Sunday 10-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 9:30 AM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Wembley Stadium, London

Preview: Saints at Dolphins
Gracenote
Sep 28, 2017

The Miami Dolphins would like to distance themselves from what coach Adam Gase deemed an "embarrassing" performance last week, and what better way to do that than to travel halfway around the world? The Dolphins look to ignite a sputtering offense against a team that has had little difficulty in that regard in the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at Wembley Stadium in London.

"I'm upset about the way our offense played. I'm just tired of watching it for two years. Just garbage," said Gase, who saw his team fall flat in a 20-6 setback to the New York Jets last Sunday. Pro Bowl selection Jay Ajayi mustered just 16 yards rushing in that contest, but will look for a bit of home cooking as he returns to his birthplace of London. While Miami ranks 27th in total yards (280.5) and 30th in scoring (12.5), New Orleans hasn't had much issue in that regard - notably a sixth-ranked offense that has accumulated 378.3 yards per game. Drew Brees threw for three touchdowns in a 34-13 win over Carolina last Sunday and faces a Dolphins defense that is yielding an NFL-worst 8.6 yards per pass and 31st-ranked 4.3 yards per play.

TV: 9:30 a.m. ET, LINE: Saints -3. O/U: 49.5

ABOUT THE SAINTS (1-2): History will note that Brees visited the Dolphins as prospective free agent in 2006, only to sign with New Orleans after the club made a six-year, $60 million offer. While Miami has seen 10 different quarterbacks under center in that time, Brees has passed for 54,630 yards and 391 touchdowns in addition to winning a Super Bowl with the Saints. Brandin Cooks departure to New England has opened the door for Michael Thomas, who leads the team in receptions (17), targets (26) and yards (221). Brandon Coleman has used his 6-foot-6 frame to catch a touchdown pass in each of the last two weeks, but his playing time may dip in favor of fellow wideout Willie Snead IV, as the latter is expected to return after serving a three-game suspension for an offseason DWI arrest.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (1-1): After completing 72.7 percent of his passes in a risk-averse approach in Week 2, Jay Cutler struggled to find his rhythm against the Jets before avoiding the shutout with a 3-yard touchdown pass to DeVante Parker as time expired. Cutler will look to exploit a Saints defense that is ranked 30th against the pass by focusing on Parker (team-best 161 yards receiving), Louisiana native Jarvis Landry (averaging NFL-best 9.5 catches per contest) and former Saints wideout Kenny Stills. Miami's defense has been taken to task by Philip Rivers of the Los Angeles Chargers and Josh McCown of the Jets, as the two have completed 79 percent of their throws and have a combined 116.4 passer rating.

EXTRA POINTS

1. New Orleans RB Adrian Peterson's availability is in question after he missed practice on Thursday, one day after reportedly tweaking his knee.

2. Gase told reporters that Miami LB Lawrence Timmons is possible to play after he served a one-game suspension on the heels of failing to report for the team's Week 2 contest versus the Chargers.

3. The Saints have yet to commit a turnover this season, the first time in franchise history that they have begun a season with three consecutive turnover-free games.

PREDICTION: Saints 31, Dolphins 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - New Orleans vs Miami

ATS Trends
New Orleans

Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Miami

Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Dolphins are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Dolphins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Dolphins are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Dolphins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 4.
Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
New Orleans

Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Saints last 6 games overall.
Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games in Week 4.
Over is 21-8 in Saints last 29 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Miami

Over is 7-2 in Dolphins last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 games overall.
Over is 11-5 in Dolphins last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Dolphins last 19 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

Preview: Rams at Cowboys
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

Ezekiel Elliott is off to a slow start after his standout rookie season but looks to get untracked when the Dallas Cowboys host the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday. Elliott, who has been dealing with the distraction of a court case involving his delayed six-game suspension for a domestic violence incident, is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry after posting a league-best 1,631 yards last season to go with a strong 5.1 average.

Elliott has gained 192 yards through three games and the Cowboys hope to get him going against a Rams' defense that ranks 29th against the run (139 yards per game). "We've had a little bit of growing pains in the first couple games, but we're getting there," Elliott told reporters. "We're getting into a rhythm and we're planning on getting better every week." Elliott's counterpart with the Rams, Todd Gurley, is on the other end of the spectrum as he has bounced back from a down season with a strong September as he was named NFC Offensive Player of the Month after rushing for 241 yards and scoring six total touchdowns (four rushing, two receiving). "You have your ups and downs in this game," Gurley told reporters. "You know every year is not going to be a good year, and obviously I figured that out last year."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cowboys -6. O/U: 48.5

ABOUT THE RAMS (2-1): Los Angeles is averaging a league-best 35.7 points with second-year quarterback Jared Goff displaying signs as to why he was the No. 1 overall selection in the 2016 draft. Goff has completed 70.4 percent of his passes in first-year coach Sean McVay's system for 817 yards and five touchdowns against just one interception. Standout defensive tackle Aaron Donald appears ready to begin making an impact after his training-camp holdout caused him to miss the season opener and record just five tackles and one sack in the ensuing two games.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2-1): While Elliott searches for his form, second-year quarterback Dak Prescott accounted for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) in Monday's win over Arizona and has passed for 689 yards and five scores against two interceptions. Defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence leads the NFL with 6.5 sacks - his career high is eight in 2015 - and was named NFC Defensive Player of the Month for September - a nice start to his campaign, considering he will become an unrestricted free agent after the season. "I mean, it's a contract year, so what?" Lawrence told reporters. "I want to be here forever. This year don't define me as a player."

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Cowboys hold a 13-11 regular-season series advantage while the teams have split eight playoff games between the 1973-85 seasons.

2. Dallas WR Dez Bryant (11 receptions, 114 yards, two touchdowns) leads NFL with 63 touchdown receptions since start of 2011 campaign.

3. Los Angeles WR Sammy Watkins (concussion) hopes to be cleared to play.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 34, Rams 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - L.A. Rams at Dallas

ATS Trends
L.A. Rams

Rams are 18-39 ATS in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rams are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Rams are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Rams are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Rams are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Rams are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
Rams are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Dallas

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
L.A. Rams

Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 vs. NFC.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 10-1 in Rams last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-1 in Rams last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Rams last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 18-7-1 in Rams last 26 games on fieldturf.
Under is 10-4 in Rams last 14 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games in Week 4.
Under is 35-16-1 in Rams last 52 road games.
Under is 35-16 in Rams last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Dallas

Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games in October.
Under is 9-3 in Cowboys last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. NFC.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Preview: Jaguars at Jets
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

Fresh off their first win of the season, the New York Jets host the defensive-minded Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. Last week, New York dominated the Miami Dolphins 20-6, dispelling any notions that the team was tanking the season, while the Jaguars routed the Baltimore Ravens in a game played in London.



Josh McCown threw a 69-yard touchdown pass to Robby Anderson in last week's victory, which brought to an end the many beliefs that that the Jets wouldn't win a game all season. "Relief? Great feeling? Whatever you want to say," McCown said. "When you win, it's a great feeling." Jacksonville rebounded from a home loss to Tennessee with its second strong defensive outing of the young season. The Jaguars, who registered 10 sacks in their season-opening win at Houston, crushed Baltimore 44-7, the Ravens' worst defeat in nearly 20 years.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -3.5. O/U: 39.5.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (2-1): Jacksonville held Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco to 28 yards passing last week and picked him off twice, including one by rising star Jalen Ramsey, who said his team was motivated by all the accolades that the Baltimore defense was receiving. "We kind of wanted to set the record straight that we've got something special over here, too, in the secondary and really in whole defense," Ramsey said. "We kind of wanted to go show it, and so we did." Much-maligned Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles completed 20 of 31 passes for 244 yards and four touchdowns while finishing with a 128.2 passer rating, the second-highest of his career.
ABOUT THE JETS (1-2): The Jets held Jay Ajayi and Miami's potent rushing attack to a total of 30 yards on the ground and 225 total, shutting down quarterback Jay Cutler (26 of 44, 220 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT). The game was a complete turnaround from the previous week, when the Oakland Raiders cruised to a 45-20 victory by racking up 410 yards of offense in the process. Jets starting running back Matt Forte suffered a turf toe injury in last week's game and, perhaps sensing he would miss Sunday's game, the team signed former Saints back Travaris Cadet.

EXTRA POINTS
1. The Jets have won three straight in the series, including a 28-23 win in its last meeting in 2015.
2. Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette has netted 199 rushing yards this season, the most by any Jacksonville player through their first three career games, and has scored one TD in all three games.
3. Jaguars RB T.J. Yeldon has missed the last three games due to a hamstring injury and his availability against the Jets on Sunday is in question.

PREDICTION: Jaguars 20, Jets 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Jacksonville at N.Y. Jets

ATS Trends
Jacksonville

Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 4.
Jaguars are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

N.Y. Jets

Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Jets are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Jets are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
Jets are 7-19-3 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

OU Trends
Jacksonville

Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games in October.
Over is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 9-4 in Jaguars last 13 vs. AFC.

N.Y. Jets

Under is 7-1 in Jets last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 4-1-1 in Jets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Jets last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 7-3-1 in Jets last 11 games in October.
Under is 9-4 in Jets last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New York.
Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Preview: Lions at Vikings
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The Minnesota Vikings again will be without quarterback Sam Bradford when they host the Detroit Lions for a key NFC North contest on Sunday. Luckily for the Vikings, the offense has operated just fine regardless of who has been under center.


Minnesota ranks second in the league in total offense and has been impressive in two home games – both wins – regardless of whether Bradford or Case Keenum was at the helm. “They both throw great balls,” Vikings tight end Kyle Rudolph told reporters. “They both had incredible success throwing the football, and when we block teams up and let them sit back there with time, we have guys on the outside that are going to get open." Keenum will try to exploit a Detroit defense that has given up plenty of yardage but has limited the damage by forcing eight turnovers through three games. The Lions swept the season series in 2016, but the two games were decided by a total of nine points.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -2. O/U: 42.5


ABOUT THE LIONS (2-1): Detroit’s only loss was a 30-26 defeat against defending NFC champion Atlanta last week, and the Lions have been balanced all around. The once boom-or-bust offense has been efficient with Matthew Stafford throwing seven touchdowns and only one interception and Ameer Abdullah leading the ground game. Detroit has plenty of concerns with its pass defense, which ranks 22nd in the league, but the secondary also has produced seven interceptions.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-1): Minnesota might have been more eager to rush Bradford back from a lingering knee injury if Keenum hadn’t thrown for a career-high 369 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 34-17 win over Tampa Bay. Keenum is surrounded with weapons, including the league’s No. 2 rusher in rookie Dalvin Cook (288 yards) and two of the NFL’s top three receivers in Adam Thielen (299 yards) and Stefon Diggs (293). The Vikings have been dominant against the run but rank 27th versus the pass and will have a tough challenge in trying to limit Stafford and the Lions.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Stafford has recorded 17 touchdowns and four interceptions in his last 11 games against Minnesota.

2. Rudolph has caught a touchdown pass in each of his last three home meetings with Detroit.

3. Thielen has 14 receptions for 255 yards in his last two home games.


PREDICTION: Lions 31, Vikings 28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Detroit at Minnesota

ATS Trends
Detroit

Lions are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Lions are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Lions are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 vs. NFC North.
Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Lions are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Minnesota

Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
Vikings are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Vikings are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Vikings are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 home games.
Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Vikings are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Vikings are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 games overall.
Vikings are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

OU Trends
Detroit

Under is 6-0 in Lions last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Lions last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 13-3 in Lions last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. NFC North.
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games in Week 4.
Under is 6-2 in Lions last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 21-7 in Lions last 28 road games.
Under is 21-8 in Lions last 29 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Lions last 14 games overall.
Under is 10-4 in Lions last 14 games on fieldturf.
Over is 28-12 in Lions last 40 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Minnesota

Over is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 vs. NFC.
Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall.
Under is 8-2 in Vikings last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Vikings last 10 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 13-4 in Vikings last 17 vs. NFC North.
Under is 16-5 in Vikings last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-5-1 in Vikings last 21 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-5 in Vikings last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 24-11 in Vikings last 35 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Under is 32-15 in Vikings last 47 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Preview: Bills at Falcons
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The margins haven’t been impressive, but the Atlanta Falcons are satisfied with the results. The Falcons look to remain one of the NFL’s few unbeaten when they host the upstart Buffalo Bills on Sunday.


Atlanta again possesses one of the league’s most explosive offenses, ranking fifth at 29 points per game, but has won its first three contests by an average of just seven. Matt Ryan and the Falcons’ offense will have their work cut out for them this week as Buffalo owns the league’s top scoring defense (12.3 points). The Bills have recorded 10 sacks in their first three games and have yet to allow a passing touchdown. The Falcons have won the last four meetings dating to Buffalo’s last victory in the series in 1995.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Falcons -8. O/U: 48.5


ABOUT THE BILLS (2-1): Buffalo’s defense was absolutely dominant in its first two games before giving up 366 total yards in last week’s 26-16 win over Denver. The Bills should have run-stopping defensive tackle Marcell Dareus back from an ankle injury Sunday, which would solidify the defensive line after the team gave up 111 rushing yards against the Broncos. The offense has struggled to get going, as the dangerous duo of quarterback Tyrod Taylor and running back LeSean McCoy have combined for just 82 rushing yards per game.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (3-0): Atlanta has shown a nice balance on offense and is willing to take what opposing defenses give. That has been the run in the last two games, as the Falcons have averaged 146 rushing yards with the combination of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. Atlanta has been tough against the run, but the defense needs to be more opportunistic as it has forced only two turnovers.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Ryan has thrown a touchdown pass in 22 straight games, the longest active streak in the league.

2. Taylor is one of three players in the NFL with at least 500 yards passing (562) and 100 rushing (106).

3. Freeman has scored 12 touchdowns in his last six home games.


PREDICTION: Falcons 23, Bills 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Buffalo at Atlanta

ATS Trends
Buffalo

Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Bills are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Atlanta

Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Buffalo

Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games in Week 4.
Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-1 in Bills last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games following a straight up win.
Over is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games following a ATS win.
Over is 11-4 in Bills last 15 games overall.
Over is 20-8 in Bills last 28 games in October.
Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Atlanta

Over is 12-0 in Falcons last 12 home games.
Over is 6-0-1 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-0 in Falcons last 6 games in Week 4.
Over is 8-0 in Falcons last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 3-0-2 in Falcons last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 13-2-1 in Falcons last 16 games following a straight up win.
Over is 13-2-1 in Falcons last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in October.
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 18-7-1 in Falcons last 26 games overall.
Under is 11-5-1 in Falcons last 17 games on grass.
Under is 53-25-4 in Falcons last 82 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio

Preview: Bengals at Browns
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The Cincinnati Bengals are still winless, but at least the offense is starting to put points on the board. The Bengals will try to turn their season around and get on the path to becoming the first team to make the postseason after an 0-3 start since 1998 when they visit the AFC North rival Cleveland Browns on Sunday.

Cincinnati fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese after failing to score a touchdown in the first two games and looked better under new coordinator Bill Lazor last week, but could not pull off the upset and ended up falling 27-24 in overtime at Green Bay. "I think it's a real general statement for me to say get the ball to your best players, so I don't mean to be insulting, but that's part of it," Lazor told reporters of his approach. "I think the guys who have proven before they can be successful and help you win games, you've got to rely on them to do it." The Browns are winless as well but are not giving opponents an easy time and came within one play of pulling off a victory at Indianapolis last week. "The guys are playing together," Cleveland coach Hue Jackson told reporters. "It has made a huge difference. Our guys did some good things. We did some things that we have to continue to improve on, but I think we are heading in the right direction."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Bengals -3. O/U: 41.5

ABOUT THE BENGALS (0-3): Cincinnati will get linebacker Vontaze Burfict back on Sunday after he served a three-game suspension for a hit during the preseason. "Obviously he's one of our best players, so it's good to get him back," Bengals defensive coordinator Paul Guenther told reporters of Burfict. "He's a good, emotional leader. He knows the defense inside and out. It's nice to have him back. We can use him in a lot of ways. He's a versatile guy. He's a big part of what we do." Burfict joins a defense that could be seeing a new star emerge in rookie pass rusher Carl Lawson, who collected 2.5 sacks last week.

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-3): Cleveland is hoping to have its own defensive star make his debut in No. 1 overall pick Myles Garrett, who sat out the first three games recovering from an ankle sprain. Garrett returned to practice on a limited basis this week and could have a small role on Sunday as a third-down pass rusher if he is unable to play a full game. “I want to make sure that we cross all the 'Ts' and dot all the 'Is' and talk to the medical staff about what the expectation would be of him and what we are going to do because he is a huge piece of our organization and our future," Jackson told reporters. "We want to be cautious but smart as we go through it. ... We will see where that is over the next couple of days.”

EXTRA POINTS

1. Bengals WR A.J. Green caught his first TD pass of the season last week and reeled in 10 passes, matching his total from the first two contests.

2. Cleveland LB Jamie Collins (concussion) missed practice on Thursday and is questionable.

3. Cincinnati waived veteran LB Hardy Nickerson to make room for Burfict on the roster.

PREDICTION: Bengals 24, Browns 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Cincinnati at Cleveland

ATS Trends
Cincinnati

Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Bengals are 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bengals are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bengals are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bengals are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Cleveland

Browns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 4.
Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Browns are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Browns are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC.
Browns are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS loss.
Browns are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Browns are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC North.
Browns are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss.
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Browns are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

OU Trends
Cincinnati

Under is 7-1 in Bengals last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 games overall.
Under is 10-2 in Bengals last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 13-3 in Bengals last 16 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bengals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 21-6-1 in Bengals last 28 games in October.
Under is 17-5 in Bengals last 22 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 17-5 in Bengals last 22 vs. AFC.
Under is 21-8 in Bengals last 29 vs. AFC North.
Under is 10-4 in Bengals last 14 games on grass.

Cleveland

Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 vs. AFC North.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-2 in Browns last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in October.
Under is 7-2 in Browns last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-3 in Browns last 11 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Browns last 7 games in Week 4.
Over is 7-3 in Browns last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head to Head

Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Preview: Panthers at Patriots
Gracenote
Sep 28, 2017

New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick built his reputation as a defensive guru so his team's inability to slow the opposition has been among the more stunning developments in the first month of the season. Despite ranking last in the NFL in defense, the reigning Super Bowl champions go for their third straight win over the visiting Carolina Panthers on Sunday.

The Patriots are giving up 31.7 points and a staggering 461.0 yards per game and only the sensational play of quarterback Tom Brady has allowed them to overcome the glaring defensive deficiencies. “The problem with us now, we have too many things to fix,” New England safety Devin McCourty said. “It’s a week-by-week thing where we need to keep getting better. ... Guys aren’t panicking. They’re just coming to work trying to get better. Guys are more focused on that, than stats or anything else.” The Panthers also are 2-1 but are having issues that belie their record -- they have scored one touchdown in two weeks and are coming off a 34-13 beating at home to a New Orleans team that was shredded for 36 points and 555 yards by the Patriots one week earlier. "It has happened in all three games: We've missed opportunities to complete big plays - big passes for big plays," Carolina coach Ron Rivera said. "You can't settle for field goals against explosive teams. If you do that, you're not going to win."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Patriots -9. O/U: 51

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (2-1): Carolina's defense allowed three points in each of its first two wins -- against San Francisco and Buffalo -- but had no answers for Drew Brees and the Saints. Former NFL MVP Cam Newton, who underwent surgery on his rotator cuff in the offseason, has twice as many interceptions (four) as touchdowns but received positive news when top wideout Kelvin Benjamin, who hurt his knee in last week's setback, was a full participant in Thursday's practice. Rookie running back Christian McCaffrey, the No. 8 pick in this year's NFL draft, has done little in the ground game but had nine receptions for 101 yards against New Orleans. The Panthers' defense ranks third in the league against the pass, allowing 162.0 yards per game.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (2-1): New England's defense was carved up by Kansas City in a 42-27 season-opening loss and allowed Houston rookie Deshaun Watson to throw for 301 yards in his second career start in last week's 36-33 victory over the Texans. Brady was the league's lowest-rated passer after Week 1 but has rebounded to win consecutive NFL Player of the Week awards, throwing for 378 yards and five touchdowns to rally the Patriots to a last-second victory a week ago. Wide receiver Brandin Cooks finally showed why New England used two draft picks to trade for him, hauling in five catches for 131 yards and two TDs against the Texans. The Patriots also have struggled against the run, yielding an average of 130.3 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Brady has a passer rating of 146.5 after throwing for 825 yards with eight TDs and zero picks in the past two games.

2. Newton threw for three touchdowns and rushed for 62 yards in a 24-20 win over visiting New England in November 2013.

3. Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski has 14 receptions and two scores in the past two weeks.

PREDICTION: Patriots 27, Panthers 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Carolina at New England

ATS Trends
Carolina

Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Panthers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

New England

Patriots are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 4.
Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Patriots are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Patriots are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 40-16-3 ATS in their last 59 games in October.
Patriots are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Patriots are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 78-38-2 ATS in their last 118 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
Carolina

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games in Week 4.
Under is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1-1 in Panthers last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 11-4 in Panthers last 15 games in October.
Over is 19-7-1 in Panthers last 27 games on fieldturf.
Over is 19-7-2 in Panthers last 28 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

New England

Over is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 19-7 in Patriots last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games in Week 4.
Over is 46-18 in Patriots last 64 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 63-28 in Patriots last 91 games on fieldturf.
Over is 15-7-2 in Patriots last 24 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 48-23 in Patriots last 71 home games.
Over is 46-22 in Patriots last 68 vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head

Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.