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Monday 9-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Week 1 of the 2017 season concludes with a Monday night doubleheader. First the high-powered Saints offense travels to Minnesota to take on the stout defense of the Vikings. Then in the nightcap, the Chargers head to Mile High for a division showdown with the Broncos. Will you be watching? Of course, and you might even place a wager. If so, here is a simple strategy for betting Monday Night Football.
To start, in primetime games, the favorite has been undervalued by bettors.
This trend will be our starting point. Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in primetime games have gone 199-159 (55.6%) ATS. Minnesota and Denver are each 3-point favorites in their season opener.
If the game is expected to be high scoring the win rate improves.
Small favorites (3 to 7 points) in high scoring games (45 or more points) have gone 97-64 (60.2%), +28.17 units in primetime games.
Every time a Drew Brees led offense takes the field points will be scored. The total for the Saints/Vikings game opened 48 and a majority of bets are on the Over. With the game expected to be high scoring and the Vikings small favorites, there is value betting Minnesota at home.
Unfortunately, the Broncos/Chargers game falls out of this system. That’s ok, we got an actual Pro System pick for the late game on Monday night.
Dave Price
Sep 11 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Orioles vs Blue Jays
Play on: Orioles +101 at 5Dimes
Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on Baltimore Orioles +101
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles at 71-72 are still alive in the wild card chase, just 3 games back of the Twins. The Blue Jays have been out of it for a week or so now and are 66-77 on the year. The Orioles clearly have the edge in motivation today and should not be dogs to the Blue Jays. Ubaldo Jimenez is 8-5 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. In his last two starts against the Blue Jays, Jimenez has gone 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 14 2/3 shutout innings. Take Baltimore.
ASA
Sep 11 '17, 9:40 PM
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -1½ +110 at betonline
ASA FREE PLAY on Arizona Diamondbacks Run Line (-1.5 runs) over Colorado Rockies, Monday at 9:40 PM ET
The Diamondbacks, though only 1-2 in their last 3 games, had won 13 straight games. Each of the last 8 victories during that winning streak came by a margin of 2 runs or more. With the Monday pitching match-up favoring Arizona in a big way, we expect another big win by a multiple-run margin for the Diamondbacks in this one. Arizona is 10-3 in the last 13 starts that Zack Greinke has made and 9 of the 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more. Greinke is 13-1 with a 2.31 ERA in home starts this season and has been pitching very well with a 1.83 ERA his last 3 starts. The Rockies Kyle Freeland has a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and most concerning of all is the fact that the southpaw has given up 22 hits in 13 and 1 / 3 innings over those 3 starts. 10 of the 11 losses that Colorado has with Freeland on the mound this season have come by 2 runs or more. You can see why we're expecting a blowout home win for Greinke and the Diamondbacks in this one. FREE PLAY: Bet the Arizona Diamondbacks at -1.5 runs on the run line in late night action Monday!
Brandon Lee
Sep 11 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | Yankees vs Rays
Play on: Rays +127 at betonline
10* FREE MLB PICK (Rays +127)
Tampa Bay is worth a look here in Monday's series opener against the Yankees, which is going to be played at CitiField to the hurricane. Most will see this as an advantage for the Yankees, but I look for the Rays to respond well in this spot and I like the pitching matchup. Tampa Bay will send out Jake Odorizzi, who comes in with a red-hot 3.52 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yankees counter with veteran C.C. Sabathia, who has shown signs of wearing down and is fresh off an ugly outing at Baltimore, where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work. It's also worth noting that New York put up a bunch of runs in yesterday's win over the Rangers, but are just 4-11 in their last 15 road games after scoring 9 or more runs . Give me the Rays +127!
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