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Inside the Pressbox
* Florida State
** Notre Dame
* UNI
* UAB (Upset of the Week)
* Florida
* Ala/Miss OVER (High Score of the Week)
** Az StateComment
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Zcode NFL Wk2
Subject: �� NFL Predictions: Week 2 picks of the week
Heading into the second week of the NFL season, there are plenty of good contests on the schedule. Let’s take a look!
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
The Carolina Panthers are coming off a 16-8 win over the Cowboys, while the Falcons failed to convert in the red zone against the Eagles and fell, 18-12. Atlanta and Carolina split last season with Atlanta as the favorites in both contests. Once again, Atlanta is the favorite, this time by 5.5 points. Carolina holds a +12 to +4 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus “dead” status on the “Team Strength Oscillator”. Although early, it’s a critical game for the Falcons. If they lose they will be two games back and essentially three behind Carolina, who would hold the head to head match up advantage. Look for the Falcons to win, but the Panthers could cover.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
In this classic NFC North battle, both teams enter victorious in the season opener. Minnesota comes in a one point favorite and the outcome of this game could be largely dependent on the status of Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers. He lead a miraculous comeback following a knee injury and is questionable for this game. Minnesota holds a commanding advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Vikings won both meetings last season. Keep an eye on Rodgers, if he goes, take the Packers. If not, it should be a relatively easy win for the Vikings.
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chiefs enter coming off a win over the Chargers, while the Steelers play the Browns to what must be considered to the franchise a disappointing tie. Pittsburgh won last year’s meeting against Kansas City as a road underdog and enter 5.5 point favorites. The Chiefs have a +18 to +7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator, however the Steelers are somewhat inexplicably “burning hot” versus “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Playing without Le’Veon Bell, the Steelers clearly are not the same team. There is no indication he’ll be joining the team soon as he is officially off the team depth chart. I see the Chiefs continuing the Steelers’ woes, winning the game outright.
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams
The Cardinals enter Los Angeles coming off a lackluster performance in a loss to the Redskins. On the other hand, the Rams defeated the Raiders in somewhat easy fashion on Monday Night Football. The Rams won both meetings last season and are 11 point favorites this time around. They hold a commanding +24 to +9 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. There is little to suggest the Cardinals can be competitive in this one. I see not only a win for the Rams, but covering this large spread in a blowout game.
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
In the best match up of the week, both teams enter coming off an opening day win. New England won the last meeting in the AFC Championship Game. This one is a toss up, a “pick em” game in Jacksonville. The Patriots hold a +26 to +17 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator, however the Jaguars are “burning hot” versus “average up” for the Patriots. Its difficult to pick against New England with their track record and Tom Brady still performing magic at quarterback. However, the Jaguars have revenge on their minds, have a stellar defense and playing at home. In this “pick em” game, I pick Jacksonville to hand New England and early season loss.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
Things could not have gone worse for Jon Gruden in his return to the NFL sideline. First making perhaps the worst trade in NFL history, the Raiders played poorly in the opener, losing to the Jets, 48-17. On the flip side, the Broncos edged the Seahawks to get off on the right foot. Oakland and Denver are tied on the Power Ranking Indicator and the teams were even in head to head play last season, both winning at home. Clearly in a rebuilding mode, the Raiders don’t appear to be ready to win in Denver, which is a tough venue for any visiting team. Look for the Broncos, who are 4.5 point favorites, to win and cover the spread.
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⚾ World Series MLB Betting – who will win it all?
The Boston Red Sox have wrapped up the American League East and are the onlyteam (as of September 14th) to clinch a playoff place. There are just 16 daysleft in the MLB season and teams are still looking for one last run at aplayoff spot. MLB betting is nearly to the end of the season, but punterscan still wager on plenty of action in the upcoming postseason.
Major sportsbooks have bestowed the MLB World Series futures favoritetag on the Red Sox. The team is +300 to win the World Series according to topbookies. Not only were the Red Sox the first team to 100 wins, but they havecompletely embarrassed the New York Yankees, who currently sit 10.5 games back.
The Yankees were expected to be the AL East’s best team by experts thanks totheir acquisition of Giancarlo Stanton. However, the dominance New York wasexpected to have never materialized. The Yankees are fifth favorites to win theFall Classic at odds of +1100.
In the National League, the Chicago Cubs have posted the best record inbaseball. Joe Maddon has done another fine job in the dugout, but the Cubshaven’t made the postseason yet. The Milwaukee Brewers just won’t die, andcould still overtake the Cubs for the NL Central title. Chicago is MLB betting+750 to win the World Series, while Milwaukee is +1300.
MLB Betting: Top 5odds to with the 2018 World Series
- Boston Red Sox +300
- Houston Astros +310
- Los Angeles Dodgers +700
- Chicago Cubs +750
- New York Yankees +1100
Sportsbooks just cannot write off the Los Angeles Dodgers. Dave Roberts’ teamhas looked done and dusted at times this season only to battle back. TheDodgers are currently 1.5 games out of the NL West lead behind the ColoradoRockies.
Los Angeles has made up ground in the wildcard race with recent wins overthe St. Louis Cardinals. The Dodgers are just 1.0 game back of the lastwildcard place. Los Angeles’ steady play has been the contrast of the ArizonaDiamondbacks. Tory Lovullo’s team has faded in the NL West and now sit 4.5games behind the Rockies. The Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
ZCode System PlayoffSimulator: Houston Astros to win World Series over the BrewersComment
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Mendoza Line Newsletter tracking (through 9/16/2018)
Overall, a very bad week for the newsletter picks.
***Many picks canceled this week due to Florence. Too many to note here.***
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
CKO
11* (0-3)
10* (5-6)
Totals (1-2)
Gridiron Gold Sheet (0-4 in the NFL this week)
NCAA Best Bets (8-8)
NFL Best Bets (3-5)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (1-2)
4* (0-3)
3* (2-1)
Upset pick (1-2)
Betcha Didn't Know (1-10)
Awesome Angle (2-1)
Incredible Stat (0-3)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (1-1)
4* (1-1)
3* (1-1)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (1-3-1)
2* (1-3)
3* (0-3)
4* (4-2)
5* (2-4)
Pointwise NFL (0-4 so far this week)
3* (1-1)
4* (0-4)
5* (0-3) (Seattle +3 pending for Monday night)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (2-1)
3* (2-3)
2* (4-2)
Underdog Play of the Week (0-3)
Tech Play of the Week (1-0-1)
Revenge Play of the Week (0-3)
Situational Play of the Week (2-1)
Series Play of the Week (0-1)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (0-2)
3* (2-0)
2* (1-1)
NFL System play (2-1)
4* Pro Angle (0-1)
Powers Picks NCAA (4-1 this week, best week for Powers NCCA I can remember)
3* (3-2)
2* (3-7)
1* (0-0)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-0)
3* (0-1)
2* (4-0)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (3-6)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-2)
Red Sheet
89* (3-3)
88* (3-8-1)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-1)
NCAA 3* (1-2)
NFL 4* (2-0)
NFL 3* (1-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (0-1)
MTI 4.5* (1-0)
MTI 4* (1-1)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-1)
SBB 4* (2-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (1-1)
2* (2-2)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (5-1)
NCAA 4* (4-8)
NFL 4* (2-0)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (7-6)
NFL Key Releases (4-3) (Seattle +3.5 pending for Monday night)Comment
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MEGALOCKS week #4
Army at Oklahoma – College Football Predictions
Army at Oklahoma – College Football Predictions
The Game
This should be interesting.
The rock solid Army West Point Black Knights visit Oklahoma to take on the Big-12 favorite Oklahoma Sooners. Army is off to a nice 2-1 start with their only loss coming to the emerging JUGGERNAUT Duke Blue Devils. Oklahoma is sitting at a great spot (3-0) and getting JACKED UP for conference play. Can Army keep this game from being a complete slaughter?
The Details
Oklahoma -31.5 Army (63)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Oklahoma -27
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Oklahoma 47.25 Army 15.75
The Match-Up:
Army offense vs Oklahoma defense
This ain’t your momma’s Army offense.
Amaze the SMOKESHOW FLIGHT ATTENDANT on your next flight with this gem. Army threw for 361 (!!) yards during the entire 2017 season. Yup, that happened. This season QB Kevin Hopkins has already thrown for 420 yards. Some of that has been by necessity (Duke game) but Army has enough of an air attack now to keep you on your toes. Don’t be surprised if guys are running wide open by 20 yards at least a couple times on Saturday. To be fair this is not the Liberty or Hawaii defense BUT Army should be able to pound out enough clock with their devastating rushing attack to minimize the opportunities that the Sooners get on offense. Army has held the ball for over 39 (!) minutes per game which is #1 in the FBS. The Sooners defense has been pretty good vs the run but disappointing vs the pass. That should mean good things for this match-up but how much time do you think the Sooners have put into preparing for the option when they just finished a yuuuuge game with Iowa St and have the Big-12 docket on deck? Yup.
Oklahoma offense vs Army defense
The Sooners are going to make Army’s pass defense look silly on multiple occasions. QB Tyler Murray has looked really good and the running game will be fine, although less explosive without the dual-threat ability of Rodney Anderson who is OFY. The WR combo of Marquise Brown and Ceedee Lamb should go nuts in this game but we would be shocked if we saw them after the Sooners get up by 21 points. They have already taken a major injury hit on offense. The Army defense is tougher than a $3 steak but will do well to hold the Sooners to less than 38 points. Remember, if Army doesn’t crap the bed with turnovers they are going to hold the ball for long stretches.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Our WEATHER INSIDERS dominated with a massive call on the Utah under last week. Remember, this is just icing on the cake, but the forecast is looking pretty ominous in terms of rain for 24-48 hours spanning the time of this game. We would take Army +31.5 in beautiful weather, but they become a bit more tasty of a play if the elements come into play.
Summary
We have the fair line on this puppy a lot lower. Oklahoma crushed FAU (midgets that can’t play defense), UCLA (horrible) and beat a decent Iowa St team by 10 points. Army has won 18 games over the past two seasons (+ 2 this season) and are a legit living breathing team that will make a bowl game and probably win it (along with beating Navy). It could be a senseless slaughter but we will take the service academy discount.
Conclusion
Official play: Army +31.5 -102Comment
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Mendoza Line Newsletter tracking (through 9/17/2018)
Updated for Monday Night Football and a correction to Gold Sheet.
Overall, a very bad week for the newsletter picks.
***Many picks canceled this week due to Florence. Too many to note here.***
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
CKO
11* (0-3)
10* (5-6)
Totals (1-2)
Gridiron Gold Sheet (0-4 in the NFL this week)
NCAA Best Bets (8-8)
NFL Best Bets (3-5)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (1-2)
4* (0-3)
3* (2-1)
Upset pick (1-2)
Betcha Didn't Know (1-10)
Awesome Angle (2-1)
Incredible Stat (0-3)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (1-1)
4* (1-1)
3* (1-1)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (1-3-1)
2* (1-3)
3* (0-3)
4* (4-2)
5* (2-4)
Pointwise NFL (0-5 this week)
3* (1-1)
4* (0-4)
5* (0-4)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (2-1)
3* (2-3)
2* (4-2)
Underdog Play of the Week (0-3)
Tech Play of the Week (1-0-1)
Revenge Play of the Week (0-3)
Situational Play of the Week (2-1)
Series Play of the Week (0-1)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (0-2)
3* (2-0)
2* (1-1)
NFL System play (2-1)
4* Pro Angle (0-1)
Powers Picks NCAA (4-1 this week, best week for Powers NCCA I can remember)
3* (3-2)
2* (3-7)
1* (0-0)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-0)
3* (0-1)
2* (4-0)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (3-6)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-2)
Red Sheet
89* (3-3)
88* (3-8-1)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-1)
NCAA 3* (1-2)
NFL 4* (2-0)
NFL 3* (1-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (0-1)
MTI 4.5* (1-0)
MTI 4* (1-1)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-1)
SBB 4* (2-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (1-1)
2* (2-2)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (5-1)
NCAA 4* (4-8)
NFL 4* (2-0)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (5-6)
NFL Key Releases (4-2)Comment
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