12-18-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Kelso 25 FB
25 units Jags +6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB BEST BET WINNER (16-6-1 YTD)

Pick # 1 Western Kentucky (3.5)



RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (2-0 YESTERDAY)
Pick # 1 Phoenix Suns (4.0)





RON RAYMOND’S COLTS VS. JAGUARS WINNER! (80% CLUB STAT INCLUDED)

Pick # 1 Jacksonville Jaguars (6)






RON RAYMOND’S 3-NHL UNDERDOG PICK PACK! (BIG PICKS INSIDE)

Pick # 1 St Louis Blues (200)


Pick # 2 Philadelphia Flyers (100)


Pick # 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (195)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

20 Unit Plays by Vernon Croy


Vernon Croy's **20 Unit Thursday Night NFL SMASH** (Colts/Jaguars)
NFL Dec 18 '08
8:15p Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Take: Jacksonville Jaguars + 7-120



Vernon Croy's **20 Unit NBA TNT GAME OF THE MONTH** (80% Overall Run)
NBA Dec 18 '08
10:35p Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers
Take: Portland Trail Blazers -4½-110



Vernon Croy's **20 Unit Thursday Night NHL SMASH** (12-4 NHL Side Run)
NHL Dec 18 '08
7:35p San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings
Take: Detroit Red Wings -128

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: San Antonio Spurs @ Orlando Magic - Thursday December 18, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Orlando Magic -3.5 (-110)



We love to go against Spurs in spots where we believe they are vulnerable, as they are still a “public team” with lots of betting support, so we typically get good “lines” whenever we bet against them. And during the latter part of last season we discovered some very distinct tendencies and scoring patterns for this Spurs team, which were reinforced in the playoffs and have statrted to show again this season. We have been waiting patiently for the perfect spot to pounce on this Spurs team that has struggled so far TY with injuries to key skill performers (mostly Ginobli and Parker), and still is not fully "in sync" even though both of those guys are back on the floor, and that spot was last night, in their 7 point loss to Hornets in New Orleans, where we had our BIGGEST WIN OF THE YEAR, for TEN UNITS on Hornets – two five unit picks, one ATS at –2 and one on money line at –130. Prior to last night’s game, the Spurs had played only two games TY visiting good teams, in which they are 1-1, victorious by 17 in Denver while betting blown out by 19 in Houston. But looking at their record LY in that mode, with basically the same team, Spurs were a crappy 6-12-1 ATS, including playoffs, with average MOL of 9 points (and they are just 3 or 3.5 point dogs here). In addition, there was a pretty distinct pattern in many of those games, particularly in the playoffs against the Hornets and Lakers, of Spurs either being close or even leading at the half, but then getting blown out in second half, mostly due to poor shooting. And Spurs did not disappoint us last night, as after three quarters of pretty good shooting and good all around play, resulting in a 7 point Spurs lead after three quarters, they totally self-destructed in the fourth, shooting under 30% and getting outscored 27-13 for the quarter, during which they threw up enough bricks to build a new arena next door, all leading to that exhilarating win for Hornets and +10 units for our subscribers. And that was just part of our MONSTER 5-0 NIGHT LAST NIGHT IN NBA, where we went 5-0 for +17.4 UNITS.

And tonite we find Spurs in another vulnerable spot, having to take a late night flight to Orlando after their come from ahead loss in the Big Easy, and then having to play a rested 19-6 Magic team. Moreover, Spurs have been pretty bad lately playing “back to backs,” already 1-4 ATS TY in that mode, and LY 5-12 ATS, incl 3-7 when the second game was on the road. On the other hand, Orlando will be well rested, with two days rest after returning home from their recent western trip. And Magic are 3-0-1 ATS TY (average win by 4.5 points in those four) when playing on two days rest, as well as 4-0 ATS when playing on at least one day of rest against an unrested team (like SA tonite).

So with all of these edges for Magic, why aren’t we “pounding” them like we did New Orleans last night? Well, there are two reasons. First and foremost is the “questionable” playing status of Magic star forward Dwight Howard, who has missed his last two games with a sprained knee and is officially listed as “questionable” for tonite’s game. Howard not only is leading his team in scoring (21 ppg) and rebounds (14 pg), but he had a field day in each of Magic’s games LY against Spurs, averaging 29 points and 19 rebounds. We will have an update on Howard’s condition and likelihood of playing tonite when we update our pick write up for our subscribers later today. The other reason for holding back on Magic is that they have not been that great at home vs the NBA’s top teams, and despite the “negatives” pointed out above for Spurs in negative scheduling situations like tonite, Spurs are still one of the NBA’s “elite” teams. Magic were just 4-5 ATS LY vs A teams at home (with an average margin of loss of 4 points), including a ten point home loss to SA, “gagged” at home vs Detroit in playoffs, and they are 0-1 (a 5 point loss to Houston) in their one home game TY vs a top team, in addition to two other home losses TY to “B” teams Portland and Atlanta..

So we’ll keep it at two units on Magic at -3.5 or less, but we might “unofficially” increase the units if we are able to get reliable information that Howard not only will play tonite but that his mobility, jumping and shooting no longer seem to be significantly impaired by his ankle injury.

One final note about a possible second half value bet on Magic -- while we cannot assume that this will happen again tonite, it should be noted that NO was behind at HT and after 3Q vs Spurs, only to bury them in the fourth quarter. So we suggest that whatever you plan to play on Magic, hold back half of it for a possible second half bet on Orlando, knowing that you won’t have a second half bet on them if they are up at the half and the HT score and second half line results in a worse adjusted game line on Magic than their pre-game point spread. But if the value is there for a second half bet on Magic (e.g, if adjusted game line based on HT score and 2H line is pick or better), and not only is Dwight Howard playing but there are no game ending first half injuries to him or any other key Magic player, then go for it.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Hunter Price

(POD) PHOENIX SUNS & PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS UNDER 201.5

Hold on a minute taking the under in a Suns game, are you serious? Why Yes I am. This number is screaming trap. The Suns have played to the over in 9 of t heir last 10 games and they set this line at just over 200? The blazers know that they can't get in a run and gun kind of game and hope to stick with Phoenix and as such they will be stressing defense on their night off (yesterday). Part of this play is predicated on thinking the Blazers will control their home court and slam the breaks on the pace of the game and stifle the tempo of the suns. Also Richardson has had little time to adjust to his new teammates and will cause a little problem in keeping the team running which furthers our under. Ultimately, I see the Blazers controlling the game from start to finish and getting a big lead that will allow them to milk the shot clock in the fourth quarter causing the game to go under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

DOC

4 Unit Play. #1 Take Indianapolis over Jacksonville (8:15 NFL Network) The Colts enter this game on fire having won seven straight years and a win here will likely get them into the playoffs as a wild card. The Jaguars always seem to get up for the Colts but this game at this date they do not have the bullets to compete with the Colts. During this winning streak QB Manning has been outstanding over this winning streak with a 13-3 touchdown to interception ratio. The Colts stop the run and beat the Jags over the top with the pass





DOC
College Basketball

4 Unit Play. #710 Take Troy over Florida Atlantic (8:00 pm) The Trojans come into this game having lost three straight but they will notch their first victory tonight in the Sun Belt against Florida Atlantic. The Owls have not been much better having lost five of six with their only victory coming against SE Louisiana. This losing streak includes some shaky losses to Denver, Florida Gulf Coast, and McNeese State. We full expect home court to be the difference in this contest and since this one is being played @ Trojan Arena, we will side with the team from Troy. The Owls are 0-5 away from South Florida and do not expect their first victory to come tonight in Alabama.




DOC

3 Unit Play. #704 Take Over in Phoenix @ Portland (10:35 pm TNT) The Suns have been going back to the old days recently and because of that their scoring has been high. We will not worry about who wins this game on Thursday and just collect with the over. Phoenix has combined to go over tonight’s total in nine of their last 10 games and you can expect more of the same on Thursday.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Robert Ferringo NCAA Hoops

2-Unit Play. Take #706 Cincinnati (-5) over Mississippi State (6:30 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #707 Evansville (+30) over North Carolina (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


2-Unit Play. Take #727 Louisiana Tech (+3) over Samford (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #709 Florida Atlantic (+2) over Troy (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #723 Niagara (-3.5) over Drexel (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


I also have a strong (1-Unit) lean on #717 Mississippi (+16) over Louisville (9 p.m.).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

Thursday Plays

10* Take Portland (-4.5) over Phoenix (NBA Top Play)

Phoenix has lost 25 of the last 30 games as an underdog and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread after a game where the combined score was 205 points or more this season.


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5* Take Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati (NCAA Bonus Play)

5* Take Montana (+2) over UC-Riverside (NCAA Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

Thursday Football

Take Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis
(10* Top Play)
8:15 PM EST

Indianapolis has lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread vs. division opponents and they have also lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday

NCAA Basketball


100* Play Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati (NCAA)
Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS coming off a win by 10 points or more
Cincinnati is 5-12 ATS as a home favorite the last 3 seasons
Cincinnati is 3-10 ATS coming off 2 or more consecutive home games

100* Play Mississippi (+16.5) over Louisville (NCAA)

Mississippi is 21-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more the last 3 seasons
Mississippi is 5-0 SU coming off 2 or more consecutive road games
Mississippi is 10-3 SU coming off a win by 6 points or less

Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Detroit (-140) over San Jose (NHL)
50* Play Orlando (-3.5) over San Antonio (NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Football Winners for Thursday
Thursday Football Winner

100* Play Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis
(8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS as a favorite this season
Indianapolis is 9-23 ATS when playing in the last 2 weeks of the regular season

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Your Thursday Night Football Selection is:

Play on Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis*
8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off (Top NFL Guarantee)

Indianapolis has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread as a favorite and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. Indianapolis has lost 23 of the last 32 games against the spread when playing in the last two weeks of the regular season and they have also lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread vs. division opponents over the last three seasons.

Play on Jacksonville plus the points on Thursday

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Winning Angle NBA & NHL for Thursday

NBA

Play Orlando (-3.5) over San Antonio* (Top NBA Play)

NCAA Hoops

Play Evansville (+30.5) over North Carolina* (Top NCAA Play)
Play Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati

NHL
Play Boston (-245) over Toronto* (Top NHL Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

akmens full card

cbb

10* niagra under 129.5

10* troy over 145

10* arkansas st -12

nba

10* suns +4

nhl

10* carolina -150

10* detroit -135

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-18-08

JEFFERSONSPORTS 0-2 yest

12-3 last 15 coll hoops
15-7 since SATURDAY all sports (68%)
55-27 in College Hoops (67%)
44-23-1 in the NFL (66%)
11-4 in NHL HOCKEY 1 unit plays (73%)

EARLY RELEASES
SAMFORD-3
DREXEL+4