Friday 10-6-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #46
    Friday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds

    Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (-160, 8.5)

    Astros lead series 1-0

    Jose Altuve looks for another memorable performance as his Houston Astros vie for a 2-0 lead in the American League Division Series on Friday afternoon against the visiting Boston Red Sox. Altuve, the AL batting champion three of the last four years, including 2017, launched three solo homers in the series opener on Thursday as the Astros posted an 8-2 victory after taking three of four at Boston to end the regular season.

    Altuve went 10-for-24 with one blast against the Red Sox in the regular season on the way to a career-high .346 overall batting average, a .410 on-base percentage, 24 homers and 81 RBIs. Altuve is 7-for-17 with a double and a walk versus Boston’s scheduled starter Drew Pomeranz, who finished the regular season strong and will face 2015 AL Cy Young Award winner Dallas Keuchel on Friday. Slugger Hanley Ramirez recorded a pair of hits in the opener after coming on when Eduardo Nunez suffered a knee injury, while Mookie Betts and Sandy Leon also notched two hits apiece as the Red Sox lost their fourth consecutive postseason contest after being swept by Cleveland in the last year's ALDS. Boston will need more from Dustin Pedroia, who went 0-for-3 with a walk on Thursday and was 3-for-36 to end the regular season while hampered by a lingering knee injury.

    TV:
    2:05 p.m. ET, FS1

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (17-6, 3.32 ERA) vs. Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (14-5, 2.90)

    Pomeranz won three of his last four decisions during the regular season and gave up fewer than two runs in three of his final four appearances. The 28-year-old went 7-3 with a 3.19 ERA on the road this year and 1-0 with a 1.46 ERA in two starts against the Astros. Carlos Correa (3-for-5) and Jake Marisnick (4-for-12, two homers) have caused plenty of trouble for Pomeranz, who is 2-2 with a 3.69 ERA in 12 career games (seven starts) versus Houston.

    Keuchel finished the regular season strong, limiting his final three opponents and seven of the last nine to fewer than three earned runs. The 29-year-old Tulsa native is 36-20 all-time at Minute Maid Park, including 6-2 with a 1.64 ERA this year, and went 2-0 there in the 2015 postseason. Ramirez is 2-for-2 while Betts and Xander Bogaerts each have homered versus Keuchel, who is 0-1 with a 9.88 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against Boston.

    TRENDS:


    * Red Sox are 17-4 in Pomeranz's last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Astros are 12-2 in their last 14 home games.
    * Over is 11-2 in Astros' last 132 Divisional Playoff games.
    * Under is 13-3 in Hernandez's last 16 games behind home plate.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the home favorite Astros with 65 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing 56 percent of the totals wagers.


    New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians (-220, 7)

    Indians lead series 1-0

    The current ace of the Cleveland Indians faces a former one in Game 2 of the American League Division Series on Friday as Corey Kluber gets the start opposite CC Sabathia and the visiting New York Yankees. Kluber, a prime candidate to pick up his second career AL Cy Young Award after leading the majors in ERA, will be eager to attack a Yankees lineup that was limited to three hits in Cleveland's series-opening 4-0 victory on Thursday.

    Slugger Aaron Judge was 0-for-4 with four of New York's 14 strikeouts, while fellow right fielder Jay Bruce homered and drove in three of the Indians' four runs. Cleveland managed only five hits of its own but wore out Yankees right-hander Sonny Gray, who walked four and gave up three runs over 3 1/3 innings in the second straight poor start by a New York pitcher this postseason. Kluber was dominant in the playoffs a year ago, going 4-1 with a 1.83 ERA in six starts - including seven scoreless innings against Boston in his lone ALDS outing. Sabathia, who is 9-0 with a 1.71 ERA in 10 starts following a loss this year, registered 106 wins and claimed a Cy Young Award during his eight years with the Indians.

    TV:
    5 p.m. ET, MLB Network

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (14-5, 3.69 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (18-4, 2.25)

    Sabathia posted his best win total since 2013 and his lowest ERA since 2012 in a solid campaign that ended with victories in each of his final three starts. The 37-year-old will be making his first postseason appearance since giving up six runs and 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings of Game 4 of the 2012 AL Championship Series. Carlos Santana (10-for-19), Francisco Lindor (5-for-9) and Jose Ramirez (4-for-8) have enjoyed their encounters with Sabathia, who last faced the Indians on Aug. 6, 2016.

    Kluber also led or tied for the lead in the AL in wins, complete games (five) and shutouts (three) while finishing the regular season by going 6-0 in his final seven starts. That run began with eight dominant innings at Yankee Stadium on Aug. 28, a performance that came less than four weeks after he registered 11 strikeouts in a complete-game home victory over New York. Several Yankees have dismal numbers against Kluber, including Todd Frazier (3-for-26, 10 strikeouts), Aaron Hicks (3-for-23, eight), Chase Headley (1-for-14), Didi Gregorius (2-for-13) and Starlin Castro (2-for-12).

    TRENDS:

    * Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games.
    * Indians are 5-0 in Klubers last 5 starts vs. Yankees.
    * Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
    * Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 overall.


    Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals (-160, 7)

    Series tied 0-0

    The man who took the ball to start the Chicago Cubs’ World Series clincher gets it again Friday. The Cubs send Kyle Hendricks to the mound opposite fellow right-hander Stephen Strasburg when visiting Chicago begins its quest for another crown in Game 1 of the National League Division Series against the Washington Nationals.

    The Cubs are trying to become the first team to win back-to-back titles since the New York Yankees won three straight from 1998-2000, and only one team since then - the 2009 Philadelphia Phillies - have returned to the World Series the year after winning. "There was maybe a little more pressure last year because you feel the weight of 108 years on your shoulders,” Cubs third baseman Kris Bryant told reporters. “This year, it's not like it's different, we're here for one reason - we want to win the whole thing. Regardless if we won it last year or 108 years ago, it doesn't matter to us." Now it’s the Nationals who are trying to get over the hump after being knocked out in the NLDS three times in the past five seasons. The franchise has not won a postseason series since it was in Montreal in 1981.

    TV:
    7:30 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (7-5, 3.03 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (15-4, 2.52)

    Hendricks struggled early in the season, but he has posted an NL-best 2.19 ERA since returning from a hand injury July 24. The 27-year-old has allowed two or fewer runs in 10 of his 13 starts over that stretch, but he gave up three runs over seven innings in a loss to Washington on Aug. 4. Hendricks is 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA in seven postseason starts.

    Strasburg was dominant in 10 starts after the All-Star break, going 6-1 with a 0.86 ERA and 76 strikeouts over 62 2/3 innings. The 29-year-old allowed more than one run only twice over that span, and he hasn’t lost since Aug. 19. Strasburg has made only one postseason start - in the 2014 NLDS against San Francisco - and allowed two runs (one earned) over five innings in a tough-luck loss.

    TRENDS:


    * Cubs are 23-5 in their last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    * Nationals are 45-11 in Strasburg's last 56 starts.
    * Under is 9-1 in Hendricks' last 10 road starts.
    * Under is 20-3-4 in Nationals' last 27 during game 1 of a series.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the home favorite Nationals with 57 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing a 71 percent of the totals wagers.

    Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (-250, 7.5)

    Series tied 0-0

    Clayton Kershaw is one of the greatest pitchers of his era but postseason success has often eluded the Los Angeles Dodgers' ace left-hander. Kershaw looks to improve on his spotty playoff resume when he opens the National League Division Series against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday.

    The three-time Cy Young Award winner stands just 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA in 18 career appearances (14 starts) in the postseason and is looking to help propel the team with the best record (104-58) in the majors to its first World Series berth since 1988. "I'm sure every year I feel like we're going to win the World Series. This year is no different," Kershaw told reporters. "We've had a better regular season than I've ever been a part of." Arizona, which defeated the Colorado Rockies 11-8 in Wednesday's NL wild-card game, isn't about to back down from the Dodgers after winning the regular-season series 11-8. "Look, the Dodgers got on a tremendous run there, and I think they were steamrolling teams and intimidating teams, and I don't think we have that mentality," Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said. "We love that battle mindset. We love that challenge."

    TV:
    10:30 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.49 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (18-4, 2.31)

    Walker was named the starter early Thursday evening, an assignment that opened up after All-Star left-hander Robbie Ray was needed to pitch in relief in the wild-card game. The 25-year-old was 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers this season and said he will be aware of his nerves in what is his first career postseason appearance. "I think the biggest thing is controlling your emotions and taking it one pitch at a time," Walker said at a press conference. "I think you can't go out there and let the adrenaline really get to you. You have to take a deep breath every pitch and really focus on each pitch."

    Kershaw dominated the Diamondbacks in two starts this season by going 2-0 with a 0.59 ERA and holding batters to a .118 average. The 29-year-old has a long standard of success against Arizona with a solid 2.55 career ERA in 26 career starts while going 14-8 with a 1.12 WHIP. The postseason issues are a concern to the Dodgers and manager Dave Roberts said during Thursday's press conference that it is "set in stone" that Kershaw won't be used on short rest and his next start would be in Game 5, if necessary.

    TRENDS:


    * Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
    * Dodgers are 44-9 in Kershaw's last 53 starts.
    * Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks' last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
    * Diamondbacks are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is leaning toward the home favorite Dodgers with 72 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing a 64 percent of the totals wagers.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #47
      CAPPERS ACCESS
      BYU
      Astros/Red Sox Under
      Nationals
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #48
        Ray Monohan

        Red Sox/Astros
        Under 8

        We saw both starters struggle at times in Game 1 of this series, but here we should see a much more grind it out kind of game.

        Houston throws one ace and leads it right into another. Dallas Keuchel will get the ball for the Astros and he's been dominant at home this season. He enters play 6-2 with just a 1.64 ERA this year.

        On the flip side of things, Drew Pomeranz finished the season on a high note. Pomeranz won 3 of his last 4 decisions and allowed 2 runs or less in his final four appearances. Right now, he's pitching with a lot of confidence and has stepped up in big roles this season when the Red Sox needed him.

        Some trends to note. Under is 6-1 in Keuchels last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 13-3 in Hernandezs last 16 games behind home plate.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #49
          Jim Feist

          Dallas Stars -1.5

          The Vegas Golden Knights begin their first season in the NHL. The showpiece of the franchise is goalie Marc-Andre Fluery. Fluery has a two your contract and looks to help this young team along in their early years. During the preseason, the Knights scored quite frequently wit 26 goals in their six games. However, they also gave up 24 goals during the preseason. The over has been a great play at Dallas, with 17 of their last 21 games at home going over. I look for Dallas to get at least four goals here if not more. If you can play the goal and half here with the home team, that's the play.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #50
            TEDDY COVERS

            Take Memphis – UConn OVER (#307-308)

            Teddy has delivered four straight profitable weeks for himself & his clients to open up the NFL campaign; hitting 69% so far this season after a 93-69 mark over the previous two years! Take advantage of this proven NFL profit maker! Cash in riding a full weekend of Teddy’s Top Rated selections!
            Things have not broken right for Memphis in the early going. The Tigers played their opening game against Louisiana-Monroe in the midst of the remnants of Hurricane Harvey – a torrential downpour throughout most of the contest. They had to cancel their game the next week because of Hurricane Irma in Florida. Following the wild upset win over UCLA, the Tigers looked flat against Southern Illinois the following week. Last week, facing UCF, the Tigers got whipped, turning the ball over four times on offense while allowing more than 600 yards on defense.
            Make no mistake about it – Memphis is loaded with the type of skill position talent that UConn can’t cover. With QB Riley Ferguson returning for his senior year, 103 career starts back on the offensive line and the likes of RB’s Darrell Henderson and Patrick Taylor (combined more than 6.5 yards per carry) WR’s Anthony Miller, Phil Mayhue and Tony Pollard (37 catches between them) and TE Joey Magnifico (2nd leading receiver), this team is flat out loaded with weapons. Memphis averaged 39 points per game last year and 40 ppg in 2015. They hung 41 on UConn the last time these teams met, and there’s little reason to think the Tigers won’t approach or exceed 40 this time around.
            UConn’s defense has been horrific this season. Head coach Randy Edsall called out his team’s toughness prior to the Huskies visit to SMU last Saturday: “Sometimes guys either have it or they don’t. I mean, that’s ‘here,'” Edsall said, pointing to his chest. “That’s what you’ve got in here, and it shows up real quick in this sport. If you’re not a physically tough kid, this isn’t the sport you should play.” The end result? One week after allowing 596 yards and 41 points to East Carolina, last week, the Huskies allowed 49 points and 498 yards to the Mustangs. This is not a defense primed for a dramatic improvement anytime soon.
            That leaves us with only one question: Can UConn trade points with a potent offense? If the Huskies can’t, the right play here is on Memphis. If the Huskies can, the better play would probably be on the Over. UConn has a returning senior starter at QB in Bryant Sherriffs, who has completed 69% of his passes so far with an 8:2 TD-INT ratio. Five different receivers have caught a TD pass of 45 yards or longer; an offense showing legit big play ability after averaging a woeful 15 points per game last year. They’re playing much faster than last year in coordinator Rhett Lashlee’s first season running the offense, and they’re facing a defense that has shown repeated vulnerability. Expect enough offense from the Huskies to keep this game relatively competitive….and to send it flying Over the total. Expect a shootout. Take the Over.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #51
              CAPPERS CLUB

              BYU +8.5

              This play just missed out on our premium card. The Boise State Broncos and the BYU Cougars face off on Friday night, and the Cougars at this line have some value.
              In years past people would think you were crazy to bet against the Broncos, but this isn't the same Boise State team as in years past.
              The offense isn't as crisp and the defense has really struggled and that has led to a 2-2 record. They are coming into this game off a really disappointing loss to the University of Virginia. They were only 13.5 point underdogs but ended up losing by 19 points.
              On the other side of this match up is the Cougars who's main problem this year has been on the offensive side of the ball.
              Against the Broncos though they should be able to get the offense clicking early and at least have some success through the air.
              Some trends to note. BSU are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
              Back the Cougars
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #52
                Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

                NHL Free Pick Friday - Columbus Blue Jackets Money Line (-) vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET

                The Blue Jackets are expected to have Joonas Korpisalo between the pipes. Why would coach John Tortorella go with the back-up goalie for this game? Well, not only is this a back-to-back spot for Columbus (they are at Chicago tomorrow) but Korpisalo has earned this start against the Islanders! Last season he went 3-1 in divisional starts and that included a 2-0 versus the Isles. Korpisalo allowed just 2 goals on 46 shots in those two starts. Overall the Blue Jackets are a younger team this season but also a faster team and that speed is going to test New York early and often in this match-up. I do respect the Islanders and I know they were a better team under coach Doug Weight in the latter half of last season. However, goalie Thomas Greiss certainly did not "stand out" last season on the road or in divisional games. That said, the Blue Jackets are the better team, have a favorable goalie situation, have home ice, and are offering additional line value here because of a downward line move as of gameday morning from the 160 range down to the 135 range. Take advantage of the value! Free Pick on COLUMBUS on the money line early Friday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #53
                  Brian Bitler

                  Brian's 9* NHL Electric Dog

                  NY Islanders vs. Columbus, 10/06/2017 19:00 EDT

                  Money Line: +128 NY Islanders

                  Sportsbook:
                  Betonline

                  Huge value here as we get one of the better teams in hockey at plus money here. Lot's of people I am sure will be backing the much hyped Columbus team after last seasons loss in the Finals but like most teams that lose title games I expect a hang over this year. Look for the Islanders to get the upset win Friday Night as we invest 9 units in them.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358413

                    #54
                    Tony Karpinski

                    FREE ACTION

                    Las Vegas vs. Dallas, 10/06/2017 20:30 EDT

                    Money Line: -225 Dallas

                    Sportsbook:
                    Betonline

                    Its going to be a long season for the Vegas Golden Knights.
                    The Dallas Stars are a predictably heavy favorite, and deservedly so. I'm using Dallas but just as a comp because of the high juice. The Stars have perhaps the league's best 1-2 goaltending tandem, the Dallas Trio and the friendly confines of the American Airlines Center in their favor. The Stars get the win here on Friday night.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358413

                      #55
                      Brandon Lee

                      Oct 06 '17, 7:30 PM

                      MLB | Cubs vs Nationals
                      Play on: Cubs +148 at 5Dimes

                      10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs +148)
                      Chicago is worth a look at this price in Game 1 of the NLDS against the Nationals. The Cubs postseason run last year is a big advantage for this team and they know they can go into Washington and get a win after winning Game 7 of the World Series on the road. I loved the decision by Chicago to with Kyle Hendricks as their Game 1 starter. Hendricks owns a 2.83 ERA in 11 road starts and closed out the season with a 0.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. This Cubs team is also playing their best baseball of the season going into the playoffs and were the best team in the NL down the stretch run. Just too good a price here with Chicago, as I think this should be a lot closer to even money. Give me the Cubs +148!
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358413

                        #56
                        Jack Jones

                        Oct 06 '17, 10:30 PM

                        MLB | ARI vs LAD
                        Play on: OVER 7 -115

                        Jack's Free Pick Friday: Diamondbacks/Dodgers OVER 7

                        Clayton Kershaw hasn't exactly been Cy Young-worthy in the postseason through his career. He is 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA in 18 games (14 starts) in the postseason. He wasn't exactly sharp down the stretch, going 2-2 with a 4.23 ERA in his final five starts.

                        Taijuan Walker will be making his first career postseason start for Arizona after the Diamondbacks had to use both Zack Greinke and Robbie Ray in the wild card game. Walker is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.683 WHIP in his last three starts. He is 2-1 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in four career starts against Los Angeles.

                        These are two of the best lineups in baseball. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.4 against left-handed starters. The Dodgers are scoring 4.8 runs per game overall and 4.9 at home. It won't take much to top this small 7-run total Friday.

                        Arizona is 13-3 to the OVER following an off day this season. The OVER is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last four vs. a left-handed starter. The OVER is 4-1 in Dodgers last five playoff home games. The OVER is 4-1 in Kershaw's last five home starts vs. Arizona. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358413

                          #57
                          Dustin Hawkins

                          Oct 06 '17, 10:30 PM

                          MLB | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
                          Play on: Dodgers -260 at betonline

                          Free Play on Dodgers -260
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358413

                            #58
                            Mike Williams

                            Oct 06 '17, 10:30 PM

                            MLB | ARI vs LAD
                            Play on: UNDER 7 +105

                            1* on Diamondbacks vs Dodgers under 7 +105
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358413

                              #59
                              Info Plays

                              Oct 06 '17, 10:30 PM

                              MLB | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
                              Play on: Dodgers -260 at betonline

                              1* Free Play on Dodgers -260
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358413

                                #60
                                Andre Ramirez

                                Oct 06 '17, 8:35 PM

                                NHL | Golden Knights vs Stars
                                Play on: OVER 5½ -111

                                NHL 75 DIME TOTALS GAME
                                5.5 OVER
                                A very exciting day for the Vegas Golden Knights as they are making their league debut, but I don’t feel it will be a good. The Knights have very little offense and a goalie that is aging and didn’t have a great year for Pittsburgh a year ago. The Dallas Stars missed the postseason a year ago after posting the most points in the Western Conference the year before. The Stars have re-loaded and are ready to challenge for the top spot in the Central. They had the most active offseason of any team (other than Vegas) and they should be ready to get off to a fast start this year. It begins with a blowout win over the Knights.
                                The Stars are 25-10 in their last 35 games playing on three or more days rest. I have the Stars pulling a blowout win 6-3. Lay the money on the over here.
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