4-7-16

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler | MLB ML - Thursday, Apr 7 2016 10:05PM
ML 918 ANA (-110) Greek vs 917 TEX triple-dime bet

Analysis: First off, the Angels had Wednesday off. Yes, they're 0-2 and haven't hit - they've faced Lester and Arrieta. Derek Holland is neither, and quite frankly was crushed when he came back late last year. He pi ¯tched well in his last Spring outing against a B Cubs team - but has pitched less than 100 innings in the last two years. He won't walk many - but gives up the long ball, and the fact that he's around the K zone is good in this situation since the Angels tend to be free swingers. Add that to the Rangers bullpen collapse on Wednesday (and then having to fly to LA while the Angels rest) and we have advantages almost everywhere. Santiago was a machine in the first half last season (an All-Star, actually) and then must have either read his own press clippings or simply got tired - he was hit hard the second half. This is still the first half. If he keeps Odor off the bases and Beltre in the park, he should be fine. This is a huge early season in-division statement game. The Angels pen was great (1.18 WHIP) at home last season - they were 17 games over .500 at home (horrid on the road) - and won three more than they lost against LHP's. The AL West was the Rangers' undoing last year as they were under .500 in their own division, and one has to wonder what lingering effects there are from losing three straight to Toronto in the playoffs last season. So, this is ALL on Holland for the Rangers, who's pen has been used a LOT the last two days - far from enough to even consider. The situation is right and the matchup is right for our first 3* play this season - and I MIGHT add one.

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NFAC

GOLF – MASTERS MATCH UPS

7036) C SCHWARTZEL -125
($750)

7039) H MATSUYAMA -135
($750)

7041) P REED -115
($750)

7009) R McILROY -125
($500)

7011) J SPIETH -110
($500)

7015) A SCOTT -120
($500)

7065) C HOFFMAN -130
($500)

7029) H STENSON -165
($500)

7033) J ROSE -150
($500)

7078) B WIESBERGER -125
($500)

7096) A LAHARI -150
($500)

TO WIN 2016 MASTERS :

JIMMY WALKER +7500
($100)

LEE WESTWOOD +9500
($100)

CHRIS KIRK +9500
($100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | BOSTON at CLEVELAND
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 3 games
107-85 since 1997. ( 55.7% | 51.7 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.1 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at LA ANGELS
TEXAS is 47-37 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in Road games in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.3)

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
10-7 this year. ( 58.8% | 2.3 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games
103-63 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 43.7 units )
33-24 this year. ( 57.9% | 1.8 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Flyers and Rockets on Wednesday and likes the Penguins on Thursday.

The deficit is 48 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo Eyes A Twinner

Hondo, clipped with the Cards on Tuesday, bounced back with the Brewers on Wednesday when they chugged past the Giants to boost the earnings to 156 aspromontes.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch expects Hughes to provide more good news— 20 units on the Twins to prevail by a whisker over Ubaldo.

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Soccer Crusher
FBC Melgar + Colo Colo UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 932-28, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 932-725-150

Soccer Crusher Extra Bonus Picks:

CA Boca Juniors + Bolivar OVER 2.5 (Conmebol)

River Plate Montevideo + Nacional Montevideo UNDER 2.5 (Conmebol)

Racing Club + Deportivo Cali OVER 2.5 (Conmebol)

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -142 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 4-0)
Overall Record: 4-0

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Twins + Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5
Cleveland Indians -135 over Boston Red Sox
San Francisco Giants -113 over LA Dodgers

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Basketball Crusher
Toronto Raptors +6.5 over Atlanta Hawks
(System Record: 73-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 73-84-3

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Timberwolves + Sacramento Kings OVER 221.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Philadelphia Flyers + Toronto Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 70-5, lost last game)
Overall Record: 70-78-23

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks -115 over St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles Kings -139 over Anaheim Ducks
Winnipeg Jets + San Jose Sharks OVER 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASI

NBA
PATRICK (72-64 +.30) SAN ANTONIO +7.5 GOLDEN ST (1030PM)
DAVID (71-67 -4.20) TORONTO +7 ATLANTA (8PM)
JEFF (64-62 -5.60) No Selection Today

MLB
PATRICK (0-3 -3.20)
PHILADELPHIA/CINCINNATI OVER 8.5 +100 (1230PM)
LA DODGERS/SAN FRANCISCO UNDER 7.5 -120 (430PM)
DAVID (3-4 -1.30)
WASHINGTON -145 MIAMI (4PM)
LA ANGELS -105 TEXAS (10PM)
JEFF (3-2 +1.00) CHICAGO WHITESOX/OAKLAND OVER 8.5 +100 (330PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION**
My first "LIGHTS OUT" 2 unit selection goes Thursday afternoon. I am backing the OVER in Whitesox & Athletics baseball game. Matt Latos, the right-hander had a 10.38 ERA in three spring starts. Latos was 4-10 with a career-worst 4.95 ERA in 24 games overall, including 21 starts last season. Oakland will start Kendall Graveman. Graveman went 6-9 with a 4.05 ERA in 21 starts last year, going 0-5 with a 5.82 ERA in his final eight. Graveman had worse numbers at home (2-4 and a 4.17 ERA) last season than on the road (4-5 and 3.92) and was terrible during the day, going 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA.
He was also 1-2 with an 8.27 ERA last April. Look for runs to be plentiful.

Tennis pj (56-54 -.15)
wta volvo car open
s stephens -180 d gavrilova (7pm)
wta katowice open
a cornet -120 f schiavone (130pm)
atp us mens clay court championship
m baghdatis +140 f verdasco (830pm)
soccer simon (69-62 +.47)
sweeden allsverskan (under 2.5 -127) aik @ ostersunds fk (1pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

triple dime Chicago Cubs

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Brady Kannon Masters Matchups - Tournament:

Rickie Fowler (-125) over Dustin Johnson
Martin Kaymer (+100) over Byeong Hun-An
Phil Mickelson (+100) over Dustin Johnson
Justin Rose (-120) over Henrik Stenson
Matt Kuchar (-110) over Paul Casey
Adam Scott (-120) over Dustin Johnson
Jason Day (-130) over Jordan Spieth
Chris Kirk (-115) over Billy Horschel
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+110) over Chris Wood
Bryson DeChambeau (+115) over Smylie Kaufman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER:

*3 Anahiem -120
*2 Miami +115
*1 cubs -1 (half on run line +115 and half on money line -150)