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Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: OVER 128 -105
Game Analysis
Michigan vs. Wisconsin OVER the total 128
Everybody is going to play this UNDER today and I can see why after Michigan's run everybody is expecting them to lay down and die in this game. I see Michigan coming out in this game and pushing the pace and giving Wisconsin everything they have left which is going to drive this total just above where it needs to be. I this game going well into the low 70 point range for both teams and being close throughout in this one, both of these teams are averaging over 70 PPG on the season and they should push every bit of that limit here in this game. I am giving this game a 4 star rating on the day in CBB
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin -1½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis
Michigan vs. Wisconsin -1.5
As much as I love this Michigan team as well as they have been playing in the BIG10 conference tournament, Wisconsin is playing like the unbeatable team they are right now. This is going to be a game that no body forgets today and it should be a close one, but every team has their point where they get wore out and after Michigan's run these past few games I see that coming to an end here against a great Wisconsin team. After man handling Northwestern I see Wisconsin just getting started in their tournament run and making Michigan another victim along the way. I am giving this game a 4 star rating on the day in CBB.
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: OVER 128½ -110
Game Analysis
Cincinnati vs. SMU OVER the total 128.5
I love this match up for this conference championship game today. This game is going to be a close one between these two and I have no doubt that this game is going to be close to this total but I like these two teams and where they are comparably. I see this game going the distance today between these two with a great chance of OT if not 2, Cincinnati is the only team in this conference that can hang with SMU. Both teams are rolling right now and are feeling good coming into this game and should be at the top of their game looking for a championship. I am giving this game a 4 star rating on the day for CBB.
20* Michigan/Wisconsin Big Ten Championship No-Brainer on Wisconsin -2
The Wisconsin Badgers got a wake-up call by losing five out of six games toward the end of the regular season. But they have been dominant since, beating Minnesota by 17, Indiana by 10 and Northwestern by 28 in their last three games.
You have to give the Michigan Wolverines a ton of credit for making the title game considering the hand they were dealt. Their plane was delayed and they arrived just hours before the Big Ten Tournament. All they've done is reel off three straight victories.
However, the Wolverines now have to be out of gas, period. They will be playing their 4th game in 4 days. Meanwhile, Wisconsin will only be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after receiving a first-round bye. And the Badgers didn't need to play their starters big minutes yesterday in their 28-point blowout over Northwestern.
Wisconsin has won 5 of its last 6 meetings with Michigan. The Badgers are 7-1 ATS off two straight wins by 10 points or more this season. The Badgers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 points. Bet Wisconsin Sunday.
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: UNDER 129½ -110
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Cincinnati and SMU square off in the AAC title game on Sunday afternoon. These two teams play a very similar style and recent match ups between these two have been highly competitive.
Cincinnati has one of the top 8 defenses in the country. The Bearcats make you work extremely hard to get good looks. SMU is also very good defensively.
Both of these teams rank in the bottom 25 teams in the country in terms of pace of play. The tempo should be slow all the way in this one.
Long-term the under has been a great play in conference tournament finals. Both of these teams are playing for the third straight day, and in this spot in conference title games the under is 61% in the past ten years. That's a huge sample size, and a great winning percentage.
Look for a close game where the defenses play extremely well.
4 Unit Play. #890 Take Wisconsin over Michigan (3 pm CBS) Both teams have been playing outstanding basketball at the moment but I just feel Michigan playing the extra game will doom them in. Michigan lives and dies with the 3-point shot and I just get the feeling tired legs will doom them in. These teams split during the regular season but Wisconsin may have more to play for with a NCAA Tournament game in Milwaukee should they win this game. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on Sunday. Wisconsin is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a small favorite of 6.5 points or less.
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin -120 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis
The Badgers are only 4-5 in their last 8 games but have won their last 3 games by double digits. They have 3 of those 5 losses on the road but their defense has played very well holding 7 of their last 9 opponents below 70 points culminating with a 76-48 thrashing of Northwestern yesterday which makes 8 opponents of their last 11 to 60 points or less. Michigan has played well winning 4 straight games and 9 of their last 11. They beat teams with records below .500 in 3 of their last 6 wins and they will have a disadvantage against a great defensive and rebounding team like Wisconsin because they have played games 3 days in a row including an OT game where the Badgers have played games in 2 straight days. Michigan average just 30 rebounds a game so they need to shoot the lights out or they could get hurt quickly by Wisconsin who grabbed 12 offensive rebounds in yesterday's game.
Take Wisconsin
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: Cincinnati +2 -105 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis
SMU has won 15 straight games and is 17-1 in conference play. They have won 29 games and 18 of the wins were on their home court. They only have a 6 players in their rotation and 5 of them average at least 29 minutes a game. This leaves them vulnerable to fatigue because they have played 2 days in a row because of the conference championship. They won 81-77 against East Carolina who are the 3rd worst team in the conference and that was the most points they gave up since November of last year and then yesterday played a close game until finally pulling away in the last 7 minutes. Cincinnati has won 4 straight games and 7 of their last 8. Their defense has held 9 of their last 14 opponents to 60 points or less and their offense has scored over 80 points in 4 of their last 6 wins. They won by double digits in their last 9 wins and scored 81 points in their last game against Connecticut who had held their last 10 opponents to 75 points or less. They have covered the spread in 5 of their 8 meetings with SMU and could wear down the Mustangs in their game.
Taking WISCONSIN here. Wolverines are red hot. No doubt about it. But I can't over-look the Badger defense. 49 to Minny to end the year when the Gophers were putting up 85ppg their last 4. 60 points to high-flying 80ppg Indiana. 48 to Northwestern on 34% shooting. 4 games in 4 days. tough one. These guys split each winning on their home courts this year. I'll grab the small fave in the rubber match. 4* Money Maker WISCONSIN BADGERS
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NBA | Bulls vs Celtics
Play on: UNDER 208 -108
Game Analysis
Chicago @ Boston 3:30 PM ET
Game# 871-872
Play On: Under 208.0 (5*)
Boston has gone under the total in 10 straight games, and shot an uninspiring 43% from the field through that time frame. Chicago has scored 95 points or less in each of their previous games, and all those contests went under the total. These teams have met 3 times this season, and all those games stayed under the number. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: SMU -1 -115 at BMaker
Game Analysis
Cincinnati vs. SMU 4:15 PM ET
Game# 891-892
Play On: SMU -1.0 (5*)
Both teams going in with identical and excellent 29-4 records. However, my personal eye test regarding both teams indicates to me that SMU is clearly playing the best basketball compared to Cincinnati in recent games. Cincinnati has struggled shooting the basketball over its last 5 games, and that’s proven by their dismal 39.5% shooting percentage during that time span. SMU has gone 25-1 during their previous 26 games, and that includes a current 15-game win streak. Both teams are superb defensively, but SMU has proven to be the more dynamic offensive team of late, and that will be the deciding difference in my eyes. During their previous 5 outings, SMU has shot 54.7%, made a terrific 46.6% of its 3-point shots, and had an extremely impressive 17:9 assist to turnover ratio. Bet on SMU for a 5* wager.
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: Michigan +2 -105 at Bovada
Game Analysis
Michigan vs. Wisconsin 4:00 PM ET
Game# 889-890
Play On: Michigan +2.0 (10*)
Michigan is an impressive 9-2 SU&ATS during their last 11 games and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in its previous 4 outings. The Wolverines have won those previous 4 games by an average of 16.7 points per contest. The Wolverines have shot 50% or better in 5 of their last 8 games, and went a sparkling 19-44 (43.2%) during their 2 contests versus Wisconsin this season. Wisconsin has shown signs of being the team that they were project to be and started out as during their last 3 outings. However, I’m going with the time that’s been more consistent over the past 4 weeks. Bet on Michigan for a 10* Top Play wager.
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: UNDER 127 -103
Game Analysis
I am backing Cincy/SMU Under 127 for 2 units today.
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Wisconsin
Play on: Michigan +120 at 5dimes
Game Analysis
I am backing Michigan +120 as a 2* CBB Play. Michigan is too hot to bet against. They are flourishing on both ends of the court and they have the playmakers to close out games as well. While they might be sluggish to start, I expect this experienced Michigan team to win a Big 10 Championship today. Take Michigan +120 for 2 units.
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs SMU
Play on: Cincinnati +2 -105 at 5Dimes
Huge game as the 29-4 Bearcats take on the 29-4 Mustangs and I really think this game is a big revenge game for Cinn and a chance to show they are a legit team as SMU gets all the press in the AAC and they beat them last time out a month ago 60-51 I expect a totally different team and when you can get a better team at plus points playing with revenge it's a automatic play for me. SMU has covered the last 2 games but overall in their series the Bearcats have covered 5 of 8 games dating back to 2014 that's 64% wins. Take the Points and Cincinnati for a 20* winner.
Edges - Badgers: 3-0 SUATS in this series with same season revenge; and Big Ten No. 2 seeds 20-12 SU all-time versus No. 8 or lower seeds… Wolverines: 1-10 SU all-time versus No. 1 or 2 seeds n this tourney. With No. 2 seed 6-0 SUATS in conference tourney championship games since 1990 when facing a No. 8 or lower seed, and Michigan playing its 4th game in 4 days, we recommend a 10* play on Wisconsin. Thank you and good luck as always.
NBA | Bulls vs Celtics
Play on: Celtics -7½ -110 at 5Dimes
The set-up: The 41-25 Boston Celtics return home after a 2-3 road trip and have fallen behind the streaking Wizards (41-24), for the East's second-best record. They begin a favorable stretch of games Sunday, when they host the visiting Chicago Bulls, who are 31-34 on the season and currently in 10th-place in the East (one game back of the final playoff spot).
Chicago: The Bulls hung on to their best player, Jimmy Butler (23.7-6.2-5.2), at the trade deadline but moved Taj Gibson and Doug McDermott. Not that trading Butler was a good idea but I'm not sure how trading Gibson and McDermott was a plus. Dwyane Wade (18.9-4.6-3.9) returned from a thigh injury to score a team-high 21 points but his teammates combined to shoot 36.3 percent from the floor in Friday's 115-94 home loss to Houston. It marked Chicago's fourth loss in a row and the fifth consecutive game in which the Bulls have scored less than 100 points.
Boston: The Celtics suffered a dramatic at Phoenix (steal and three-pointer at buzzer by Ulis for the Suns) and an ugly 119-99 setback in Denver on Friday, just two nights after a 99-86 victory at Western Conference-leading Golden State. However, Boston will play 11 of its final 16 games at home and 12 of the last 16 against teams that entered the weekend with sub-.500 records. Thomas (29.3 & 6.1 APG) has led Boston all season but head coach Brad Stevens just indicated that Avery Bradley (16.9 & 6.3), who has been on a minutes restriction in the wake of a recent Achilles injury, is just about all the way back. The defensive stalwart has played a total of 59 minutes over the last two games. Bradley getting back to full strength is no small deal. Also, rookie forward Jaylen Brown (6.5 PPG) had 14 points off the bench in Denver and is averaging 11.6 - nearly twice his season average - while shooting 55.7 percent since returning from a hip injury in February.
The pick: The Bulls may rank 10th in the East but they are only two games out of sixth-place. Chicago's still very much alive but the team is 3-5 since moving Gibson (the team's starting power forward) and McDermott (the team's best three-point shooter). FYI...Chicago ranks last in the NBA in made three-pointers per game at 6.8. Chicago's woes continue here in Boston. Make the Celtics a 10* play.
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