Saturday 9-30-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #9 - BELMONT PARK - 5:11 PM EASTERN POST
The Beldame Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $400,000.00 PURSE

#1 ELATE
#5 MONEY'SONCHARLOTTE
#3 BISHOP'S POND
#2 VERVE'S TALE

The Beldame was run at Aqueduct prior to 1957, in 1959, and 1962-68. Run at 1 1/16 miles in 1939, 1 1/8 miles from 1940-76, 1 1/4 miles 1977-89, and 1 1/16 miles in 1990. Run in two divisions in 1946, 1947, and 1952. Run as a handicap prior to 1960. Vagrancy and Barrancosa dead heated for the win in 1942. Here in the 78th running of The Dame, #1 ELATE takes a slight class drop (-1) is the speed leader in this field racing at today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last four outings, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. #5 MONEY'SONCHARLOTTE, an 8-1 shot, has won four straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 61

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 EXPECT IT'S TRUE 7/5

# 4 WILLY BE SMART 6/5

# 2 TEECHIME 9/2

I've got to go with EXPECT IT'S TRUE. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the means to a turnaround. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of very good win percentage - 30 percent - at this distance & surface. Nelson will probably be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in this race. WILLY BE SMART - Has to be given a chance against this group displaying strong numbers recently and an average speed figure of 65 under similar conditions. Looks strong against this group and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. TEECHIME - The Equibase speed fig of 52 from his most recent contest looks very good in here. Like the finishing positions in the last couple of events.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 3

WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $16,320 • Post: 2:20P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. (COLTS AND GELDINGS PREFERRED)(LIMITED TO 10 STARTERS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF FIVE FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TEIAIAGON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished sec ond in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse. PROFESSOR HARTWICK: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JOVIAL JESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
TEIAIAGON
3/1

7/2
1
PROFESSOR HARTWICK
8/1

6/1
2
JOVIAL JESS
5/2

6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Oak Tree at Pleasanton - Race #8 - Post: 5:21pm - Stakes - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 92 Oak Tree Juvenile S.

Rating: 3

#1 AXELROD (ML=10/1)
#4 RESPECT THE HUSTLE (ML=7/2)
#8 UNPOSSIBLE (ML=15/1)


AXELROD - 'Iggy' and McCarthy teamed up together are a horseplayer's friend. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a strong race is a good signal. RESPECT THE HUSTLE - I like to wager on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last month or so. The return on investment when Hernandez and McLean hook up is good. Look at this pattern of improvement. 71/78/90 are the last three speed ratings. UNPOSSIBLE - This jockey and handler's horses have been generating a positive return on investment.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ARTIE B GOOD (ML=2/1), #6 BOMBARDEO (ML=4/1), #5 NIGHT AT THE OPERA (ML=9/2),

ARTIE B GOOD - Don't believe this pony will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure. BOMBARDEO - A bit of a less than stellar performance when this colt finished eleventh. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. NIGHT AT THE OPERA - The speed rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this entrant as a likely underlay.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #1 AXELROD on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,4,8] with [1,4,8] with [1,2,4,5,8] with [1,2,4,5,8] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 1

Win, Place, Show (17% Takeout), Exacta, Quinella, .10 Superfecta Daily Double (20% Takeout), .50 Trifecta (23% Takeout), .50 Pick 3 (19% Takeout)


Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 84 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2017 VALLEY JUNCTION FUTURITY. WEIGHT: 122 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * A JORDON REED: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BV COMEBACK KID: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. EAGLE DELUXE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RUSTY ROSE II: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). POPS ZOOMIN FURY: Horse has the highest avera ge Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
A JORDON REED
3/1

4/1
1
BV COMEBACK KID
12/1

8/1
6
EAGLE DELUXE
5/2

8/1
8
RUSTY ROSE II
7/2

9/1
7
POPS ZOOMIN FURY
15/1

9/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 86

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR OKLAHOMA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 CAT IN DE NILE 9/2

# 2 BUY LOW SELL HIGH 5/2

# 6 GO APPLE JACK 2/1

My choice in this event is CAT IN DE NILE. With a strong 75 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Keep this filly in your exotics as Cabrera has given backers some double digit gains. BUY LOW SELL HIGH - She has been running solidly and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this field. Profitable jock and conditioner team, with a +30 return on investment. GO APPLE JACK - Profitable jock and handler team, with a +40 return on investment. Has to be given a shot based on the respectable speed figure put up in the last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 5:10pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,500 Class Rating: 61

Rating: 4

#7 CASCABRIA (ML=8/1)
#1 HARPER SOPHIA (ML=9/2)


CASCABRIA - Good return on investment for this jockey and conditioner tandem. Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is up against an easier field than in the last race at Thistledown. This filly is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ended up second in the last race and comes back soon. Ranked number 1 in earnings per race entered. Another indication that this horse has the class to win today. HARPER SOPHIA - Ran last out against a higher rated class of horses at Indiana Downs. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. You always have to be on the watch for money making jock/trainer combinations; we have an instance right here. This filly's last speed figure is lofty enough to score here, I'll invest in her right back this time out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MAMA'S HOPE (ML=4/1), #4 MIZZENMYHONEYMOON (ML=5/1), #10 SHARI'S TIME (ML=6/1),

MAMA'S HOPE - This horse hasn't been on the track since September 6th. Not even any morning blow outs. MIZZENMYHONEYMOON - 5/1 is not worth the risk for any animal in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race of late. SHARI'S TIME - This filly hasn't had any positive efforts in sprint contests in the last 60 days. Not probable that the speed rating she registered on September 16th will hold up in this race. The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this speedy one. Many other thoroughbreds would have to scratch to promote her chances.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 CASCABRIA to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Houston Astros (100-60) at Boston Red Sox (92-68)
DATE/TIME: Saturday, September 30 - 1:05 PM EST
WHERE: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Astros at Red Sox

Gracenote
Sep 30, 2017

The Boston Red Sox dropped five of their final six contests in the regular season last year and were swept out of the playoffs in three games by the Cleveland Indians. The Red Sox are hoping a similar slump at the end of the 2017 campaign doesn't doom them to the same fate and they will try to avoid a fifth loss in six games when they host the Houston Astros on Saturday.

Boston's recent slump has put the American League East race back in the picture, and the New York Yankees are sitting two games behind with two left to play. The Red Sox surged into first place in the East on the strength of a solid pitching staff but is seeing that erode of late and did not have a starter log a quality start in the last turn through the rotation. The Astros (100-60) aren't likely to roll over for Boston as they try to hunt down the Cleveland Indians (101-59) for the best record in the AL and homefield advantage throughout the AL playoffs. Houston, which is riding a five-game winning streak, will send Lance McCullers Jr. to the mound on Saturday while the Red Sox try to coax a quality start out of lefty Drew Pomeranz.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (7-3, 4.01 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (16-6, 3.38)

McCullers battled injury over the last two months and is trying to prove he deserves a spot in the Houston rotation during the playoffs. The Florida native, who turns 24 on Monday, made his first start since Sept. 6 on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels and was limited to 63 pitches, allowing two runs and four hits over 3 1/3 frames. McCullers last started at Boston on May 13, 2016, and was ripped for five runs on seven hits and three walks across 4 2/3 innings.

Pomeranz suffered through his shortest outing of the season against Toronto on Monday, when he was ripped for five runs on seven hits and a walk in two innings. The 28-year-old, whose velocity was down in his last outing, allowed a total of three runs and 12 hits in 18 1/3 innings over his previous three turns. Pomeranz started at Houston on June 16 and yielded one run on four hits over 6 1/3 innings but did not factor in the decision.

WALK-OFFS

1. Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia, who is playing through a knee injury, is 3-for-36 in his last 10 games.

2. Houston RF Josh Reddick was sent back to Texas to have his back examined by team doctors but is expected to be ready for the postseason.

3. Boston INF Eduardo Nunez (knee) is doubtful to play this weekend but could return for the playoffs.

PREDICTION: Astros 6, Red Sox 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Houston at Boston

W/L Trends

Houston

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 12-2 in their last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win. Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 overall. Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 games on grass. Astros are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 43-17 in their last 60 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series. Astros are 36-16 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Astros are 7-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 5-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Astros are 7-2 in McCullers Jr.s last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 1-5 in McCullers Jr.s last 6 starts on grass. Astros are 1-6 in McCullers Jr.s last 7 starts.

Boston

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. Red Sox are 28-13 in their last 41 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. American League West. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Red Sox are 8-1 in Pomeranzs last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 6-1 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Red Sox are 4-1 in Pomeranzs last 5 home starts. Red Sox are 8-2 in Pomeranzs last 10 starts. Red Sox are 7-2 in Pomeranzs last 9 starts on grass. Red Sox are 17-5 in Pomeranzs last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 6-2 in Pomeranzs last 8 starts with 4 days of rest. Red Sox are 6-2 in Pomeranzs last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Red Sox are 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.

OU Trends

Houston

Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 on grass. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games following a win. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 28-11-1 in Astros last 40 vs. American League East. Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 Saturday games. Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 40-19-4 in Astros last 63 during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-0 in McCullers Jr.s last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 4-0 in McCullers Jr.s last 4 starts vs. American League East. Over is 6-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 7 starts overall. Over is 5-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 6 starts on grass. Over is 4-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-1 in McCullers Jr.s last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in McCullers Jr.s last 9 Saturday starts. Under is 6-2 in McCullers Jr.s last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 14-6 in McCullers Jr.s last 20 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-3 in McCullers Jr.s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston

Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Saturday games. Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 on grass. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 home games. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 10-3-1 in Red Sox last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 19-7 in Red Sox last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 10-4 in Red Sox last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 35-14-2 in Red Sox last 51 during game 3 of a series. Under is 27-11-2 in Red Sox last 40 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Over is 6-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 5-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Pomeranzs last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts vs. American League West.

Head to Head

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Astros are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Boston.

Umpire Trends - Hunter Wendelstedt

• Under is 5-0-1 in Wendelstedts last 6 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Boston.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Wendelstedts last 5 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Under is 8-1-2 in Wendelstedts last 11 games behind home plate vs. Boston.
• Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
• Home team is 7-1 in Wendelstedts last 8 games behind home plate.
• Home team is 6-1 in Wendelstedts last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Boston.
• Home team is 10-2 in Wendelstedts last 12 games behind home plate vs. Boston.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Wendelstedts last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
• Home team is 23-8 in Wendelstedts last 31 games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Home team is 5-2 in Wendelstedts last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Houston.
• Home team is 35-16 in Wendelstedts last 51 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (75-85) at New York Yankees (90-70)
DATE/TIME: Saturday, September 30 - 1:05 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Blue Jays at Yankees

Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The New York Yankees are intent on forcing Boston to win the American League East and will try to keep the pressure on their bitter rival when they resume a three-game series against the visiting Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday afternoon. Trailing the Red Sox by two games with two to play, New York would host Boston in a potential tiebreaker Monday.

Slugger Aaron Judge, the AL leader with 51 homers, continues to enhance his MVP credentials by extending his hitting streak to a career-best 12 games and collecting his 31st RBI in September in Friday's 4-0 win. Greg Bird had two hits and drove in two runs to give him both a seven-game hitting and RBI streak for New York, which reached 90 wins for the first time since 2012. Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman is looking to close out his season by beating the Yankees for the second time within a week as he makes his fifth start against them in 2017. He will have a rematch with left-hander Jaime Garcia, who will be seeking to rebound from his shortest outing of the year.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (13-8, 3.06 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jaime García (5-10, 4.41)

Stroman, who is three innings shy of reaching 200 for the second straight season, won his second start in a row by giving up three runs over 5 2/3 frames to beat the Yankees on Sunday. It was his fourth consecutive home start, including seven strong innings of one-run ball against Kansas City on Sept. 19. Stroman has made 14 starts away from home, posting a 6-2 record and 3.68 ERA.

Garcia lasted only 2 1/3 innings in Toronto on Sunday while giving up five runs on four hits to remain winless in eight starts since he was acquired by the Yankees at the trade deadline. The 31-year-old Mexican had yielded three earned runs or fewer in each of his previous six turns but has yet to make it through six innings with New York. Garcia has a 10.57 ERA in two starts this season against the Blue Jays.

WALK-OFFS

1. Judge also has at least one RBI in six straight games, although his string of games with an extra-base hit was halted at eight.

2. Blue Jays 3B Josh Donaldson is 10-for-22 with three homers, three doubles and six RBIs during a five-game hitting streak.

3. Yankees LHP Aroldis Chapman earned his 21st save Friday and has not allowed a run in his last 10 appearances.

PREDICTION: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Toronto at NY Yankees

W/L Trends

Toronto

Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. Blue Jays are 9-1 in Stromans last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Blue Jays are 5-1 in Stromans last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Blue Jays are 11-3 in Stromans last 14 Saturday starts. Blue Jays are 9-3 in Stromans last 12 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Blue Jays are 5-2 in Stromans last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. Blue Jays are 5-2 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. American League East. Blue Jays are 4-9 in Stromans last 13 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games. Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Yankees are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 14-4 in their last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 overall. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass. Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 vs. American League East.

OU Trends

Toronto

Under is 22-5-3 in Blue Jays last 30 Saturday games. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 on grass. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East. Under is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 during game 2 of a series. Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games following a loss. Under is 46-21-5 in Blue Jays last 72 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 31-15-5 in Blue Jays last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-2 in Stromans last 5 Saturday starts. Over is 3-0-3 in Stromans last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 3-0-1 in Stromans last 4 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Stromans last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Stromans last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Under is 12-3-2 in Stromans last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Stromans last 5 starts vs. American League East. Under is 7-3 in Stromans last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.

NY Yankees

Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Saturday games. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 2 of a series. Over is 19-7 in Yankees last 26 games following a win. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Garcias last 5 starts on grass. Under is 3-1-1 in Garcias last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 3-1-1 in Stromans last 5 road starts vs. Yankees. Blue Jays are 8-3 in Stromans last 11 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 5-2-1 in Stromans last 8 starts vs. Yankees. Blue Jays are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

Umpire Trends - Bill Welke

• Over is 4-1 in Welkes last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Road team is 17-5 in Welkes last 22 games behind home plate vs. Toronto.
• Home team is 21-7 in Welkes last 28 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Home team is 18-6 in Welkes last 24 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Over is 44-15-3 in Welkes last 62 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Over is 39-18-3 in Welkes last 60 games behind home plate.
• Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games with Welke behind home plate.
• Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Welke behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: San Diego Padres (70-90) at San Francisco Giants (63-97)
DATE/TIME: Saturday, September 30 - 4:05 PM EST
WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Padres at Giants

Gracenote
Sep 30, 2017

It figures to be an emotional scene Saturday at AT&T Park as San Francisco Giants veteran Matt Cain faces the San Diego Padres in the final start of his storied career. The Giants’ longest tenured player, Cain announced his retirement earlier this week, marking the end to a career highlighted by three World Series championships, the only perfect game in Giants history and a starting spot in the 2012 All-Star Game.

Buster Posey recorded three doubles and three RBIs in Friday’s 8-0 victory over San Diego, a win that ensures the Giants will avoid joining the 1985 club as the only ones in franchise history to record 100 losses. The victory means the team can focus its attention on Cain, who will turn 33 on Sunday. “This weekend will definitely be my last time putting on a Giants uniform, and I can’t see myself going anywhere else to play with another team,” Cain told reporters. “This organization has meant so much to me and so much to my family. It’s something that's dear to my heart. I’m just grateful that it's been a part of my life. I’ve enjoyed it. I’ve enjoyed it so much.” Cain will be facing a Padres team that has lost five in a row and been outscored 44-9 over that stretch.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FSN San Diego, NBCSN Bay Area (San Francisco)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Padres RH Jhoulys Chacin (13-10, 3.98 ERA) vs. Giants RH Matt Cain (3-11. 5.66)

Chacin took a no-hitter into the sixth inning last Saturday against Colorado and earned the victory after allowing one hit with six strikeouts over six scoreless innings. The 29-year-old native of Venezuela has gone 9-5 with a 3.01 ERA over his last 19 starts. Pablo Sandoval is 9-for-32 with three home runs against Chacin, who is 8-7 in 20 career games (19 starts) against San Francisco - including a 4-1 mark and 2.09 ERA in seven outings at AT&T Park.

Cain is making his first appearance since Aug. 31, when he allowed two runs over five innings in a 5-2 loss to St. Louis. The highly respected veteran has started 330 games in 13 seasons with the Giants, the second-most in the San Francisco era behind Juan Marichal (446). Cain, who brings a 104-118 career record into his career finale, has gone 8-14 with a 3.20 ERA in 38 games (37 starts) against San Diego.

WALK-OFFS

1. San Diego 1B Wil Myers has hit safely in nine consecutive games against San Francisco dating back to July 16.

2. Giants C Nick Hundley received the “Willie Mac” Award, named for Hall-of-Famer Willie McCovey and given to the team’s most inspirational player.

3. San Diego has a 7-0-1 series record against the Giants since the 2016 All-Star break.

PREDICTION: Giants 7, Padres 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - San Diego at San Francisco

W/L Trends

San Diego

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Padres are 33-70 in their last 103 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 27-58 in their last 85 road games. Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass. Padres are 4-0 in Chacins last 4 starts vs. National League West. Padres are 4-0 in Chacins last 4 starts. Padres are 4-0 in Chacins last 4 starts on grass. Padres are 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 5-1 in Chacins last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Padres are 4-1 in Chacins last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 4-1 in Chacins last 5 Saturday starts. Padres are 4-1 in Chacins last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 7-2 in Chacins last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Padres are 5-2 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

San Francisco

Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 22-46 in their last 68 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 20-45 in their last 65 games following a win. Giants are 6-15 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 Saturday games. Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. Giants are 2-5 in Cains last 7 starts with 29 or more days of rest. Giants are 7-18 in Cains last 25 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 5-16 in Cains last 21 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 7-23 in Cains last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 6-21 in Cains last 27 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in Cains last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 2-8 in Cains last 10 Saturday starts. Giants are 0-5 in Cains last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Giants are 0-5 in Cains last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-4 in Cains last 4 starts. Giants are 0-4 in Cains last 4 starts on grass.

OU Trends

San Diego

Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 on grass. Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 Saturday games. Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. National League West. Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 5-2 in Padres last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 9-4-2 in Padres last 15 during game 2 of a series. Over is 4-0-2 in Chacins last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 3-0-1 in Chacins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 6-0-2 in Chacins last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0-2 in Chacins last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-1-1 in Chacins last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-1-2 in Chacins last 6 road starts. Over is 8-3-2 in Chacins last 13 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-2 in Chacins last 7 Saturday starts. Over is 5-2-2 in Chacins last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

San Francisco

Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 home games. Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 Saturday games. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a win. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 overall. Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 on grass. Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 vs. National League West. Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 19-8-2 in Giants last 29 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts with 29 or more days of rest. Under is 5-0 in Cains last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1-1 in Cains last 8 Saturday starts. Under is 7-2 in Cains last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 9-3-2 in Cains last 14 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cains last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-4-2 in Cains last 17 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Padres are 4-1 in Chacins last 5 starts vs. Giants. Over is 8-3-1 in Cains last 12 home starts vs. Padres. Padres are 19-8 in the last 27 meetings. Over is 11-5 in Cains last 16 starts vs. Padres. Padres are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings in San Francisco. Giants are 2-6 in Cains last 8 home starts vs. Padres. Giants are 1-5 in Cains last 6 starts vs. Padres.

Umpire Trends - Ted Barrett

• Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Barrett behind home plate.
• Road team is 6-1 in Barretts last 7 Saturday games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Road team is 4-1 in Barretts last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
• Giants are 10-3 in their last 13 games with Barrett behind home plate.
• Road team is 22-7 in Barretts last 29 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
• Under is 12-4-3 in Barretts last 19 games behind home plate.
• Under is 9-3 in Barretts last 12 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
• Under is 5-2 in Barretts last 7 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Road team is 5-2 in Barretts last 7 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
• Home team is 39-16 in Barretts last 55 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games with Barrett behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Cincinnati Reds (67-93) at Chicago Cubs (91-69)
DATE/TIME: Saturday, September 30 - 4:05 PM EST
WHERE: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Reds at Cubs

Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

With the National League Central title secured and nothing to play for, the Chicago Cubs still provided some drama for the fans in the final series of the regular season. Ian Happ's three-run homer in the bottom of the eighth was the difference in the Cubs' 5-4 win over the visiting Cincinnati Reds, who look to even the series Saturday afternoon.

Happ's decisive blast in Friday's 5-4 victory was his second homer in as many days and his 24th of the year -- the second-highest total in NL history for a rookie switch hitter (behind Pittsburgh's Josh Bell with 26). Winners of three in a row, Chicago used a patchwork lineup for the second straight game after clinching the division title Wednesday night, but more regulars are expected to see action Saturday. Reds first baseman Joey Votto reached a personal milestone with his third 100-RBI season -- and first since 2011 -- while extending his hitting streak to 10 games. Cincinnati rookie Jackson Stephens will make his fourth career start when he opposes Cubs left-handed Jon Lester, making his final tuneup before the NL Division series.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FSN Ohio (Cincinnati), CSN Chicago

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Jackson Stephens (2-0, 3.86 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (12-8, 4.46)

Stephens earned the win in his major league debut against the Cubs on July 1 by allowing three runs over five innings while striking out eight, although he surrendered a pair of homers. The 23-year-old is coming off the most impressive performance of his brief career, limiting Boston to one run on two hits over six innings in a no-decision. Stephens has permitted five homers in his three starts.

Lester rebounded from a woeful effort at Tampa Bay with six innings of one-run ball in St. Louis on Monday for his third quality start in four turns. "I have to get back to being me," he said afterward. "I have to get back to putting hitters in a defensive mode as opposed to trying to pitch to a scouting report from pitch one. Lester was hammered by the Reds for nine runs in 1 2/3 innings on Aug. 17.

WALK-OFFS

1. Votto, riding an on-base streak of 30 straight games, is batting .375 (24-for-64) against Chicago this season.

2. Cubs RHP Jake Arrieta will likely skip Sunday's start to allow his ailing hamstring to heal.

3. Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez had a career-long 71-game errorless streak halted in the series opener.

PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Reds 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Cincinnati at Chi. Cubs

W/L Trends

Cincinnati

Reds are 19-39 in their last 58 vs. a team with a winning record. Reds are 45-98 in their last 143 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Reds are 21-46 in their last 67 road games. Reds are 17-44 in their last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter. Reds are 13-40 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Reds are 2-9 in their last 11 Saturday games. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Reds are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss. Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 overall. Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 games on grass.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. National League Central. Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 overall. Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a win. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games. Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 Saturday games. Cubs are 41-16 in their last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 41-17 in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Cubs are 13-6 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Cubs are 47-23 in their last 70 games on grass. Cubs are 25-6 in Lesters last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cubs are 4-1 in Lesters last 5 Saturday starts. Cubs are 18-6 in Lesters last 24 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cubs are 5-2 in Lesters last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. Cubs are 5-2 in Lesters last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Cubs are 5-2 in Lesters last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. Cubs are 40-18 in Lesters last 58 starts on grass. Cubs are 40-19 in Lesters last 59 starts. Cubs are 35-17 in Lesters last 52 home starts.

OU Trends

Cincinnati

Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 Saturday games. Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 during game 2 of a series. Under is 8-2-1 in Reds last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 overall. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 on grass. Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. National League Central. Over is 5-2 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-3 in Reds last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Chi. Cubs

Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 on grass. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 vs. National League Central. Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 13-5 in Cubs last 18 Saturday games. Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games. Under is 9-4 in Cubs last 13 overall. Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts on grass. Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-0 in Lesters last 6 starts overall. Over is 5-0 in Lesters last 5 home starts. Under is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 Saturday starts. Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 8-2 in Lesters last 10 starts vs. National League Central. Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts vs. Reds. Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago. Cubs are 10-2 in Lesters last 12 starts vs. Reds. Cubs are 5-1 in Lesters last 6 home starts vs. Reds. Over is 36-13-3 in the last 52 meetings. Reds are 16-42 in the last 58 meetings. Reds are 8-22 in the last 30 meetings in Chicago.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No trends available.