Sunday 10-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland

Preview: Steelers at Ravens
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The Baltimore Ravens are last in the NFL in total offense and are coming off an embarrassing loss in London to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Ravens will try to put more points on the board and secure a key win against an AFC North rival on Sunday when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are coming off their own tough setback.

Baltimore is averaging just 263.7 yards on offense and put up 186 total yards while getting run off the field in a 44-7 loss in London last week. "On that side of the ball, we're working really hard to be a lot better than we've been," Ravens coach John Harbaugh told reporters of the offense. "We recognized that we're not playing the kind of football on offense that's going to put a lot of points on the board. We want to score points. We want to take pressure off the other two phases as much as we can." The Steelers are enduring their own struggles on offense at an average of 302.3 yards and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is putting the blame on himself. "I didn't play well enough to win," Roethlisberger told reporters of last week's 23-17 overtime setback at Chicago. "We lost the game because of me, because I didn't play well enough. It's not on anyone else. That's how I felt, that's what you've got to do is you've got to own it. And I'll own it."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Steelers -2. O/U: 42

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2-1): The most curious thing about Pittsburgh's offensive is running back Le'Veon Bell's slow start. Bell, who missed offseason work with a groin injury and sat out training camp waiting to sign his franchise tender, finally found the end zone for the first time last week but is averaging 3.5 yards per carry - down from a career mark of 4.4 - and has yet to combine for 100 yards rushing and receiving. "I haven’t been that special player yet," Bell told reporters. "I’ve kind of been just playing football. I’ve got to go out there and be that special player I know I can be. I just haven’t made the plays yet necessary for my team to get the job done."

ABOUT THE RAVENS (2-1): Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco was just 8-of-18 for 28 yards and two interceptions last week and is averaging 5.30 yards per attempt through the first three contests. Flacco, who missed all of training camp and the preseason with a back injury, is not getting much help from his wide receivers. Tight end Benjamin Watson leads the team with 103 receiving yards while Jeremy Maclin, Mike Wallace and Breshad Perriman have a combined 11 catches on 31 targets for 121 yards.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ravens DT Brandon Williams (foot) did not play last week and is questionable for Sunday.

2. Steelers LB T.J. Watt (groin) sat out last week but is expected to return at Baltimore.

3. Pittsburgh WR Martavis Bryant is sitting out practices this week due to an illness and is questionable.

PREDICTION: Steelers 27, Ravens 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Pittsburgh at Baltimore

ATS Trends
Pittsburgh

Steelers are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Steelers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Steelers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Baltimore

Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC North.
Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
Ravens are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
Ravens are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
Pittsburgh

Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 21-7 in Steelers last 28 road games.
Under is 19-7 in Steelers last 26 games overall.
Under is 19-7 in Steelers last 26 games in October.
Under is 23-9-1 in Steelers last 33 vs. AFC.
Under is 25-10-1 in Steelers last 36 vs. AFC North.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Baltimore

Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC North.
Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-2 in Ravens last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Ravens last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 10-4 in Ravens last 14 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 14-6-1 in Ravens last 21 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Steelers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

Preview: Titans at Texans
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

Rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans let one slip away last week when the New England Patriots drove the length of the field in the final minute to pull out a 36-33 decision. Houston will try to rebound when it hosts the Tennessee Titans on Sunday in a crucial early-season AFC South contest.

The Texans have won back to division titles but it is the Titans who were the preseason AFC South favorites. Watson nearly led Houston to a shocking win at New England last week by throwing for 301 yards and a pair of touchdowns but he also had two costly picks. Tennessee will ride the arm and the legs of Marcus Mariota, who has thrown for 696 yards and three touchdowns on the season. Houston defeated Tennessee 27-20 at NRG Stadium last season and earned a playoff berth by capturing the tiebreaker as both teams finished with 9-7 records.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Titans -1.5. O/U: 43.5.

ABOUT THE TITANS (2-1): Tennessee seems poised to take control of the division with an offense ranked fifth in total yards and sixth in scoring, averaging 28.7 points following last week's 33-27 victory over Seattle. DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry have been a solid combo in the backfield with both averaging over five yards a carry with a rushing score. Rishard Matthews has become a threat at wideout, leading the team with 201 receiving yards, while tight end Delanie Walker is tops with 15 receptions.
in
ABOUT THE TEXANS (1-2): Houston's near upset at New England was encouraging in some regards but the Texans' highly regarded defense was gashed for 337 yards through the air and they enter Sunday's game allowing 24.7 points a game. Star defensive end J.J. Watt has failed to register a sack in his first three games and the Texans watched Tom Brady march his team 85 yards for the final score with little resistance. Houston's lone victory came at winless Cincinnati, and it has received little from running back Lamar Miller, who leads the team in rushing with 182 yards and no touchdown on 49 carries .

EXTRA POINTS

1. Tennessee won the second matchup last season, snapping a five-game Houston winning streak in the series.

2. Texans WR Will Fuller V broke his collarbone in the preseason and is listed as questionable for Sunday.

3. The Texans are 0-1 at home, losing a 29-7 decision against Jacksonville in a game where they allowed 10 sacks.

PREDICTION: Texans 24, Titans 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Tennessee at Houston

ATS Trends
Tennessee

Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 8-17-3 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Titans are 16-37-3 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
Titans are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
Titans are 15-36-4 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games.
Titans are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Titans are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up win.
Titans are 13-35-3 ATS in their last 51 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 4.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Titans are 4-21-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Houston

Texans are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 4.
Texans are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Texans are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Texans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Tennessee

Over is 16-2-1 in Titans last 19 games in Week 4.
Over is 12-3-1 in Titans last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Titans last 10 vs. AFC South.
Over is 12-4-1 in Titans last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Titans last 8 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC.
Over is 11-5 in Titans last 16 games overall.
Over is 42-20-1 in Titans last 63 games in October.

Houston

Over is 6-0 in Texans last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Texans last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 10-2 in Texans last 12 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games in Week 4.
Under is 6-2 in Texans last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 13-5 in Texans last 18 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 25-10 in Texans last 35 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 10-4 in Texans last 14 home games.

Head to Head

Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
Titans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Houston.
Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

Preview: Eagles at Chargers
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The Los Angeles Chargers once again try to win a game in their new location when they host the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. The Chargers have dropped both home games at the StubHub Center since relocating from San Diego and their 0-3 start drops them to 9-26 since the beginning of the 2015 season.

The Eagles are playing in Southern California for the first since 2009 and aiming to ride the momentum of last Sunday's win over the New York Giants, courtesy of Jake Elliott's franchise-record 61-yard field goal with no time remaining. Philadelphia quarterback Carson Wentz is coming off a quiet 176-yard performance after opening the season with consecutive 300-yard outings and the pass protection is a concern after the team allowed 11 sacks in the first three games. Making matters worse is Chargers star Melvin Ingram has 5.5 sacks and was named AFC Defensive Player of the Month as he seemingly tries to earn his new four-year, $64 million contract in one year alone. "He's becoming an elite pass rusher in this league," Los Angeles coach Anthony Lynn told reporters. "It's good to see a guy go out and work hard every day, and then see those results on the football field."


TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Chargers -1. O/U: 47.5.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (2-1): It might be time for Philadelphia to unleash running back LeGarrette Blount (113 yards) with the Chargers ranking next-to-last in rushing defense at 146.7 yards per game. Wentz has passed for 816 yards and five touchdowns against two interceptions, with tight end Zach Ertz tied for third in the NFL with 21 receptions. The Eagles are greatly concerned that standout defensive tackle Fletcher Cox (calf) may miss the contest and he is one of three ailing starters - the others being middle linebacker Jordan Hicks (ankle) and safety Rodney McLeod (hamstring).

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (0-3): Quarterback Philip Rivers has passed for 760 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions but had a lot of errant throws in last Sunday's loss to Kansas City when he was intercepted three times and completed just 50 percent of his passes. Running back Melvin Gordon (knee) insists he's healthy despite a lackluster 3.3 average while wideout Keenan Allen has 19 receptions for an offense that has recorded only six pass completions of 20 or more yards. Second-year outside linebacker Jatavis Brown leads the NFL with 36 tackles - many made downfield due to the run defense woes - and defensive end Joey Bosa (two sacks) joins Ingram as a strong pass rusher.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Chargers hold a 7-4 edge while Philadelphia has lost five straight road games in the series - each played in San Diego.

2. Los Angeles TE Antonio Gates had eight receptions for 124 yards against the Eagles in the most recent meeting in 2013.

3. Philadelphia WR Alshon Jeffery had 10 receptions for 152 yards in his lone contest against the Chargers - coming in 2015 as a member of the Chicago Bears.

PREDICTION: Chargers 24, Eagles 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Philadelphia at L.A. Chargers

ATS Trends
Philadelphia

Eagles are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
Eagles are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Chargers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chargers are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 home games.
Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Chargers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Chargers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Chargers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Chargers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chargers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

OU Trends
Philadelphia

Over is 12-2 in Eagles last 14 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 22-6 in Eagles last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2 in Eagles last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 games overall.
Over is 19-7 in Eagles last 26 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 20-8 in Eagles last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games following a straight up win.
Under is 11-5 in Eagles last 16 games in Week 4.
Over is 19-9 in Eagles last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

L.A. Chargers

Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games in October.
Under is 8-2 in Chargers last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 11-3-1 in Chargers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 16-5 in Chargers last 21 games in Week 4.
Under is 6-2-1 in Chargers last 9 games overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 home games.
Under is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 20-7 in Chargers last 27 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Chargers last 8 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 12-5 in Chargers last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Chargers last 13 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

Preview: Giants at Buccaneers
Gracenote
Sep 28, 2017

Odell Beckham Jr. and the New York Giants look to get out of the doghouse on Sunday when they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Beckham found himself there with a questionable touchdown celebration last week while the Giants reside in Fido's home after being left with the unenviable task of attempting to become the fourth team since the current playoff format was established in 1990 to rally from an 0-3 start to make the postseason.

Co-owner John Mara publicly said he was unhappy with Beckham's unsportsmanlike conduct, which was one of seven penalties in the fourth quarter of Sunday's 27-24 loss to Philadelphia. "I want him to go out there and play hard. It's part of being smart in all aspects of penalties," Eli Manning said of the flamboyant wideout, who reeled in nine receptions for 79 yards and two touchdowns against the Eagles and faces a Buccaneers' defense that is dealing with key injuries. Three Pro Bowl selections - cornerback Brent Grimes (shoulder), linebacker Lavonte David (ankle) and Gerald McCoy (ankle) - and 2016 NFL leading tackler Kwon Alexander (hamstring) are banged up, but Tampa Bay wasn't willing to cite the injuries as a reason to hang its head. "No time to make excuses. We've gotta be men," McCoy said. "... That's what it's going to take to go 16 straight. You're going to be in pain. You've gotta learn to push through it."

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Buccaneers -3. O/U: 44

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-3): New York's listless offense has scored in only four of 12 quarters and saw a 24-point eruption in the fourth last week go by the boards after rookie Jake Elliott's 61-yard field goal ended the game. Sterling Shepard (team-leading 16 catches, 200 receiving yards) notched his second seven-reception performance of the season last week and had a 77-yard touchdown. Shepard was unable to come away with a short-yardage grab at the goal line and the Giants' 30th-ranked rushing game failed to punch it in from the half-yard line. Orleans Darkwa, who leads the team with a meager 53 rushing yards, is expected to play Sunday despite nursing a back injury while starting running back Paul Perkins is averaging just 2.1 yards per carry.

ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (1-1): While New York's offense has struggled all season, Tampa Bay found itself in that predicament last week as Jameis Winston threw three interceptions and a lackluster ground game failed to get untracked in a 34-17 loss to Minnesota. Jacquizz Rodgers had just five carries for 15 yards with the Buccaneers playing in catch-up mode, but the diminutive spark plug will be tasked to carry the load with Doug Martin serving the final game of his suspension. Tampa Bay, which rushed for just 26 yards as a team versus the Vikings, looks to exploit a Giants defense that has surrendered an NFL second-worst 153.3 yards on the ground.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Tampa Bay WR DeSean Jackson, who has come up large against the Giants in his career, scored his first touchdown with his new team last week.

2. New York DE Olivier Vernon did not practice on Wednesday and Thursday after exiting last week's game with an ankle injury.

3. Buccaneers WR Mike Evans has recorded back-to-back seven-reception games heading into a key matchup versus Pro Bowl CB Janoris Jenkins.

PREDICTION: Giants 17, Buccaneers 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - N.Y. Giants at Tampa Bay

ATS Trends
N.Y. Giants

Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Giants are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 4.
Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 33-16-3 ATS in their last 52 games in October.
Giants are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Tampa Bay

Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Buccaneers are 22-45-1 ATS in their last 68 home games.
Buccaneers are 11-24 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.

OU Trends
N.Y. Giants

Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games in Week 4.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Giants last 12 games overall.
Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 road games.
Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 9-4 in Giants last 13 games in October.
Under is 9-4 in Giants last 13 vs. NFC.

Tampa Bay

Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 home games.
Under is 5-0-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Over is 16-5 in Buccaneers last 21 games in October.
Under is 6-2-1 in Buccaneers last 9 games overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC.
Under is 10-4 in Buccaneers last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Giants are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona

Preview: 49ers at Cardinals
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The San Francisco 49ers attempt to get in the win column for the first time this season when they visit the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. San Francisco, which won its 2016 opener before losing 13 straight en route to a 2-14 campaign, enters Week 4 as one of five winless teams in the league following a 41-39 setback against the Los Angeles Rams last week.

The offensive output was a major positive for the 49ers, who failed to score a touchdown in their first two contests. Arizona is coming off a 28-17 loss to Dallas in its home opener on Monday night in which Carson Palmer threw for 325 yards and two touchdowns. The oft-injured quarterback was sacked six times but did not throw an interception after getting picked off four times over his first two games. The Cardinals trail in the all-time series 29-22 but have won each of the last four meetings.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cardinals -6.5. O/U: 44.5

ABOUT THE 49ERS (0-3): Carlos Hyde did not let a sore hip deter him last week as he rushed for 84 yards - and two touchdowns - to raise his season total to 253 yards, which ranks third in the league. San Francisco is hoping for a repeat performance from Brian Hoyer, who passed for 332 yards and a pair of TDs while also running for a score against the Rams. Pierre Garcon bounced back from a three-catch, 26-yard effort at Seattle in Week 2 by registering 142 yards on seven receptions versus Los Angeles.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (1-2): Arizona sorely misses running back David Johnson, who dislocated his wrist in the season opener and is out indefinitely, as it ranks 29th in the league with an average of 59 rushing yards. Coach Bruce Arians will give the start this week to Chris Johnson, who gained a mere 17 yards on 12 carries against the Cowboys, but Andre Ellington could be a factor when all is said and done after rushing five times for 22 yards last week. Larry Fitzgerald (14,633) passed Marvin Harrison for eighth place on the all-time receiving yards list after recording 149 versus Dallas and needs 99 to overtake Steve Smith Sr. for seventh.

EXTRA POINTS

1. San Francisco signed LB Mark Nzeocha from Dallas' practice squad and placed DE Tank Carradine (ankle) on injured reserve.

2. Arizona T D.J. Humphries (knee) and G Mike Iupati (triceps) are expected to play Sunday after missing the last two games.

3. San Francisco LB Elvis Dumervil is one sack shy of 100 for his career.

PREDICTION: Cardinals 27, 49ers 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - San Francisco at Arizona

ATS Trends
San Francisco

49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 4.
49ers are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
49ers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
49ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Arizona

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Cardinals are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
San Francisco

Over is 9-2 in 49ers last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games in Week 4.
Over is 6-2 in 49ers last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in 49ers last 14 games in October.
Over is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 vs. NFC West.
Over is 12-5 in 49ers last 17 road games.
Over is 9-4 in 49ers last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Arizona

Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. NFC.
Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 home games.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 games in Week 4.
Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games in October.

Head to Head

49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Arizona.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado

Preview: Raiders at Broncos
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The Oakland Raiders likely will have revenge on their minds when they visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday for the latest installment in the bitter rivalry. Without star quarterback Derek Carr, the Raiders were demolished 24-6 at Denver in the 2016 season finale, denying them the AFC West title.

Carr is healthy for this matchup but is coming off an abysmal performance against Washington last week in which he completed only 19-of-31 passes for just 118 yards and a touchdown while throwing his first two interceptions of the season. While Oakland dropped a 27-10 decision to the Redskins, Denver also suffered its first loss of the campaign, falling 26-16 at Buffalo in its first road game of 2017. The Broncos hope for better production from C.J. Anderson, who gained only 36 yards on eight carries against the Bills - with 32 coming on one run. Quarterback Trevor Siemian, who has been sacked nine times in the first three games, will have to contend with Oakland defensive end Khalil Mack - the reigning Defensive Player of the Year - while Carr looks to avoid Denver linebacker Von Miller - the league leader in sacks (76.5) since the start of the 2011 season.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Broncos -3. O/U: 46

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (2-1): Mack leads the NFL with 28 sacks since the beginning of the 2015 campaign (0.5 better than Miller), including one in each of his last two games. The 26-year-old has registered seven of his 32 career sacks against Denver, including five Dec. 13, 2015 to tie the franchise single-game record set by Howie Long. Michael Crabtree has been limited in practice this week due to a chest injury suffered in the loss to Washington while fellow wide receiver Amari Cooper (knee) was a full participant on Thursday.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2-1): Despite last week's effort, Anderson ranks fifth in the league with 235 rushing yards and is averaging 4.4 per carry. While he has recorded 310 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns in his last three games against Oakland, Charles has notched 962 and 11 in 12 career meetings with the Raiders. The former Chiefs running back needs 134 scrimmage yards to become the 11th active player to record 10,000 in his career.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Broncos RB Jamaal Charles gave the best performance of his first season with the team last week, rushing nine times for 56 yards and a touchdown.

2. Oakland CB Gareon Conley (shin) participated in practice on a limited basis Thursday after sitting out the previous day's drills.

3. Denver leads the league in rushing defense (59.7 yards) and is one of only two teams (Minnesota) yet to allow a rushing touchdown this season.

PREDICTION: Broncos 33, Raiders 30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Oakland at Denver

ATS Trends
Oakland

Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Raiders are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Raiders are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 4.

Denver

Broncos are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Broncos are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss.
Broncos are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Broncos are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.
Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.

OU Trends
Oakland

Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 road games.
Over is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC West.
Over is 7-2 in Raiders last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 19-7-1 in Raiders last 27 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Raiders last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Over is 5-2-1 in Raiders last 8 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 16-7 in Raiders last 23 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Denver

Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 vs. AFC West.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games in October.
Over is 46-22-3 in Broncos last 71 games following a straight up loss.

Head to Head

Favorite is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Road team is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings.
Raiders are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Denver.
Raiders are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2017
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington

Preview: Colts at Seahawks
Gracenote
Sep 28, 2017

Indianapolis Colts coach Chuck Pagano has the music revved up on the practice field this week, but it has nothing to do with celebrating the team's first victory. The Colts will be heading into one of the league's toughest environments at raucous CenturyLink Field when they pay a visit to the Seattle Seahawks in prime time on Sunday night.

Pagano has no illusions as to what awaits his team, which is coming off a 31-28 victory over Cleveland behind quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who was acquired from New England at the beginning of the month. "We've got a really young football team, and we will bring a bunch of guys that have never been in an environment like this and play an opponent like this," Pagano acknowledged. The Seahawks have hardly resembled the team that has won at least 10 games in each of the past five seasons, struggling on both sides of the ball in their 1-2 start. Seattle's offense finally came to life after two pedestrian efforts to open the season but the defense was bulldozed in last week's 33-27 loss at Tennessee.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Seahawks -13. O/U: 41.5

ABOUT THE COLTS (1-2): With Andrew Luck still not able to practice, Brissett was handed the reins after Scott Tolzein flopped in the first half of a 46-9 drubbing to the Rams in the season opener. He became the first quarterback in franchise history to rush for two touchdowns, pass for another and throw for at least 250 yards as the Colts put up 28 first-half points last week. T.Y. Hilton, who led the league in receiving yards last week, had seven receptions for 153 yards and a touchdown, but will face tougher sledding against Seattle star cornerback Richard Sherman. Indianapolis' defense is allowing 30 points per game and has been gouged for 283.7 yards through the air.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (1-2): Seattle's defense had long prided itself on not allowing a 100-yard rusher, but it has allowed one in back-to-back weeks and was gashed for 195 yards on the ground by DeMarco Murray and the Titans. The offensive managed a combined 21 points in the first two weeks but finally showed signs of life at quarterback Russell Wilson threw for 373 yards and fourth touchdowns in a belated comeback attempt last week. One potential issue for this week: top wideout Doug Baldwin suffered a groin strain during Sunday's 10-catch, 105-yard game and didn't practice Wednesday. Rookie Chris Carson leads the ground game but third-down back C.J. Prosise is out for Sunday.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Wilson has passes for 1,312 yards with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last four games versus AFC opponents.

2. Hilton had five catches for 140 yards and a pair of TDs in his last matchup against Seattle.

3. Baldwin has 22 touchdown receptions since the start of the 2015 season, which ranks third in the NFL.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 34, Colts 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Indianapolis at Seattle

ATS Trends
Indianapolis

Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colts are 26-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Colts are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 4.
Colts are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Colts are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

Seattle

Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Seahawks are 22-6-2 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seahawks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October.
Seahawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

OU Trends
Indianapolis

Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games on fieldturf.
Over is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games in Week 4.
Over is 24-9 in Colts last 33 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Colts last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Seattle

Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-5 in Seahawks last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.

Head to Head

Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL opening line report: Steelers take early money as road faves in Week 4
Patrick Everson

"The public will be all over Pittsburgh coming off its loss, and the early smart money has been too."

Week 3 of the NFL season was a huge one for the underdogs, who had gone 11-4 ATS heading into the Monday nighter, including seven outright winners. Will the pups keep it up in Week 4? We check in on the opening lines of four matchups, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (+2)

These two teams are coming off stunning losses in Week 3, heading into this clash of NFC North rivals at 1 p.m. ET Sunday. Pittsburgh, among the favorites to challenge New England for the AFC title, was on the road for the second time in three weeks and had another substandard showing against a subpar outfit. The Steelers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) lost to Chicago 23-17 in overtime as a 7-point favorite.

It was arguably much worse for Baltimore, especially since the flight home was far longer. The Ravens (2-1 SU and ATS) went to Jacksonville’s second home – London – as a 3-point favorite and left on the very short end of a 44-7 trampling.

“The public doesn’t want to bet on Baltimore. The offense is mundane, and the squares don’t like to bet on good defenses,” Cooley said. “At some point, we’ll probably see some value players get behind a Ravens team that was absolutely embarrassed. The public will be all over Pittsburgh coming off its loss, and the early smart money has been too.”

Indeed, the number bumped to Steelers -2.5 Sunday night.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (-8)

New England has played two games at home this season and is fortunate to have split those contests. The Patriots (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got all they could handle from Houston on Sunday, needing a last-minute Tom Brady-to-Brandin Cooks 25-yard touchdown pass to post a 36-33 win as a heavy 13.5-point home chalk.

Carolina lost tight end Greg Olsen to a broken foot in Week 2, and the hits kept coming in Week 3 as Kelvin Benjamin left in the first half with a knee injury. Benjamin’s injury is not thought to be serious, but the Panthers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got drubbed by New Orleans 34-13 as a 5-point home fave.

“We were certainly going to be north of a touchdown, and this one could shoot up sooner rather than later,” Cooley said of the line for Panthers-Pats. “It will be interesting to see if the Panthers can get out of their offensive funk.”

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (no line)

Both these AFC West rivals were road favorites in Week 3 and ended up on the short side, on the scoreboard and for bettors. Oakland (2-1 SU and ATS) had its roll slowed at Washington in a 27-20 loss as a 3.5-point favorite, while Denver (2-1 SU and ATS) – coming off an impressive home win over Dallas – looked unimpressive in a 26-16 loss at Buffalo laying 3.5 points.

Since Oakland was in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu held off on setting a line, though Cooley had an opinion.

“Look for the Broncos to be short chalk at home,” he said. “Denver certainly has a distinct advantage at Mile High, but our ratings have the Raiders a few spots higher in the pecking order.”

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Kansas City is looking a lot like the team that went 12-4 SU in the regular season last year. For the second time in three weeks, the Chiefs (3-0 SU and ATS) won and cashed on the road, this time besting the Los Angeles Chargers 24-10 as a 3-point chalk.

Washington (2-1 SU and ATS) also looked plenty sharp in Week 3, knocking off Oakland 27-10 as a 3.5-point home underdog in the Sunday night contest.

“Again, we’ll make sure nothing significant occurs regarding injuries with Washington, but Kansas City will be a healthy favorite regardless,” Cooley said. “The Chiefs look to be one of the best teams in the league early in this season, and bettors are taking notice. We’ll open K.C. as 6- to 7-point chalk.”

Indeed, when the line opened for this Monday night contest it hit the board with the Chiefs installed as 7-point home favorites.