Service Plays Saturday 8/26/17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis

7-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 61.5 Hawaii at UMASS (Saturday, August 26th at 6:00 p.m.)

These two teams played late in the year last season and it was Hawaii winning a high scoring game by a final score of 46-40. I'm not sure this game gets to 86 points but I certainly believe it will come close.

The passing attack of UMASS should give an inexperienced Hawaii secondary fits. The Minutemen averaged over 250 yards per game passing last season and they threw for 342 yards against Hawaii in the 6-point loss. They have two capable quarterbacks and a tight end that could be an NFL pass catcher one day. Adam Breneman will be a big target for either quarterback and he will be a matchup nightmare for the Hawaii defense. Andy Isabella caught 7 balls for 134 yards and a touchdown against Hawaii last year so the defense won't be able to just focus on Breneman. I look for this UMASS offense to score points in bunches against the inexperienced Hawaii secondary.

Neither of these teams have a great defense and both have struggled against the pass. Optimism always reigns supreme in the offseason but the truth is: these two defenses won't be very good again this season.

Hawaii's offense is on the rise. Dru Brown had a very good game against UMASS last season throwing for 311 yards and 5 touchdowns. The offense also returns Saint Juste who rushed for 122 yards and 1 touchdown on just 14 carries in the game last season. In addition, two of the top three receivers return as well.

I expect this game to be very similar to last year's game in the scoring category. Points will be scored in bunches and I look for this game to sail over the total fairly easily and perhaps as early as the third quarter.

Take Over

3-Unit Play. Take #268 Pittsburgh -6 over Indy (Saturday, August 26th at 7:30 p.m.)

[golden contender]

GC: NFL

Saturday card has the 100% NFL Preseason Play of the year that headlines a powerful NFLX Card. The is a big 5* College Football Play and MLB. NFL Comp play below.

The NFL Comp Play for Saturday is on Oakland plus the 3 points on Saturday over Dallas at 8:00 eastern. The Raiders have covered 9 of 11 on the road and 8 of 11 on Field turf. Dallas has failed to cover 4 straight in their 3rd Preseason game. The Raiders fit a nice game 3 system that plays on teams in game 3 off back to back losses as a favorite and lost game 1 by 10 or less vs an opponent that is off a win. This system has cashed 14 of 19. Not as strong as some of our other plays tonight but solid none the less. The Raiders should bounce back here and are a live dog. On Saturday the Preseason 100% Game of the year is up and part of a solid football card that has NFLX and a 5* College Football Side. There is also MLB and the Travers Stakes. Message to jump on. Football combined is ranked #1 on Multiple leader boards the past 3 years. For the NFLX Free pick. Take the points with the Oakland Raiders. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nellysports

1* Oregon state +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big E

25* NFL PRESEASON GOY

Saints-3


10* Colorado state -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

If you're looking for good info on tonight's big fight please visit the thread below:

McGregor / Mayweather Info ...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Money Plays Sports

XNFL
2* Rams -140 (ML)
1* Under 38 Giants/Jets
1* Under 41.5 Bucs/Browns
1* Over 43.5 Cowboys/Raiders

WNBA - 2* Under 162 Dream/Fever

CFB - 3* UMass -150 (ML)

MLB - 3* Texas Rangers -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

7-Unit Play. Take #291 Oregon State (+4) over Colorado State (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 26)


This play really comes down to one thing. Well, that's not true; there are several reasons to love the Beavers in this one. But let's start with the biggest: I think Gary Andersen is an excellent football coach. You don't turn a program like Utah State into a Mountain West contender if you're not a great coach. You don't get hired at a place like Wisconsin, and then lead them to 20 wins in two seasons if you're not a great coach. Andersen knows what he's doing. And after two ugly years in Corvallis I think that Andersen will have a vastly improved team this year. They won't be able to contend in the toughest division in college football (Pac-12 North). But they are going to be much more competitive and much better all around this year. And I think it starts with a win here.


The Beavers have 15 starters back from last year's squad and that team closed the season with impressive wins over Arizona and Oregon. OSU also played tough against very good Utah, Washington State and Minnesota teams. They lost those three games by an average of just fewer than six points per. So I think that after a full offseason of game planning for this mid-tier Mountain West team the Beavers will be ready.


Colorado State is opening a new stadium and they have a much bigger game next week against Colorado in Denver. How much attention are they really giving this one against a Pac-12 bottom feeder? The Rams got blasted 44-7 by the Buffs last year and also lost at Minnesota. In 2015 they also lost to Minnesota and Colorado, making Mike Bobo 0-4 against teams from power conferences in his two years. CSU has overachieved each of Bobo's two seasons. But last year's team was not nearly as good as they seemed. They gave up 61 points and got stomped by Idaho in their bowl game. Their biggest win was against an SDSU team that was resting everyone before the MWC Title Game the next week. Beyond that Colorado State beat teams like UT-SA, Northern Colorado, Utah State, UNLV and Fresno State. And all but the UNLV game were at home! The Rams have beaten bad teams in Bobo's two years at the helm; and that's really it. So I don't know why they are such a big public favorite in this one against a team with Pac-12 talent.


Andersen has always preached a tough, physical, run-first philosophy. And I think it is easy to ease into the season by pounding people on the ground than it is to come out and sling it around. I think Oregon State can control the line of scrimmage, keep CSU off the field a bit, and not allow the Rams to get into a rhythm offensively. I think that this game will come down to the fourth quarter. But I also think that Oregon State is going to win outright and get an upset. I have this one at 33-30 for the road team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine 4%

Italy Serie A - Juventus at Genoa

The Play is Juventus -1.5 +122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Selections for Saturday, Aug. 26


1* Colorado St. -3.5, 2:30 pm
BIG AL's 90% ATS NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE WEEK!
Game Date/Time: 8/26/17 2:30 pm
Our Selection: Colorado St. Opponent: Oregon St. Line: -3.5 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 2:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Oregon State. The Rams ended the 2016 regular season on a 7-game ATS win streak (before getting upset by Idaho in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, 61-50). I look for Colorado State to cover the pointspread for their eighth straight regular season game in this, their home opener of 2017. Indeed, the Rams are a perfect 4-0 ATS their last four lined home openers, and they're 9-1 ATS their last 10 home games vs. non-conference foes (and 18-7 ATS their last 25). Meanwhile, the Beavers are a wallet-busting 9-19 ATS on the road vs. non-conference opposition. Finally, Oregon State has lost its last 13 road games, straight-up, which doesn't bode well for covering the pointspread here, given the relatively short number. Take Colorado State.

BIG AL's NFL 3-GAME PACKAGE!
Game Date/Time: 8/26/17 7:00 pm
Our Selection: Giants/Jets 'over' Line: 38 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 7 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the New York Giants/New York Jets game. It's true that the Jets' and Giants' offenses have been dreadful, while their defenses have been solid. The Jets have averaged 6.5 ppg, and given up 9.5 ppg, while the Giants have scored 9 ppg, and given up 15 ppg. Thus, the Jets are averaging 16 total points per game, while the Giants are averaging 24 ppg. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'under,' given these stats. But consider that, since 1997, teams averaging less than 24 ppg, at Game 3 forward, have gone 'OVER' the total 71% of the time, including 83% when the line has been between 34 and 39.5 points. Take the 'OVER.'


BIG AL's NFL 3-GAME PACKAGE!
Game Date/Time: 8/26/17 8:00 pm
Our Selection: Chargers Opponent: Rams Line: +2.5 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers over the Los Angeles Rams. The Chargers' defense has given up 30.5 ppg so far, while their offense has mustered just 12 ppg. But I look for the Chargers to cover on Saturday, as teams that have been outscored by 6+ ppg, and have given up 30 ppg, have covered the pointspread 78% in the Preseason, in Game #3. Even better: the Chargers are 11-0-1 ATS vs. the Rams in the Preseason since 1992. Take the Chargers.


BIG AL's NFL 3-GAME PACKAGE!
Game Date/Time: 8/26/17 8:00 pm
Our Selection: Raiders Opponent: Cowboys Line: +3 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders over Dallas. The Raiders were upset, 24-21, at home by the Los Angeles Rams last weekend. But I look for the Raiders to bounce back on Saturday, as underdogs off upset home losses have covered 59% in the preseason vs. foes off a SU win. Moreover, Oakland is 8-3 ATS on the road vs. the Cowboys in the Preseason. Take Oakland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

oskeim sports
Colorado State (-3) (-125) over Oregon State


Investment Advice: The Rams are a 2* investment at -3 or less (at -125 odds or better) and become a 1* investment at -3.5 to -4 points. Please buy a 1/2-point to -3 if necessary. In the alternative, you can play the Rams on the money line (at -185 odds or better). Please remember to risk the allocated star amount; do not bet to win the designated star rating.


Analysis: Third-year head coach Mike Bobo has done a tremendous job in Fort Collins, leading the Rams to a bowl game in each of his first two years on the sidelines. Colorado State has the most experienced team in the Mountain West Conference with sixteen returning starters, including eight on defense. The Rams’ explosive offense, which averaged 47.8 points and 533.8 yards per game in the final six contests last season, returns 93.9% of its rushing yards, 95.5% of its passing yards and 88% of its total scoring.


Overall, Colorado State finished ranked 28th in the nation in scoring offense and 30th in total offense. From October 16 to the end of the 2016-17 campaign, the Rams’ attack ranked 2nd and 4th, respectively, over that span. The Rams scored 53 of 56 times they reached the red zone (94.6%) last season, a program record and a figure that was 4th-best in college football. Colorado State returns all three running backs from last season, a trio that combined for 2,199 rushing yards and 24 touchdowns. In fact, the Rams were the only team in the nation with three running backs with 500-plus rushing yards and at least three touchdowns apiece.


A fourth running back, redshirt freshman Rashaad Boddie, has impressed in camp with coach Bobo describing him as a “runaway train.” The Rams welcome back 64 career starts from an offensive line that ranked 8th in the nation with just 1.0 sacks allowed per game (13 sacks allowed overall). Meanwhile, starting quarterback Nick Stevens posted the best quarterback rating from October 22 forward, completing more than 70% of his passes for 19 touchdowns (only 3 interceptions). His season passing efficiency rating in 2016 (171.3) ranked fifth in the FBS, while his 9.63 yards per pass attempt average ranked fourth.


Stevens has three of his top four receivers back from last season, including JUCO transfer Michael Gallup who finished the season with 76 catches for 1,272 yards and 14 touchdowns. Gallup scored at least one touchdown in each of his final eight games, including three apiece in the final two affairs. Over those final 8 contests, Gallup averaged 128.0 receiving yards per game, fifth-most in the nation during that span. Colorado State also enters the 2017-18 campaign with one of the most experienced (and improved) defenses in the conference.


Defensive coordinator Marty English has 8 returning starters to work with, including a senior-laden secondary that limited opponents to just 155.0 passing yards per game over the final eight regular-season contests. This unit returns three starters and eight letterwinners from 2016 and will be a season-long nightmare for opposing quarterbacks. English also fields his best defensive line in three years with a trio of full-time starters returning. The same can be said for Colorado State’s linebacking unit, which goes from zero returning starters last season to three this year. The Rams ranked 2nd in the Mountain West and 43rd nationally last season with 6.3 tackles for a loss per game.


The enthusiasm surrounding Colorado State’s football program has reached a new level with the unveiling of a $220 million on-campus stadium that will host Saturday’s season-opener. And, the team recognizes the significance of Saturday’s game against Oregon State. "We have a big responsibility this year," Bobo stated. "We are opening a new on-campus stadium. Our fans, our community; everyone is excited. We as a football program have a big responsibility.” It will mark the Rams’ first game on campus in almost 50 years.


"That's why we've been talking about it since January," Bobo said. "We've been talking about this moment and the excitement that's going to be in the air. The expectations of this football program and this team. The magnitude of this week. It's the first week back in school with classes starting. Our first time we've had a game on campus in almost 50 years.” While I have a lot of respect for the job Gary Andersen is doing at Oregon State, the Beavers are 6-18 overall under his leadership and have not played in a bowl game since the 2013 Hawaii Bowl. Based on a number of factors, I don’t see Oregon State eclipsing four wins this season (a second straight 4-8 finish is very likely).


Oregon State ranked 128th in passing success rate last season and now turn to its third opening-season starting quarterback in as many years. Ventura Community College transfer Jake Luton was named the team’s starter earlier this month, causing former starting quarterback Marcus McMaryion to transfer to Fresno State. The loss of McMaryon is significant in that he averaged 6.9 yards per pass attempt against teams that would combine to allow just 5.8 yards per pass play to an average quarterback.


Luton hasn’t played at this level since 2015 when he was a redshirt freshman at Idaho where he averaged a pathetic 4.3 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 6.1 yards per pass attempt. The junior possesses a very strong arm but he only completed 56.5% of his pass attempts at Ventura Community College with fifteen interceptions. Luton also lines up behind an offensive line that underwent significant turnover after the 2016 season (only 2 with starting experience return).


From a technical standpoint, Colorado State is 14-4-1 ATS in its last nineteen non-conference games (9-1 ATS at home), 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and has covered each of its past four lined season-openers. The Rams are also 38-24 ATS since 2012, including 19-9 ATS at home and 16-7 ATS under coach Bobo. Finally, the Beavers have lost thirteen consecutive road games. Lay the number with Colorado State and invest with confidence

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Charlotte +14
Florida Atlantic +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Line Reader

Minnesota Twins +120

[tider10]

Anyone have King creole cfb total for today or do I need to buy?

tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

allan desrosiers

8 oregon st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Saints -3

100* Rice +30

100* Blue Jays -135