Wednesday 9-20-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[New York Knight]

Jim Feist

(961) WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS (962) ATLANTA BRAVES.

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, September 20, 2017 comes in baseball as Washington heads to Atlanta to face the Braves. This is a big park, great for pitchers, and Washington has red-hot Gio Gonzalez (14-7. 2.68 ERA). He is off a bad game at home against this Atlanta squad, but is 10-4 with a 3.04 ERA on the road. Washington is on an 11-3-4 run under the total, 21-7-3 under against a righty starter. Atlanta starter Lucas Sims throws best at home with a 3.86 ERA here. And the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play Washington/Atlanta Under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Joseph A. Gimma Stakes
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#5 GIRL'S DANCE PARTY
#1 BERNING ROSE
#4 AUNT BABE
##7 NEWPORT BREEZE

F.Y.I. folks ... this race is named in honor of Joseph A Gimma, an investment banker, Republican Party official and former chairman of the New York State Racing Commission, Joseph A. Gimma, an investment banker, Republican Party official and former chairman of the New York State Racing Commission. Mr. Gimma (pronounced JIM-uh) spent 66 years in investment banking, and was a senior vice president of Shearson Lehman Hutton. Active in politics for many decades, he was treasurer of the New York County Republican Committee from 1950 to 1966, and chairman of the committee from 1962 to 1966. He served as chairman of the racing commission from 1965 to 1976. Here in the 24th running of The Gimma, #5 GIRL'S DANCE PARTY, a 5-1 shot, comes off a maiden-breaking, 7.3 length, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking." #1 BERNING ROSE, the morning line favorite, is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and also comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his respective, "first asking." Jockey Ken Carmouche was in his irons for that win, 20 days ago, at Saratoga, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park

Belmont Park - Race 8

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double Wagers


Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $150,000 • Post: 5:13P
JOSEPH A. GIMMA S. - FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $150 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $750 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $750 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $1,500 (ALONG WITH THE ENTRY AND STARTING FEES) MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. THE PURSE TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 2% DIVIDED EQUALLY AMONGST THE REMAINING FINISHERS. 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING ALLOWED 2 LBS.; MAIDENS, 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9, 2017 WITH 13 ORIGINAL NOMINATIONS AND 1 SUPPLEMENT.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BERNING ROSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) i s at least 50. GIRL'S DANCE PARTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. NEWPORT BREEZE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. AUNT BABE: Horse's win percentage at today's d istance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. PAUSEFORTHECAUSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
1
BERNING ROSE
2/1

5/1
5
GIRL'S DANCE PARTY
5/1

6/1
7
NEWPORT BREEZE
5/1

8/1
4
AUNT BABE
4/1

8/1
3
PAUSEFORTHECAUSE
8/1

9/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 4

Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5


Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CHESTER B is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHESTER B: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REGAL RON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rat ing at the distance/surface.
3
CHESTER B
8/5

5/2
1
REGAL RON
10/1

4/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:15pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: 3

#1A GOLD BEACH (ML=6/1)
#1 AMERICANA (ML=6/1)
#6 STAFF SGT RECKLESS (ML=8/1)
#9 MISS LAMBORGHINI (ML=4/1)
#3 NATIVE PRINCESS (ML=15/1)


GOLD BEACH - Jockey and trainer do well when they partner up. Cintron and Jones have been dependable together. AMERICANA - The jockey/conditioner tandem of Pedroza and Jones has a strong return on investment together. I like to see fast workouts. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a solid effort last time around the track within the last month or so. Last raced at Delaware Park carrying 5 pounds more. The lower weight carried in this event should serve her well. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. STAFF SGT RECKLESS - She must like the track here. Shipped in to win on Aug 17th and she looks tough once again. I like the fact that this filly's last speed figure, 94, is tops in this group. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is solid. Catalano drops her in this event ready to win. MISS LAMBORGHINI - I like that latest effort on Sep 3rd at Monmouth Park where she ran second. 56-80-88 are last 3 speed figs. Improving each time out is something she should do again in today's race. This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle. NATIVE PRINCESS - Gomez is back for another race today after riding aboard this animal for the 1st attempt on September 2nd and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This filly hasn't won in her last three starts, but she did win on June 18th against better at 6 furlongs. This horse is at the top in earnings per race. She looks strong in today's affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SCOTLAND BAY (ML=5/2), #2 SONORA (ML=5/1),

SCOTLAND BAY - Substandard speed rating last time around the track at Penn National at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event. SONORA - A 'strong performance bounce' is likely to happen for this horse this time. May rebound next time. While Equibase's speed ratings are solid, I would ignore the high one from the September 2nd on a sloppy track. Some horses just run well on the off going.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 Entry to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [3,6,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
1 with [3,6,9] with [3,6,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
1 with [3,6,9] with [3,6,9] with [3,6,9] Total Cost: $6

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 57

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 20 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 SUGAR PI SQUARED 4/1

# 2 MARAKOVITS 5/2

# 3 RUBY ONE 3/1

SUGAR PI SQUARED looks to be a decent contender. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at high odds. Has put up solid Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races in the past. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 52 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group of horses in this race. MARAKOVITS - Baker has a strong 23 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Is hard not to look at given the company run in lately. RUBY ONE - Could best this field based on the speed rating - 52 - of her last contest. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Conway have shown sharp results as of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #10 - Post: 6:04pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: 4

#5 ZHUKOV (ML=8/1)
#6 ALBERT CHARLES (ML=15/1)
#8 TERO (ML=5/1)


ZHUKOV - Gelding won on May 13th at this class and distance. Be loyal to this horse. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a fantastic spot to crush them in the stretch. ALBERT CHARLES - Last ran at Gulfstream Park and finished fourth. Reviewing his past performance data, I see he was close at the wire, within five of the winner. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 45 to 85 to 89 in succession. TERO - Gelding is a few starts into a return here. Should give a top effort today. Don't throw this horse out due to his last event at Gulfstream Park where he finished fourth on a sloppy track. I look for an improvement today. He has the uppermost earnings per start. Give the once over to this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GIANT'S VOICE (ML=7/2), #11 LEMON ROYAL (ML=4/1), #7 HOPETOWN (ML=4/1),

GIANT'S VOICE - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance races of late. LEMON ROYAL - Finished fourth last time out of the box. Would have to improve to be there at the wire in today's race. If you keep choosing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disillusioned often. HOPETOWN - Nice race on August 12th at Gulfstream Park, but the fact that there are no workouts since has to make one a little worried.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 ZHUKOV on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [6,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[5,6,8] with [5,6,8] with [5,6,7,8,10] with [5,6,7,8,10] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[5,6,8] with [5,6,8] with [5,6,8,10] with [5,6,7,8,10,11] with [5,6,7,8,10,11] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 81

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ONTARIO SIRED MAIDENS OR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD MAIDEN CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 TIMEISEVERYTHING 3/1

# 5 AMI'S EXCHANGE 5/2

# 1 U S ACADEMY 2/1

My choice here is TIMEISEVERYTHING. Should definitely be given a shot for this event if only for the very strong speed figure put up in the last race. No strangers to the winner's circle, Casse and Boulanger should have this gelding breaking away from the field. In this field, this one is in the upper half of earnings per start in dirt sprint races. AMI'S EXCHANGE - Reason to like this colt as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. With Contreras in the saddle guiding him, this colt will almost certainly be able to break out quickly for this event. U S ACADEMY - Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been solid - 81 avg - of late. The Equibase Speed Figure of 80 from his last race looks very strong in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Minnesota Twins (78-73) at New York Yankees (84-67)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 20 - 1:05 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Twins at Yankees

Gracenote
Sep 20, 2017

Brett Gardner has mauled the Minnesota Twins throughout the season, and the first two contests of the three-game series at Yankee Stadium have been no exception. After recording back-to-back three-hit performances, Gardner will look to extend his hitting streak to 11 games on Wednesday afternoon as the New York Yankees vie for a sweep of the Twins.

Gardner collected a double, two singles and two RBIs in Tuesday's 5-2 triumph, improving to 10-for-20 versus Minnesota this season. New York has won 14 of its last 19 to build a six-game lead over the Twins for the first wild card while remaining three games behind the Boston Red Sox in the American League East. Minnesota has answered winning six of eight by losing four of its last five to sit 1 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Angels for the second wild-card spot. Joe Mauer had a pair of hits Tuesday to improve to 26-for-68 this month, but the veteran will be getting his first look at right-hander Luis Severino.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN North (Minnesota), YES (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Bartolo Colon (6-13, 6.39 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (13-6, 2.93)

Colon has fallen flat this month by posting an 0-3 mark with a 7.53 ERA in three starts, with Friday's four-run, two-homer performance doing nothing for his morale. The 44-year-old Dominican struggled in his first start for the Twins against New York, permitting four runs on eight hits in four innings of a 6-3 setback on July 18. The loss dropped his career mark to 6-8 with a 5.81 ERA in 20 career appearances versus the Yankees.

Severino was moved up two days to start the series finale against Minnesota, a move made by manager Joe Girardi as a means to give the 23-year-old an addition regular-season start. Severino has not permitted more than one earned run in nine of 12 outings since the All-Star break. Severino, who has yet to face the Twins in his career, allowed two runs on three hits over eight innings in an 8-2 victory over Baltimore on Friday.

WALK-OFFS

1. New York RF Aaron Judge has reached base in 15 straight games and has scored at least one run in each of his last 10.

2. Minnesota DH Robbie Grossman is 0-for-6 in the series and 1-for-18 in his last six outings.

3. Yankees 2B Starlin Castro is 6-for-11 with two RBIs and as many runs scored in his last three games after a 2-for-26 stretch in his previous six contests.

PREDICTION: Yankees 4, Twins 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Minnesota at NY Yankees

W/L Trends

Minnesota

Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games. Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Twins are 1-4 in Colons last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 0-5 in Colons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Yankees are 19-9 in their last 28 Wednesday games. Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 Wednesday starts. Yankees are 11-2 in Severinos last 13 starts. Yankees are 11-2 in Severinos last 13 starts on grass. Yankees are 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 8-2 in Severinos last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Yankees are 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Yankees are 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 11-3 in Severinos last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 6-2 in Severinos last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 8-3 in Severinos last 11 home starts. Yankees are 5-11 in Severinos last 16 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU Trends

Minnesota

Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall. Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 on grass. Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League East. Over is 11-3 in Twins last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 9-3 in Twins last 12 Wednesday games. Under is 24-9-1 in Twins last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Twins last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Colons last 4 starts vs. American League East. Under is 4-1 in Colons last 5 starts overall.

NY Yankees

Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games following a win. Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 during game 3 of a series. Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-0 in Severinos last 6 home starts. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts vs. American League Central. Over is 9-1 in Severinos last 10 starts on grass. Over is 9-1 in Severinos last 10 starts overall. Over is 7-1 in Severinos last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 7-1 in Severinos last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Twins are 17-49 in the last 66 meetings. Twins are 14-41 in the last 55 meetings in New York.

Umpire Trends - Gary Cederstrom

• Home team is 6-0 in Cederstroms last 6 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Under is 6-0 in Cederstroms last 6 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Over is 5-1 in Cederstroms last 6 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
• Under is 5-1 in Cederstroms last 6 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Home team is 4-1 in Cederstroms last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 6-2 in Cederstroms last 8 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
• Road team is 9-3 in Cederstroms last 12 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
• Home team is 43-15 in Cederstroms last 58 games behind home plate.
• Over is 5-2 in Cederstroms last 7 games behind home plate.
• Under is 5-2 in Cederstroms last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
• Over is 9-4-2 in Cederstroms last 15 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: New York Mets (65-86) at Miami Marlins (71-80)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 20 - 1:10 PM EST
WHERE: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Mets at Marlins

Gracenote
Sep 20, 2017

The Miami Marlins are hoping to produce a few more memorable moments to end another disappointing season and can finish off a three-game sweep of the visiting New York Mets when the National League East rivals meet Wednesday afternoon. While Giancarlo Stanton remained at 55 homers after going 0-for-1 with four walks Tuesday, teammate J.T. Realmuto hit a walk-off blast in the 10th inning to give Miami a 5-4 victory.

Realmuto is 13-for-36 with seven RBIs in the last eight games and Justin Bour boasts two hits in each of the last four contests for the Marlins, who have won three of four since a season-high six-game slide. Jose Urena looks to increase his career-best win total to 14 when he takes the mound for Miami in the finale against fellow right-hander Rafael Montero of the Mets, who have dropped 11 of 18 in the season series. New York appears destined for fourth place in the NL East after losing seven of its past nine games, but veteran Jose Reyes continues to shine while going 20-for-62 with five homers and 15 RBIs in September. Catcher Travis d’Arnaud has also lifted his level of play with 11 hits in 32 at-bats with three homers and eight RBIs over the past nine games for the Mets.

TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, SNY (New York), FSN Florida (Miami)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets RH Rafael Montero (5-10, 5.08 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (13-6, 3.62)

Montero saw his three-game winning streak come to an end last time out when he allowed three runs and seven hits over 4 2/3 innings at Atlanta last Friday. The 26-year-old Dominican Republic native found a way to limit opponents to five runs despite giving up 12 hits and 14 walks during his win streak. Marcell Ozuna is 6-for-11 and Miguel Rojas 4-for-6 versus Montero, who is 1-0 with a 5.02 ERA in six games (two starts) against Miami this year.

Urena has permitted two runs or fewer in six of his last nine outings, including each of the last three in which he went 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA. The 26-year-old Dominican earned nine of his wins on the road, but he owns a better ERA at Marlins Park (3.17) in 15 games (12 starts) than on the road (4.08). Urena, who has struggled with the home run ball while giving up 22 in 31 games, is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in four appearances (two starts) against the Mets this year.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mets OF Norichika Aoki is 9-for-19 over the last four games and has reached base in all 16 contests since signing with the team.

2. Miami 2B Dee Gordon went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter Tuesday, but is 8-for-15 over the last four games overall.

3. New York’s rookie SS Amed Rosario is expected to miss his third straight game Wednesday due to gastroenteritis.

PREDICTION: Marlins 6, Mets 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - NY Mets at Miami

W/L Trends

NY Mets

Mets are 6-14 in their last 20 during game 3 of a series. Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 overall. Mets are 2-7 in their last 9 games on grass. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 road games. Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss. Mets are 4-1 in Monteros last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Mets are 4-1 in Monteros last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 4-1 in Monteros last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 1-6 in Monteros last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Miami

Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Marlins are 5-14 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League East. Marlins are 5-17 in their last 22 overall. Marlins are 5-17 in their last 22 games on grass. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Marlins are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Marlins are 8-1 in Urenas last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 7-1 in Urenas last 8 starts with 4 days of rest. Marlins are 5-1 in Urenas last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Marlins are 15-7 in Urenas last 22 starts. Marlins are 15-7 in Urenas last 22 starts on grass. Marlins are 4-9 in Urenas last 13 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 4-10 in Urenas last 14 starts vs. National League East. Marlins are 2-5 in Urenas last 7 home starts. Marlins are 2-7 in Urenas last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

OU Trends

NY Mets

Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 7-2 in Mets last 9 games following a loss. Over is 6-2 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Mets last 11 vs. National League East. Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Mets last 7 during game 3 of a series. Over is 12-5 in Mets last 17 road games. Over is 16-7-1 in Mets last 24 overall. Over is 16-7-1 in Mets last 24 on grass. Over is 9-4 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 Wednesday starts. Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 road starts. Under is 7-0 in Monteros last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Monteros last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 8-2 in Monteros last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Monteros last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 20-6 in Monteros last 26 starts on grass. Under is 20-6 in Monteros last 26 starts overall. Under is 6-2 in Monteros last 8 starts vs. National League East.

Miami

Under is 3-0-2 in Marlins last 5 Wednesday games. Over is 3-0-2 in Marlins last 5 during game 3 of a series. Over is 7-1-2 in Marlins last 10 overall. Over is 7-1-2 in Marlins last 10 on grass. Over is 6-1-2 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 6-1-2 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 home games. Over is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 2-0-2 in Urenas last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 12-4-1 in Urenas last 17 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-3-2 in Urenas last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 8-3-3 in Urenas last 14 starts vs. National League East. Under is 5-2-1 in Urenas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2-2 in Urenas last 9 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings in Miami. Under is 3-1-1 in Urenas last 5 starts vs. Mets. Under is 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings. Mets are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Miami. Mets are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - David Rackley

• Over is 4-0 in Rackleys last 4 games behind home plate vs. Miami.
• Over is 4-0 in Rackleys last 4 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Home team is 5-0 in Rackleys last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Home team is 6-1 in Rackleys last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1 in Rackleys last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 4-1 in Rackleys last 5 games behind home plate vs. Miami.
• Over is 8-3 in Rackleys last 11 games behind home plate.
• Mets are 1-8 in their last 9 games with Rackley behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Oakland Athletics (68-83) at Detroit Tigers (62-89)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 20 - 1:10 PM EST
WHERE: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Athletics at Tigers

Gracenote
Sep 20, 2017

Rookie Matt Olson will try to keep his power surge going as his Oakland Athletics aim for a three-game series sweep against the host Detroit Tigers on Wednesday. Behind Olson's 15th homer in his last 21 contests - including five straight - and a five-RBI night for Jed Lowrie, the Athletics picked up a 9-8 win in the second game of the set Tuesday.

It was the third straight win and the 10th in the last 13 for Oakland, which has also claimed four in a row over Detroit. Ian Kinsler went deep in the loss for the Tigers and he has reached the 20-homer mark for the fifth time, while Nick Castellanos also homered while extending his career-best hitting streak to 16 games. Athletics right-hander Daniel Mengden is coming off his first career shutout in a dominant performance at Philadelphia on Friday. He will seek an encore against veteran Anibal Sanchez for the Tigers on Wednesday.

TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, FSN Detroit

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Daniel Mengden (1-1, 4.30 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-4, 7.03)

Mengden was 2-10 with a 6.59 ERA in 17 career starts before he held the Phillies to two hits and no walks with seven strikeouts in last week's shutout. It marked the 24-year-old's second straight quality start after he gave up nine runs in eight innings over his first two outings for Oakland this season. Mengden has never faced the Tigers.

Sanchez allowed 25 runs in 16 innings over a span of five starts before he dominated the Chicago White Sox in his last turn. He limited the White Sox to a run and six hits over six innings while striking out 11, matching his best total since Aug. 3, 2014. The Venezuela native is 2-2 with a 3.74 ERA in seven career starts versus Oakland.

WALK-OFFS

1. Castellanos is batting .420 during his hitting streak.

2. Lowrie has produced nine RBIs over a three-game span.

3. Detroit has dropped 15 of its last 19 in September.

PREDICTION: Athletics 7, Tigers 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Oakland at Detroit

W/L Trends

Oakland

Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Athletics are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Athletics are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Athletics are 23-48 in their last 71 road games. Athletics are 1-4 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Detroit

Tigers are 20-42 in their last 62 games vs. a right-handed starter. Tigers are 17-37 in their last 54 overall. Tigers are 16-35 in their last 51 games on grass. Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. Tigers are 7-21 in their last 28 vs. American League West. Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 games following a loss. Tigers are 3-10 in their last 13 home games. Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Tigers are 3-13 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Tigers are 3-14 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Tigers are 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Tigers are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 in Sanchezs last 8 home starts. Tigers are 3-10 in Sanchezs last 13 starts during game 3 of a series. Tigers are 6-20 in Sanchezs last 26 starts with 4 days of rest. Tigers are 1-6 in Sanchezs last 7 Wednesday starts. Tigers are 0-5 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.

OU Trends

Oakland

Over is 6-1 in Athletics last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 26-8 in Athletics last 34 games following a win. Over is 18-7-2 in Athletics last 27 vs. American League Central. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 overall. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 road games. Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 on grass. Under is 7-3 in Athletics last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 11-4 in Mengdens last 15 starts on grass. Over is 11-4 in Mengdens last 15 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Mengdens last 7 road starts.

Detroit

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 on grass. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League West. Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 11-1 in Tigers last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 22-6 in Tigers last 28 home games. Over is 9-3 in Tigers last 12 games following a loss. Over is 19-7 in Tigers last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 Wednesday starts. Over is 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 14-3-2 in Sanchezs last 19 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 13-3-2 in Sanchezs last 18 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Sanchezs last 5 home starts. Over is 15-5-3 in Sanchezs last 23 starts vs. American League West. Over is 19-7-1 in Sanchezs last 27 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 27-10-3 in Sanchezs last 40 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 34-13-4 in Sanchezs last 51 starts overall. Over is 18-7-3 in Sanchezs last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 36-15-4 in Sanchezs last 55 starts on grass. Over is 32-15-6 in Sanchezs last 53 starts with 4 days of rest.

Head to Head

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 4-0-2 in Sanchezs last 6 home starts vs. Athletics. Over is 4-1-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts vs. Athletics. Over is 37-16-3 in the last 56 meetings in Detroit.

Umpire Trends - Jerry Meals

• Home team is 5-0 in Meals' last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Under is 4-0 in Meals' last 4 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
• Home team is 8-1 in Meals' last 9 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
• Home team is 6-1 in Meals' last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Road team is 5-1 in Meals' last 6 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
• Under is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Over is 12-3-1 in Meals' last 16 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Road team is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Under is 4-1 in Meals' last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
• Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Meals behind home plate.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Meals' last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
• Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games with Meals behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Colorado Rockies (82-69) at San Francisco Giants (59-93)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 20 - 3:45 PM EST
WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Rockies at Giants

Gracenote
Sep 20, 2017

The Colorado Rockies have been unable to take advantage of Arizona's three-game slide and hope to avoid a third consecutive loss of their own when they visit the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday afternoon for the finale of their brief two-game set. Colorado dropped a 4-3 decision in Tuesday's series opener for its second straight setback, putting its hold on a playoff berth in danger.

The Rockies remain 4 1/2 games behind the Diamondbacks for the first wild card in the National League and are only one ahead of Milwaukee - which has won three in a row - for the second spot. Charlie Blackmon delivered a two-run double in Tuesday's loss to raise his RBI total to 95 and become the first player in the major leagues this season - and first Rockie since Matt Holliday in 2007 - to reach the 200-hit plateau. Tuesday's win was the second straight for San Francisco, which salvaged the finale of its three-game home series against Arizona on Sunday. Hunter Pence homered and drove in three runs, including the winner with a walk-off sacrifice fly, while Pablo Sandoval improved to 5-for-7 with four RBIs over his last two games by recording three hits and plating a run.

TV: 3:45 p.m. ET, MLB Network, AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain (Colorado), NBCSN Bay Area (San Francisco)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (8-12, 4.57 ERA) vs Giants LH Matt Moore (5-14, 5.39)

Despite their brevity, Chatwood has been superb in three outings since rejoining the rotation, going 2-0 while allowing a total of one run over 13 2/3 innings. The 27-year-old Californian, who has worked more than six frames just once in 11 turns since an eight-inning effort on June 3 at San Diego, is coming off a win over the Padres on Friday in which he gave up a solo homer among four hits over 5 2/3 frames. Chatwood is 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA in 15 career starts against the Giants and 2-0 with a 2.25 mark in four outings this year, including a two-hit shutout - the first of his career - on April 15 at San Francisco.

Moore's nightmarish season continued last Wednesday, when he surrendered four runs on six hits and three walks in 4 1/3 innings of a loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The 28-year-old Floridian had been pitching well of late, however, allowing fewer than three runs in four of his previous five turns. Moore has struggled mightily against Colorado, going 1-3 with a 9.64 ERA in six career starts - including an 0-2 record and a ghastly 13.51 ERA in three turns this year.

WALK-OFFS

1. Rockies OF Gerardo Parra recorded his second straight two-hit performance on Tuesday and has not gone two consecutive games without a hit since Aug. 6 and 8 against Philadelphia and Cleveland, respectively.

2. Pence is riding a five-game hitting streak during which he has gone 11-for-21 with six RBIs.

3. Colorado begins a four-game series at San Diego on Thursday before finishing the regular season with three-game home sets against Miami and the Los Angeles Dodgers.

PREDICTION: Rockies 7, Giants 2