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4-Unit Play #801 Take Indiana/Philadelphia – UNDER 203
(7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)
These teams played over a week ago in Indiana and the total reached only 166. While that game does not mean a whole lot in regards to this one as every NBA game is its own animal, we do expect this game to go well under the posted number. The Sixers played hard last night at Charlotte and we think they come into this one flat. This team has been very poor on back-to-backs and they average well under their season average for scoring in these situations. Indiana has been pretty good on defense lately against bad offensive games like this and we could see them holding the Sixers down to a real low score. Similarly, the Pacers aren’t a team that normally goes crazy on offense and we don’t see them having a 110-type game here. They will probably just get over the century mark as they normally do. And since this is a crucial game for them we see them upping the defensive pressure here in a likely blowout.
3-Unit Play #803 Take Detroit +2.5
over Chicago
(8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
This is basically a must-win game for both teams here. The Pistons have a small cushion as they two games ahead of the Bulls in the No. 7 spot in the East and Chicago is currently No. 9 and one game out of the playoffs. But we think the Pistons are the better team in this matchup and we thought this line should be pickem or Detroit -1. The Bulls have had a couple nice games lately but this team hasn’t shown any consistency all season and we don’t see them changing their stripes during the stretch run. This team hasn’t been a good bet at home all season and we think this will be a close game but expect the Pistons to close it out at the end. They are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Chicago.
3-Unit Play #808 Take Denver -9.5
over Sacramento
(9 p.m. EST, Saturday)
Rajon Rondo and DeMarcus Cousins are out here for the Kings. Those are their two best players. And Denver coach Mike Malone will not have any sympathy for this short-handed squad as it is the one that fired him last season. This is the kind of guy that players respect and we have no doubt that his team will play hard for him tonight while we just don’t see the Kings putting up much of an effort as they have absolutely nothing to play for and they pretty much stink even with Rondo and Cousins in the lineup. Denver has had a tough, road-heavy stretch lately and they haven’t played too well. But this team has some talent and they will be ultra motivated being at home for the first time in a bit and playing this particular opponent that is weakened without its stars.
MIKE DAVIS 4-Unit Play. Take #814 UNC -9.5
over Syracuse
(Saturday, April 2nd at 8:45 p.m.)
My spreadsheet has UNC winning this game by a final score of 83-69. The key components in this matchup are overall talent and recent form.
North Carolina is playing the best basketball out of any team remaining in the tournament. They have been “scary” good as of late and I look for them to take it to Syracuse tonight. The ‘Cuse did well to get to this point but they haven’t faced a complete team like UNC in this tourney. They were able to play UNC close once this year but lost to them by 11 at home. North Carolina has been really good at making free throws down the stretch and pulling away from teams late in games. I see that happening again tonight. The inside-outside game of the Tar Heels has been exceptional and the guard rotation has really served Roy Williams well. That will be especially crucial tonight vs. the Amoeba Zone defense of the Orange. Take UNC
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER 6 Unit Play. Take #813 Over 144.5 Syracuse at North Carolina
(8:45p.m., Saturday April 2)
Yes I know the Syracuse Orange plays outstanding team zone defense but the North Carolina Tar Heels have a high octane offense. In both meetings this year UNC won both meetings and UNC scored 75 and 84 points. I see UNC controlling the pace of the game and if that is the case look for UNC to make this a fast tempo. North Carolina is averaging 89.3ppg in the NCAA Tournament and if the Orange can’t slow down the big men down low that UNC have this game could be ugly quick and we could see tons of points tonight.
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