Friday 9-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #91
    Jimmy Boyd

    Sep 29 '17, 10:30 PM

    NCAA-F | USC vs Washington State
    Play on: UNDER 65½ -110

    Free Pick on USC/Washington St UNDER 65.5
    A lot of people are expecting a shootout tonight between the Cougars and Trojans with all the offensive fire-power that will be on display, including two of the top quarterbacks in the country in USC's Sam Darnold and Washington State's Luke Falk. I believe that has this total inflated quite a bit and the value is clearly on the UNDER.
    The Trojans have had some lapses and let some teams hang around that they shouldn't, but the defense definitely turned it up a notch after that poor showing in the opener against Western Michigan. They have been much better against the pass than the run and that's ideal here against a Washington State offense that basically only throws the ball. USC can get after the quarterback with their pass rush and Falk likes to hold on to the ball, which should lead to some big sacks and empty possessions for the Cougars.
    A lot of people think Washington State is all offense, but they have been playing much better on the defensive side of the ball the last couple of seasons and are currently 12th in the country in total defense coming into this game. They are 42nd against the run (120.0 ypg) and 12th against the pass (142.3 ypg). I think they can give USC's offense some problems, especially given the circumstances of this being a home night game that is getting a ton of attention. Martin Stadium is going to be electric.
    UNDER is now 22-8-1 in the Trojans last 31 conference games and 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 6-0 in USC's last 6 as a road favorite and 6-0 in the Cougars last 6 home games after rushing for 125 or less yards in 2 straight games. Take the UNDER!
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #92
      Dave Price

      Sep 29 '17, 10:30 PM

      NCAA-F | USC vs Washington State
      Play on: USC -5 -110 at betonline

      Dave's Friday Free Play:

      1* on USC -5

      The Key: There is one huge difference between these teams during their 4-0 starts. USC has played one of the toughest schedules in the country, beating Western Michigan, Stanford, Texas and California. Washington State has played one of the softest schedules in the land, beating Montana State, Boise State, Oregon State and Nevada, all at home. The better team is USC, and it's really not even close here. That will show on the field Friday night. Take USC.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #93
        Bobby Conn

        Sep 29 '17, 8:00 PM

        NCAA-F | BYU vs Utah State
        Play on: Utah State +1½ -110 at GTBets

        1* Free Play on Utah State +1½ -110
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #94
          Cappers Access

          Duke +6.5
          Nebraska -5.5
          USC -5
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #95
            TOP SU TREND:

            -- The Nationals are 12-0 since Sep 24, 2016 after they had more than ten team-left-on-base last game.

            Advertisement
            TOP OU TREND:

            -- The Reds are 19-0 OU (4.79 ppg) since Apr 15, 2016 as a 170+ dog after they used 5+ pitchers last game.

            TOP STARTER TREND:

            -- The Diamondbacks are 9-0 since May 06, 2016 when Zack Greinke starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start against the current opponent.

            TOP CHOICE TREND:

            -- The Padres are 0-10 OU (-2.95 ppg) since Sep 18, 2016 on the road after they were shut out in the first 6 innings last game.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #96
              MLB Daily Line Drive: Friday's picks, betting odds and analysis

              Double-Play Picks

              Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (+120, 8.5)


              It is a tough time to handicap baseball with most teams either locked into their playoff positions, or are already making their offseason plans. However, one team which still has an outside chance at the playoffs is the Milwaukee Brewers. They’ll look to keep those hopes alive when they visit the recently eliminated Cardinals in the final series of the season.

              Milwaukee is the lone team who can catch the Rockies for the second Wild Card spot in the National league, sitting two games back with three games to go and they send their best pitcher to the mound on Friday to keep those postseason dreams alive.

              Chase Anderson will take the mound for the Brewers in the series opener and the veteran right-hander has had a career year in Milwaukee. Anderson set career marks in wins with 11, ERA at a 2.81 and WHIP at 1.12.

              Anderson has also seemed to get stronger in the latter part of the season, going 3-1 in his last four starts with a 1.59 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP while striking out 23 batters and walking just three.

              The Cardinals counter with John Gant, who will be making just his second start for a Cardinals team that had the life sucked out of it last night in a heartbreaking loss to the Cubs, which ended their season.

              This will just be a tough game for the Cardinals to show up to against a hot pitcher.

              Pick: Brewers -130

              New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-135, 9.5)


              You don’t think we would pass up one more opportunity to rag on Matt Harvey this season, did you? Well, we are, as the Mets close out their disappointing season with a three-game set in Philadelphia this weekend.

              New York opened this season as a 12/1 contender to win the World Series and now here they sit at 69-90 just five games better than the Phillies this season and it could get worse as the Mets will send Harvey to the hill one more time this season.

              It has been a season to forget for the former Mets ace, riddled with injuries and inconsistencies. Harvey is 5-6 this season with a 6.60 ERA and has only struck out 64 batters, while walking 44.

              His last five starts have been pretty brutal, where he is 1-3 with a whopping 12.26 ERA and a WHIP of 2.40. (Puke.)

              The Phillies counter with Ben Lively, who hasn’t been terrible, but is nothing to write home about either. The rookie right-hander is 3-7 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP and the MLB season seems to be wearing on him a bit. Lively is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three starts.

              Expect the bats to take over in this matchup.

              Pick: Over 9.5.

              Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
              Season To Date: 159-145-15


              Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

              Streaking:
              Jose Quintana, Chicago Cubs

              Quintana, the Cubs big trade deadline acquisition, is ramping up nicely in anticipation of the first postseason action oh his career.

              The Cubs have won the southpaws last five starts, thanks to the fact he has pitched to a 2.14 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP and includes a three-hit, 10 strikeout, complete-game shutout of the Brewers in his last start.

              Chicago is currently a -171 home favorite for tonight’s game against the Reds.

              Slumping:
              Wade Miley, Baltimore Orioles

              Miley’s first full season in Baltimore has been a rough one and he has the look of a man who just wants to get this season with and move on to the next.

              The Orioles’ southpaw has gone 8-14 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP, but has been even worse in his last four starts, going 0-4 with a 9.92 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP.

              Miley and the Orioles are currently +131 road dogs tonight against the Rays.

              Friday's Top Trends

              * Blue Jays are 0-7 in Joe Biagini's last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays +195 @ Yankees.
              * Rangers are 0-7 in their last seven games overall. -12 vs A's.
              * Over is 11-1-2 in the last 14 meetings between the Tigers and Twins. O/U: 8.5.
              * Under is 8-0 in Chad Bettis' last eight home starts. O/U: 11.5 vs Dodgers.

              Weather To Keep An Eye On

              Friday will mostly be a beautiful fall day and night for baseball all around the Big League, except for maybe in Cleveland where there will be a chance of rain and a pitchers wind for the Indians game against the White Sox. The total is currently 8.5.

              Ump Of The Day

              Rob Drake: Drake has turned into a abit of an Over ump in the later half of the season, with it going 7-2 in his last nine games behind home plate. Drake sees an average of 8.72 total runs per game this season and has a strike percentage of 63.47. Drake will be calling balls and strikes tonight in Texas, where the Rangers will host the A's, with a total currently sitting at 10.5.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #97
                DONNY ACTION

                NCAA Football WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS +3.5 ‑110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #98
                  Pure Lock

                  MLB SAN DIEGO PADRES +120
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #99
                    Sports Betting Tips

                    NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS +100
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #100
                      Dezthecapper

                      MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ‑145
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #101
                        R and R Totals

                        NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS/UTAH STATE AGGIES o48
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #102
                          Line Mover Sports

                          MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS/COLORADO ROCKIES ‑110 u11.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #103
                            Mikey Sports

                            MLB ATLANTA BRAVES +150
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #104
                              Tommy King Wins

                              NCAA Football NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS ‑5.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #105
                                Sportsbook Advisor

                                NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS ‑1
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