dominator side and the 100% NBA Game of the Week. NCAAB comp play + Game previews below.


On Thursday night the NCAAB tournament comp play is on Texas A@M +2.5 points at 7:35 eastern. This game pits a pair of old school Big 12 Conference rivals. A@M is now in the SEC Conference. In their last game they staged on of the biggest come backs in NCAAB History coming back from down 12 with under 3 minutes to go over Northern Iowa. They are 11-0 after scoring 80 or more points and have won the last 4 vs the BIG 12 Conference. In sweet 16 games between 2 and 3 seeds the 2 seeds hold a 61% advantage, which does not factor in the spread. Oklahoma Edged a better than expected VCU Team. Oklahoma has a better RPI Rank at #6 than A@M Does at #18 but the Aggies have won 5 of 6 vs Top 50 schools and has enough offensive fire power to stay with Oklahoma. On Thursday we have our NCAAB Tournament total of the year headlining along with a powerful sweet 16 side system and the 100% NBA System Game of the Week. Jump on now and put our industry leading data on your side tonight. For the NCAAB Free pick. Take the 2-3 points with Texas A@M Tonight. GC


In This piece We will Review and Preview this years NCAAB Tournament Sweet 16 Games in what has been one of the most competitive tournaments in recent years.


On Thursday the NCAAB Tournament will resume with the Sweet 16 round. This years tournament has featured some of the most unlikely endings with come back wins and enormous blown leads and melt downs. Below is a look at the 8 games on deck.
Miami vs Villanova On Thursday at 7;10 eastern. The Hurricanes are a solid 3 seed here and advanced by beating a hot shooting Wichita St team in their last game. Now they take on the 2 seeded Villanova team that flattened Iowa by 19 points and has looked much better this year than last years team that exited early. This game should be a very competitive game that should get decided late by two teams that are ranked 5 and 9 respectively in the RPI Scale. One of the better matchups in this tournament.




Maryland vs Kansas at 9:40 eastern on Thursday night. Kansas has coasted like a solid 1 seed in the first 2 rounds. Now they face a game 5 seed in Maryland who was solid in their win over Hawaii, taking over in the 2nd half in a 13 point win. The Terrapins are a bit under rated this year but do have a solid 14 RPI Scale Ranking. This should be a tougher game for the Jayhawks and in what should be a higher scoring game they play solid defense and that could spell trouble for Maryland.



Duke vs Oregon at 10:30 eastern closes out the Thursday night games. Duke survived a 2nd half scare from Yale after opening up a 23 point lead at the half. The defending champs are not close to the level they were at last year as they just do not play enough defense. However, they can score the ball and they will take on an Oregon team that comes in off a come from behind win over St. Joe's. Oregon is the top Pac 12 team this year and is ranked #2 in the RPI Scale behind Kansas and is one of just three other teams with 30 wins. Both teams play up tempo which will help Duke who has had a tougher time with solid defensive teams. They should be able to get out and run with the Ducks in what promises to be an exciting game.



Iowa St vs Virginia the first game of the evening on Friday at 7:10 eastern. Iowa St is ranked 23 in the RPI Scale and is just 8-10 vs top 50 teams and will have their work cut out for them tonight against a tough minded defensive team like the Cavaliers who are 4th ranked in the RPI Scale and has a vast amount of big game experience and has played the 2nd toughest schedule in the country. This will be very tough for the Cyclones who coast past Arkansas Little Rock while Virginia beat a solid Butler team.


Wisconsin vs Notre Dame on Friday at 7:30 eastern. Big 10 vs ACC in this game featuring last years runner up in Wisconsin who was not expected to be here after losing key pieces and their coach. However they upset 2 seeded Xavier on a buzzer beater and will now face a Notre Dame team that broke the 21 game win streak and hearts of Stephen F. Austin with a dramatic 76-75 win after trailing big in the first half. These are the type of unexpected matchups that make this tournament one of the premier events in the country and truly make the phrase March Madness applicable as neither team is ranked in the top 30 of the all important RPI Scale.


Gonzaga vs Syracuse on Friday at 9:40 eastern on #cbssports. Another game where no one expected these 2 schools to be here. Gonzaga is not nearly as talented as last seasons team. Yet here they are and off a blowout win by 20+ points over a solid Utah team as an 11 seed. Syracuse took advantage of getting a game vs Middle Tennessee who knocked off 2 Seed Michigan St as a 17 point dog in one the biggest upsets in tournament history never even losing the lead. Syracuse pulled away big after tightening their zone in the 2nd half and pulling away to a 25 point win. Middle Tennessee coach told the media there was no way to prepare or simulate that Syracuse zone and that he had not seen anything like it before. This is not the best Syracuse team nor the best Gonzaga team. Many still cant fathom that one of these two will be an elite 8 squad this year.


Indiana vs North Carolina in the final sweet 16 game on Friday at 10:0 eastern. North Carolina dispatched a hard fighting although less talented Providence team. The Tar Heels are one of an amazing 6 ACC Teams advancing to the sweet 16 round. They are a 31 win team worthy of a 1 seed. Indiana upset 4 Seeded Kentucky who was not expected to make a big run this year. The Hoosiers are a solid squad who led the Big 10 Conference all season before finishing 2nd to Michigan and somehow would up with a 5 seed. They are 7-3 vs top 50 teams and will be in this game throughout. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Boston
Maryland
M-Fl small

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASI

Nba
patrick (10-7 +2.20)
brooklyn +8 cleveland (730pm)
chicago -4.5 ny (730pm)
david (12-9 -.10)
new orleans +13 indiana (7pm)
la clippers/portland over 213 (1030pm)

College hoops
patrick (20-13 +6.30) duke +3 oregon (10pm)
david (23-26 -8.20) oklahoma -3 texas a&m (730pm)
jeff (17-16 -.90) tx arlington -3.5 njit (730pm)

Nhl
jeff (8-1 +7.00) dallas/arizona over 5.5 -120 (10pm)
patrick (3-3 +.05)philadelphia/colorado over 5 -135 (9pm)

Tennis - pj (14-14 -2.08)
wta miami open
l tsurenko +180 e makarova (11pm)
s stosur -170 j georges (330pm)
atp miami open
n mahut -186 t ito (2pm)
b becker +195 m baghdatis (9pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence late phones

3* Duke

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MVP Lock Club


LOCK OF THE DAY


NCAAB: Kansas -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman CBB


3-Unit Play. Take #818 Oklahoma (-2.5) over Texas A&M (7:35 p.m., Thursday, March 24)


The best player on the floor plays for Oklahoma and at this point of the NCAA Tournament, you want to put your money on that top dog. Texas A&M has no business playing in this game as Northern Iowa allowed them to continue their season into the Sweet 16. Oklahoma hasn't looked great, but this is where they turn it on. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus the Southeastern Conference and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between the two teams. Buddy Hield and company will be too much for the Aggies tonight.


4-Unit Play. Take #816 Oregon (-3) over Duke (10:05 p.m., Thursday, March 24)


The Ducks are too big, too fast, and too strong for the Blue Devils. Yes, Coach K can always keep his team in games, but Oregon, even as a 1-seed, is vastly underrated. The strength of the Oregon bigs will overwhelm Duke tonight and the Ducks will move on to the Elite 8. Duke was outrebounded 42-28 by Yale and that will prove costly when that happens again tonight. Duke is 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win while Oregon is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. Lay the small number as Oregon moves on.


3-Unit Play. Take #814 Villanova (-4) over Miami (7:10 p.m., Thursday, March 24)


Nova looks really good right now, and it will continue to do so as they cover this two-possession line against Miami. The Hurricanes have played in two tough games leading up to this point and Angel Rodriguez will run out of steam against a Wildcats team that can score from numerous different positions. Miami is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a winning S.U. record while Villanova is 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games. Lay the number here as the Wildcats make enough plays to cover this line and move on.


7-Unit Play. Take #811 Maryland (+6.5) over Kansas (9:40 p.m., Thursday, March 24)


I know, I know, Kansas is the top seed in the tournament, and they are absolutely rolling. The Maryland Terrapins however, are the type of team that can play with the Jayhawks. Maryland has a top dog in Melo Trimble that can go off for 25 points, and they also have a core of other players that are tough guards, and can go off at any time. This Maryland team may have the best starting five in the country and they absolutely have the ability to beat Kansas. I am not saying to take Maryland on the money line, but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Terrapins beat the Jayhawks straight up tonight. Maryland is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games while Kansas is just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games versus the Big Ten. This game is going to come down to hitting your free throws and playing solid defense late, and Maryland has the advantage in both of those areas. I am taking the points as the Terrapins will be a live dog tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril | CBB Sides - Thursday, Mar 24 2016 9:40PM
812 Kansas-6.0(-106) Pinnacle vs 811 Maryland double-dime bet

Analysis: Game analysis will be rea ‚dy at 3 pm ET.

2* Play KANSAS (-).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness NBA

10* Knicks
10* Portland over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #811 Maryland (+6.5) over Kansas (9:40 p.m., Thursday, March 24)
I don't know that Maryland is good enough to pull the upset here. But I do think that they are good enough to play the Jayhawks close. Kansas, UNC and Virginia really have all the pressure on them now as the favorites in this tournament. The Jayhawks could tighten up here. Maryland is capable of playing at a high level and this team isn't going to go out without a fight.

5-Unit Play. Take #816 Oregon (-3) over Duke (10 p.m., Thursday, March 24)
Of the 68 teams that make the NCAA Tournament, only a handful get to leave The Big Dance feeling great about what they did. There's any small school that pulls a big upset. There are the four teams that make The Final Four. And of course there's the national championship winner. Of course, right below winning the title I think that the biggest thrill for any school is being the team that knocks off Duke. I said when I broke down this region that I felt Oregon would have an easier time with either Baylor or Duke than they would with St. Joe's. And that's still what I think. Duke was able to get to this point by beating UNC-Wilmington and Yale. Not exactly world beaters, and Duke had their hands full with both. Oregon is a completely different beast. They are aggressive and athletic and on top of that they have the same top-end talent the Blue Devils are packing. Dillon Brooks and Tyler Dorsey can match the offensive output of Brandon Ingram and Grayson Allen. That's rare that Duke has faced anyone that can equal their big guns. But where Oregon has the major advantage is in the post. The Ducks are big, athletic and relentless in the paint and that is exactly where Duke's weakness is. The last quality win that Duke has scored in the last month was beating North Carolina back on Feb. 17, and that game featured a crazy last-second comeback. The Blue Devils are never a good bet between +/-3.0 and I think they will have their season end tonight.

1-Unit Play. Take #818 Oklahoma (-2.5) over Texas A&M (7:30 p.m., Thursday, March 24)
A&M is coming off one of the greatest comebacks in NCAA basketball history. But the fact that they even needed to erase such a huge deficit against Northern Iowa doesn't bode well for them. We have ridden the Aggies all season long. But I don't think they will be able to slow down a Sooners team that hasn't played its best basketball yet. Oklahoma has one of the best backcourts in the nation and I think Lon Kruger's steady hand will be a big benefit for them here in the Sweet 16.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

alan harris from doc sports

8u oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* 818 Oklahoma -2

NBA

10* Brooklyn +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

15-6 in March Madness, we roll with 4 College Ball Selections today.

4-Unit Play. #819. Take Texas Arlington -3.5 over NJIT (Thursday @ 7:30pm est)
We roll with the top play today being on Texas Arlington. We could have stepped out in this selection but given that we have put up +$2700 in March Madness as we have gone 15-6 and the fact we are +$7370 on the season, we are in a good spot here with 4 selections that are standard as we seek to get up to close to the +$8000 range with lot more games on the docket for the weekend. We have had a very good March Madness and of course, if you have enjoyed our hard work in the Madness, Baseball is just 10 days away now and it means a lot to us to do well once again and be #1 again. How many folks after all went 101-65 (61%) for +$16,266 in 2015 and ended the season on a perfect 7-0 Run - A Golden Week and posted back to back winning years for (+$20,200) over the last 2 years on the diamond. As per this selection, you have a Texas Arlington team that is a top 75 team on defense, top 25 in offensive rebounding and top 130 in offense as well. This is the same team that beat Ohio State by 5 points on the road, is a top 100 team that is looking for respect similar to what Stephen Austin did in the NCAA Tournament, beat Memphis by 4 points on the road and faces a NJIT team that is outside the top 175 when it comes to turnover margin and that is outside the top 200 in offensive efficiency and top 175 in defensive efficiency. We roll with Texas Arlington here as they are the better team and the metrics support them here.

3-Unit Play. #811. Take Under 144.5 Maryland vs. Kansas (Thursday @ 9:40pm est)
We roll with the Under here as these two teams hook up. See, the only way that Maryland stays in this game is via defense. And, given that this team is a top 40 defense, held Purdue to 61 points at home who is a top 15 team and held Connecticut to 66 points, note that this team is strong on the perimeter when it comes to their defense as they are top 50 in 3 point percentage allowed. With Kansas, they are a top 5 defense and a top 20 effective field goal percentage allowed as well. In essence, we think the only way Maryland hangs tough is via a strong defense and make this game all about the half court contest as they do not want to run up and down with Kansas. Don't be surprised to see this game go under the posted total.

3-Unit Play. #813. Take Under 140.5 Miami vs. Villanova (Thursday @ 7:10pm est)
Per this game, we roll with the Under here as Miami has been very strong on the defensive end in the Tournament holding Wichita State to just 57 points, is a fabulous team when it comes to defending the 3 point field goals and will make this an interior half court game which is to their liking. In many ways, Miami is like a miniature Virginia. This team held Louisville who plays a similar metric to Villanova to 65 points, held Duke to 69 points, Florida to 55 points and Utah to 66 points. Villanova is a top 10 defensive team, this is a decent public fade who is on the over and whenever Villanova plays very good teams such as Butler, Seton Hall and Oklahoma, the game has gone under. This game will be dictated by Miami, who we think wins outright and we also feel likely goes under the posted total.

3-Unit Play. #815. Take Under 157 Duke vs. Oregon (Thursday @ 10:05pm est)
We roll with the Under here as well as it's seems a bit scary to take 3 unders today with all these major conference teams that are headliners. But, that's ok. The goal here is to win our selection with Texas Arlington and then go 2-1 with these unders which are public fades and also fit in our models. This is how we make sure we stay ahead of the curve and keep generating positive predicitons and units if you are into that as well as different people use our models for different reasons. But the goal here is to move on the unit scale from +7370 to around +7900 which will be a new season high. It's an art and different days mean different things. Here, it's a great public fade on the last game on the board between two "sexy" teams. You would think this game would go over but you saw what happened with Oregon when they faced a quality defense in St. Josephs as the game went well under. Duke is the same type of branded defense and for once Duke gets to be the underdog here which they will love. They will thrive on this and so will Coach K. For once it will be nice not to be the heavy favorite and be the hunter and not the hunted. Having said that, Oregon faces a high quality defense and Duke frankly will face a very tough defense too in Oregon who is underrated on the defensive front holding opponents to 52 and 64 points. We have this game in the high 140's today and we are perfectly fine rolling with the Under here.