Friday 10-6-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Penn National

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Penn National, Race 3 (Friday October 6, 2017)

CATTLE DRIVE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PEN-3 1mi-70 DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 8,000 3YUP $16,400
P# dd ex p3 p6 t s ML WP TVL

1 CATTLE DRIVE 9/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 MAJESTIC WOODY 5/2 20% 4/1
6 HEART OF A WARRIOR 3/1 14% 6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Retama Park

Retama Park - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta (.10 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Double (Races 3-4)(12% Takeout) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)(12% Takeout)(.50 Cent Minimum)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $4,000 • Post: 7:39P
(PLUS UP TO $520 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ITALIAN CANDY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest ave rage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RAVENGAFF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1
ITALIAN CANDY
2/1

5/2
5
RAVENGAFF
3/1

7/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 3:13pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: 3

#8 SIGNATURE HEART (ML=3/1)
#3 RED ROMEO (ML=5/1)
#4 BIG DADDY BEAR (ML=20/1)


SIGNATURE HEART - Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the ability to make his presence felt. I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a solid move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. This animal is going to run 1 1/16 miles today for the very first time. A good thing since the trainer, Attard, has a great win percent stretching horses out. Ran on the wrong surface in his last race. The speed rating of 83 on August 26th at Woodbine two races back is good enough to win this contest. RED ROMEO - I really like that latest race on Sep 23rd at Fort Erie where he finished fourth. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fourth). Should rebound in this event, with some pretty good odds. When this rider and handler unite you have to take a look. Hernandez and Smith have been terrific together. Ranks highest in earnings per start. A solid effort in today's race will boost the lifetime bankroll. BIG DADDY BEAR - This race horse should be rocking and rolling down the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 HEMMIN AND HAWIN (ML=4/1), #5 BEARSEEKER (ML=6/1), #2 SEEWILL (ML=8/1),

HEMMIN AND HAWIN - Didn't look so hot last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact today. BEARSEEKER - Hard to wager on these non-winning types at less than generous odds. If you keep selecting these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed most every time. SEEWILL - Don't believe this mount will make a winning move in today's event. That last fig was disappointing when compared with today's class rating.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #8 SIGNATURE HEART on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4,8] with [3,4,8] with [3,4,5,6,8] with [3,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 DOLCETTA 7/2

# 10 FAST PRIZE TRISH 12/1

# 2 EVER WONDER WHY 4/1

DOLCETTA is my choice. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 59 Equibase speed fig which is one of the most favorable in this group. Gamez has her trained very well to break quickly out of the starting gate. Earned a competitive speed figure last time out. FAST PRIZE TRISH - Appears to have a competitive class edge based on the recent company kept. Has performed solidly recently in short races, posting a nifty 54 avg Equibase Speed Figure. EVER WONDER WHY - Handler boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: New York Yankees (92-72) at Cleveland Indians (103-60)
DATE/TIME: Friday, October 06 - 5:00 PM EST
WHERE: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A Playoff Series: Divisional Playoff; Cleveland leads 1-0
Preview: Yankees at Indians

Gracenote
Oct 6, 2017

The current ace of the Cleveland Indians faces a former one in Game 2 of the American League Division Series on Friday as Corey Kluber gets the start opposite CC Sabathia and the visiting New York Yankees. Kluber, a prime candidate to pick up his second career AL Cy Young Award after leading the majors in ERA, will be eager to attack a Yankees lineup that was limited to three hits in Cleveland's series-opening 4-0 victory on Thursday.

Slugger Aaron Judge was 0-for-4 with four of New York's 14 strikeouts, while fellow right fielder Jay Bruce homered and drove in three of the Indians' four runs. Cleveland managed only five hits of its own but wore out Yankees right-hander Sonny Gray, who walked four and gave up three runs over 3 1/3 innings in the second straight poor start by a New York pitcher this postseason. Kluber was dominant in the playoffs a year ago, going 4-1 with a 1.83 ERA in six starts - including seven scoreless innings against Boston in his lone ALDS outing. Sabathia, who is 9-0 with a 1.71 ERA in 10 starts following a loss this year, registered 106 wins and claimed a Cy Young Award during his eight years with the Indians.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, MLB Network

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (14-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (18-4, 2.25)

Sabathia posted his best win total since 2013 and his lowest ERA since 2012 in a solid campaign that ended with victories in each of his final three starts. The 37-year-old will be making his first postseason appearance since giving up six runs and 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings of Game 4 of the 2012 AL Championship Series. Carlos Santana (10-for-19), Francisco Lindor (5-for-9) and Jose Ramirez (4-for-8) have enjoyed their encounters with Sabathia, who last faced the Indians on Aug. 6, 2016.

Kluber also led or tied for the lead in the AL in wins, complete games (five) and shutouts (three) while finishing the regular season by going 6-0 in his final seven starts. That run began with eight dominant innings at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 28, a performance that came less than four weeks after he registered 11 strikeouts in a complete-game home victory over New York. Several Yankees have dismal numbers against Kluber, including Todd Frazier (3-for-26, 10 strikeouts), Aaron Hicks (3-for-23, eight), Chase Headley (1-for-14), Didi Gregorius (2-for-13) and Starlin Castro (2-for-12).

WALK-OFFS

1. Castro recorded two of New York's three hits in Game 1 and was one of just two starters that did not strike out.

2. Bruce has collected three home runs and eight RBIs in his last five games dating to the regular season.

3. Cleveland has won six of the last seven ALDS contests between the teams.

PREDICTION: Indians 4, Yankees 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - NY Yankees at Cleveland

W/L Trends

NY Yankees

Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central. Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 games following a loss. Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 17-7 in their last 24 overall. Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games. Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts on grass. Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathias last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathias last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Yankees are 11-3 in Sabathias last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 6-2 in Sabathias last 8 Friday starts. Yankees are 20-8 in Sabathias last 28 starts. Yankees are 5-2 in Sabathias last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 7-3 in Sabathias last 10 road starts. Yankees are 38-17 in Sabathias last 55 starts vs. American League Central. Yankees are 53-26 in Sabathias last 79 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Cleveland

Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 22-4 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 43-8 in their last 51 overall. Indians are 44-10 in their last 54 games following a win. Indians are 41-10 in their last 51 games on grass. Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 2 of a series. Indians are 38-13 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 46-16 in their last 62 Friday games. Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 vs. American League East. Indians are 25-9 in their last 34 games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 39-16 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 home games. Indians are 36-16 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games. Indians are 5-1 in Klubers last 6 starts vs. American League East. Indians are 4-1 in Klubers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 20-6 in Klubers last 26 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 21-7 in Klubers last 28 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 23-8 in Klubers last 31 home starts. Indians are 39-14 in Klubers last 53 starts on grass. Indians are 19-7 in Klubers last 26 Friday starts. Indians are 38-15 in Klubers last 53 starts. Indians are 9-4 in Klubers last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 2-5 in Klubers last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.

OU Trends

NY Yankees

Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 2 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 on grass. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall. Under is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 playoff games. Under is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 13-5 in Yankees last 18 games following a loss. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 road games. Over is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 vs. American League Central. Over is 11-5-2 in Yankees last 18 playoff road games. Under is 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Sabathias last 7 road starts. Under is 21-4-1 in Sabathias last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Sabathias last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. American League Central. Under is 8-2-1 in Sabathias last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 11-3 in Sabathias last 14 starts with 5 days of rest. Under is 21-8-1 in Sabathias last 30 starts on grass. Under is 18-7-1 in Sabathias last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 41-19-3 in Sabathias last 63 starts overall.

Cleveland

Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 on grass. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 overall. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 12-3 in Indians last 15 playoff games. Under is 16-5-1 in Indians last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 16-5-2 in Indians last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 games following a win. Under is 9-3-2 in Indians last 14 playoff home games. Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 21-8-2 in Indians last 31 home games. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 Friday games. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 during game 2 of a series. Under is 44-20-5 in Indians last 69 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 33-16-4 in Indians last 53 vs. American League East. Under is 41-20-4 in Indians last 65 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 starts on grass. Under is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 starts overall. Under is 6-1 in Klubers last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 9-3 in Klubers last 12 starts vs. American League East. Under is 18-7-1 in Klubers last 26 home starts. Under is 22-10-1 in Klubers last 33 starts with 5 days of rest.

Head to Head

Indians are 5-0 in Klubers last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland. Yankees are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Dan Iassogna

• Home team is 5-1 in Iassognas last 6 Friday games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Iassognas last 5 games behind home plate.
• Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Iassogna behind home plate.
• Home team is 25-7 in Iassognas last 32 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Under is 6-2-3 in Iassognas last 11 games behind home plate vs. New York.
• Indians are 10-4 in their last 14 games with Iassogna behind home plate.
• Road team is 10-4 in Iassognas last 14 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
• Home team is 41-20 in Iassognas last 61 games behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:00 PM ET, Friday, October 6, 2017
Where: Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio

Preview: Islanders at Blue Jackets

Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

The Columbus Blue Jackets had the fourth-highest point total in the NHL last season, and that impressive number was only good enough for third place in the Metropolitan Division. Following the 32-point jump in the standings, the Blue Jackets look to stay among the league's elite as they prepare to host the New York Islanders in Friday's season opener.

"I'm not promising anything, but we know we're a better team than we were a couple of years ago," Columbus captain Nick Foligno said. "Hopefully we're a better team than we were last year just from the mental side of things." Columbus showed it was for real by rattling off a stunning 16-game winning streak, but it had the misfortunate of drawing eventual Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh in the opening round of the playoffs. Division rival New York missed the playoffs by one point despite winning 41 games and closing the season with six consecutive victories. The biggest story entering the season for the Islanders is the status of longtime captain John Tavares, who will be a free agent after the season and could force management into a decision at the trade deadline if the team is not in playoff contention.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, MSG-Plus (New York), FSN Ohio (Columbus)

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (2016-17: 41-29-12, 5th in Metropolitan): Tavares scored 28 goals last season -- he has at least 24 in each of his eight seasons -- and could be centering one of the league's most potent lines. Anders Lee erupted for a career-best 34 goals last season and will be opposite new acquisition Jordan Eberle, a former 34-goal scorer with Edmonton who was a linemate of Tavares when the duo helped Canada win goal at the 2009 world juniors. New York has a solid veteran defensive pairing in Nick Leddy and Johnny Boychuk but must fill the void left by the departure of Travis Hamonic. Thomas Greiss seized the starting job last season when veteran Jaroslav Halak was sent to the minors, but Halak resurfaced and played superbly during the team's closing run.

ABOUT THE BLUE JACKETS (2016-17: 50-24-8, 3rd in Metropolitan): Columbus permitted 57 fewer goals than in 2015-16 as Sergei Bobrovsky won his second Vezina Trophy in five years, although he struggled in the playoffs. The Blue Jackets also made a trade to bolster the offense by acquiring forward Artemi Panarin, who amassed 61 goals and 151 points in two seasons with Chicago and will play alongside Cam Atkinson (career-high 35 goals) and center Alexander Wennberg (career-best 46 assists). Foligno rebounded to score 26 goals last season while young forwards Oliver Bjorkstrand and Josh Anderson will be counted on to produce. Columbus features a top young defensive pairing in Seth Jones and Zach Werenski, who set a franchise rookie record with 47 points.

OVERTIME

1. New York was 24-12-4 after Doug Weight replaced Jack Capuano behind the bench last season.

2. The Blue Jackets sent Anderson on a condition assignment to Cleveland of the American Hockey League.

3. Columbus won three of four meetings last season after the Islanders swept all five matchups in 2015-16.

PREDICTION: Blue Jackets 4, Islanders 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - NY Islanders at Columbus

W/L Trends

NY Islanders

Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Islanders are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. Islanders are 6-0 in their last 6 overall. Islanders are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Islanders are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Columbus

Blue Jackets are 7-0 in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Blue Jackets are 12-3 in their last 15 Friday games. Blue Jackets are 14-5 in their last 19 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Blue Jackets are 29-12 in their last 41 home games. Blue Jackets are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Blue Jackets are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference. Blue Jackets are 2-10 in their last 12 overall. Blue Jackets are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. Metropolitan. Blue Jackets are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

OU Trends

NY Islanders

Under is 4-1 in Islanders last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 5-2 in Islanders last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 9-4-1 in Islanders last 14 Friday games.

Columbus

Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jackets last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jackets last 4 home games. Under is 15-5-1 in Blue Jackets last 21 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 18-7-1 in Blue Jackets last 26 Friday games. Under is 5-2-1 in Blue Jackets last 8 games following a win. Under is 7-3 in Blue Jackets last 10 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Islanders are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Columbus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:30 PM ET, Friday, October 6, 2017
Where: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida

Preview: Panthers at Lightning

Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

Captain Steven Stamkos makes his first regular-season appearance in almost 11 months when the Tampa Bay Lightning host the Florida Panthers on Friday night in the 2017-18 opener for both teams. The two-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner as the NHL's top goal scorer put up 20 points in 16-plus games before suffering a knee injury Nov. 15 at Detroit, and is determined to lead the Lightning back to the playoffs after they came up one point short last season.

Stamkos is joined by a healthy Ryan Callahan, who missed all but 18 games last season because of a hip injury, and Norris Trophy finalist Victor Hedman with an experienced group that fell victim to a slow start in 2016-17 after two long playoff runs. “You can’t take half of the year off,” Tampa Bay defenseman Anton Stralman told reporters. “I don’t think that sunk in to some of our guys and how bad a spot we put ourselves in. We learned our lesson.” The Panthers, who host the Lightning on Saturday, also come in off a rough season with injuries that saw them tumble from 2015-16 Atlantic Division champions to sixth place one year later. Five of Florida’s top eight scorers are gone, including future Hall of Famer Jaromir Jagr, but first-year coach Bob Boughner said he hopes the return to health of several players such as defenseman Aaron Ekblad can lead to a revival: “The players are buying into the systems,’’ the coach told reporters. “And when they see results, it’s an easier sell for us.”

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FSN Florida, FSN Sun (Tampa Bay)

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (2016-17: 35-26-11, sixth in Atlantic): Ekblad, who was hampered by concussions last season, finished with 21 points and a minus-23 rating in 68 games after averaging 37.5 points and a plus-15 in his first two NHL campaigns. Center Aleksander Barkov was second on the team with 52 points despite missing 20 games in 2016-17 while wing Jonathan Huberdeau (26 points) was limited to 31 contests by injury and center Nick Bjugstad played in only 54 games. Top scorer Vincent Trocheck (23 goals, 54 points) returns to center one of the top two lines and the Panthers are solid in goal with Roberto Luongo and James Reimer, who are likely to split the first two games.

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (2016-2017: 42-30-10, fifth in Atlantic): Mikhail Sergachev, a 19-year-old defenseman acquired in the blockbuster offseason deal with Montreal for offensive dynamo Jonathan Drouin, is expected to make his Tampa Bay debut after a strong preseason. Sergachev has been skating with Stralman while newcomer Daniel Girardi was paired with veteran Braydon Coburn and Hedman with Jake Dotchin in last few practices. Chris Kunitz is the only addition to the forward corps that is led by a line that includes Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov, who put up 40 goals and 85 points last season, while Brayden Point along with Tyler Johnson center the next two units.

OVERTIME

1. Luongo, who is 18-15-1 against the Lightning, owns 453 victories and needs one to tie Curtis Joseph for fourth on the NHL’s all-time list.

2. Tampa Bay LW Alex Killorn had 16 goals over his first 54 games last season and three in his final 27 while finishing third on the team in shots (176).

3. The teams split four games last season, with each winning a pair at home, but the Panthers are 6-2-1 over the last nine meetings.

PREDICTION: Lightning 4, Panthers 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Florida at Tampa Bay

W/L Trends

Florida

Panthers are 18-7 in their last 25 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 overall. Panthers are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Panthers are 3-13 in their last 16 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Panthers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Panthers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic.

Tampa Bay

Lightning are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Lightning are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Atlantic. Lightning are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Lightning are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win. Lightning are 36-16 in their last 52 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Lightning are 2-6 in their last 8 Friday games. Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 games after allowing 8 or more power play opportunities in their previous game.

OU Trends

Florida

Over is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 31-15-7 in Panthers last 53 Friday games.

Tampa Bay

Over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 9-1-1 in Lightning last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 home games. Over is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Head to Head

• Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Tampa Bay.
• Panthers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 8:30 PM ET, Friday, October 6, 2017
Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas

Preview: Golden Knights at Stars

Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

The NHL's 31st team drops the puck on its inaugural season Friday as the expansion Vegas Golden Knights pay a visit to American Airlines Center to face the Dallas Stars. Three-time Stanley Cup champion Marc-Andre Fleury joins a host of others selected in June's expansion draft as the Golden Knights vie to give their home city a reason to smile as it deals with the aftermath of an unspeakable tragedy.

"I still get those butterflies and still get nervous every once in a while. To be a part of a historic game like that will be pretty amazing. I'm looking forward to it," the 32-year-old Fleury told Las Vegas Weekly. While Fleury backstopped Pittsburgh to at least 30 wins in eight of his 13 seasons, Dallas has been aching for stability in net for quite some time. The Stars, who posted the fourth-highest goals-against average (2.98) last season, addressed their longtime weakness by trading for the rights to Ben Bishop and signing the two-time Vezina Trophy finalist to a six-year, $29.5 million contract. Dallas added several new faces in the offseason but welcomed back a familiar one as coach Lindy Ruff was replaced by Ken Hitchcock, who guided the team to the 1999 Stanley Cup.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ROOT (Vegas), FSN Southwest (Dallas)

ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: The true X-factor on a team full of questions may very well be top-line center Vadim Shipachyov, who Vegas is betting on translating his considerable success in the Kontinental Hockey League to the NHL. The Russian import recorded a KHL third-best 76 points last season for SKA St. Petersburg and joins former 40-goal scorer James Neal on an offense that is expected to struggle out of the gate. The focus of general manager George McPhee and respected coach Gerard Gallant at the expansion draft was on stockpiling draft picks as well as stacking the defense, notably Shea Theodore (Anaheim), Nate Schmidt (Washington) and Jason Garrison (Tampa Bay).

ABOUT THE STARS (2016-17: 34-37-11, 6th in Central Division): Dallas was quite active with the checkbook this offseason as it inked Alexander Radulov to a five-year, $31.25 million deal to add extra firepower to an offense that features Tyler Seguin (team co-leading 26 goals, 72 points) and former Hart Trophy winner Jamie Benn (26 goals). Towering 6-foot-6 center Martin Hanzal signed a three-year, $14.25 million deal and can contribute at both ends of the ice, which likely will bring a smile to the face of the defensive-minded Hitchcock. Blue-liner John Klingberg's offensive numbers dipped last season, but the addition of Marc Methot should aid in helping a Stars' defense that finished 29th in goals against.

OVERTIME

1. The Golden Knights, the Foley Family Charitable Trust and the NHL announced a joint donation of $300,000 to support the victims and the first responders in the wake Sunday's mass shooting in Las Vegas.

2. Dallas C Jason Spezza reached the 50-point plateau in 2016-17 for the 12th time in 14 seasons.

3. Vegas C/LW Jonathan Marchessault recorded a career-high 30 goals and 51 points last season with Florida.

PREDICTION: Stars 5, Golden Knights 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Vegas at Dallas

W/L Trends

Vegas

No trends available.

Dallas

Stars are 6-1 in their last 7 Friday games. Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Pacific. Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Stars are 25-9 in their last 34 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Stars are 25-10 in their last 35 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Stars are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Stars are 6-13 in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.

OU Trends

Vegas

No trends available.

Dallas

Over is 4-0 in Stars last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 5-1 in Stars last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 17-4 in Stars last 21 home games. Over is 4-1 in Stars last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Stars last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Stars last 7 Friday games. Over is 11-5 in Stars last 16 vs. Western Conference.

Head to Head

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
David Schwab

Week 15 Betting Recap

Saskatchewan pushed its overall record above .500 with last Friday’s 18-17 victory against Ottawa, but it failed to cover the 2 ½ points on the road. In Friday’s other action, Calgary kept things rolling with a lopsided 59-11 rout of Montreal as a heavy 17-point favorite at home.

Saturday’s doubleheader of CFL games started with Toronto outlasting Hamilton 43-35 in overtime as a three-point road favorite to take firm control of the lead in the East Division. Winnipeg ended Week 15 with a 28-19 victory against Edmonton as a three-point road underdog to hand the fading Eskimos their sixth straight-up loss in a row.

Friday, Oct. 6

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-10 SU, 5-8 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -13.5
Total: 57.5

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats showed some signs of life with three SU wins in their previous four games before last week’s loss to Toronto. They have also gone 3-2 against the spread during this same span of games. The one big takeaway from last week’s loss was the continued strong play of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli, who replaced an ineffective Zach Collaros earlier in the season. He connected on 18-of-32 passing attempts last week for 288 yards and two scores while adding another 32 yards on the ground.

Winnipeg would have to be considered the biggest threat to Calgary in the West. The Blue Bombers have won eight of their last nine games SU while going a profitable 7-1 ATS in their last eight outings. Matt Nichols completed 24 of his 32 passing attempts for 238 yards in the win at Edmonton and his two passing touchdowns in that game gives him a league-high 26 scoring throws on the year.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against the Blue Bombers. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings, including Winnipeg’s 39-12 victory against the Tiger-Cats on Aug. 12 as a two-point road favorite. The betting line closed at 59 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Friday, October 6

Hamilton @ Winnipeg

Game 625-626
October 6, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
112.777
Winnipeg
118.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 5 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 13 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+13 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Friday, October 6

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HAMILTON (3 - 10) at WINNIPEG (10 - 3) - 10/6/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons