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Wednesday 8-23-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
My free winner for Wednesday is on the New York Yankees over the Detroit Tigers, and we're going to lay the Run Line in this game.
Since every MLB wager on a run line or total auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Luis Severino and Jordan Zimmerman. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play. Best service plays at Investwithsports.com
Once the Yankees builds an early lead for Severino, the right-hander who has won five of his last six outings will take over to seal the win. Severino has held opponents to 10 earned runs (2.48 ERA) and 29 hits (.204 BA) over 36.1 innings during that six-game span. Severino will be ready to neutralize the Tigers.
Meanwhile, after three straight seven-inning quality starts, Zimmermann has been tagged for seven runs in back-to-back outings. Now he faces a dangerous lineup like the Yankees?
Wednesday's comp play will be to side once again with Corey Kluber to help keep his team Under the total as the Indians play the Red Sox.
Kluber has allowed 3 runs or less in 14 of his last 15 starts this season, and the Under is 3-1 his last 4 trips to the hill. At Progressive Field his ERA is 2.09 for the year, and 7 of his 11 home starts have ended up holding Under the total. Best service plays at Investwithsports.com
Boston will go with Drew Pomeranz who has an ERA of 2.20 for his last 3 starts, and while he did leave his last start against the Yankees after just 3-plus innings, he has allowed 2 runs or less in 9 of his last 12 starts.
I think we see a game in which both pitchers come out on top of their games, and the runs are scarce.
Let's go with Boston and Cleveland to hold Under the total on Wednesday night.
My free play is on the Washington Nationals, who are in Houston for an Interleague battle with the Astros, pitting two of the best hitting teams in baseball and a pair of division leaders. Best service plays at Investwithsports.com
And I'm sorry, but I just can't buy into the Nationals getting this big a price, as I'm seeing the line between +145 and +150. In this one, list both scheduled starters: Edwin Jackson and Mike Fiers. Best service plays at Investwithsports.com
Looking to continue his run of efficiency and effectiveness, Jackson limited the Padres to just one run in his previous start, needing a mere 83 pitches to get through seven innings. In six starts with the Nationals, the veteran right-hander has a 2.92 ERA. Tonight he'll be much better than the books expect.
Meanwhile, Fiers has been dealt a loss in four of his past five starts, despite showing improvement on Thursday, when he was tagged for seven hits and three runs while striking out seven over 5.1 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He is now 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in his last three starts.
Play the Nationals at a ridiculous value and list both.
I'm recommending a play on the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday with Godley over Flexen. The D-backs are 40-26 and average 5.27 rpg in night games against righthanders. That spells trouble for Mets' righty Chris Flexen. He's made five starts since late July and none have gone too well. Flexen has allowed 16 earned runs, 28 hits, and 16 walks in just 22 innings of work. Odd line for Zack Godley last time out pitching at Target Field as he gave up 4 earned runs and 9 hits in just 5 1/3 IP, but also punched-out 10 batters. Godley has been solid on the road all season and spectacular at night, and he slammed the door on the Mets in all three appearances against them in his career, including his lone start against them in 2017. I expect another successful outing against a Mets' squad averaging just 4.17 rpg at home and down over 15 units at Citi Field, where they have won just 27 of 65 games this season. I'm recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
I'm going with the Brewers in an early game Wednesday in San Francisco. This is a Brewers team with a lot to play for right now as they are right in the middle of the NL Central and wild card races. The Brewers have now gone 7-2 in their last nine games overall to handle the pressure very well right now. Matt Garza hasn't been great, but he has been better than Matt Moore. If you bet Moore in all of his starts this season, you would be 7-18 while losing 12.1 units. Moore is 4-12 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his 25 starts this year. The Brewers are 10-1 in Garza's last 11 starts during game 3 of a series. The Giants are 0-8 in Moore's last eight starts vs. a team with a winning record.
JESSE SCHULE
MLB | Aug 23, 2017
Brewers vs. Giants
UNDER 9 -120
The Brewers trail the Cubs by just 2.5 games in the NL Central, and they came into this series at San Francisco as winners of seven of eight. I think the total for Game 3 looks a little high, and I expect a pitcher's duel.
Garza (6-7, 4.81 ERA) was lit up in a loss at Colorado his last time out. This looks like a far better spot for the veteran, he's been far better in day games than he has been under the lights. He allowed one run on eight hits, striking out five in four innings in a no decision in his last start in San Francisco.
The Giants hand the ball to southpaw Matt Moore, who has had a terrible season. He allowed a pair of runs on two hits and four walks over seven innings in a home win over Philly his last time out, but had lost four straight starts prior to that. Like Garza, he has been far better in afternoon games.
Only the lowly Phillies have scored fewer runs against rigth-handed pitchers than the Giants in 2017.
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles have a significant advantage on the mound and at the plate over the Oakland A's today. Dylan Bundy is 6-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 12 home starts this year. He is hot of late at 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Sean Manaea has gone in the opposite direction, going 0-2 with a 13.04 ERA and 2.28 WHIP in his last 3 starts. One of those was against the Orioles on August 12th as he was knocked out after just 1/3 of an inning, giving up 6 runs in a 5-12 home loss to Baltimore. The A's are 1-10 in Manaea's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Orioles are 5-0 in Bundy's last 5 starts. They should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more at this nice underdog price. Take Baltimore on the Run Line.
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