Wednesday 9-27-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: San Francisco Giants (62-96) at Arizona Diamondbacks (91-67)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 3:40 PM EST
WHERE: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Giants at Diamondbacks

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

The Arizona Diamondbacks have to wait another week before hosting the National League wild-card game, but J.D. Martinez already is in postseason form. Martinez looks to maintain his torrid pace Wednesday as the Diamondbacks continue their three-game series against the visiting San Francisco Giants, who need one victory over their final four games to avoid their first 100-loss season since 1985.

Martinez went 3-for-4 with a grand slam and six RBIs in Tuesday’s 11-4 victory, giving him 15 home runs this month and 28 in 58 games since joining Arizona in a trade with Detroit. The Diamondbacks clinched their first playoff berth since 2011 on Sunday and plan to play most of their regulars during this weekend’s series at Kansas City. “My thought is to continue playing the type of baseball we've played all year long and not take anything for granted,” manager Torey Lovullo told reporters. “And not take days off or ho-hum our way through the next several games, because no team is good enough to just turn that switch on and be ready for such an important game on Wednesday.” The Giants own the worst record in the majors at 62-96 but received an encouraging effort Tuesday from rookie reliever Reyes Moronta, who struck out the side in a scoreless sixth inning.

TV: 3:40 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NBCSN Bay Area (San Francisco), FSN Arizona

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (9-15, 4.51 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Braden Shipley (0-1, 5.40)

Samardzija lost his third straight start on Friday, giving up four runs over 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The 32-year-old has reached the 200-inning mark for the fifth consecutive season and needs one more win to become the only Giants starting pitcher with double digits in victories this season. Jake Lamb is 6-for-16 with a home run against Samardzija, who is 3-4 with a 4.32 ERA in 16 career games (11 starts) versus Arizona - including a 1-3 mark and 5.13 ERA in four outings this year.

Shipley is making a spot start in place of ace Zack Greinke, who was pushed back to Friday so he can stay on normal rest for the wild-card game on Oct. 4. Shipley last started on June 4 against Miami, allowing five runs - four earned - over five innings. The 25-year-old has posted a 1.50 ERA in five relief appearances at home this season compared to a 6.89 ERA in four games (two starts) on the road.

WALK-OFFS

1. Martinez has collected 35 RBIs this month, tying a club record set by Luis Gonzalez in June 2001.

2. Giants MGR Bruce Bochy said RHP Matt Cain will start one of the first two games of this weekend’s series against San Diego.

3. Arizona RHP Archie Bradley has held opponents scoreless in 24 of his last 26 appearances.

PREDICTION: Giants 5, Diamondbacks 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - San Francisco at Arizona

W/L Trends

San Francisco

Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 11-23 in their last 34 vs. National League West. Giants are 17-38 in their last 55 road games. Giants are 16-37 in their last 53 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 16-39 in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Giants are 25-68 in their last 93 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 4-0 in Samardzijas last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 5-1 in Samardzijas last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Giants are 4-1 in Samardzijas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Giants are 4-1 in Samardzijas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Giants are 5-2 in Samardzijas last 7 Wednesday starts. Giants are 2-5 in Samardzijas last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Arizona

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 15-3 in their last 18 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win. Diamondbacks are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. Diamondbacks are 22-9 in their last 31 overall. Diamondbacks are 22-9 in their last 31 games on grass. Diamondbacks are 19-8 in their last 27 vs. National League West. Diamondbacks are 24-11 in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Shipleys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Shipleys last 5 starts. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Shipleys last 5 starts on grass.

OU Trends

San Francisco

Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 12-3-1 in Giants last 16 Wednesday games. Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 overall. Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 on grass. Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 vs. National League West. Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Giants last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-0 in Samardzijas last 5 Wednesday starts. Under is 5-0 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Samardzijas last 6 starts on grass. Under is 5-1 in Samardzijas last 6 starts overall. Under is 8-2 in Samardzijas last 10 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 8-2 in Samardzijas last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Samardzijas last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 17-6 in Samardzijas last 23 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 7-3 in Samardzijas last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Arizona

Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games following a win. Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass. Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games. Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 25-11-3 in Diamondbacks last 39 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 11-5-2 in Diamondbacks last 18 during game 3 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Shipleys last 5 starts on grass. Under is 4-1 in Shipleys last 5 starts overall. Under is 6-2 in Shipleys last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Shipleys last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Arizona. Giants are 35-17 in the last 52 meetings in Arizona. Giants are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Cory Blaser

• Over is 4-0 in Blasers last 4 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Under is 6-0 in Blasers last 6 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Home team is 8-1 in Blasers last 9 games behind home plate.
• Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 games with Blaser behind home plate.
• Road team is 5-1 in Blasers last 6 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Blaser behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Baltimore Orioles (75-83) at Pittsburgh Pirates (72-85)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Orioles at Pirates

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

Although the sample size is relatively small, Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen has tormented the Baltimore Orioles throughout his career. McCutchen took it to another level in Tuesday's 10-1 drubbing of the visiting Orioles and looks to continue his success when the teams end their two-game series Wednesday night at PNC Park.

McCutchen went 4-for-4 with two homers, including his first career grand slam, and eight RBIs to raise his batting average against Baltimore to .500 (25-for-50) in 13 games. Fellow outfielder Starling Marte, who bats in front of McCutchen, has hit safely in seven straight games after collecting a pair of hits and scoring three times to lift Pittsburgh to its third straight win. It was the ninth loss in 12 games for the Orioles, whose beleaguered pitching staff has been pummeled for at least eight runs in eight of their last nine setbacks. Rookie left fielder Trey Mancini had one of Baltimore's five hits to extend his hitting streak to a career-best 15 games.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MASN2 (Baltimore), AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Gabriel Ynoa (2-2, 3.41 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (7-11, 4.31)

Shifted to the starting rotation earlier this month, Ynoa was outstanding against Tampa Bay on Thursday, going a season-high eight innings and allowing one run on five hits. He lost his previous two starts - each on the road at the New York Yankees and Cleveland - by allowing six runs over a combined nine innings. Ynoa owns a 2.78 ERA at home compared to a 5.00 ERA on the road.

Kuhl has pitched reasonably well since a 12-start winless drought earlier this season, but he was tagged for four solo home runs over 4 2/3 innings of a loss at Cincinnati last time out. The 25-year-old yielded seven earned runs over his previous five starts but went only 2-2 in that span. Kuhl faced the Orioles at Baltimore in June, pitching five innings of one-run ball in a no-decision.

WALK-OFFS

1. McCutchen's eight RBIs were one shy of the franchise record and the most by a Pittsburgh player since Jason Bay on July 2, 2004.

2. Orioles 1B Chris Davis ran his hitting streak to five games after swatting his 26th homer Tuesday.

3. Pirates OF-2B Adam Frazier has three two-hit games in his last four.

PREDICTION: Pirates 5, Orioles 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Baltimore at Pittsburgh

W/L Trends

Baltimore

Orioles are 17-8 in their last 25 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Orioles are 20-41 in their last 61 road games. Orioles are 16-35 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a loss. Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Orioles are 5-16 in their last 21 overall. Orioles are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 games on grass. Orioles are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Orioles are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague road games. Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games. Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pittsburgh

Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games. Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Pirates are 25-8 in their last 33 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 38-13 in their last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games. Pirates are 2-7 in their last 9 Wednesday games. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 5-1 in Kuhls last 6 home starts. Pirates are 6-2 in Kuhls last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 5-2 in Kuhls last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 5-2 in Kuhls last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 5-16 in Kuhls last 21 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhls last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhls last 5 starts. Pirates are 1-4 in Kuhls last 5 starts on grass. Pirates are 0-4 in Kuhls last 4 Wednesday starts.

OU Trends

Baltimore

Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall. Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 14-3 in Orioles last 17 during game 2 of a series. Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 Wednesday games. Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 interleague road games. Over is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 20-6-2 in Orioles last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 games following a loss. Over is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Orioles last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 15-6 in Orioles last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 36-16 in Orioles last 52 vs. National League Central. Over is 11-5 in Orioles last 16 interleague games.

Pittsburgh

Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 8-0 in Pirates last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games following a win. Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 19-7 in Pirates last 26 during game 2 of a series. Under is 20-8 in Pirates last 28 on grass. Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 Wednesday games. Under is 20-8 in Pirates last 28 overall. Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 interleague home games. Under is 39-17-1 in Pirates last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-4-1 in Pirates last 14 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-1 in Kuhls last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Kuhls last 5 starts on grass. Under is 4-1 in Kuhls last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Kuhls last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Kuhls last 5 starts overall. Under is 5-2-1 in Kuhls last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh. Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. Orioles are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.

Umpire Trends - Chris Segal

• Under is 10-2 in Segals last 12 games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Segals last 6 interleague games behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Tampa Bay Rays (76-81) at New York Yankees (88-69)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Rays at Yankees

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

The New York Yankees are not done yet in their pursuit of the American League East title and look to move a little closer when they host the Tampa Bay Rays for the middle contest of their three-game series on Wednesday. The Yankees won for the 17th time in 23 contests with a 6-1 triumph on Tuesday and moved within three games of first-place Boston in the AL East with five remaining.

Aaron Judge extended his hitting streak to nine games (13-for-32, seven homers, 13 RBIs) and Starlin Castro remained hot with three hits to improve to 6-for-10 over his last three contests for New York. Luis Severino, who is slated to pitch in the AL wild-card game on Tuesday if the Yankees don’t win the division, will take the mound Wednesday in his final regular-season start while Tampa Bay counters with Matt Andriese. The Rays officially were eliminated from playoff contention with their 11th loss in 17 games against New York this season, but Steven Souza Jr. went 3-for-3 and has scored six runs in his last five contests. Wilson Ramos is 8-for-14 with eight RBIs over his last four games after knocking in Tampa Bay's only run with a sacrifice fly as New York center fielder Aaron Hicks robbed him of a grand slam in the first inning.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSN Sun (Tampa Bay), WPIX (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays RH Matt Andriese (5-4, 4.44 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (13-6, 3.03)

Andriese is winless in his last seven appearances after posting a quality start against Baltimore last time out, when he allowed three runs over six innings on Thursday. The 28-year-old Californian is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in five outings since coming off the disabled list and 1-4 with a 5.60 ERA on the road in 2017. Judge is 5-for-9 with two homers versus Andriese, who is 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA in seven career games (five starts) against the Yankees.

Severino ended a stretch of six straight quality starts last time out as he allowed three runs on five hits and a walk across three innings against likely wild-card game opponent Minnesota. The 23-year-old Dominican registered a 1.55 ERA over his previous six turns and is 8-2 since the All-Star break. Corey Dickerson is 4-for-8 with a homer against Severino, who is 4-1 with a 3.06 ERA in nine career games (five starts) versus the Rays.

WALK-OFFS

1. Tampa Bay CF Kevin Kiermaier, who recorded two hits on Tuesday, is batting .314 since returning from a hip injury in mid-August.

2. New York CF Jacoby Ellsbury was rested Tuesday but is 26-for-72 with 13 walks, eight doubles and 18 runs scored this month.

3. Rays 3B Evan Longoria needs one homer to reach 20 for the ninth time in his first 10 major-league seasons.

PREDICTION: Yankees 6, Rays 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Tampa Bay at NY Yankees

W/L Trends

Tampa Bay

Rays are 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 4-9 in their last 13 games on grass. Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 road games. Rays are 17-40 in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rays are 7-15 in Andrieses last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 2-5 in Andrieses last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Rays are 2-5 in Andrieses last 7 starts vs. American League East. Rays are 3-8 in Andrieses last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 1-4 in Andrieses last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Rays are 2-8 in Andrieses last 10 starts during game 2 of a series. Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 road starts. Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Rays are 0-6 in Andrieses last 6 starts. Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 starts on grass. Rays are 0-5 in Andrieses last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 home games. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 17-5 in their last 22 games on grass. Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 overall. Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Yankees are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. American League East. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 6-0 in Severinos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 6-0 in Severinos last 6 Wednesday starts. Yankees are 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. Yankees are 12-2 in Severinos last 14 starts. Yankees are 12-2 in Severinos last 14 starts on grass. Yankees are 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 4-1 in Severinos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. American League East. Yankees are 9-3 in Severinos last 12 home starts.

OU Trends

Tampa Bay

Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-3-1 in Rays last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 5-2 in Rays last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 29-13-1 in Rays last 43 games following a loss. Under is 38-18-1 in Rays last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Andrieses last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Over is 6-1 in Andrieses last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Andrieses last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-1 in Andrieses last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Andrieses last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Andrieses last 5 starts vs. American League East. Over is 8-3 in Andrieses last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-3 in Andrieses last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 7-3 in Andrieses last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 7-3 in Andrieses last 10 road starts. Over is 7-3 in Andrieses last 10 starts overall.

NY Yankees

Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 2 of a series. Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 vs. American League East. Over is 20-7 in Yankees last 27 games following a win. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 home games. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. Over is 6-0 in Severinos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Severinos last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. American League East. Over is 18-6 in Severinos last 24 starts on grass. Over is 15-5-1 in Severinos last 21 home starts. Over is 19-7 in Severinos last 26 starts overall.

Head to Head

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New York. Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Rays are 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in New York. Rays are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Mike Estabrook

• Home team is 4-0 in Estabrooks last 4 games behind home plate.
• Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Estabrook behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Under is 8-2 in Estabrooks last 10 games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Under is 20-5-1 in Estabrooks last 26 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.
• Home team is 5-2 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.
• Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games with Estabrook behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Washington Nationals (95-62) at Philadelphia Phillies (63-95)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Nationals at Phillies

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

Bryce Harper successfully hurdled the first obstacle simply by making his return from a six-week absence due to a knee injury. After being eased in for five innings in his first contest since Aug. 12, Harper looks to continue to work out the kinks Wednesday as the Washington Nationals play the rubber match of their three-game series against the host Philadelphia Phillies.

The 2015 National League Most Valuable Player was "like a little kid on opening Little League day," said manager Dusty Baker, who plans to incorporate Harper into game action as if it were spring training in hopes he's ready to go full throttle in the NL Division Series. Former Phillie Howie Kendrick belted a solo shot in Washington's 4-1 loss on Tuesday and is 2-for-3 with a homer versus series finale starter Mark Leiter Jr. Philadelphia's Tommy Joseph has tormented Washington this season, collecting two hits on Tuesday to improve to 15-for-47 with three homers, 10 RBIs and nine runs scored versus the Nationals. The 26-year-old is 5-for-15 with a solo homer in his career against Wednesday starter Tanner Roark.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MASN (Washington), CSN Philadelphia

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Tanner Roark (13-10, 4.41 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (3-6, 4.69)

Roark has dominated the Phillies since the start of the 2016 season, posting a 4-0 mark with a 1.87 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The 30-year-old overcame two homers and three runs overall in six innings of a 4-3 win over Philadelphia on Sept. 7. Roark answered that performance with another strong six-inning effort, but sustained the loss on Thursday despite yielding three runs over seven innings of a 3-2 setback at Atlanta.

Leiter owned a 2-4 mark in his previous six starts before receiving a no-decision on Thursday despite allowing one earned run in six innings versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. The 26-year-old was taken deep once by the Dodgers and has surrendered seven homers in September, during which he owns a 7.17 ERA in four starts. Leiter's lone win this month came at the expense of Washington, as he overcame a pair of blasts and four runs total in a 5-4 victory on Sept 9.

WALK-OFFS

1. Washington is locked into the second seed in the playoffs and will host the NL Central champion - either the Chicago Cubs or Milwaukee - in the division series.

2. Phillies C Cameron Rupp, who had a two-run double Tuesday, is 11-for-36 with two homers, nine RBIs and five runs scored versus the Nationals this season.

3. Nationals SS Trea Turner is 1-for-9 in the series and 10-for-57 versus Philadelphia this season.

PREDICTION: Nationals 4, Phillies 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Washington at Philadelphia

W/L Trends

Washington

Nationals are 12-3 in their last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Nationals are 16-6 in their last 22 vs. National League East. Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Nationals are 46-22 in their last 68 games following a loss. Nationals are 5-1 in Roarks last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 5-1 in Roarks last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Nationals are 4-1 in Roarks last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Nationals are 4-1 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East. Nationals are 9-4 in Roarks last 13 Wednesday starts. Nationals are 22-10 in Roarks last 32 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Philadelphia

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Phillies are 20-43 in their last 63 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Phillies are 16-35 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Phillies are 30-67 in their last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 8-18 in their last 26 Wednesday games. Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Phillies are 1-4 in Leiters last 5 home starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Leiters last 5 starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Leiters last 5 starts on grass.

OU Trends

Washington

Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League East. Under is 5-1-2 in Nationals last 8 during game 3 of a series. Under is 12-3-3 in Nationals last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 17-5-4 in Nationals last 26 road games. Under is 19-6-2 in Nationals last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 21-7-3 in Nationals last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 31-15-6 in Nationals last 52 overall. Under is 31-15-6 in Nationals last 52 on grass. Under is 7-0 in Roarks last 7 starts with 5 days of rest. Under is 9-0 in Roarks last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 5-0 in Roarks last 5 road starts. Under is 10-1 in Roarks last 11 starts on grass. Under is 10-1 in Roarks last 11 starts overall. Under is 4-1 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1-1 in Roarks last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East. Over is 3-1-1 in Roarks last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia

Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 overall. Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 on grass. Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 vs. National League East. Under is 5-1-4 in Phillies last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1-3 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 Wednesday games. Under is 6-2-3 in Phillies last 11 home games. Under is 14-6-6 in Phillies last 26 during game 3 of a series. Over is 33-16-5 in Phillies last 54 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0-1 in Leiters last 5 home starts. Under is 3-1-2 in Leiters last 6 starts on grass. Under is 3-1-1 in Leiters last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-2 in Leiters last 6 starts overall.

Head to Head

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Nationals are 18-6 in the last 24 meetings in Philadelphia. Nationals are 6-2 in Roarks last 8 starts vs. Phillies. Nationals are 37-17 in the last 54 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Tony Randazzo

• Under is 5-1 in Randazzos last 6 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
• Nationals are 16-5 in their last 21 games with Randazzo behind home plate.
• Home team is 45-16 in Randazzos last 61 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Road team is 19-7 in Randazzos last 26 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
• Over is 5-2 in Randazzos last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Chicago Cubs (88-69) at St. Louis Cardinals (82-75)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:08 PM EST
WHERE: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Cubs at Cardinals

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

The Chicago Cubs will take a second crack at clinching their second straight National League Central title when they play the third contest in a four-game road series against the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. The Cubs need one win or one Milwaukee loss to wrap up the division, while the Cardinals are fighting to stay afloat in the NL wild-card race.


The Cardinals held on for an 8-7 win Tuesday to even the series at a game apiece and remain 2 1/2 games behind Colorado for the final playoff spot. Chicago’s magic number to clinch the division remained at one with the Cubs’ loss and the Brewers’ 7-6 win over Cincinnati. The loss was only the Cubs’ third in their last 14 games and their fifth in 17 meetings with the Cardinals in 2017. Right-hander John Lackey will try to pitch the Cubs to the clincher in his former home park of Busch Stadium, where he is 13-4 with a 2.10 ERA in 25 career starts.
TV: 7:08 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN Chicago, FSN Midwest (St. Louis)


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH John Lackey (11-11, 4.67 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (12-8, 4.00)
Lackey is winless in his last three starts and has failed to get through five innings in his last two outings. The 38-year-old gave up two homers and left without recording an out in the fifth inning of a no-decision at Milwaukee on Friday, marking his shortest outing of the season. Lackey is 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Cardinals.
Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.64 ERA over his last five starts with the only loss coming against the Cubs on Sept. 16. The 26-year-old didn’t get a decision last time out, as he allowed two runs and three hits over five innings in a 4-3 win at Pittsburgh on Friday. Wacha is 4-6 with a 6.32 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) against the Cubs.


WALK-OFFS
1. Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo is 17-for-36 with three home runs against Wacha.
2. St. Louis OF Randal Grichuk has hit six home runs against the Cubs this season, his most against any opponent and the most by an opposing player against Chicago.
3. Cardinals OF Tommy Pham (bruised left side) and Cubs OF Albert Almora Jr. (bruised right shoulder) left Tuesday’s game.


PREDICTION: Cardinals 6, Cubs 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Chi. Cubs at St. Louis

W/L Trends

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 Wednesday games. Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 games on grass. Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cubs are 21-5 in their last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 11-3 in their last 14 overall. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League Central. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 18-7 in their last 25 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. Cubs are 27-11 in their last 38 games following a loss. Cubs are 38-16 in their last 54 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Cubs are 8-1 in Lackeys last 9 starts vs. National League Central. Cubs are 6-1 in Lackeys last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 11-2 in Lackeys last 13 starts. Cubs are 11-2 in Lackeys last 13 starts on grass. Cubs are 5-1 in Lackeys last 6 road starts. Cubs are 5-1 in Lackeys last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 7-2 in Lackeys last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 5-2 in Lackeys last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 5-2 in Lackeys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 7-3 in Lackeys last 10 Wednesday starts.

St. Louis

Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cardinals are 9-4 in their last 13 games following a win. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 Wednesday starts. Cardinals are 8-2 in Wachas last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. Cardinals are 4-1 in Wachas last 5 starts. Cardinals are 4-1 in Wachas last 5 starts on grass. Cardinals are 8-3 in Wachas last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cardinals are 5-2 in Wachas last 7 home starts. Cardinals are 3-7 in Wachas last 10 starts vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 3-7 in Wachas last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 1-6 in Wachas last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.

OU Trends

Chi. Cubs

Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 on grass. Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 vs. National League Central. Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 18-7-1 in Cubs last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 20-8 in Cubs last 28 Wednesday games. Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games following a loss. Under is 27-11-1 in Cubs last 39 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 overall. Over is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 Wednesday starts. Under is 3-0-1 in Lackeys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 10-1-1 in Lackeys last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 12-2-2 in Lackeys last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2-1 in Lackeys last 10 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 3-1-1 in Lackeys last 5 starts on grass. Under is 3-1-1 in Lackeys last 5 starts overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Lackeys last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3-1 in Lackeys last 12 road starts.

St. Louis

Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 3 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a win. Over is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 overall. Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 on grass. Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 vs. National League Central. Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-4-2 in Cardinals last 15 Wednesday games. Under is 4-1-1 in Wachas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 10-3-1 in Wachas last 14 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 3-1-1 in Wachas last 5 Wednesday starts. Over is 18-7-1 in Wachas last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 20-8-2 in Wachas last 30 starts vs. National League Central. Over is 17-7-1 in Wachas last 25 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 40-19-2 in Wachas last 61 starts on grass. Over is 40-19-2 in Wachas last 61 starts overall.

Head to Head

Over is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 home starts vs. Cubs. Over is 9-1-1 in Wachas last 11 starts vs. Cubs. Cubs are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Cardinals are 1-7 in Wachas last 8 starts vs. Cubs.

Umpire Trends - Ted Barrett

• Home team is 4-0 in Barretts last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
• Under is 4-0 in Barretts last 4 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
• Home team is 4-1 in Barretts last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games with Barrett behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Barretts last 6 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
• Home team is 4-1 in Barretts last 5 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
• Under is 12-4-3 in Barretts last 19 games behind home plate.
• Road team is 6-2 in Barretts last 8 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
• Road team is 5-2 in Barretts last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
• Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Barrett behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Atlanta Braves (71-86) at New York Mets (68-90)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:10 PM EST
WHERE: Citi Field, New York City, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Braves at Mets

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

Injuries and poor play long since derailed the New York Mets’ plans for a third-consecutive playoff appearance, but outfielder Brandon Nimmo is providing a glimmer of hope for the future entering the finale of a home series Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves. Nimmo collected two hits to help the Mets rally from an early 3-0 deficit in Tuesday's 4-3 victory, and in 29 games since Aug. 27 is hitting .300 with 16 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

New York had lost six of eight entering Tuesday but its pitching staff, which started the day with a 6.18 ERA in September, shut out the Braves after allowing three runs in the first two innings. Atlanta has won four of its past seven road games, outscoring opponents 37-17 in that stretch. Center fielder Ender Inciarte lined a first-inning double Tuesday to become the first Braves player to reach 200 hits in a season since Marquis Grissom in 1996. First baseman Freddie Freeman also recorded two hits for Atlanta in the loss to raise his career average against the Mets to .312.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN Southeast (Atlanta), SNY (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves LH Sean Newcomb (4-8, 4.26 ERA) vs. Mets RH Robert Gsellman (7-7, 5.38)

Newcomb posted a 4.02 ERA in August while going 1-3 in six starts, but is 2-0 in three September outings despite having the same ERA this month. The 24-year-old rookie has won his past two starts, giving up two runs over 5 1/3 innings in each outing to beat the Mets on Sept. 15 and Philadelphia on Friday. Newcomb has greatly reduced his walks, issuing just six in his past three starts after walking 22 in his previous six games.

Gsellman is 2-1 in four September starts with a 4.50 ERA, beating the Braves in Atlanta on Sept. 17 by allowing only an unearned run on three hits in seven innings. He drew a no-decision Friday against Washington after giving up six runs (five earned) on four hits across five innings. Gsellman, who makes his 22nd start and 25th appearance of 2017, has posted a 3.82 ERA in seven games since returning from a left hamstring injury suffered in June.

WALK-OFFS

1. Braves RF Nick Markakis, who finished each of the past two seasons with 38 doubles, hit his 39th in Tuesday’s loss.

2. Mets RF Travis Taijeron, who came into Tuesday hitting .159, recorded two hits and drove in the game-winning run with a ninth-inning single.

3. Atlanta, which dropped to 10-58 when scoring three runs or fewer, left 11 runners on base Tuesday.

PREDICTION: Mets 5, Braves 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Atlanta at NY Mets

W/L Trends

Atlanta

Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Braves are 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Braves are 5-2 in Newcombs last 7 starts. Braves are 5-2 in Newcombs last 7 starts on grass. Braves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 road starts. Braves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

NY Mets

Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Mets are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 overall. Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 games on grass. Mets are 6-15 in their last 21 games following a win. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 4-1 in Gsellmans last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 5-2 in Gsellmans last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 3-7 in Gsellmans last 10 starts. Mets are 3-7 in Gsellmans last 10 starts on grass.

OU Trends

Atlanta

Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 overall. Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 on grass. Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. National League East. Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 4 of a series. Over is 23-8-2 in Braves last 33 Wednesday games. Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 road games. Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games following a loss. Under is 10-4 in Braves last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 35-16-2 in Braves last 53 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-1 in Newcombs last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 4-1 in Newcombs last 5 starts vs. National League East.

NY Mets

Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 on grass. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 home games. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. National League East. Under is 7-2 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 5-2-1 in Mets last 8 games following a win. Over is 15-7 in Mets last 22 Wednesday games. Over is 7-1 in Gsellmans last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Gsellmans last 5 Wednesday starts. Over is 4-1 in Gsellmans last 5 starts on grass. Over is 4-1 in Gsellmans last 5 starts overall. Over is 12-3-1 in Gsellmans last 16 starts vs. National League East. Under is 3-1-1 in Gsellmans last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 10-4 in Gsellmans last 14 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Braves are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in New York. Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Ben May

• Over is 3-0-1 in Mays last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Road team is 4-0 in Mays last 4 games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Mays last 5 games behind home plate.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Mays last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Over is 3-1-2 in Mays last 6 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
• Home team is 5-2 in Mays last 7 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Minnesota Twins (83-74) at Cleveland Indians (98-59)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, September 27 - 7:10 PM EST
WHERE: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Twins at Indians

Gracenote
Sep 27, 2017

The Minnesota Twins are on the verge of making history, poised to become the first team in history to advance to the postseason one year after losing 100 games. Owning a magic number of one, the Twins can punch their ticket to the playoffs when they continue their three-game series at the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday night.

Minnesota owns a five-game lead with five to play for the second wild card and needs one win or a loss by the Los Angeles Angels to complete its stunning turnaround and reach the postseason for the first time since 2010. The Twins rallied for an 8-6 victory in the series opener, going ahead on Brian Dozier's three-run homer in the eighth inning to hand Cleveland just its third loss in 32 games. Indians designated hitter Edwin Encarnacion has four homers and 14 RBIs over his last nine games after going deep and driving in four runs in Tuesday's loss. While Cleveland already has wrapped up a division title, it holds a one-game edge over Houston for home-field advantage throughout the American League playoffs.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN North (Minnesota), STO (Cleveland)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins LH Adalberto Mejía (4-6, 4.48 ERA) vs. Indians RH Danny Salazar (5-6, 4.48)

Mejia has not won since July 3 and failed to pitch beyond five innings for the sixth consecutive start last time out when he permitted one run over 4 2/3 innings of a no-decision at Detroit. He was reached for 10 runs over 10 innings in his previous three turns and is 0-3 in his last eight outings. Mejia won at Cleveland on June 23, overcoming five walks in five scoreless innings of two-hit ball.

Moved to the bullpen earlier this month after returning from the disabled list, Salazar received a start last time out and struck out four while allowing one run and two hits over 2 2/3 innings. This will be another audition to determine what his role will be for the postseason. Salazar dominated the Twins in Minnesota on Aug. 15, striking out 10 and giving up one run on three hits across seven innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Twins CF Byron Buxton stole his 23rd consecutive base Tuesday to set a Twins record.

2. Encarnacion is the fifth player in franchise history with at least 100 RBIs and 100 walks in the same season.

3. Twins LF Eddie Rosario is 6-for-12 with a homer, three doubles and five RBIs in the past three games.

PREDICTION: Indians 7, Twins 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Minnesota at Cleveland

W/L Trends

Minnesota

Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Twins are 20-8 in their last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Twins are 4-0 in Mejias last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Twins are 5-2 in Mejias last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 2-5 in Mejias last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Twins are 1-5 in Mejias last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cleveland

Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 41-11 in their last 52 overall. Indians are 40-11 in their last 51 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 47-13 in their last 60 games on grass. Indians are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 38-14 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 24-9 in their last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. American League Central. Indians are 37-18 in their last 55 home games. Indians are 7-1 in Salazars last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 10-3 in Salazars last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 5-2 in Salazars last 7 starts on grass. Indians are 7-3 in Salazars last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 9-4 in Salazars last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 15-7 in Salazars last 22 home starts.

OU Trends

Minnesota

Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 road games. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 on grass. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games following a win. Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central. Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 during game 2 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 9-4 in Twins last 13 Wednesday games. Under is 5-1 in Mejias last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Mejias last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-1-2 in Mejias last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cleveland

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 games following a loss. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-2-1 in Indians last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-3 in Indians last 11 home games. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 Wednesday games. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 vs. American League Central. Under is 42-17-3 in Indians last 62 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 49-24-5 in Indians last 78 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Salazars last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 6-1 in Salazars last 7 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. Under is 5-1 in Salazars last 6 home starts. Under is 6-2-1 in Salazars last 9 Wednesday starts. Over is 9-4-1 in Salazars last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Twins are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Indians are 8-3 in Salazars last 11 starts vs. Twins. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Twins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Kerwin Danley

• Road team is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 games behind home plate.
• Home team is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
• Under is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
• Under is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
• Home team is 5-2 in Danleys last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Danleys last 11 games behind home plate.
• Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Danley behind home plate.
• Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games with Danley behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, September 27, 2017

9/27 07:05 PM EST MLB (929) BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS (930) PITTSBURGH PIRATES.

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, September 27, 2017 comes in baseball as Baltimore and the Pirates battle in Pittsburgh. Baltimore has an average offense and loses the DH for this series. Starter Gabriel Ynoa (3.14 ERA) is off an impressive 3-1 win over Tampa bay throwing 8 innings. The Under is 15-6 in Orioles last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pittsburgh is on a 62-30-2 run under the total. Starter Chad Kuhl throws best at home and the Under is 22-10 in the Pirates last 32 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play Baltimore/Pittsburgh UNDER the total.