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SPORTS WAGERS
L.A. Angels -1½ +151 over TEXAS
When something doesn’t make sense, alarm bells go off over here and this is one of those games in which the line makes no sense whatsoever. That has us looking towards the side that the books have taken a “position” on.
Cole Hamels is at home here, where he is 6-0 with a 3.04 ERA. Hamels has pedigree, market familiarity, and an overall 9-2 record this season with a 3.78 ERA. The Rangers are also at home after taking two of three from the popular Astros at a neutral site. Furthermore, Hamels is a southpaw and he’ll face an Angels’ squad that is dead last in MLB in OPS versus lefties. We also see a heavy market lean towards the Rangers, yet the Halos opened as the chalk and at the time of this writing, they’re still the chalk. Why?
Tyler Skaggs has a fraction of the market recognition that Hamels has. Tyler Skaggs also has one victory this year in 10 starts, not to mention a 5.87 ERA over his last three starts. The Angels are 31-34 on the road while the Rangers are 35-29 at home. One could break this one down 100 ways and not come up with a valid reason as to why the Angels are road chalk here. If lines are based on starters, Texas must be favored. If lines are based on starters, plus home-field advantage, plus home/road splits, Texas must be favored but they’re not. Why? Again, the books have taken a position here and we want to be on the same side as they are. You should want to be also. We could play the Angels straight up in a near pick-em game but we like to go for the kill so pencil us in on the run-line. If you are on board for this game, you may want to wait until later in the day because by game time, we have a suspicion that the Rangers will be favored.
COLORADO -1½ +210 over Arizona
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
Year to date:
22-36 + 24.75 units
L.A. Angels -1½ +151 over TEXAS
When something doesn’t make sense, alarm bells go off over here and this is one of those games in which the line makes no sense whatsoever. That has us looking towards the side that the books have taken a “position” on.
Cole Hamels is at home here, where he is 6-0 with a 3.04 ERA. Hamels has pedigree, market familiarity, and an overall 9-2 record this season with a 3.78 ERA. The Rangers are also at home after taking two of three from the popular Astros at a neutral site. Furthermore, Hamels is a southpaw and he’ll face an Angels’ squad that is dead last in MLB in OPS versus lefties. We also see a heavy market lean towards the Rangers, yet the Halos opened as the chalk and at the time of this writing, they’re still the chalk. Why?
Tyler Skaggs has a fraction of the market recognition that Hamels has. Tyler Skaggs also has one victory this year in 10 starts, not to mention a 5.87 ERA over his last three starts. The Angels are 31-34 on the road while the Rangers are 35-29 at home. One could break this one down 100 ways and not come up with a valid reason as to why the Angels are road chalk here. If lines are based on starters, Texas must be favored. If lines are based on starters, plus home-field advantage, plus home/road splits, Texas must be favored but they’re not. Why? Again, the books have taken a position here and we want to be on the same side as they are. You should want to be also. We could play the Angels straight up in a near pick-em game but we like to go for the kill so pencil us in on the run-line. If you are on board for this game, you may want to wait until later in the day because by game time, we have a suspicion that the Rangers will be favored.
COLORADO -1½ +210 over Arizona
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
Year to date:
22-36 + 24.75 units
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